Gregory Allen (Photo: SD State Athletics)
2014 MLB Draft: Best tools edition
By Jeff Ellis
June 23, 2014
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As is the tradition here is my yearly piece on the top player tools in this year’s Indians draft. I am writing about who I project to have the best future tool, not current tools.
This is a fun way to look at who has the best tools from the players drafted and signed this year by the Indians. This way the fans can get an idea of what things to specifically look for when they watch these players as they come up through the minors.
This piece was a little harder this year as it was a deeper draft, but also because in some ways the Indians selected a lot of similar player’s tool wise. I will also end this piece with my sleeper picks as well.
Hit – Bradley Zimmer, OF
This came down to three players Bradley Zimmer, Michael Papi, and Bobby Bradley. In the end it was mostly Papi vs. Zimmer. Zimmer has the higher ceiling as a natural athlete with good bat speed and he should end up with a legit plus hit tool. There were some scouts who graded him as having the best hit tool of any college bat this year. His average improved every year he was in school, and he could still greatly improve as his mechanics could use some cleaning up. His bat speed is the best in this class, and should lead to Zimmer possessing the top hit tool in this draft class.
Power – Bobby Bradley, 1B
Bradley was the runaway winner for this award. He has legit plus power and has the upside to be a 30 home run a year type of guy. He looked a lot better as a hitter this year, both in terms of hitting and pitch recognition. He is already big bodied guy at 6’2” 225, but will just get stronger. Zimmer has the best bat speed, but Bradley is a close second. His size and swing which has a bit of an upper cut generates massive power. If he was anything other than a first baseman he would have gone a round and a half earlier. Bradley along with last year’s pick Frazier give the Indians the best power combo they have had in the system for a while.
Speed – Greg Allen, CF
This was another three way race between Jodd Carter, Bradley Zimmer and Greg Allen. Allen has two plus tools in his speed and defense. His speed was graded a bit all over the place, but his 60 yard time was a 6.61, which is blazing. His time down the line was under four seconds from the left side and a little over four from the right. The best part about his speed is he knows how to use it. He makes correct reads in the outfield and is a smart base runner. Allen has everything teams look for in a future leadoff hitter.
Eye – Mike Papi, OF
This was the easiest award to give as Papi has owned the strike zone his last two years in college. He walked 100 times over the last two years and over the same time he struck out 60 times. His strikeouts jumped this year, but this might be tied to the great responsibility he carried this year. He had to step up when Fisher was injured and with multiple teammates under achieving. The quote on draft day was that he ruled the strike zone. Papi is an advanced college bat who should move quickly through the minors. He should put up some gaudy walk numbers, and with his hit tool and his eye he is also the safest pick in this draft.
Defense – Alexis Pantoja, SS
This award came down to Pantoja vs. Allen. Pantoja is the better defender at the most important defensive position on the field. He is a slick fielding shortstop with a plus arm. He is exactly half of Francisco Lindor in that he plays great defense but his bat is a well below average tool. If he can improve to just a below average hitter he will be a starter in this league because his glove is that good. Shortstop is the weakest position in the majors, and the value Pantoja brings defensively cannot be over-stated.
Arm – Mike Papi, OF
This was another fairly easy selection. The Indians plan to use Papi in the outfield in spite of his athleticism being a bit below average; the reason is because his arm is plus. He has a very strong arm, which would have been wasted at first the position many, myself included, projected him to play originally. His arm is a weapon in the outfield and he is a guy who should have a ton of outfield assists in his future.
Best Fastball – Sam Hentges, LHP
Hentges is a huge lefty who saw a spike in velocity earlier in the season. His combination of size and cold weather arm could and should lead to a jump in velocity. Thanks to his size he also gets a nice downward plane on his pitches. He can hit 93 now, but has a chance to jump higher. Hentges has a legit chance to be a lefty who can sit in the mid 90’s with nice movement on his fastball. That right there is something which is not easy to find.
Best Secondary – Justus Sheffield, LHP
Sheffield not only has the best future secondary pitches but he also has the biggest arsenal of secondary pitches. We often see younger players with a large arsenal, but they often feature pitches which won’t be used in the future. For Sheffield all three of his secondary pitches project out to be above average major league offerings. His best pitch is his slider which should be a plus pitch. His other secondary offerings are his change and his curveball. Sheffield’s mix of pitches and upside clearly give him the best future secondary offerings in this draft.
Biggest Velocity – Jordan Dunatov, RHP
Dunatov is a 6’6” right hander who has hit 96 MPH already. He was drafted out of high school as an outfielder. He has bounced around the past two years and really has not had the chances to pitch, so in many ways he is like a high school arm. This past season he pitched three innings in college, but he will pitch more for the Indians this year than he did at Nevada. Here is a guy who concentrated more on hitting than pitching in high school, went to college and struggled to find at bats and innings. Now he is with the Indians where he will get his chance to grow as a pitcher. With his size and velocity already I would not be shocked to see him jump up a few more MPH as he gets professional coaching and on a strength and conditioning program.
Best Command – David Speer, LHP
Speer put on a master show of command this year as a pitcher. He struck out 75 and walked only seven over 80 innings. He was unmatched in the Ivy League in terms or production, and his ability to put the ball right where he wanted was a big reason. He doesn’t throw hard as he is more of an upper 80’s guy, but this is a pitcher who should post some gaudy numbers in the lower levels thanks to his plus control.
Sleeper Pitcher – Luke Eubank, RHP
Luke Eubank is the most surprising player who signed to me. He was a top 200 guy who fell to the 15th round. On draft day I mentioned there was a chance he would sign because he didn’t pitch for a big program and he did have size limitations, yet I was still downright giddy when I got the news he signed. The reason is his sinker is a legit plus pitch as his slider. As we have seen with Justin Masterson and the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona, you can get by with a good sinker alone. It is a pitch you can throw 90% of the time and be successful with in the majors. He gets compared to Joe Smith often because he throws from a low three quarter slot, and people think his future is in the pen. I would give him every chance to start because I think he can last there. The kid has the mentality of a starter; every report is glowing about his work ethic and mound presence. Some guys seem special, like in spite of the negatives you know they will make it. Eubank is that guy for me as I look past the lower velocity, size, and arm angle and see a kid with a fastball that MOVES and a sinker which will buckle hitters.
Sleeper Hitter – Greg Allen, CF
Allen is the forgotten hitter in this draft. After the big three he has not been talked about anywhere near as much. Yet I can’t help but look at the numbers and see a future Michael Bourn. They are similar in size and build. Bourn in his final season in Atlanta was 8th in the NL in walks as he walked 10 percent of the time. People often don’t realize Bourn was a guy who walked right around nine percent of the time in his career before he came to Cleveland. Allen in college walked 30 times a year - compare that to Papi and you can see that is a significant amount for a college bat. He also struck out 30 to 40 times a year, which is again Bourn-like. Some scouts I read said Allen is a future gold glover in center. This is why he is my sleeper. Think about it, $200K for a polished college junior with plus speed and a plus glove in center. He has a good eye and good hit tool and on top of that he is a switch-hitter. Again this is all for $200K, and if he becomes just three-fourths of what Bourn was in Atlanta that is a steal.
Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffmlbdraft, or email him at jellis121@yahoo.com
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526“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller
-- Bob Feller