https://www.camdenchat.com/2019/7/18/20 ... mer-bannon
Looking back on the Orioles Manny Machado trade return one year later ...
Conclusion
As much as Machado had meant to Orioles fans since the 2012 season, the fact was that his acquisition was going to be for a rental of about two-and-a-half months, plus any playoffs. The market that let the Yankees get Gleyber Torres for Aroldis Chapman in July 2016 didn’t really exist any more. Teams were holding top prospects closer.
Was there a better deal sitting out there for Duquette if he had either evaluated teams’ offered prospects better, or if he had been a more shrewd negotiator in recognizing who was really desperate to get Machado onto their team? We’re never going to know for sure. There were better-rated Dodgers prospects out there than Diaz, and by apparently prioritizing players whose 2018 stats exceeded their consensus prospect pedigree, other opportunities may have been missed.
Until some of these players start bearing fruit at the MLB level, it’s going to be hard not to wonder what else could have happened.
There’s little doubt in retrospect that Machado ought to have been traded in July 2017 instead, when his value to other teams was greater due to his having more time before becoming a free agent.
There’s no point lamenting the decisions that led the O’s to where they are right now. Duquette has lost his job. It’s just too bad there’s such a mess for Elias to clean up. If the O’s are able to get some solid contributions from these players in the Machado deal, Elias will have that much less work to do to build the next good Orioles team. Fans are still waiting for one or more of the Machado prospects to take that big step forward.