Edwin Rodriguez & Francisco Lindor (Photo: Jim Piascik)
Breaking down the 2013 Aeros' hitters with Edwin Rodriguez
Aeros hitters show improvements in 2013, need to work on strength going forward
By Jim Piascik
October 7, 2013
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The Akron Aeros did not defend their Eastern League championship in 2013, ultimately finishing the season 68-73, but the Aeros served a greater purpose over the course of the season. The development and improvement of the next wave of Cleveland players took precedence in 2013 as fans who came out to see the Akron Aeros saw the names who will soon play at Progressive Field.
Despite the disappointment of a losing season, Aeros manager Edwin Rodriguez and his staff did a great job working with the young players that populated the Akron roster this year. Before the final home game of the season I spoke with him at length, breaking down positives and the negatives of the key members of the 2013 Aeros.
In part one today we will break down the hitters. In part two, we will take a look at the pitchers.
One player who obviously came up was infielder Jose Ramirez, who made his major league debut during September callups this year. Ramirez did not have the most impressive stats in Akron -- only posting a .272/.325/.349 line in 533 plate appearances -- but minor league stats are always about context. At the start of the 2012 season Ramirez was in extended spring training, yet by the beginning of 2013, the switch-hitter had made his mark by finishing out the 2012 season in Low-A Lake County, playing winter ball at a high level, and skipping High-A Carolina and landing in Akron.
Given that Ramirez was 20 years old at the start of the season and only had 67 games with Lake County under his belt, any struggles would have been acceptable. Yet Ramirez held his own and proved worthy of a callup.
"He has that versatility," Rodriguez said of what Ramirez can offer the big league club. "He's able to play different positions. He brings speed, a real threat to steal. He will put up solid at-bats at any level, even the big leagues. But right now, I think the main value of Ramirez is his versatility, that he's able to play a premium position like shortstop."
Ramirez stole 38 bases in Akron and he brought that speed with him to Cleveland. The signature moment of Ramirez's time in Cleveland was certainly in his first major league start when he used his speed to score from first on a groundout to third. That kind of game breaking speed cannot be taught and is one of the things that makes Ramirez valuable.
The knock on Ramirez is his size. The switch-hitter is listed at 5'9", 165 pounds and only posted a .077 ISO in Akron, implying that he needs more power to stick as a major leaguer. The strength is something Rodriguez sees as developing in the future, however.
"I think that [95 percent of the players] at this level needs to put on a little bit more muscle," Rodriguez said. "It's a matter of getting more mature physically. Yeah, if you're asking for Ramirez, yeah, and he will. He's pretty strong right now… He will be fine. If they knock him down he will get up and keep playing. He's a tough guy."
The idea of players needing to develop more strength was a recurring one from Rodriguez, as evidenced in his quote above. Rodriguez only feels that five percent of players in Double-A are physically mature and that the vast majority of these players have work to do on their bodies.
Another player Rodriguez mentioned needed to get stronger was outfielder Tyler Holt. Like with Ramirez, Holt's .267/.338/.359 line is lacking in power, something that could begin to be remedied with some more strength.
"With a stronger body, he will be able to [hit for more power]," Rodriguez said of Holt. "He makes contact and hard contact consistently. If he put on some muscle, then those line drives will be able to get out of the field."
Part of Holt's development is tied up in the changes he made to his swing. The outfielder is one of the best defenders in the organization -- Rodriguez believes he could play all three outfield positions in the major leagues now -- but his offense has held him back since he was drafted out of Florida State in 2010. Typically we think of college hitters as polished, but ever since he turned pro, Holt worked on fixing his swing.
Rodriguez managed Holt for the first three months of 2012 in Carolina, so he has seen the progression Holt made at the plate.
"I had him for the first time last year and he had some kind of uppercut swing," Rodriguez said. "They told me the year before it was even worse. So [the goal] was getting better, getting his hands straight to the ball. He's been more consistent with his swing, and I think he's going to keep getting better. I think that, eventually, he will be able to hit with more power."
Holt seems likely to move up to Triple-A in 2014 to continue rounding out his game, but someone who will probably stay in Akron at the outset of next year is third baseman Giovanny Urshela. Urshela debuted in Double-A last year as a 21-year-old and showed off his hand-eye coordination by posting a .270 batting average and 10.3 percent strikeout rate. The problem with Urshela was being selective with that hand-eye coordination at the plate.
Urshela has the ability to hit most pitches a pitcher throws, but the third baseman still needs to learn how to only swing at the pitches he can do something with. As it is right now, Urshela finished with a .292 on-base percentage and a 3.0 percent walk rate because he made too many weak outs from expanding the zone too much and being too aggressive.
The third baseman is working on this in instructs right now, but in addition to his eye at the plate, Rodriguez believes Urshela needs to add strength.
"I think the main thing with Giovanny Urshela is like [with] Tyler Holt: they need to get stronger," Rodriguez said. "As soon as they get stronger physically, their swing is going to be much better, they're going to develop some bat speed, and they're going to be able to endure more of the season. I think right now, if you take Giovanny Urshela on any particular day, and you try to break down his swing, it's a pretty good swing… But being able to do that for five months on an every-day basis, that's his struggle. So he needs to get stronger physically to be able to maintain that."
Rodriguez rested Urshela down the stretch -- only playing him in 44 of 58 games -- as the manager believed Urshela needed a breather. He still has the kind of defense that could contend for Gold Gloves, but the bat is currently holding Urshela back.
"Right now, defensively… let me put it this way," Rodriguez said. "He could be a major leaguer for one day, right now. But then after that, I don't know [laughs]."
If Urshela had been called up in September, the glove would have played. Opposing pitchers would have figured him out quickly, however, which is why Rodriguez feels Urshela could only be a major leaguer for one day.
As players move up in the minor leagues, the pitchers get smarter and smarter at exploiting hitters' holes. What worked for someone in High-A might not work in Double-A, and so on. First baseman Jesus Aguilar learned that after his August 2012 callup to Akron. Through June 4 this year, Aguilar only owned a .247/.323/.374 with a 45:23 SO:BB, seven doubles, and six home runs in 223 plate appearances and looked like his stock was going to drop precipitously.
Aguilar worked with hitting coach Jim Rickon to make the necessary adjustments, however, fixing the positioning of his hands in order to let him go straight to the ball. Rodriguez noted that Aguilar's upper and lower body were fine, it was just the first baseman's hands that were holding him back.
"When he started the season, the first two months, there were a lot of holes in his swing," Rodriguez said. "Then, I would say… first week of June. That's when he developed that very strong, consistent approach and that's when he took off. I mean, he's consistently taking good at bats. He's been taking very good at bats consistently for the last three months. That swing he has right now, that swing will play in the big leagues."
After June 4, Aguilar owned a .292/.366/.462 line with a 62:33 SO:BB, 21 doubles, and 10 home runs in 344 plate appearances. San Francisco first baseman Brandon Belt had similar stats this year (.289/.360/.481 line) and was worth 4.0 fWAR. It is a jump to say this new Aguilar can keep this up through an entire major league season, but if he does continue hitting like this, he will be pretty good.
The other knock on Aguilar is his defense, though Tony described it as underrated in the IBI prospect book before the season. Aguilar is a big guy, listed at 6'3", 250 pounds, yet Rodriguez does not think it holds him back in terms of his range.
"[His] range is limited like 95 percent of first basemen in the big leagues," Rodriguez said. "But sure hands, he has sure hands. Everything that he gets, he's going to catch it. People keep talking about his defense, [that] he doesn't have any range; it's not range in the big leagues. First baseman, other than Joey Votto maybe, have maybe an average range. There aren't too many first basemen that have a lot of range, but he has sure hands. Everything he gets, it's a sure out."
Rodriguez even went as far as to say Aguilar is presently a major league-caliber defensive first baseman.
"Oh yeah. Today," Rodriguez said. "Better than a lot of first baseman in the big leagues right now."
While that feels a little bit too much to me, the point still remains that Aguilar has established himself as a major league option in the near future with his play in 2013. Another player who can say that is right fielder Carlos Moncrief, who put everything together over the past season.
Moncrief was drafted in 2008 as a pitcher, but he was converted to an outfielder before the 2010 season. That late conversion left Moncrief raw at the plate, as was evidenced by his 28.6 percent strikeout rate in 2011 in Low-A and his 31.0 percent strikeout rate in 2012 in High-A.
Seeing a player's strikeout rate jump moving up a level is not surprising, especially when the player is as raw as Moncrief. Yet a strange thing happened in 2013. Despite making the hardest jump in the minors -- going from High-A to Double-A -- Moncrief's strikeout rate dropped from 31.0 percent to 17.8 percent. Moncrief's ability to make consistent contact allowed his power to come out and for the right fielder to post a .284/.354/.470 line with 26 doubles, seven triples, and 17 home runs in 552 plate appearances.
Despite still showing some roughness around the edges due to his lack of experience as a position player, Rodriguez remains impressed with what Moncrief brings to the table.
"He needs to learn the game, overall game situation," Rodriguez said. "He just keeps getting better every year… I'm sure there are a lot of teams, there's a lot of attention on him, because [where his] ability is, he could be a five-tool player. Power, speed, defense, arm. All he needs to do is keep playing and showing that he can do that on an everyday basis consistently. All he needs is experience, being exposed to better pitching and I'm sure he will be able to make adjustments."
The one knock on Moncrief is that he is a little older than a typical Double-A prospect. Since he started his career as a pitcher -- and had to go all the way back to the bottom of the minors in order to switch to hitting -- Moncrief turns 25 years old this November. Rodriguez is far from worried about Moncrief's age, though.
"People talk about ages and all that," Rodriguez said. "A prospect is a prospect. If you get to the big leagues when you're 28, you get to the big leagues when you're 28. When you get to the big leagues, they don't ask for your age. They just ask how you can help us win games. So if he's going to be able to help us win games when you're 28, we're going to get you there when you're 28."
While Moncrief's delay in reaching the major leagues might limit how long his peak lasts or how many years of production he can offer a major league team, it looks like he can offer Cleveland some outfield help in the near future. Moncrief still needs some work on honing his overall game, but the right fielder is someone I think could fill in on the major league team at some point next year.
This year proved to be the one where Moncrief put everything together, but that was not the case for infielder Ronny Rodriguez. Even accounting for the difficulty of moving up to Double-A, Rodriguez's .265/.291/.376 line in 498 plate appearances was a little disappointing. Add in Rodriguez's continued issues in the field -- he made 24 errors in 2013 -- and it is easy to be down on Rodriguez.
In spite of that doom and gloom, E. Rodriguez is not all that concerned about R. Rodriguez. E. Rodriguez just thinks that R. Rodriguez is not far away and just needs to continue focusing and improving.
"He already showed that he has the power last year," E. Rodriguez said. "He's showed this year [in June]… that he's able to drive the ball opposite field, that he's able to hit for average. But then consistency on his approach, that's where he needs to work, like any young player.
"He hit 19 home runs in High-A. There's not too many players who have done that and he's already showed that, for the month of June, he was able to hit for average. It's a matter of putting everything together. And defensively, shortstop, second base, it's a matter of him playing either one more consistently."
While the idea of a manager saying that a player needs to focus more mentally seems quite negative and is slamming the player's makeup, that is not the case with E. Rodriguez. When he says that R. Rodriguez needs to get more consistent mentally, E. Rodriguez means that as something all minor league players need to work on.
"I think it's more a mental approach," E. Rodriguez said of R. Rodriguez's struggles. "He hasn't been able to be consistent on taking [a good] approach on a daily basis for a full season. You're going to see that in a lot of young players, most of the young players won't be able to do that."
R. Rodriguez's 2013 season was like a three-act play. From the beginning of the season to May 13, Rodriguez posted a .220/.240/.312 line in 149 plate appearances. In mid-May, Rodriguez began to churn his hands less at the plate before the pitch, quieting his swing. Following that adjustment, Rodriguez posted a .370/.387/.563 line in 143 plate appearances from May 14-June 22.
That adjustment worked fine for Rodriguez until he missed a week and a half with hamstring soreness. After returning on July 2, Rodriguez struggled to a .224/.260/.292 line in his final 206 plate appearances.
E. Rodriguez does believe that R. Rodriguez's hamstring issue really threw off his timing for the last part of the year.
"He was in the middle of a very good stretch and that's when he got hurt," E. Rodriguez said. "Getting back to where he was, it was hard on him."
Whereas R. Rodriguez is looking to put everything offensively and defensively together in 2014, catcher Jake Lowery is already halfway there. Lowery's calling card is his bat, and after stumbling in his first full professional season in 2012, the catcher caught fire in 2013. Despite only spending 71 games in High-A, Lowery made the jump to Double-A with a .275/.363/.449 line in 270 plate appearances.
Lowery's line was inflated by a .358 BABIP -- which is likely unsustainable -- but his bat is still solid without that help. What will make or break Lowery is his defense at the most important position on the field.
"I think offensively there's no doubt," E. Rodriguez said. "His bat will carry him. He needs to work on his defense. But it's a matter of playing and him being able to make the adjustments defensively. He needs to improve his calling the game, blocking balls, throwing to the bases. But I think that, being his second full season, that he's making big strides in that direction."
Coming into 2013, Lowery was IBI's fifth-ranked catcher, behind Alex Monsalve, Eric Haase, Yan Gomes, and Alex Lavisky. With Gomes graduating to the big leagues and Lowery's development, personally, I think he has a claim to become #1. Lowery will get a chance to show his improvement in the Arizona Fall League, though his ultimate fate will still come down to how he progresses behind the plate.
"I think he needs to focus on that," Rodriguez said of Lowery's defense. "But in time, he will show his defensive ability. Because there's no question that he's going to hit. He needs to focus on his defense."
The surprise emergence of Lowery made for an exciting story, but the most-hyped debut of the 2013 Akron Aeros season was that of shortstop Francisco Lindor. Lindor, the organization's top prospect and one of the best in all of baseball, tore it up immediately upon being promoted.
In only 91 plate appearances Lindor caused quite a stir, posting a .289/.407/.395 line with a 7:14 SO:BB. This debut got many people calling for the trade of Asdrubal Cabrera -- thus freeing the spot for Lindor in 2014 -- and why wouldn't they listening to Rodriguez's praise of the shortstop?
Rodriguez hesitated to comment on Lindor, as he did not see much of Lindor first-hand, but Rodriguez was impressed with what he did see.
"What I have seen, he had a very good strike zone knowledge," Rodriguez said. "Pitch recognition is above-average. I think that eventually he will be able to hit with more power. Offensively, I think he's ready to go. Defensively, from what I've seen, he has very good action at shortstop [and he] knows the game. Makeup-wise, he's off the roof. He's a complete baseball player. I think that he's going to be able, eventually, spend 12-15 years in the major leagues at shortstop."
So why is Lindor not a lock for Cleveland in 2014? Injuries. Lindor did not finish the regular season healthy as a sore back knocked him out for the final month of the season. Rodriguez was not overly concerned with the injury, however, and explained how he thought it came about.
"When he came here he already kind of had a sore back, a tight back," Rodriguez said. "I think it will be fine. He's young, he's strong. I don't think that the back is a concern right now. He's just tired. People only see the regular season; he started playing, I think it was early February when he was in spring training already playing. So we're talking about seven months. So it's been a very, very long season for him."
That spring training action was important to highlight for Rodriguez. Even though he had no chance of making the major leagues, Rodriguez felt like Lindor pushed hard in major league spring training to impress the organization.
"I think that the regular season was easier for him than the spring training," Rodriguez said of Lindor's season. "It's been a very long, hard season for him."
Staying healthy in 2013 will be a key for Lindor, and if he does that, he will be in the discussion for a major league spot quickly. Lindor's made an impression; now he just needs to stay on the field and keep impressing.
Up next: The 2013 Akron Aeros pitchers
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