Re: Minor Matters

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MLB 2025 farm system rankings:
Keith Law ranks all 30 teams, Mariners are new No. 1


Keith Law

Jan 30, 2025

510


As part of my top-100 MLB prospect rankings, I’ve also ranked all 30 major-league teams’ farm systems here, with a brief explanation of why they’re in this order — although I think you’ll get an even clearer picture on any individual team by reading the team reports that will begin to roll out on Monday, Feb. 3. Bear in mind that these rankings only consider players currently in the system and eligible for the rankings, meaning they have not yet lost rookie status.

GO DEEPER

Top 100 MLB prospects 2025: Keith Law’s rankings, with Roman Anthony at No. 1

I consider all prospects in a system for the rankings, not just those on the top 100; there’s still value in prospects who don’t project to be stars, or even regulars, whether it’s for your own club or for trades. The increased number of teams scouting the complex leagues to look for players to acquire in trades only further justifies this philosophy for ranking systems — teams are telling us these prospects have value. I do not consider NPB/KBO veterans to be prospects, and I don’t count the mostly 16-year-old international free agents who just signed on Jan. 15 because there’s really no recent scouting information on them.

GO DEEPER

MLB prospects who just missed Keith Law’s top 100 ranking: Caissie, Saggese and more

I’m trying something a little new this year — breaking the rankings up into tiers, because that’s usually how I start the ranking exercise anyway. They have no specific meaning other than that I grouped all 30 teams into these tiers first, and then ranked them within those tiers afterwards. Let me know in the comments if you find this useful or … uh, not useful.


Tier 1
1
Seattle Mariners

The Mariners placed six prospects on the top 100, one on the just missed column, and the next two guys after the just missed group (as in, if I’d had time to keep adding guys to that piece rather than moving on to write this and the top 20s) were actually both Mariners, as well. They’ve drafted extremely well in the last seven years, at least, and their last three international free agent classes all look very good out of the chute. They had a rare opportunity with three picks in the top 30 in 2023 and went all-in, taking three high-upside high school hitters, one of whom is in the top 10 already (Colt Emerson) and another might be a star if he comes back all the way from a torn ACL (Jonny Farmelo). It was a huge year for teenagers in Seattle’s system taking steps forward; most of these guys were in their system a year ago, when I ranked them 20th, but other than Farmelo’s injury, the Mariners had almost everything go right for them in 2024, including real improvements in performance and skills from all of their top-100 prospects. This ranking comes after they traded two guys who would have been in their top 15 in the Randy Arozarena trade, making it even more impressive that they can still rank up here. The Mariners were ranked 28th going into 2017, then dead last going into 2018, which feels like a lifetime ago for so many reasons; they were second going into 2022, but I believe this is the first time I’ve ever had them on top.

Tier 1
2
Boston Red Sox

Boston’s system had a chance to be first before the Garrett Crochet trade, which sent two players on my top 100 to the White Sox (for good reason, though). They’ve got two guys in the top 10, but that’s just the tip of the iceberg — the system is still loaded with position players who at least have everyday ceilings, including a steady stream of potential stars coming out of their international program. It just makes it all the more puzzling that the new baseball operations heads decided to pull a midnight massacre on their scouting group, notably the pro side, just as the system has recovered from a low point in the wake of the 2018 World Series win. Farm systems don’t get and stay good by accident, or magic. It takes people.

Tier 1
3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Even without counting Roki Sasaki as a prospect, the Dodgers still have one of the best and deepest systems in the sport. They have stayed that way since Andrew Friedman first took over as president of baseball operations, because he has maintained sizable scouting staffs on the amateur, pro, and international sides; built up their R&D department; and brought the people-management style he used in Tampa to the bigger budgets (OK, much bigger budgets) of Los Angeles. Teams that try to do this on the cheap haven’t been able to sustain success like the Dodgers have. The Dodgers’ system right now still has a bunch of high-upside position players and arms, with an emphasis on athletes, complemented by some higher-floor finds from the college ranks in the draft, usually coming beyond the first round.

Tier 2
4
Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have quietly built a powerhouse organization in the desert under Mike Hazen, even if they do it in the shadow of the 2024 World Series champions. They’ve developed a strong pipeline of young hitters, most of whom at least started out up the middle, with a few potential stars at the top and a lot of depth in hitters who project to at least have backup or bench roles. They are lighter on the pitching side, having leaned toward bats in the draft the last four years; they’ve had 13 picks in the top two rounds from 2021-24 and only used two on pitchers.

Tier 2
5
Cleveland Guardians


The Guardians have a reputation as premium developers of pitching, which they’ve earned after the successes of guys like Shane Bieber and Tanner Bibee and Bobby Bee Bee, but right now their system is stacked with the bats they’re going to need to stay contenders in an improving AL Central. Nine of their top 10 prospects right now are hitters, six of whom made the top 100, while their remaining pitching prospects are more back-end starters who don’t have much velocity … well, not yet.

Tier 2
6
Chicago Cubs

Tier 2
7
Detroit Tigers


This has to be the best Tigers system I’ve ever written up, probably the best since their minors had guys like Justin Verlander, Curtis Granderson, Cameron Maybin and company 20 years ago. They’re drafting better and developing better, they’ve made some very shrewd trades (the Jack Flaherty one really stands out as a winner), and they seem to have targeted some more polished hitters on the international market to get guys who better fit their player development regime. It’s a huge turnaround over where they were when the pandemic hit.

Tier 2
8
Cincinnati Reds

Tier 3
9
Tampa Bay Rays

Tier 3
10
Milwaukee Brewers

Tier 3
11
Philadelphia Phillies

Tier 3
12
Chicago White Sox


Chicago’s system has improved dramatically in the last 18 months, thanks to a couple of big trades and some draft successes, although the list drops off significantly after the top six and they still don’t have the depth that every team needs to fill out the back of a roster. They have three former top-100 prospects who all need to do something to get back on track this year, plus 2023 first-rounder Jacob Gonzalez, who hasn’t looked anywhere near as good in pro ball as he did in college. This is actually one spot lower than they were last year, the result of so many guys going backward in the system in 2024, but way up from where they were in 2023 (28) and 2022 (30, also known as Da Worst).

Tier 3
13
Texas Rangers

Tier 3
14
St. Louis Cardinals

Tier 3
15
New York Mets

Tier 4
16
Pittsburgh Pirates

Tier 4
17
Washington Nationals

Tier 5
18
Miami Marlins

Tier 5
19
Minnesota Twins


The Twins have the most lowercase-m midwestern system there is. They have two prospects who look like they’ll be superstars in Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez, and a pitcher who might join them in Charlee Soto. They have a lot of nice prospects behind them, guys who’ll play in the majors, have value, but probably won’t be difference-makers. They draft well, they develop well. They don’t seem to do anything poorly. And they’re just kind of in the middle. It’s a really nice system. They all say “hi” to you on the street. I want to be a little more excited about it.

Tier 5
20
Baltimore Orioles

Tier 5
21
New York Yankees

Tier 6
22
Kansas City Royals


This seems like a big year for the Royals’ system, with a lot of guys who are entering make-or-break years (so to speak … it’s never really too late for a prospect until he’s released) or who might be entering breakout years, although right now the arrow is pointing down slightly. New scouting director Brian Bridges’ first draft was very promising, with Jac Caglianone maybe the best power-hitting prospect the Royals have had in … uh … a very long time. (Seriously. Bob Hamelin? I have to be forgetting someone.) They have a lot of arms you’d like to get who just haven’t put it all together yet, although last year’s second rounder David Shields is probably the most polished high school arm they’ve drafted in a decade. I think that arrow will swing around to point up by this time next year.

Tier 6
23
Colorado Rockies

Tier 6
24
Toronto Blue Jays

Tier 6
25
San Diego Padres

Tier 6
26
San Francisco Giants

Tier 7
27
Athletics

Tier 7
28
Atlanta

Tier 7
29
Houston Astros

Tier 7
30
Los Angeles Angels

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https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/609458 ... ings-2025/

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller


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Re: Minor Matters

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Guardians sign ex-Phillies lefty to minor-league deal

Updated: Feb. 03, 2025, 5:05 p.m.|Published: Feb. 03, 2025, 3:54 p.m.

By Joe Noga, cleveland.com
CLEVELAND, Ohio — Lefty Kolby Allard has agreed to a minor league contract with the Guardians and will be invited to major league spring training when camp opens next week.

Allard, 27, made four starts for Philadelphia last year and went 2-0 with a 5.00 ERA in 27 innings with 23 strikeouts. Allard faced the Guardians on July 28 at Citizen’s Bank Park in his season debut with Cleveland grabbing a 4-3 win thanks to home runs by Jhonkensy Noel and Steven Kwan.

Allard appeared in 23 games (17 starts) between Triple-A Lehigh Valley and Double-A Reading last season, posting a 3–9 record and 5.66 ERA with 84 strikeouts across 90 2/3 innings.

A 1st round pick (14th overall) of Atlanta in the 2015 draft out of San Clemente (CA) High, Allard was traded to Texas in July 2019 and appeared in parts of four seasons with the Rangers.

Allard joins righty Luis Frias who signed a minor league deal in January and lefty Parker Mushinski who signed in November as non-roster invitees in Goodyear.

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller


Democracy Dies In Darkness - WAPO

Re: Minor Matters

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Allard has only one positive fact in his resume: he was a first draft choice. Since then he has been really consistently bad.

At age 27 he was back in AA part of the season last summer and these numbers are rather representative of his career:
Allard appeared in 23 games (17 starts) between Triple-A Lehigh Valley and Double-A Reading last season, posting a 3–9 record and 5.66 ERA with 84 strikeouts across 90 2/3 innings.
"Once upon a time, left-hander Kolby Allard was considered a top prospect. In 2017, he was the Atlanta Braves’ fourth-best prospect, per MLB Pipeline.
However, after seven major league seasons, it’s safe to say his career has been a disappointment so far. Allard has a 5.99 ERA in 272 innings, which is not ideal."

He specializes in home runs; 55 allowed in those 272 innings. 29 in 125 innings in 2021. 9 in 22 innings in '22. 5 in 27 last year when he had a 5.00 ERA for the Phillies