Guardians, Royals meet for first time this season: Who’s better?
Updated: Jun. 03, 2024, 9:40 p.m.|Published: Jun. 03, 2024, 5:38 p.m.
By Paul Hoynes, cleveland.com
CLEVELAND, Ohio -- Finally.
The Guardians have already played 59 games. The Royals have played 61. It’s well past the time for the top two teams in the American League Central to meet.
It happens Tuesday night at Progressive Field in the start of a three-game series. The Guardians hold a four-game lead over the Royals, who have been snapping at Cleveland’s heels for the first two months of the season.
How close has this race been?
While the Guardians were winning nine straight games from May 17 through May 26, the Royals were winning eight straight, never more than 2 1/2 games off the pace.
The Royals stubbed their toe recently, losing three out of four to the Twins and two out of three to the Padres over the weekend. But the Guards have cooled as well, going 3-3 over their last six games against the Rockies and Nationals.
The real season, however, has yet to reveal itself no matter how the next three games go. The Guardians and Royals will still have 10 games against each other, including four at the end June at Kauffman Stadium.
The Guardians have gone 19-13 against the Royals over the last two series. The Royals, however, delivered a calling card last September by sweeping the last series between the teams in September at Kauffman Stadium. Cleveland still won the season series, 7-6, but the Royals’ young position players made an impression despite their 106-loss season.
Over the winter the Guardians stood mostly pat, while hiring Stephen Vogt to replace outgoing manager Terry Francona. The Royals, meanwhile, went to work to improve their ballclub.
They signed pitchers Will Smith, Chris Stratton, Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha. They added position players Hunter Renfroe and Adam Frazier. During last season, they acquired left-hander Cole Ragans and outfielder Nelson Velazquez.
Not only did the Royals spent over $100 million on free agents, they also signed shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., one of the top players in the game, to a 14-year extension worth $377 million.
So who has the edge between the Guardians (39-20) and Royals (36-25)?
Check out these five categories to see if you can decide:
1. Offense
The Guardians are hitting just .238 as a team, but they rank second in the AL with 298 runs. They rank fourth with 98 doubles, seventh with 64 homers and have a +78 run differential.
The Royals rank third in the AL with a .252 batting average and third with 297 runs. They lead the AL with 108 doubles and 14 triples. They rank 11th with 61 homers and have a +74 run differential.
2. In the clutch
The Guardians rank second in the AL with a .299 (139 for 465) batting average with runners in scoring position.
The Royals rank first in the AL with a .309 (155 for 502) batting average with runners in scoring position.
3. Starting rotation
The Guardians’ rotation, based on ERA, ranks ninth in the AL at 21-15 with a 4.24 ERA.
The Royals’ rotation, based on ERA, ranks second in the AL at 25-16 with a 3.10 ERA.
4. Bullpen
The Guardians’ bullpen, based on ERA, ranked first in the AL at 18-5 with a 2.42 ERA. It ranked second in saves with 21 in 30 chances.
The Royals’ bullpen, based on ERA, ranked 12th in the AL at 11-9 with a 4.44 ERA. It ranked sixth in saves with 17 in 26 chances.
5. Streaks and miscellaneous
The Guardians have won seven of their last 10 games. They are 14-7 against teams with winning records and are 20-7 at home.
The Royals are 12-8 in their last 20 games. They are 14-15 on the road and 8-14 against teams with winning records.
Here are three players from each team who could make a different in the series.
Guardians
Jose Ramirez: He found his MVP form in May when he hit .295 (31 for 105) with 11 homers and 33 RBI. The engine that makes the Guards go hit .326 (15 for 46) with four homers and 11 RBI against the Royals last year. In his career, he has 28 homers and 92 RBI against KC.
David Fry: He does a little bit of everything for the Guards. He’s hitting .424 (28 for 66) in his last 12 games. For the season, he’s hitting .417 (20 for 48) against lefties.
Bo Naylor: Last season Naylor hit .458 (11 for 24) with four homers and 10 RBI against the Royals. This season he has yet to get untracked at the plate, hitting .173 (23 for 133).
Royals
Bobby Witt Jr.: He’s hitting .313 (76 for 243) with 16 doubles, six triples, nine homers, 42 RBI and 17 steals in 24 chances. The Guards held him in check last season (.245, one homer, three RBI).
Salvador Perez: The ageless Perez is hitting .315 (68 for 216) with 10 homers, 41 RBI and a .900 OPS. He’s hit 19 homers with 70 RBI in 142 games against Cleveland.
Seth Lugo: He’ll open the series on Tuesday night against the Guards. He’s 9-1 with a 1.72 ERA in 12 starts this year. He’s never faced the Guardians in his career.
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