They are definitely now a power. The unexpected acceleration of Garland and Mobley combined with the steal of Jarrett Allen made that a reality.
State of the Cavs: Season of surprises, Darius Garland’s transformation, impending trade deadline and more
CLEVELAND, OHIO - JANUARY 26: Dean Wade #32 Evan Mobley #4 and Darius Garland #10 of the Cleveland Cavaliers celebrate during player introductions prior to the game against the Milwaukee Bucks at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse on January 26, 2022 in Cleveland, Ohio. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
By Jason Lloyd and Kelsey Russo 4h ago 13
The Cleveland Cavaliers have already exceeded their 22-game win total from last season, they’re on pace to win 50 games, they’ll be in the conversation for a slew of postseason awards and they’re coming off a signature win over the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks.
So they’re right where we all expected them to be … right?
If this isn’t the biggest surprise team in the league this season, they’re second only to Memphis. (For the record, I’ll take the Cavs on the shock-and-awe meter.) What this team has done is rather remarkable.
I expected them to take a leap, but I certainly didn’t see this coming. No one did. With that in mind, I asked Cavaliers beat writer Kelsey Russo to join me in a discussion about Cleveland’s impressive campaign, the impending Feb. 10 NBA trade deadline and more. Let’s dive in.
So Kelsey, after watching every game they’ve played this season, what has been the most surprising aspect about the Cavs?
Russo: For me, it’s seeing the success of the Cavs’ three-big lineup that uses Lauri Markkanen, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen all on the floor in the starting unit. And honestly, you can throw Kevin Love into the mix when he subs into the lineup for Mobley and plays alongside the other bigs.
After the Cavs acquired Allen last season, we saw what he could bring to the team, especially when paired with Darius Garland. Yet, seeing this season how those three can play off one another, protect the paint, rim and the perimeter (with Markkanen) effectively and use their size to their advantage against their opponents, was surprising early on. This grouping works well because of what each brings to the table.
Markkanen can guard smaller players on the perimeter and is an outside threat on the offensive end. Mobley’s passing and versatility as a rookie have allowed him to excel at the four. Allen is dominant in the paint on both ends — whether that’s blocking shots, grabbing defensive rebounds, catching lobs for dunks or fighting his way to the rim for a layup. Their success enables the guards to be successful and creates lineups that play well with one another.
On top of that aspect, I think the other factor worth mentioning is the level of consistency at which they play. There are some lapses here and there in an 82-game season. Yet, going back to the preseason, the Cavs wanted to build around their defensive identity and how hard they play each night. That’s who they wanted to be, and that’s who they currently are.
I’m going to throw it back to you, Jason, and ask you the same question: From your perspective, what stands out to you about the leap the Cavs have made? And where do the Cavs go from here for the remainder of this season?
Lloyd: We all saw last season how good Garland could be and the USA Select team nomination cemented that. But the way he has bloomed this season into an All-Star candidate has been fun to watch.
Collin Sexton’s injury was really unfortunate, but splitting those guys up and getting the ball more in Garland’s hands has been good for this offense. I wrote in June how Mobley would be a perfect fit for this team and he’s even better than I imagined, while the Cavs continue to insist Allen is their best player analytically. It’s a good problem to have, figuring out who is the best and most valuable.
Something that I think goes unnoticed, but I’ve come to admire this season, is how the Cavs continue to find talent on the margins. Players like Dean Wade and Lamar Stevens were undrafted forgettables not that long ago. The Cavs targeted them, worked with them, gave them valuable minutes and now they’re bearing fruit. It isn’t easy finding useful rotation pieces, particularly role players who can contribute to a winning team, by scanning the undrafted list every season. This organization has struggled with it in the past. For a team that is capped out like the Cavs, having guys who don’t make a lot of money but can play big minutes on a given night is invaluable.
Where do they go from here? They have plenty of time. This roster is set up for success for many, many years. I don’t think they do anything crazy at the deadline and become a tax team. There’s no reason to start that luxury-tax clock this year. A move or two around the margins, particularly for another ballhandler or creator, makes a lot of sense. But right now, this team is cognizant of the rhythm and chemistry they’ve developed, and I don’t get the sense they want to do much to disrupt it.
Russo: I agree. With how they’ve built their roster to succeed, even after guys like Sexton and Rubio went down, it doesn’t seem necessary to shake things up at the trade deadline. But like you mentioned, Jason, fringe moves for another ballhandler or creator could be a likely target. The trade for Rajon Rondo was a necessary move to help Garland in the backcourt and fill the void left behind by Rubio. But what seems like a necessary call sooner or later, is who is here long term? Is it Rubio? Rondo? Or, do they make a move at the deadline to bring someone else in?
We’ve seen the Cavs linked to guys like Indiana Pacers guard Caris LeVert, as The Athletic’s Shams Charania reported earlier this month. Is that a player you could see fitting in Cleveland’s roster?
Lloyd: LeVert makes a lot of sense. He’s the right age, his contract is easy to absorb if the Cavs use Rubio’s contract as the vehicle to make the money work (they’d obviously have to include other assets) and LeVert likely wouldn’t disrupt the chemistry the Cavs have right now. That’s a big deal in all of this. This team realizes how special this group is and they haven’t shown an inclination to do anything major that might disrupt it.
You reported this week about the $8.9 million Disabled Player Exception (DPE) the team received for Rubio, but it’s important to keep in mind the Cavs are only about $3 million under the tax line. They have a long runway for success with this group and aren’t interested in starting the tax clock now. Given the long-term ramifications, it would be financially irresponsible. Dan Gilbert will go into the tax but repeat offender status is real and it is costly. Owners, including the Gilberts, take it very seriously.
That’s a concern down the road, but the Cavs will likely be a tax-paying team as soon as next season. If they started that clock now, they’d enter “repeat offender” status and start paying the more punitive measures in the summer of 2025 — before a Mobley extension would even begin. By kicking the can down the road one more year, they won’t get hit with their first hefty repeat-offender bill until the summer of 2026 — which coincidentally would be the first year of a presumed max extension for Mobley.
None of this might matter to fans right now, but it’s extremely important to the front office and ownership as they build and extend their contention window as long as possible.
Russo: That’s a good point about the Cavs becoming a tax-paying team and important to remember moving forward. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out as the trade deadline approaches on Feb. 10, and the deadline for the DPE is March 10.
In between those dates is the All-Star break, in which the Cavs will have potentially three players in the conversation — Allen, Garland and Mobley. Fittingly, the three that have propelled Cleveland’s rebuild forward.
The Cavs have 33 games left in the season. That’s a decent chunk of games still to be played. Yet, the Cavs have the third-easiest strength of schedule the rest of the way, which could play into their favor come postseason. After the win over the Bucks on Wednesday night — and a Brooklyn loss to Denver — the Cavs jumped to third in the Eastern Conference with a 30-19 record.
Entering the season, the Cavs had their eyes set on the playoffs. It was always their goal. From an outside perspective, the Play-In Tournament seemed like a much more feasible route. But the Cavs exceeded those expectations and have continued to stay in the playoff conversation.
At this point, what do you think a realistic outlook on the postseason looks like for the Cavs? What does success look like for them in the position they are in?
Lloyd: The East, top to bottom, is drastically better than I expected. The Cavs are one-and-a-half games out of the top seed and home-court advantage throughout, but they’re three games out of being in the Play-In Tournament. Given what you’ve said about the strength of schedule and how the difficult stretch is behind them, I fully expect this team to be in the top six and perhaps holding home court in the first round.
Perhaps more than any other sport, the NBA playoffs are a different animal than the regular season. The games come so fast night to night, it doesn’t leave a lot of time to watch film and adjust to opponents. Young teams typically have to get to the postseason and experience the difference before they can figure things out for future seasons. I’m not ready to predict a conference-finals run, but it’s feasible to believe the Cavs could finish as a high seed to avoid Brooklyn, Miami and Milwaukee and win a first-round playoff series. That seemed like insanity six months ago, but it’s the reality of where they’re at and the road ahead.
The future for this franchise is suddenly very, very bright.