Page 117 of 722

Re: Articles

Posted: Tue May 22, 2012 4:48 pm
by Charlie T.
Perez seems to think people were booing him for no reason last week. Let's recall the context: he came into a tie game, gave up a single to the first guy he faced, then issued a 4-pitch walk to something named Casper Wells, then went to a 2-0 count on the next batter. Unless your name is Mariano Rivera, a relief pitcher who does these things is probably going to get booed.

I think the reasons for the Indians' low attendance are many, but the combo of miserable early season weather, an offseason that did nothing to excite casual fans, and memories of how last season's promise went kersplat (in part because of Perez's performance) are all factors. If the team keeps winning, things will change. Attendance this past weekend was noticeably better (and naturally, the Indians lost the series).

What probably won't change is Perez being an immature jackass. He thinks he wants big crowds and the pressure that comes with them? I've seen little evidence he can handle that kind of heat.

Re: Articles

Posted: Tue May 22, 2012 5:12 pm
by seagull
If he thought the boo birds were out of line last week, it should be real interesting the first sign of trouble in the near future.

My guess is the boo birds get louder.

Re: Articles

Posted: Tue May 22, 2012 7:56 pm
by J.R.
Cleveland Indians in the playoffs? They have a good shot, Bill Livingston writes
Published: Monday, May 21, 2012, 6:06 PM Updated: Tuesday, May 22, 2012, 7:52 AM
By Bill Livingston, The Plain Dealer

CLEVELAND, Ohio -- Playoffs? You're talking playoffs?

Absolutely. And why not? The Indians, 23-18 at approximately the quarter-pole of the season, are good enough to make the playoffs.

It might not happen because injuries can always wipe out a small-market team with a small margin for error, just as they did here last season. But if the Angel of the DL passes over the Tribe, they have a good chance.

A generation after the All-Star-laden teams of the 1990s won over a city the Browns had temporarily abandoned, a half-decade after Joel Skinner held Kenny Lofton at third and the road to the World Series took a detour over a cliff, things are looking up. In case you haven't noticed -- and judging by attendance, you haven't -- the Hunt for Wahoo October is on again.

These Indians don't have two aces like CC Sabathia and Fausto Carmona at the top of the rotation as in 2007. They don't even have Sabathia any more, who's now a Yankee, or Carmona, who's now (and always, in fact, was) Roberto Hernandez. He's now battling visa problems in the Dominican Republic.

If the current Indians don't have enough to win the division, given that lavishly salaried Detroit eventually will stumble upon the same switch the Tigers flipped after the All-Star break last year (won't they?), then the Tribe might still have enough to claim the extra wild-card spot that's now available.


The Indians have more speed and pop at the top of the lineup after Jason Kipnis finished his minor-league apprenticeship. Kipnis will be here all year, barring injury. It will be a relay race some innings if Michael Brantley near the bottom of the lineup is getting chased around the bases by Shin Soo-Choo and Kipnis at the top. Lofton and the fragile Grady Sizemore were the only players in 2007 who were not timed by phases of the moon.

Kipnis makes it possible for Asdrubal Cabrera, the best hitter on the team right now, to bat third, where he belongs. Manager Manny Acta can then flip-flop Travis Hafner and Carlos Santana in the four- and five-holes.

Cabrera and Santana switch-hit, while Choo, Brantley and Hafner are lefties. That's part of the strategy, too. Most starters are right-handed. The Indians' game plan is to maximize the small statistical edge lefties have against them, then hang on when the game gets to the bullpen and southpaw relievers start throwing kryptonite balls. Against hard-throwing left-handed starters, such as Tampa Bay's David Price, the result is not pretty. The Tribe is 7-12 against lefties.

Like an old ballpark with eccentric dimensions and pool-hall angles, the Indians' lineup is quirky. The corner infielders, usually power positions, are glove men -- Casey Kotchman at first and Jack Hannahan at third.

Hannahan began the season hitting as though he had signed a binding contract in blood with the satanic powers. Kotchman, who in May is hitting close to .300 after an awful start, is the surest fielder at first base (.998 percent, for players with a minimum of 700 games played) in baseball history. Some first basemen couldn't make it from the Slurpee machine at 7-Eleven to the car 998 times out of 1,000 without dropping more than two.

Both players' value increases because the Indians have a pitching staff dominated by sinker-ballers. Saturday, Kotchman kept the Indians even in a game they eventually won, 2-0, with circle-'em-in-red scorecard gems against Miami's Jose Reyes and Greg Dobbs before the first hot dog had been eaten.

Kotchman also throws left-handed, which means he doesn't have to pivot to begin the first-to-second-to-first double play. Kotchman is 4 inches taller than the 5-11 Santana, his occasional replacement at first, making him more effective at the stretch. Being a lefty also gives Kotchman added reach in corralling errant throws headed for the right-field corner.

The team is built to play good defense, starting with Santana behind the plate. He has worked hard with Tribe coach Sandy Alomar Jr., a great catcher. When Santana erased three Marlins on attempted steals Friday, including National League leader Emilio Bonifacio, it was something of a called shot. He'd warned friends on the Marlins before the game that they ran on him at their peril.

The Indians shift on defense more often than a politician running for re-election on a hot-button issue. Kipnis doesn't play a standard second base. Sometimes he plays short right field. The Indians overload frequently against power lefties such as Adam Dunn, but they have even begun to shift for certain righties. Against them, Kipnis plays closer to second base than "Major League II" was to being funny.

This is all based on the numbers the Indians' analysts crunch. The old romance of the manager's hunch has been replaced in most of baseball by tendency tracking. Increasingly, with pitch counts and intricate stat analysis, baseball is not just built on numbers, it is numbers.

Still, there's room for the long shot who comes in. I'll Have Another, who came from modest beginnings, might win horse racing's Triple Crown.


Maybe Indians fans yet will have a partial season from Justin Masterson like the full one he fashioned in 2011. Maybe they will have more than a few glimpses of the Ubaldo Jimenez who was advertised. The Indians are at the season's quarter pole, leading the division while the presumed team strength at the top of the rotation has been a weakness.

Maybe the fans will have the Johnny Damon who helped the Red Sox break their long curse in 2004. Damon is hitting a lowly .172, but he has only had 58 at-bats. He didn't spend much time in extended spring training, either. It might be wishful thinking, but the Indians say it's not even Opening Day to his body clock yet.

Maybe the fans will have another return of the Sizemore who, for 30 games last season, was again a leading man on what looked like a contender. That would be a huge lift.

Maybe Carmona/Hernandez will even emerge from the wilds of the Dominican Republic's bureaucracy and help.

If so, have another round of midges and watch the big-market teams sweat.

Re: Articles

Posted: Wed May 23, 2012 8:19 am
by Uncle Dennis
Indians as good as overrated Tigers

May, 23, 2012
May 23

12:30

AM ET

By David Schoenfield | ESPN.com
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OK, I'll give you Justin Verlander.

I'll even give you Miguel Cabrera, Prince Fielder and Austin Jackson.

But five through 25? I think I'll take the Cleveland Indians over the Detroit Tigers.

The Indians beat the Tigers 5-3 on Tuesday, even though Ubaldo Jimenez struggled once again with his control. Relief ace Chris Perez, who criticized Indians fans on Saturday for their lack of support (Cleveland is last in the majors in attendance), was greeted with a thunderous ovation as he came in out of the bullpen in the ninth inning. With two runners on, he struck out Cabrera and got Fielder to ground out.




AROUND THE SWEETSPOT NETWORK

It's Pronounced "Lajaway"
Ubaldo Jimenez continues to be a disappointment. Yes, he picked up the win and technically was credited with a quality start tonight, but that performance was anything but quality. He's just the third Indians pitcher since 2000 to walk six and allow five hits and still pick up the victory. In other words, it was a fluke. Jimenez has now walked five or more batters five times this season -- the only other team with that many five-walk starts is the Blue Jays (also with five).

For the rest of this blog post, click here.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Walkoff Woodward
there shouldn't be any shock in the fact that there are other good baseball teams in the AL Central. And there really shouldn't be any shock to the fact that the Tigers are 20-21. When you watch or pay attention to a large amount of baseball over the course of many, many years you begin to look at the bigger picture. This is especially true when it comes to Detroit Tigers fans, who, for many years have suffered through horrible team after horrible team. You end up stepping back from a bad situation and comparing your team to other teams or other equally as painful seasons. When you do this, you begin to see trends.

For the rest of this blog post, click here.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Royals Authority
In his four starts this season, Felipe Paulino has given up earned runs in only one. Had he not started the season with an injury and continued on his current pace, he would be a top five pitcher in nearly every major statistical category. His name would be nestled in with the Verlanders and Greinkes of the world. But alas, he resides within the large likeable shadow of Bruce Chen.

For the rest of this blog post, click here.
Just another save. "That's the loudest I've ever been cheered here," Perez said. "I was pumped, the adrenaline was going. It could have gone the other way. I came through. I didn't know which way it was going to go. I was thankful it went the good way."

The good way pushed the Indians to 24-18. The Tigers are 20-22, and for the life of me I can't understand why everyone still thinks Detroit is the better team. Mind you, I'm not saying the Indians are better. I just don't see why the Tigers are better. Just because everyone picked them before the season?




AROUND THE SWEETSPOT NETWORK

It's Pronounced "Lajaway"
Ubaldo Jimenez continues to be a disappointment. Yes, he picked up the win and technically was credited with a quality start tonight, but that performance was anything but quality. He's just the third Indians pitcher since 2000 to walk six and allow five hits and still pick up the victory. In other words, it was a fluke. Jimenez has now walked five or more batters five times this season -- the only other team with that many five-walk starts is the Blue Jays (also with five).

For the rest of this blog post, click here.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Walkoff Woodward
there shouldn't be any shock in the fact that there are other good baseball teams in the AL Central. And there really shouldn't be any shock to the fact that the Tigers are 20-21. When you watch or pay attention to a large amount of baseball over the course of many, many years you begin to look at the bigger picture. This is especially true when it comes to Detroit Tigers fans, who, for many years have suffered through horrible team after horrible team. You end up stepping back from a bad situation and comparing your team to other teams or other equally as painful seasons. When you do this, you begin to see trends.

For the rest of this blog post, click here.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Royals Authority
In his four starts this season, Felipe Paulino has given up earned runs in only one. Had he not started the season with an injury and continued on his current pace, he would be a top five pitcher in nearly every major statistical category. His name would be nestled in with the Verlanders and Greinkes of the world. But alas, he resides within the large likeable shadow of Bruce Chen.

For the rest of this blog post, click here.
Once you get past those big shiny names on the Tigers' roster, if you want to pinpoint one big difference between the two clubs, it's a little statistic that us sabermetric types love: the old base on balls. The Indians lead the American League with 188 walks, 25 more than any other team; the Tigers have 127 walks, ninth in the league. That patience will go a long ways toward giving Cleveland an offense capable of scoring as many runs as Detroit's (the Indians have outscored the Tigers by one run so far, 184 to 183).

In fact, when you go position by position, you'll see what I mean.

Catcher: Carlos Santana versus Alex Avila. So far, Avila has been unable to match 2011's .366 average on balls in play, the sixth-best average in the majors. Which means he's hitting like he did in 2010. Santana, meanwhile, is a walks machine who hit 27 home runs in 2011.

First base: Casey Kotchman versus Prince Fielder. Obvious edge to Fielder, of course. The most interesting thing about his start (.292/.354/.472) is his walk rate is down from 15.5 percent to 8.5 percent. Part of that is he was intentionally walked 32 times a year ago, just three this year.

Second base: Jason Kipnis versus Ramon Santiago/Ryan Raburn. Please. Big edge to Kipnis with Santiago and Raburn both hitting under .200. Will Detroit make a move here?

Third base: Jack Hannahan/Jose Lopez versus Miguel Cabrera. This may be the first and only time you'll see Jose Lopez mentioned in the same breath as Miguel Cabrera. So far, however, this edge has been minimal. Cabrera is hitting .304/.362/.488, Hannahan .287/.365/.436 but with better defense. According to Defensive Runs Saved, Cabrera has cost the Tigers four runs -- worst among third basemen (tied with Hanley Ramirez).

Shortstop: Asdrubal Cabrera versus Jhonny Peralta. With the Indians preaching plate discipline, check out Cabrera: Last year, 44 walks and 119 strikeouts; this year, 18 walks and just 12 strikeouts. He's hitting .309 with an OBP over .400 but hasn't lost any power. In 2011, he swung at 31 percent of the pitches out of the strike but he has cut that down to 24 percent. Small differences can go a long way. Peralta was a big surprise for Detroit last season but hasn't matched the numbers in the plate or in the field.

Left field: Johnny Damon/Shelley Duncan versus Andy Dirks/Delmon Young. Damon has looked terrible. Dirks has looked great, but too early to evaluate this one.

Center field: Michael Brantley versus Austin Jackson. With his defense and hot start at the plate, Jackson has been as valuable as any player in the American League not named Josh Hamilton.

Right field: Shin-Soo Choo versus Brennan Boesch. This one isn't close and that's with Choo off to a middling start in the power department. Choo has a .391 OBP, Boesch a .271 OBP. Choo is a solid defender while Boesch is slow and lumbering. With his poor start at the plate and poor defense, Boesch has been one of the worst regular in baseball so far. Choo is an underrated asset and I love Manny Acta's decision to move him into the leadoff spot.

Designated hitter: Travis Hafner versus field. Cleveland's designated hitters have six homers and .370 OBP (fourth in the league). Detroit's DHs have one home run and a .238 OBP (13th in the league). Big, big edge to Pronk.

Rotation. With the best pitcher on the planet, Detroit's rotation has posted a 3.87 ERA; without the best pitcher on the planet, Cleveland's rotation has posted a 3.94 ERA. Both teams have played 42 games and Cleveland's starters have thrown 12 more innings. Moving forward, maybe you think Detroit's group will perform better. After all, Doug Fister missed some, Max Scherzer just struck out 15 in game (never mind that the Pirates have been an historic strikeout binge of late) and Rick Porcello will put it together one of these years, because everyone says so. Meanwhile, Ubaldo Jimenez can't throw strikes, Justin Masterson hasn't pitched as well as last year and Derek Lowe is doing it with smoke, mirrors and a deal with the devil. The one thing the Cleveland starters do is keep the ball in the park; they've allowed 20 home runs, second-fewest in the league. Look, maybe you think Scherzer will start pitching better; I'd say so will Masterson. Maybe you're a Porcello believer; I'm not, especially with that infield defense behind him. Lowe is a fluke? Well, let's see how Drew Smyly does as the scouting reports get around on him.

Bullpen. Neither pen has been stellar, as Cleveland's 4.16 ERA ranks 13th in the AL and Detroit's 4.76 ranks 14th. Cleveland's top guys, however, have been pretty solid -- Chris Perez is 14 of 15 in save opportunities while Vinnie Pestano, Joe Smith and Nick Hagadone have pitched well. Detroit's top two of Jose Valverde and Joaquin Benoit, so dominant a year ago, have both struggled to throw strikes.

I said before the season that I believed the Tigers were drastically overrated. On the Baseball Today podcast late in spring training, I predicted Cleveland would win the division. Unfortunately, when ESPN.com published predictions a few days later, I changed my pick to Detroit. I bought into the hype.

I'm not buying any longer. This division is wide, wide open. (And I haven't even mentioned the White Sox!)

PHOTO OF THE DAY

Troy Taormina/US PresswireDiminutive Astros infielder Jose Altuve isn't always so low to the ground.
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David Schoenfield | email
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Tags:
Detroit Tigers, Cleveland Indians, Jose Lopez, Josh Hamilton, Doug Fister, Rick Porcello, Johnny Damon, Justin Verlander, Justin Masterson, Hanley Ramirez, Prince Fielder, Delmon Young, Ramon Santiago, Ubaldo Jimenez, Travis Hafner, Jose Valverde, Derek Lowe, Miguel Cabrera, Manny Acta, Jack Hannahan, Shin-Soo Choo, Max Scherzer, Michael Brantley, Carlos Santana, Austin Jackson, Chris Perez, Brennan Boesch, Jhonny Peralta, Asdrubal Cabrera, Joe Smith, Vinnie Pestano, Jason Kipnis, Alex Avila, Joaquin Benoit, Casey Kotchman, Ryan Raburn, Andy Dirks, Shelley Duncan, Nick Hagadone, Drew Smyly

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sabrefan6248




As a big Tribe fan, I'm not buying yet. They won 30 of their first 45 last year, ESPN jumped on the wagon, and they ended up winning 50 of the next 117. Talk to me when the Tribe has a 5 game lead in late August.

1 fan likes this.






4 Minutes Ago
























Scrib8




It's different this year. Better pitching rotation and better hitting all around. And the 'pen should get better from here.







2 Minutes Ago



























AcrossTheField11




I think last year we were all just waiting for the other shoe to drop. The players were overachieving and we benefited from a friendly schedule. I think you'd have to agree that this years team is more experienced, and much deeper, and could be poised for a late september run at the playoffs.







2 Minutes Ago






























bowlnman1990




Both the Tiger's pitching staffs and lineup are under performing. Even if all the players move towards their career averages the Tigers will win a ton of games. I think in an article a few days ago someone pointed out that 7 of the tigers regulars are 50 points or more below their career slg percentages. That combined with less than stellar starts from Porcello and Scherzer in the rotation, and Benoit and Valverde, its really a wonder theyre even around .500. Once the professionals start to ...more

1 fan likes this.






5 Minutes Ago



























acoppola4




this whole article can be summed up by the left field position. why would the entire team be any easier or more accurate to compare than one position? too early to tell. stupid article.







11 Minutes Ago
























Scrib8




Damon got in late?.. He's an all time great and is expected to get that avg. up with some more playing time.
It's not too early to compare teams. We've played more than a quarter of the season but yes, things will change. Indians are playing great and there's no reason for them to stop doing that. Detroits hitting is well behind what everyone expected.







3 Minutes Ago






























dammboyle




Just like last year, Tigers pull far away from everyone else in the end and all the mid-season pseudo-drama becomes a distant memory as the Tigers play the Rangers in the ALCS.

1 fan likes this.






12 Minutes Ago



























jdagrava73




No one has mentioned the possibility of the Indians picking up another bat. Damon was a disaster, but whispers in Cleveland have mentioned Kevin Youkilis A LOT. A move like that can really solidify the Indians lineup







14 Minutes Ago



























jdagrava73




Say it with me Detroit..... D.E.F.E.N.S.E! You don't got it!







18 Minutes Ago



























thomasjkehoe




As a Tigers fan the white sox scare me more than the Indians.







18 Minutes Ago
























basesballgod69




white sox are old. theyll start hot then by halfway fade off







18 Minutes Ago
























thomasjkehoe




they have a lot of young talent along with their veteran players. Adam Dunn is hitting this year which poses a threat.







15 Minutes Ago

































basesballgod69




Detroit is second most overrated team in baseball behind the angels. get over it! tribe has chemistry and no amount of talent can replace chemistry







20 Minutes Ago



























thomasjkehoe




I thought the Tigers would struggle especially defensively but I thought they would be hitting a lot better to make up for it.







20 Minutes Ago



























boyshegan98




Brewers win it all.







23 Minutes Ago



























thomasjkehoe




The Tigers will start hitting and pitching better. They have only really been getting production from 3 hitters and one pitcher.







27 Minutes Ago



























brokelaw




SLIGHT edge to Miguel Cabrera? You gotta be $@%!$@% kidding. What another $@%!$@ piece of journalism from Schoenfield. Fine, you think the Tigers are over-rated. I get it, maybe they are at this point. But a comparison like that of the best hitter in the game and a AAAA player is a joke.







30 Minutes Ago
























babaganoosh7492




A slight edge based on the numbers. Can't you read? Look how slight that edge is.







24 Minutes Ago



























basesballgod69




um defense wins championships







23 Minutes Ago






























thomasjkehoe




Its hard to believe that the Indians are 6 games over .500 but have a -2 run differential.







30 Minutes Ago



























swift00145




detroits defense will b there downfall







33 Minutes Ago



























ksk150




Tigers are over-rated. You don't build a winner by throwing that kind of money at Fielder. You need to be smarter with your money and how you build your roster.







37 Minutes Ago



























Slugger406




I agree with most of you, plenty of season left to go, and the Tigers haven't gotten hot yet. But this division will be a lot tighter than most professionals thought.

1 fan likes this.






49 Minutes Ago



























uscatl




The Indians were very good to start last season as well before mostly injuries hit. So not surprised to see them doing so well. If they learned how to play when the spotlight is on them, they could definitely win the division.

The Tigers offense was extremely underrated last year, that's why I didn't think Verlander deserved the MVP. They also have Fister and thought Scherzer would be better. Yes I knew their infield defense would stink but didn't think they would be this disappointing.







1 Hour Ago
























bowlnman1990




Except that all of JV's other numbers besides wins were MVP worthy as well, and voters have shown in recent years they don't care about wins as much any more







2 Minutes Ago






























eaglewingsfl




No the Indians are not as good as the Tigers, the Tigers are just going through a funk that all teams go through at some point in the season. As the old saying goes 'the baseball season is a marathon'.I tell you what Schoenfield...............get back with me on September 23rd...........not May 23rd.

3 fans like this.






1 Hour Ago



























kwseitz




Burn on, big river, burn on

1 fan likes this.






1 Hour Ago



























zoobfish72




As usual he minimizes certain things to make a point. Fister has been great since he was traded to detroit. Also detroit ownership will be alot more aggressive than clev to improve roster. Lastly fielder is still learning the AL...once he learns the pitchers his power numbers should improve.







1 Hour Ago
























swift00145




that wont help the worst defense in baseball







32 Minutes Ago






























rocnrollbandit




I wouldn't call 24-18 "looking good". The Tigers just look ok and the Indians look a little better. Still a lot of games left.







1 Hour Ago
























swift00145




24 - 18 is pritty good its not that far off from the top records, detroit is 2 games under .500 thats completely awful







36 Minutes Ago



























MartinTW02




24-18 translates to a 93 win season which ought to do it in the Central this year. Of course, I don't think the Indians can keep up this pace unless Masterson becomes 2011 Masterson and they pick up a bat to play 1B (Youkilis?)







4 Minutes Ago






























piche2001




Detroit can't play any worse, and they're only 3.5 games back. Wait until they start playing like they are supposed to be playing.

It's May. Detroit will be in first in October. That's all that matters.







1 Hour Ago
























swift00145




white sox r 3.5 back detroit behind them







35 Minutes Ago






























slowmotony7




Indians look pretty good right now. Just need the starters to start pitching well again, and find SOMEONE we can trust outside of the big guns in the bullpen.

I'm a little worried for our friends in Detroit. It's almost as though Miguel Cabrera's "I don't really care" attitude is making its way through the club. Last night was the worst display of effort defensively I've seen in a long time by a professional team. I don't know if Leyland has the ability to get this club focused.







1 Hour Ago
























swift00145




most of there players are lazy and out of shape and therefore dont have the ability to play good defense







30 Minutes Ago






























Sebastionleo




Oh look, Schoenfield smack talking the Tigers, this is new... *rolls eyes*







1 Hour Ago



























soupcityallstar




everyone on here can bash this guy all u want, fact is he is right....the indians r playing better ball RIGHT NOW......GO TRIBE!!!







2 Hours Ago



























Stark10547




Article reeks of desperation. Let's see where they are in August going into the stretch run for playoffs before we start crowing. 3.5 games isn't exactly a monumental lead. Ask Boston, NY Mets and Atlanta about that.







2 Hours Ago

















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Re: Articles

Posted: Wed May 23, 2012 8:55 am
by joez
Tribe Matters

Tribe GM Chris Antonetti talks to media, touches on a variety of subjects

By Stephanie Storm Published: May 19, 2012

Indians general manager Chris Antonetti met with reporters for 12 and a half minutes Saturday afternoon before the game, touching on a variety of topics.

Here’s the question and answers from the brief session:

Q) Some things haven’t gone as planned already this season, yet the Indians find themselves in first place in the division. Do you feel pretty good with where the team is overall?

A) “We’re pleased with where we stand right now. Obviously, it’s good to get off to good start and be in first place at this point in the year. But we know it’s a long season and we still have our work cut out for us. The thing that we’re collectively most encouraged about is we feel we have the opportunity to play better in all facets of our game.”

Q) The last few days Johnny Damon has been drawing some walks and looks like he’s seeing the ball a little better. How encouraged are you with his progress?


A) “It’s been a process for Johnny to get re-acclimated to major league pitching. I think we’ve seen over the week or so that the quality of his at bats are continuing to improve. His command of the strike zone is continuing to improve. His swing mechanics are getting better and he’s looking more comfortable in the batters box. So I think we’ll begin to see more results consistently as Johnny gets more at bats.”

Q) Now that OF Grady SIzemore is starting to rehab, what are you looking for from him?

A) “We continue to be encouraged by the strides Grady’s made. He hasn’t had any set backs in his recovery. He’s initiated baseball activities now, he was on the field taking batting practice the other day and running around a little bit, so we’re encouraged by the progress. Now, hopefully he can continue to ramp up his activities and get him in some minor league games and not have any setbacks along the way because we’ve said all along, when Grady’s healthy and on the field, he’ll have an impact.”

Q) What’s the No. 1 concern for this team moving forward?

A) “Just consistency. I think we’ve seen each area of this team demonstrate its ability to contribute. But we’ve had some inconsistencies. And I think for us to be the team we want to be, we’re not able to rely on any one area to carry us. We need to get consistent contributions from each facet of the team.”

Q) Are you a fan of Interleague play?

A) “I am. I think it’s an opportunity to see things you don’t normally see and mix things up a little bit. I’m a much bigger fan of Interleague play when we get to play in American League ballparks than National League ballparks.”

Q) At the beginning of the season, you said you didn’t think it would matter that you had a predominately left-handed hitting lineup. Have you changed your mind about that at all based on how the season’s gone?

A) “Not really. Our focus is to win as many games as we can and score a lot more runs than our opponents. However we have to go about doing that, we’ll do it. There’s times when it’s a benefit to having a lineup that’s predominately left-handed to give us an advantage against a lot of right-handed pitching. So to the extent that that continues and we continue to put up runs against right-handed and left-handed pitching, then we’re OK with it. Now, if there are opportunities to improve the club, we’ll certainly be flexible and creative in how we do that. I think we’ve demonstrated we won’t be preoccupied by the hand of the batter.”

Q) How encouraged are you by what 1B/LF Matt LaPorta’s done at Triple-A Columbus?

A) “Matt’s made a lot of strides offensively and defensively. He’s gone down there with a great attitude and approach and he’s worked very hard with the Columbus staff and our minor league coordinators. I think we’re starting to see more consistency with his approach at the plate and with his at bats and that’s translated into his performance.”

Q) Is LaPorta any closer to a call up? Are you guys considering it?

A) “There are two things that go into that, obviously. How Matt’s doing – his progress (not only in just his performance but the process in getting there) and then opportunity - for us to make a move. But again, we’re encouraged by the progress he’s made and hopefully, he’ll continue that. So that if and when we have a need, he’s ready.”

Q) What are your thoughts on IB Casey Kotchman, who’s been hitting better as of late?

A) “He’s been really consistent defensively, obviously. He’s made a huge impact on our infield, not only our defense at first base, but our defense around the diamond because of the way he can pick balls in the dirt and save runs around the bag. Obviously, he got off to a tough start offensively the first few weeks of the season. But if you look at how he’s preformed for the better half of the last month, he’s been consistent with how he’s performed last year and at different points in his career.”

Q) Is there a time that the trade market starts to open up or are you always looking at different options?

A) “You’re always looking to improve and there are natural junctures throughout the year. The intensity always tends to pick up after the amateur draft…It gives team a chance to access what they have, access what their needs might be and access the competitiveness of their team and try to look to look extra to find a potential match. So, that’s when the volume of calls typically picks up. But we had a few calls last week.”

Q) Do you think the presence of an extra wild card will make the trade deadline different this year?

A) “I do. With another wild card team, you obviously have more teams in the mix. There’s also the added component of the new CBA, which gives you compensation for free agents and there’s some effect of the value of players that are traded within the last years of their deal. So, it’ll be an interesting trading environment.”

Q) Are you looking at LaPorta as a first baseman or a left fielder?

A) “Matt’s been playing both left field and first base in Columbus, and we feel he has a chance to contribute at either position whenever we have a need.”

Q) What is 3B Lonnie Chisenhall’s status in Columbus?

A) “He actually should be playing this weekend. He strained his calf and it took him a little while to get back. He progressed through baseball activities, took some balls and hit batting practice yesterday and should be in the lineup either today or tomorrow.”

Q) What’s been going on with LHP Scott Barnes? He made a couple starts and has had a lot of relief outings now. Is it a role change for him or have something to do with the knee?

A) “For right now, Scott will get the bulk of his opportunities in the bullpen, at least for the near term. We feel Scott’s got a great opportunity to potentially contribute to our major league team. And we’ve seen Scott’s ability as a starter. He’s a guy who has not had any experience – at least to date – to pitch out of the bullpen in professional baseball for an extended period of time. So we wanted to at least acclimate him to that role.”

Q) Has the thought process of the team changed at all about Grady and Johnny in that when Grady comes back about Damon coming or going? Or are you just going to wait and see how everything plays out?

A) “We have to get to that juncture in time first where we get everyone healthy. Then we’ll access what move to make at that point.”

Q) You thought Derek Lowe could still pitch or wouldn’t have added him to the team. But did you expect him to practically become your ace

A) “Derek‘s done really everything we could have potentially asked for, not only with his contributions on the mound, but he’s given us an opportunity to win every game he’s started. He competes exceptionally well. He manages games well. When he’s had runners on base, he’s been able to execute pitches to get out of it. But he’s also been a great influence in our clubhouse. We heard he was a great teammate and a great competitor; he’s certainly reinforced that belief when he got here, and probably has been better than we originally thought. He’s got a lot of energy and has impacted a lot of other starters with his professionalism.”

Q) What do you see out of RHP Ubaldo Jimenez right now compared to when he came over in the deal?

A) “Ubaldo continues to be inconsistent. The results have been inconsistent. His work, his preparation and his commitment haven’t wavered. He’s worked tirelessly with (pitching coach) Scott Radinsky to solidify his delivery mechanics; it just hasn’t clicked continuously every five days. And so, there have been times within each outing that there’s been encouraging elements and he’s made progress over the last handful of starts. But for us to be the team that we want to be, we need Ubaldo to be more consistent. I’m optimistic that with the work he’s put in with Scott Radinsky and the way the two of them continue to approach things, he’ll continue to improve and we’ll continue to see more consistency from him.”

Q) What do you want to see out of Ubaldo?

A) “I think he’s demonstrated that when he works ahead in the count, attacks hitters aggressively and throws strikes, he’s got the weapons and the ability to pitch very effectively at the major league level. His challenges come when he has a difficult time locating his pitches and he gets behind in the count. That inevitably leads to hitter advantage counts that leads to extra-base hits or leads to walks. The outings when he’s worked ahead, he’s had success.”

Q) Any news on Roberto Hernandez (the RHP formerly known as Fausto Carmona)?

A) “We continue to be in touch with his representatives, but there’s no real news to report. It’s still in the hands of the state department. He’s working out at our complex in the Dominican and threw a simulated game (60-65 pitches) there last week.”

Re: Articles

Posted: Wed May 23, 2012 9:09 am
by joez
Cleveland Indians 2012 Quarterly Report


Written by Noah Poinar (ClevelandFan)

Entering the season, there was an imbalance between this Indians team and the fans. On one hand you had the team that exceeded everyone’s expectations, finishing the 2011 season with an 80-82 record. But on the other you had the Indians who began the season 30-15, only to finish the rest of the season 17 games below five-hundred. The two conflicting perspectives accompanied the 2012 season with a giant flashing sign that said Warning: Approach Season With Caution .

Really, no one knew what to expect from this team in 2012. Everyone knew there was no way they were going to start 30-15 again, but fans didn’t exactly expect them to start 15-30 either. Did we expect them to play at a pace 17 games below .500? Yes. Did we expect them to play at a pace 17 games above .500? Yes. Did we expect them to win their division? Yes. Did we expect them to finish fourth in their division? Yes. Did we expect them to start 23-18, or were we envisioning a 18-23 start? Yes and Yes.

When it boiled down to it, Tribe fans strapped themselves in and hoped for the best while embracing themselves for the worst.

-----------------------------------------------

Last Monday the Indians were 18-16 and clinging to the division lead by a thread. At the time, the Tigers looked like they were beginning to rise to the occasion of their $160 million payroll, the White Sox and Adam Dunn were making up for lost time, and the Indians were in the midst of a skid in which they had just dropped five or their last six games.

If you were an Indians fan it was the perfect time to panic.

Ever since the Tribe took the lead in their division, a lot of Indians' fans began the process of waiting for the bottom to fall out. In my mind, that “bottom” looked as if it was falling out last Monday. The Indians had just dropped three straight to the Red Sox and looked terrible in doing so. At the time, Boston had one of the worst records in the league and were engulfed in a whirlpool of neverending drama; it was the equivalent of dropping three straight to the Twins or Mariners.

I repeat, if you were a Cleveland fan it was the perfect time to panic.

And perhaps panic is the correct verbage to use when attempting to explain Manny Acta’s decision to move Shin-Soo Choo to the leadoff hole. But whether the move was made out of panic or just the realization that Johnny Damon was terrible at every facet of the game, the gutsy lineup change had season altering effects. Or so some (myself) would say.

After blowing a 4-1 lead in the 8th inning—thanks in part to Manny Acta’s spontaneous decision to play russian roulette with his bullpen—Choo came through in the ninth with the go ahead (and eventual game winning) RBI. In the process, he prevented a 4 game losing skid and would go on to unleash the 2009-2010 version Shin-Soo Choo. Four games after the Choo maneuver, the Indians were a perfect 4-0 and I was one mouse click away from submitting this quarterly column after the 38 game mark. I knew that if they got swept by Miami this weekend it would have forced me to alter the entire tone of this piece.

When your team of rooting interest has a payroll south of $80 million and they find themselves in contention, a baseball season can be the longest metaphorical roller coaster ride of a fans life. For better or worse, you find yourself overreacting to big picture things every chance you get. This is only natural because, as their payroll would suggest, it’s not every year they're in contention. When they do find themselves in contention though, you’re forced to spend a great deal of your time watching them. The more you watch, the more invested you become. The more invested you are, the more you overreact. One week you find yourself gloating on team message boards and writing bold columns like “The Indians are For Real,” the next week you’re frantically deleting those columns from your personal archives. This is the reason I won't write a slew of daily Indians columns , and this is the reason this column is 1,000,000 words long.

So yea, I wanted to submit this column on Friday when all was good in the world of Cleveland Indians baseball. They didn’t get swept by the Marlins, but they did lose the series. However, for the purpose of channeling my inner homerism, it's probably a good thing that this happened.

Having said all of that, lets take a look at what we’ve seen thus far through the first quarter of the season.
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The Spark Plug: Johnny Damon

Time: Wednesday night, approximately 7:24 ETC.

Situation: One out, Asdrubal Cabrera at third, Carlos Santana at first, Johnny Damon at the plate with a 2-2 count. This is what unfolded...

•Skipper Manny Acta decides to make the game interesting and calls upon Carlos Santana to perform a delayed steal of 2nd base.

•In an attempt to pick off a leaning Asdrubal Cabrera at third base, Seattle catcher Jesus Montero throws the ball into left field.

•Cabrera scores on the play.

•The throw to home plate from left field gets past Montero and ends up at backstop.

•200 Ibs of Carlos Santana bowls (I cannot stress the word “bowl” enough) past third base and makes a break for home.

•Indians fans begin to get flash backs of Kenny Lofton in game 6 of the 1995 ALCS against, coincidentally enough, the Seattle Mariners.

•Carlos Santana slides head first into home and scores.

•Matt Underwood hits a decibel level that we had not yet heard this year. Meanwhile, Tom Hamilton remains relatively calm during what one would think would be a token ‘Tom Hamilton’s head exploding’ sequence of events.

•A winded Carlos Santana stumbles to the Indians dugout where he blacks out for the next 3 minutes.

•Carlos Santana wakes up to a smelling salt and goes out and catches the remainder of the game.

Ok, that last part never happened, but nevertheless, it was the most exciting sequence of events on a Cleveland baseball diamond since 2008 when Asdrubal Cabrera turned an unassisted triple play. And it was all ignited by Johnny Damon. I’m not being sarcastic when I say that either. Acta doesn’t put the delayed steal on if Damon hadn’t been so terrible this season, and as a result, this sequence of plays never occurs. (Click to watch)

I’d normally rip Damon because he hasn’t lived up to the $1.5 million that the Indians are paying him, but I know that things could be worse...they could be paying Carl Crawford $142 million to be the teams every day left fielder despite the fact that Carl Crawford doesn’t play baseball anymore. (He has yet to play a game in 2012.)

The Guy Who Doesn’t Know His Own Handicap: Ubaldo Jimenez

You know that person whose answer to the question, “What’s your handicap?” can flucuate anywhere between 6 and 15 depending on how good they’re playing at the time? Well, that’s Ubaldo Jimenez.
I’ve accepted the fact that Jimenez is what he is. He’s a newer, shinier model of Fausto Carmona. He’ll give you a gem of a game, and then he’ll follow it up with a 5 inning, 5 walk, 5 ER performance the very next outing. Things always find a way to even out for him, and honestly, at this point I’m thankful they do because, as is the case with Johnny Damon, things could be way worse.

When you have a pitcher like Jimenez—someone who has more “stuff” going on in their windup than the average golfer does in their backswing—every start can be a gamble. Jimenez is a rarity though, he’s among the best of his kind; meaning, he’s got his mechanics under relative control. He probably deserves more credit than we are giving him, actually. Sadly, he’ll never get much of any credit from us until he returns to his 2009 (19-8) form. The problem: he’ll never again regain that form.

The fact of the matter is that Jimenez has one of the craziest, most complex throwing motions in the game. For whatever reason, he was able to perfect that motion for the first four months of the 2010 season much like Barry Zito and Fernando Venezuela were able to do for a period of time before falling off the map.

The parallel? These guys were some of the best in the game at one point and they had one of the funkier motions/windups in the game.

The good news? Jimenez is still on the map, and he’s really not that bad.

The bad news: If you were to graph his career it would a parabula that mets its peak in 2010 and has been on a steady decline in every statistical category since. None of this will stop the Phillies from signing him to an obserd contract after 2013.

Much like his funky counterparts, Jimenez’s motion really does draw physical comparisons to a golf swing, and the results are what you would expect...inconsistent. You know how it’s easier to hit your pitching wedge than it is your driver? Well, the same reasoning can be used to explain why it's easier for Josh Tomlin to throw strikes than it is for Jimenez. Rockies pitching coach Bob Apodaca was like the Butch Harmon to Jimenez. He had been the teams pitching coach since 2003 and, although it may have taken some time, he eventually worked out the kinks in Jimenez motion. Maybe the same will happen in Cleveland, maybe it won't.

It sucks if you’re an Indians fan and you have to accept all of this, but the truth is that Ubaldo is good enough, and that's not a terrible thing when you consider the alternative—which in this case would be Dontrelle Willis. You remember Willis don’t you? The guy who was arguably the best in the game from 2004-2005 but is somewhere in Florida right now putting together a video montage on youtube, hoping a team will catch wind of it. Yes, that guy. In terms of reaching back for extra velocity, he's as close as they come to Jimenez. A lot of the times that's just what happens. In terms of projecting the future for Jimenez, I don't know if this is a good sign, bad sign, alright sign, or if I should just move on to the next guy.

The Vet: Derek Lowe

Derek Lowe is your AL leader in wins (6) and second in ERA (2.15). How did this happen?

Some have theorized that it started when he finished last season going 0-5 and playing an integral role in the Braves historic, September collapse.

You probably didn’t hear anything about this Braves collapse because the Red Sox hoarded all of the attention, but there was a team in 2011 named the Atlanta Braves and they did blow a 10 and a half game lead in five weeks. Afterwards, Atlanta did what any team blowing a 10 game lead in the span of a month would do: They overreacted, and Derek Lowe became the focal point of their overreaction.

When you’re a 38 year old veteran who has a championship under his belt, there’s really only two things that can get you going. 1) Your wife divorcing you; and 2) Your team giving you the axe, and paying a substantial amount of coin to do it, too.

Willing to take on $10 of the remaining $15 million left on Derek Lowe’s contract, Atlanta jumped at the first offer they saw and dumped him to Cleveland. In return, Derek Lowe left Atlanta feeling a bit salty. I mean, he had to be, right? This was a 15 year veteran who had never been seriously injured in his career and the Braves were giving him the amnesty treatment.

Lowe hasn’t shown any form of resentment towards Atlanta, saying that he understands the move was a business decision, but it’s still a safe bet to say that the Indians wound up getting a highly motivated Derek Lowe. That's never a bad thing.

Honestly, Lowe’s early season success probably has little to nothing to do with his mental state of mind. It probably has more to do with the defense behind him. This teams infield defense was essentially constructed for Lowe. He’s inducing ground balls at a rate unlike anything we’ve seen. On Tuesday against Minnesota, Buster Olney pointed out that “Lowe threw his sinker more than 90 percent of the time (115 of 127 pitches), his highest percentage in the last four seasons. He only threw five pitches up in the strike zone (3.9 percent), the lowest percentage by a starter in baseball this season.” In doing so, he retired 22 of 27 hitters via the ground ball.

If I had to guess, I would assume the Red Sox are collectively kicking themselves in the groin for not exploring a Beckett/Lowe trade this offseason. Scratch that, I’m sure every team is kicking themselves.

The Ace Dignitary: Justin Masterson

We have a breech. Justin Masterson is officially deep enough into the season to where I wouldn’t accuse you of “being panicky” if you were to say, “Masterson is starting to scare me.” Go ahead and say it, he’s starting to scare you (1-3/5.40 ERA), isn’t he?

He’s had exactly one dominant outing this season. This of course came in the season opener when Chris Perez blew a 3-run, ninth inning lead, destroying Masterson’s psyche in the process. As of right now that’s the only explanation I have. Remember, this was the Indians unluckiest pitcher last year when it came to run support. He didn't need his first start of 2012 to go down the way it did.

In that game Masterson struck out 10 batters while allowing just two hits. He looked like Justin Masterson. Since then, he’s averaged 3.2 strikeouts, 3.6 walks, and 6.6 hits per start. In doing so he’s looked like...well, Justin Masterson?

I know you don’t want to think about it, but there was a point in time when Justin Masterson wasn’t good. When he first came over from Boston he didn’t show anything that made us feel good about the fact that this team had given away Victor Martinez for his services.

2009: 4-10, 4.52 ERA, 1.45 WHIP.

2010: 6-13, 4.70 ERA, 1.5 WHIP

2011: 12-10, 3.21 ERA, 1.28 WHIP

2012: 1-3 with 5.04 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Last season was his break-out season, but it might have been his blip season. Just throwing it out there, we’re seeing the career norm from Masterson right now. What’s comforting to know is that, according to his FIP—a good indicator of future performance—he’s likely to bust out of this fluke anytime. In fact, this past Friday he may have begun to break out of it; unlike with Jimenez, I'm actually allowed to say that.

The Ace: Jeanmar Gomez

Derek Lowe is trending right now, but Gomez might not be far off. A months ago I would have had to Google Jeanmar Gomez’s name just to double check the spelling, but we’re past that point now. In another couple of weeks he could replace Masterson and Jimenez as the guy you get genuinely excited about when you’re heading up to a game and he’s the starting pitcher. But as Chris Perez might say, that’s probably not a lot of you.

Gomez has a WHIP of 1.09, he's already thrown a no-hitter (yes, the game where he was ejected in the second inning), he's making the roster minimum salary, and he is currently in the midst of a 16 inning scoreless streak. I haven’t been this excited about a scoreless streak since Jeremy Sowers threw 21 scoreless innings in 2006. Is it sad that I’m secretly thinking Gomez can break Orel Hershiser’s record of 59 consecutive scoreless innings pitched?

The MVP: Carlos Santana

Santana gets this award mainly because the Indians are in first place, he plays the most important position on the field (catcher), and he’s drastically improved on defense from last season to this. On Friday night he threw three runners from behind the plate. That doesn’t happen last year.

Really though, I’m giving him my endorsement of MVP strictly because this guy has been hit by more balls behind the plate than any catcher in baseball. Just know that during last Monday’s game Santana’s face-mask was knocked off of his head twice in consecutive pitches...Twice! This was an unofficial MLB record by my count. It wouldn’t surprise me if, at any moment in time, Santana were playing with a eight different concussions. Should we be giving him credit for this or saying a prayer?
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The Enigma: Chris Perez

Tribe fans have been classically conditioned to crap their pants any time they see Chris Perez emerging from the bullpen. It’s the common bond between all Tribe fans. Whether you’ve watched every game or zero games, you know to take a collective deep breath anytime “Chris Perez” and “save situation” overlap each other in the same sentence. That’s how it works when you’re a closer who has demonstrated the propensity to implode at any moment; we don’t forget.

Perez has been perfect in his last 13 save opportunities, quietly becoming one of the best two or three closers in the league. But as I see it, he’ll have to continue that perfection all the way up through the all star break if he wants to patch-up his relationship with Indians’ fans. And even then that still might not be enough. This, because of his recent decision to call out the fan base via Twitter. Some didn’t take too well to it, I loved it.

I’ve decided to embrace every part of the Chris Perez era. The man is a...(damn it I hate to say it, but I just can’t help myself)...he’s a rockstar. If you saw Chris Perez in street clothes—you know, the long haired, slightly overweight hipster—would you ever think “Hey, that guy can throw a 95 mph fastball and he’s one of the best in the game?” Probably not.

The Trade Bait: Matt LaPorta

Everyone in Cleveland has been asking the same thing for a month now: Why haven’t the Indians brought up Matt LaPorta? Have they gone mad? Are they saving money by keeping him down there? Am I cutting Chris Antonetti a monthly check to keep him in Triple-A just so I can go to Columbus Clippers games and watch him dominate a bunch of scrub pitchers? What is it?

It’s a valid question when you consider that they have the option of (1) demoting Shelly Duncan and playing LaPorta in left field or (2) platooning LaPorta at first base. When you take a step back and realize how terrible Shelly Duncan has been since his early season surge (terrible, but not god awful), it’s hard to understand why the Indians haven’t given LaPorta a call. It becomes real confusing, though, when you look down at the stats and see that Casey Kotchman isn’t a good hitter from either side of the plate. Despite this, LaPorta still remains down in Columbus

So what’s the explanation for holding LaPorta back?

Through Tuesday of last week LaPorta had posted a .356 batting average through his Triple-A career, with 43 home-runs, 110 hits and 153 RBI in 530 at-bats. Those numbers are nearly identical to his Major League numbers but with one slight difference...he’s had about twice as many at-bats at the big league level.

Just know that there’s a big difference between minor league and major league pitching. The biggest problem for LaPorta has been his inability to hit off-speed pitching, particularly the curveball. He can hit a fastball with the best of them, and there’s no shortage of fastballs in Triple-A, but guys in the major leagues are major league pitchers for a reason...they have more than one pitch. The hard truth is that there are players who simply can’t figure it out at the big league level. LaPorta looks to be one of those guys.

In 2011, LaPorta wasn’t anything to brag about, but he was still far better at the plate than Casey Kotchman. from a fans point of view it only seems logical to bring up LaPorta.

However, from the Indians point of view, bringing LaPorta up could be more of a risk than it would a benefit. There is a good chance that they bring him up only to find out that....(wait)..............(wait).........yep, he’s the same Matt LaPorta. Which he probably is. This wouldn’t normally matter, but in this instance it could. Once this happens, the mystique of LaPorta’s Triple-A numbers are gone...Numbers that may be appealing to a lot of other teams right now.

Has the trade value of Matt LaPorta ever been higher? Answer: Not since he made his big league debut it hasn’t. LaPorta is in his last year under contract, if the Indians have gone this long without caving in to what would appear to be the obvious personnel move, they might as well just trade him. And maybe that’s what their line of thinking is, I have no clue. What I do know is that he could have some real value out there on the market. If I were a team without a sturdy first baseman in place I would take a flyer on Matt LaPorta. Why? Because the entire time I’m thinking to myself, “This guy used to be considered one of the best prospects in the game. Sure we’ll give you (the Indians) a couple of midlevel Class-A prospects for him.”

However, every time I consider this trade route, there are two lasting images of LaPorta that I can’t shake from my mind. The first happened last year when a slumping Indians team went into Toronto and LaPorta launched a back breaking three run home-run that Rick Manning said was one of the hardest, furthest home-runs he’s ever seen. The second happened in July, when LaPorta hit a walk off homer against Kansas City. It wasn’t a Travis Hafner or Carlos Santana bomb, just a sharply hit line drive that flew over the left field wall so fast that Tom Hamilton couldn’t even use his patented walk-off call.

Yes, that's my only case for keeping LaPorta.
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The Restoration Project: Grady Sizemore

Sizemore is expected to return within the next month. However, the words “Sizemore is expected to return by June” and “The new season of Jersey Shore is back next fall” are one in the same. If you find yourself getting overly giddy about either of the two then it’s safe to say you’ve been on auto pilot for the last three years. Secret: Apparently I’ve been on autopilot for the last three years. Last night I found myself getting “overly giddy” in regards to Sizemore making a return. Why? Because I know that if (by some miracle) Grady Sizemore were able to stay healthy for the duration of the year this team would be really, really good.

When a lot of people think of Grady Sizemore their natural inclination is to dismiss him, which is understandable. But it’s easy to forget that in the minimal times he’s played over the last three years, he has still resembled the same Grady we came to know 7 years ago. Last season—which was nearly his point of rock bottom because it finally looked as if he was fully recovered—he had 10 home-runs, 21 doubles, and 32 RBI’s in 268 at bats. For comparisons sake, Jason Kipnis is one pace to hit 11 homers, 7 doubles, and 39 RBI’s by the time he gets his 268th at bat. It’s worth noting that Kipnis is probably this teams best player and he has the most comparable skill set/plate approach to Sizemore.

Unfortunately all this talk revolves around a giant If—wait, no—a monumental If. This is the guy who, from 2008-2011, followed the exact same career path as Greg Oden. No, really, the similarities are scary; success in 2008 followed by a crippling injury. Crippling injury followed by a series of naked cell phone pictures that leaked across the internet. Naked pics leaking on the internet followed by a career depleting injury. Career depleting injury followed by another injury. Series of injuries followed a one year contract that was given as a gesture that basically said, “No one else wants you, we feel bad for your luck, we feel like we’re partly responsible for your troubles, so here’s a couple million dollars, please don’t use this money to fund a closet heroine habit because it’s probably the last amount of substantial money you’ll ever make again,” followed by another career depleting/ending injury.

Here’s what sucks about the Sizemore situation. When (and if) he returns, the Indians are going to approach his situation as if he were a family member fresh out of a drug detox program. They can’t play him too much, they’ll always find themselves having to fight off the urge to pull him in the 7th inning of games, they’ll be put in the awkward position of having to tell him to avoid hustling down the base line when possible, they’ll instruct him to avoid sliding at all costs, they’ll forbade him from stealing as well as diving for catches, and despite these efforts... they won’t be one bit surprised if he goes down.

Greg Oden, reportedly, went to New York and got the Kobe Bryant treatment. Sizemore should consider doing the same.

The Wonder Child: Jason Kipnis

Among the many reasons Tribe fans expect this team to be better than last year is because Jason Kipnis only played 36 games last season.. Jason Kipnis > Orlando Cabrera. You can’t help but to scoot to the edge of your seat every time Kipnis steps to the plate. I was almost late to one of my exams last week because the guy had a 12 pitch at bat.

In 36 games last year Kipnis hit .272 with 7 home runs, 19 RBIs, 5 steals and 24 runs in 136 at-bats. Through 40 games this year he's at .263 with 6 home runs, 24 RBIs, 6 steals and 26 runs in 181 at-bats. That’s nearly the exact same production. That’s consistent enough to where we can officially say that he’s is no fluke; he’s the real deal. And right now he’s in the midst of one of his bigger career slumps but is still on pace to hit 26 home runs, drive in 1oo RBIs, steal 25 bases and score 106 runs.

What’s amazing is that Kipnis—who is a recently converted outfielder—has been the teams best defensemen this season at second base. Along with his bat, his slicked back hair and his hustle on the base path, his defense puts him over the top, making him an official fan favorite.

Tha Kid: Asdrubal Cabrera

There’s a divide between the sabermetric baseball community and the purists’. Prior to this season, any saber geek would have told you Cabrera was due for a mighty regression. So far we haven’t seen it; winners: everyone.

Hands down, Cabrera is the best hitter on this team. This season he has been at his best when he’s down in the count 0-1 and 1-2. Through the first 38 games he was hitting .325/.420/.520, and his .940 OPS ranked eighth among AL hitters. More importantly, Cabrera’s career K:BB ratio has been 2:1. This season he has 10 strikeouts to 18 walks. At the plate, Cabrera leads the Indians with a WAR (Wins Above Replacement) of 10.6 which is third best in all of baseball among short stops.

The Prize: Jack Hanahan

So far this season Jack Hanahan has accomplished something pretty remarkable. He’s been so stellar on offense—which wasn’t something that was supposed to happen—that he dissolved all talk of Lonnie Chisenhall. This is a bigger feat than you think because entering this season Chisenhall was the closest thing there was to a young quarterback waiting in the wings on the Browns sideline. You know what happens next in that scenario, don't you?

It was a foregone conclusion that at some point before May 20 we would start calling for the promotion of Chisenhall. But it hasn’t happened yet, not even with Hanahan missing the last few games to injury. (Thank you Jose Lopez) That’s how things go when a team is playing well. Rather, that’s how things go when the guy playing ahead of a future stud is 9-18 with 14 RBI’s when he's hitting with two outs and runners in scoring position. Hanahan has an OPS of 1.609 in those situations too, which is unconscionable.
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The Marlboro Man: Josh Tomlin

I don’t know if Marlboro makes chewing tobacco, but screw it, I’m officially copyrighting this nickname. If smokeless tobacco companies could pay baseball players substantial sums to endorse their product, Josh Tomlin would be at the top of their list. Tomlin embodies the stereotypical Marlboro man...and then some.

Good looking...(check)

Long hair...(check)

Unkept facial hair...(check) Go go google and type in Josh Tomlin and the first suggestion that comes up is Josh Tomlin's mustache.

Overlooked by every Major League team when he was drafted...(check)

Undersized for a pitcher by major league standards...(check)

A fast ball that tops out at 87 mph...(eh)

An arsenal of different pitches that he uses to make up for his slow velocity...(check)

Excellent location...(check)

Lucky as hell (has one of the highest FIP's)...(check)

Cowboy-like persona...(check)

Dips so large and so noticeable that you can’t help but to stare...(check)

Yep, he’s the man for the job.

Editors note: This segment was brought to you by the tobacco prevention awareness org.
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The Man: Lou Marson

Of my many discoveries this year, I’ve come to realize that I envy Lou Marson.

1.He’s the lowest paid member of the Cleveland Indians, making $667,000 a year—not enough to end up bankrupt like 80 percent of professional athletes after they retire, but more than enough to live a solid, low key lifestyle.

2.He’s only played 11 games—not enough to become a scapegoat, let alone to have any expectations placed on him.

3.Defensively, he’s one of the best in the game at his position, which is the only reason he finds himself within a farm team of a MLB roster.

4.He’s probably the coolest guy on the team who gets along with everyone. You can just sense it.

5.He’s surprisingly good looking; probably the most underrated athlete in all of Cleveland sports in that regard. If he were really good you’d see a slew of signs at the stadium that read, “I’m Legal in 6 Years, Marry Me Lou Marson.”

6.Lastly, his lack of playing time and exposure has allowed him to tell any woman he meets that he’s a professional baseball player when they ask, “So what do you do?” as they fully expect the response to be, “I work for (enter Cleveland accounting/law firm of your choice).”

What more could you ask for?

The 200 3 million dollar man: Casey Kotchman

Say what you want about Casey Kotchman, but things could be worse...he could be Albert Pujols.

And to that, we owe our thanks to the Cleveland Indians for giving us a reason to watch baseball again. I'll see you at the 81 game mark.

Re: Articles

Posted: Wed May 23, 2012 12:48 pm
by seagull
Nice read.

Re: Articles

Posted: Fri May 25, 2012 1:18 am
by Hillbilly
Not the same Indians

Cleveland is replicating last year's early success, but this time it's real

May 24, 2012, 3:05 PM ET

By Ben Lindbergh | Baseball Prospectus

"I felt last year at this point we had played our best baseball. You couldn't play any better than the way we played the first 45 games. Unfortunately, we had some guys go down. But I still don't think we have played our best baseball [this year]." -- Indians manager Manny Acta

For the first two months of last season, the Cleveland Indians looked like a fairy-tale team. On May 22, fresh off their 28th win in 43 games, they sat atop the AL Central with a winning percentage 50 points higher than any other team's and a lead over the second-place Detroit Tigers that had stretched to seven games. The Indians were among the best in baseball at almost everything: Their hitters' .276 true average (TAv) was the highest in the American League, their defense had converted 72.9 percent of balls in play into outs (the AL's third-highest rate), and their pitching staff's 4.30 fair run average (FRA) ranked a respectable fifth.

Their third-order winning percentage, an estimate of how successful they should have been based on their underlying statistics and the quality of their opponents, was an AL-high .613. Quite simply, the Indians were playing like the league's best team.

Baseball Prospectus wasn't buying it. We projected the 28-15 Indians to regress to a sub-.460 mark during the rest of the season. Our seemingly pessimistic projection turned out to be too generous: Cleveland actually won at a .437 clip from May 22 on, going 52-67 to finish at 80-82. By the end of the season, the Indians had completed a transition from all systems go to full system failure: their TAv fell to .261 (ninth), their defensive efficiency declined to 70.7 percent (ninth), and their FRA inflated to .463 (sixth). The fairy tale had an unhappy ending.

Fast forward to 2012: Through 44 games, the Indians are again exceeding expectations. At 26-18, this year's edition is three games behind the pace set by last year's club, and its 4-game lead in the AL Central is only half as large as the 2011 team's was at the same point last season. Given that most pundits pegged the Tigers to run away with the division, though, the Indians' presence in first place is surprising no matter the margin. Last year's Indians turned out to be a tease, but there is good reason to believe that this team can make it to the playoffs this year.

If this year's club follows the same trajectory as 2011's, it won't have as far to fall. The Indians have played well, but they can't be confused for the AL's top team: They've allowed the same number of runs as they've scored, and they rate no better than fifth in the AL in TAv, DE and FRA. The Indians are the only AL Central team better than .500, but every team in the AL East boasts a better run differential.

However, the Indians' lackluster run differential is somewhat deceptive. They've outhit their opponents and put more runners on than all but two other AL teams, but they've scored only the 11th-most runs per time on base. Their problem hasn't been how much they're hitting but when they're hitting, and that's not a problem that's likely to persist.

Consequently, if anything proves to be the Indians' undoing, it probably won't be their offense. Despite the sustained excellence of 2011 breakout bat Asdrubal Cabrera, Cleveland's hitters lack power, but they do put the ball in play, striking out less often than any team but the Kansas City Royals. Working long counts is the lineup's strong suit: Led by Carlos Santana, Travis Hafner and Shelley Duncan -- who hasn't done much besides walk -- the Indians have drawn more free passes than any other team. If they could sustain their 11.2 percent walk rate during a full season, it would be the highest recorded by any club since Seattle walked in 12 percent of its plate appearances in 2000.

That was so long ago the Mariners were actually good at getting on base. Given how little offense the Indians have gotten from their left and center fielders, the impending return of Grady Sizemore could give them a boost even if he doesn't regain any semblance of the production he supplied in his prime.

Cleveland's potentially fatal weak point is pitching. The team's offense has the best strikeout-to-walk ratio in baseball, but its pitching staff -- thanks largely to the extreme struggles of Ubaldo Jimenez -- has the worst. Indians pitchers simply don't miss bats: They've struck out only 16.1 percent of the batters they've faced, ahead of only the Oakland Athletics and Minnesota Twins.

No playoff team since the post-strike playoff format was instituted in 1995 has qualified for the postseason with a staff that strikes out so few batters relative to the league average. The average playoff team's staff has had a "strikeout percentage plus" (K%+) of 106, compared to a league average of 100. The 2005 Braves staff had the lowest K%+ of any 1995-2011 playoff team, at 89. The Indians are at only 84, which doesn't bode well for their future run prevention.

Cleveland's pitchers compensate for their inability to miss bats by keeping the ball on the ground more often than any other team but Toronto, getting grounders on 49 percent of their balls in play. Grounders are good, and they're even better when the defense behind a worm-burning staff is adept at turning them into outs. Last season, Indians opponents hit .237 on ground balls against them, the eighth-highest rate in the AL. This season, Indians opponents have hit just .197 on grounders, the second-lowest rate in the AL.

The Indians also have turned double plays at the third-highest rate in the AL, erasing some of the runners their arms have put on via the base on balls. There is some evidence that pitchers who allow more ground balls also tend to allow fewer ground-ball hits by inducing weaker contact, but clearly the Indians' infield of Casey Kotchman, Jason Kipnis, Cabrera and Jack Hannahan has done an excellent job of supporting the likes of contact-prone Derek Lowe and Justin Masterson.

On Wednesday, manager Manny Acta said, "I still don't think we have played our best baseball." PECOTA disagrees, but it doesn't foresee another collapse in the Indians' future, forecasting a .522 winning percentage for Cleveland the rest of the way.

Despite their lackluster play, the Tigers -- whom the Indians came from behind to beat on Wednesday night -- remain the real threat. Even if the Indians' 9-2 record in one-run games regresses and Detroit outplays them from now on, as PECOTA expects, Cleveland's current five-game cushion gives it a good chance of outlasting the Tigers' attack. Our playoff odds put the Indians' chances of holding on to claim the Central at just a tick better than 50 percent. At the same point last season, we gave them only a 40 percent chance, sensing an inferior team hidden behind a superior record. Thanks to the additional wild-card team in 2012, the Indians' odds of qualifying for the playoffs without winning the division are nearly three times higher than they were at the 43-game mark last season, bringing their overall odds of postseason play to approximately 60 percent.

Through their first 43 games, the 2012 Indians haven't been quite as good as Cleveland's ill-fated 2011 team. But from Game 44 on, they'll be better. And they might just be better enough.

Ben Lindbergh is the managing editor of Baseball Prospectus. He has contributed to three BP annuals, and he served as assistant editor of Baseball Prospectus 2011 and the two-volume Best of Baseball Prospectus collection. He daylights as a baseball analyst for Bloomberg Sports, has interned for multiple MLB teams and recently became a member of the Baseball Writers' Association of America.

Colin Wyers provided research assistance for this article.

Re: Articles

Posted: Fri May 25, 2012 1:53 pm
by J.R.
Interesting article, HB. We have to hope that the Tigers don't put it all together like they did last year, or that the CWS don't overtake us. I'm not worried about MN or KC. I think the Tigers miss Victor Martinez.

Re: Articles

Posted: Fri May 25, 2012 4:12 pm
by Hillbilly
I'm not worried about the ChiSox this year. They'll be sellers soon. We probably won't have to worry about them for a while.

Re: Articles

Posted: Sat May 26, 2012 12:03 am
by Tribe Fan in SC/Cali
Good stuff here.

I think I might have burned out my scroll button on this this laptop.

I read, but there was a bunch of stuff to read since my last visit.

Re: Articles

Posted: Sat May 26, 2012 4:30 pm
by J.R.
Hillbilly wrote:I'm not worried about the ChiSox this year. They'll be sellers soon. We probably won't have to worry about them for a while.
If the Sox sweep the Indians, they will only be a half game back. Why would they sell?

Re: Articles

Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 10:56 am
by Hillbilly
J.R.:

I apparently jinxed us so I better be careful about what I say. But the trade deadline is still a ways off and I didn't think that Chicago would hold up. I don't like their pitching staff this year. But just my opinion and I may be wrong.

Re: Articles

Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 11:02 am
by J.R.
I hope you are right, HB, but the recent spate of injuries, coupled with the last couple losses, has me worried.

Re: Articles

Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 3:10 pm
by Hillbilly
Yeah, Hafner and Santana wasn't hurt when I made that comment either. But I'd stiull look for the Tigers to finish ahead of ChiSox.