Performance and role are not the only considerations when it comes to September promotions.
There are rules.
Let's start with the easiest one: A player must be on the 40-man roster.
The Sept. 1 expansion of rosters simply allows a team to go from its 25-man active roster -- the one the team plays with for the first five months of the season -- to the 40-man roster. Any player on the 40-man roster is eligible to be in the majors on or after Sept. 1. The 40-man roster is essentially a protected list. It has the 25 players that the team wants in the majors and then as many as 15 players in the minors or on the disabled list that a team wants to maintain control of. For example, this season relief pitcher Adam Reifer has been on the Cardinals' 40-man roster all year. He did not get a promotion from Class AAA Memphis to the majors. But the Cardinals also couldn't lose him to another team.
Players who are on the 40-man roster must be optioned to the minors at some point during that season. To continue the example: Reifer was at the beginning of this season. Players have three option years.
Shelby Miller is not on the 40-man roster*.
He doesn't have to be yet.
* You can find the official 40-man roster here at Cardinals.com.
This is where it can get tricky, and this is where a team must make careful decisions when it comes to September promotions.
There comes a time in every player's career -- a wonderful time for them, really -- when a team must add them to the 40-man roster and begin the option process. This time means a player is getting closer to the majors with his current team -- or closer to being available to all major-league teams. The current rules state that a player who is younger than 19 on June 5 of the summer he signs has five years before he must go on the 40-man roster. Players who are 19 or older only have four minor-league seasons before they must go on the 40-man roster.
If a player is not placed on the 40-man roster by that time, he is eligible for the Rule 5 draft and can be grabbed by the other 29 teams as long as they stash him on their 25-man roster for the entire next season.
Confused?
Let's attack this simply. Here are the Top 30 prospects in the Cardinals system from this past winter's Baseball America Prospect Handbook, and next to each of them is the year they were drafted/signed and the season they must go on the 40-man or risked in the Rule 5 draft:
1. Shelby Miller, RHP -- draft 2009, 40-man before 2014*
* Miller was 18-years-old on June 5 before he signed.
2. Carlos Martinez, RHP -- signed 2010, 40-man before 2015
3. Oscar Taveras, OF -- signed 2008, 40-man after 2013*
* Taveras first played in 2009, so that's his first minor-league season.
4. Zack Cox, 3B -- traded to Miami
5. Kolten Wong, 2B -- draft 2011, 40-man before 2015
6. Tyrell Jenkins, RHP -- draft 2010, 40-man before 2015
7. Lance Lynn, RHP -- already on
8. Eduardo Sanchez, RHP -- already on
9. Matt Adams, 1B -- added (one year early)
10. Jordan Swagerty, RHP -- draft 2010, 40-man before 2014
11. Trevor Rosenthal, RHP -- added (a year early)
12. Matt Carpenter, 3B -- already on
13. Ryan Jackson -- added (months early)
14. Maikel Cleto, RHP -- already on
15. Charlie Tilson, OF -- draft 2011, 40-man before 2016
16. Joe Kelly, RHP -- added (a year early)
17. John Gast, LHP -- draft 2010, 40-man before 2014
18. C. J. McElroy, OF -- draft 2011, 40-man before 2016
19. Adron Chambers, OF -- already on
20. Tony Cruz, C -- already on
21. Adam Reifer, RHP -- already on
22. Brandon Dickson, RHP -- already on
23. David Kopp, RHP -- no longer in organization
24. Cody Stanley, C -- draft 2010, 40-man before 2014
25. Victor DeLeon, RHP -- signed 2009, 40-man after 2014
26. Adam Ottavino, RHP -- no longer in organization
27. Boone Whiting, RHP -- draft 2010, 40-man before 2014
28. Seth Blair, RHP -- draft 2010, 40-man before 2014
29. Lance Jeffries, OF -- draft 2011, 40-man before 2016
30. Sam Freeman, LHP -- already on
***
Some other players in the minors who must go on the 40-man this winter before the Rule 5 draft or be available in it include 1B Xavier Scruggs, RHP Richard Castillo, RHP Eric Fornataro, and RHP Yunier Castillo. Scruggs is vying with Taveras for the power leads at Class AA Springfield having surpassed the top-hitting prospects in homers and RBIs.
A few players who will be reaching their 40-man requirement for the first time this winter include RHP Robert Stock.
It is not unusual for a team to add a player to the 40-man in September before he must go on the 40-man in the offseason. All it does it start that player's service time clock. It doesn't cost an option. It doesn't take a spot -- especially if he was going to get one anyway. It's just an early nod to the inevitable.
Ryan Jackson, for example, would have been that player for the Cardinals had they not already needed him in the majors.
Each day I receive several dozen questions on Twitter (@dgoold) or in my inbox (
dgoold@post-dispatch.com) about whether the Cardinals will call up Wong or Miller or Taveras or Scruggs or Gast or Freeman or any number of recognizable minor-league names. I often reply with the 40-man considerations that are involved. I did so yesterday in error: Scruggs would not be going on the 40-man roster early. He was actually eligible to go on last winter. As for the rest: There are real 40-man concerns.
Adding Miller to the 40-man this September for a callup means he'll come to spring training on the 40-man and if he does not make the major-league team, they must option him to Class AAA. That burns one option. It also takes up one spot on the 40-man that could have been open to maintain another player, add a player, or pick in the Rule 5.
If they do not add him, then he comes to spring training as a non-roster invitee, has the same chance to win a job in the rotation, and there is no option torched if he does not make it.
Ditto with Wong.
Same with Taveras.
But there is a caveat.
And it is an important caveat.
There are players who teams don't expect to need all three option years. In fact, there are players who teams are counting on because of their talent to not need three option years. They are often relied on to reach the majors and stay there, if not star there. Carlos Beltran has three option years remaining, for example. Yadier Molina, too. They came. They stayed. Matt Holliday has one, Lance Lynn has all three, Jason Motte has two, and so does Marc Rzepczynski. Several of those regulars mentioned have enough service time where their options are academic. They'll never be used.
Miller is expected to be that kind of player. He's a top-end prospect at starting pitcher, and that was true even during his struggles earlier this season. Is burning one option to get him in the big leagues for experience that big of deal? If he needs all three options hasn't something gone wrong? Some in the Cardinals believe that Wong will take a run at the starting job at second base next spring. When he goes on the 40-man roster, will he ever be optioned?
Those are the questions that confront a team as September approaches.
On merit, there are many who deserve a September look.
By rule, there are reasons not to give it to them.
I know this stuff can be tricky and confusing. I know there are questions about playoff eligibility and what it means when it comes to the Aug. 31 25-man roster. See, already you're confused again. So, here's the deal: Use the comment section below to ask questions about the process, about the rules. I'll answer or I'll find the answer.
Oh, and of course feel free to make your case for September callups as well. Now that you know the rules in play.