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by rusty2
MLB’s 2023 schedule changes: Everything you need to know and what it means for your team
Jayson Stark
Feb 3, 2023
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So … did you see the new 2023 schedule that Major League Baseball unveiled this week? Well, if you did, perhaps you’re wondering …
Why would the Giants be spending Opening Day in New York … for the first time since 1956 … and for the first time in Yankee Stadium since … well, ever?
And can it really be true the Cardinals will play the Cubs in London … before they play the Cubs in St. Louis?
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And is there some sort of logical reason the Phillies will play 15 games against the Rangers, Yankees, White Sox, Mariners and Astros in March and April … but zero games against the Mets, Braves and Nationals?
These are all excellent, perceptive questions you should be asking. But they’re not the only excellent, perceptive questions you should be asking — because you know what happened while you were trying to figure out what snacks to serve at your Super Bowl party?
MLB blew up the schedule as we used to know it — and replaced it with something very different, and very disorienting, but also very entertaining. So what the heck is happening here? This is that story where we answer that question — and many more.
What’s going on with this schedule? We have answers … to every one of your questions … and lots more you didn’t know you needed to ask.
How has the new MLB schedule changed?
You might have missed it last March, when MLB teased this epic schedule remake as it was ticking off all the stuff settled in the labor deal. But buried inside those new luxury tax thresholds was this major scheduling earthquake:
Old-fashioned unbalanced schedule? See ya!
Every team playing all 29 other teams every year? Hello!
It’s true. That’s happening. Now here’s a quick rundown of how the world has changed:
GAMES VS. OWN DIVISION (52): In the olden days, by which we mean last year, every team played 76 games against its own division. That computes to 19 games — and six series — versus every division opponent. Not anymore. That number has been chopped to 13 games against each division opponent, spread out over four series (two at home, two on the road). Repeat after us: Less is more.
GAMES VS. OTHER 10 LEAGUE OPPONENTS (64): Each club will now play every other team in its league in one series at home and one on the road, for a total of either six or seven games per opponent. Not much has changed there. Those 64 total games are only two fewer than the old total, of 66.
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INTERLEAGUE GAMES (46): This is where it gets wild. Oh, not the part where every team faces its designated interleague “rival” four times — two games at home, two on the road. Been there, seen that. But …
Where do those other 42 interleague games come from? They come from what we’re declaring is the most dramatic scheduling change in the history of this sport. You know those remaining 14 teams in the other league? Your team will now be matched up against every darned one of them, three games apiece, every year, for the first time in the modern era.
So if Julio Rodríguez doesn’t play in your town this season, he’ll stop by next season. It’s a beautiful thing. There used to be 19 or 20 interleague games a year. Now MLB will more than double that. And in this case, more actually is more.
When interleague play began a quarter-century ago, it was a tease and an oddity. But in 2023, it’s no longer any of that. It’s everywhere. It’s every night. It’s every team. And if you miss those days when there was a sense of mystery and distinction between the two leagues … well, sorry. Baseball clearly isn’t in the nostalgia business anymore.
What were they thinking?
Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani — coming soon to a baseball city near you. (Nick Turchiaro / USA Today)
It isn’t 1968 anymore. It isn’t 1998 anymore. The planet has spun in ways nobody would have seen coming in the early days of interleague play. Baseball is simply spinning with it.
For a long time now, the NBA has leaned into its stars to drive its sport and industry. It has used the schedule masterfully and creatively to do that. Now MLB is taking its own steps down that path, in a way that the realities of the modern sports landscape and the modern sports fan are pretty much demanding it take.
I can sum up those steps in two words: Shohei Ohtani.
Now here come 10 more: He’s about to play against that team you root for!
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And finally, there are these two words: Every year.
Look, here’s the truth: Baseball is a regional sport. It can try to convince you: Hey, Ohtani is a superhero. Stay up late and watch him some night. But you know what’s way more powerful? You don’t have to open that MLB app to find him. He’s playing next week in your city.
You can fill in the name of any monster star-power dude you want there. … Mike Trout … Aaron Judge … Mookie Betts … Max Scherzer. Whoever that star is, he is going to face that team you care about. Every year.
That’s the driving force behind shifting to a schedule format like this one. Promote the game. Promote the stars. And we’ll deliver them to your doorstep, just like Uber Eats. Under this format, every team will play games in 22 ballparks every season. It was 18 under the old format. That’s a critical part of this scheduling logic.
“The whole genesis of this idea,” says MLB’s chief operations and strategy officer, Chris Marinak, “was, we play 162 games. We don’t play 16 or 17 games. We have great players, and we have players who are making national storylines. So to get them in front of as many fans as possible only helps players tell their story.”
OK, that’s the concept. That’s the grand design. But when this schedule begins to roll out, day by day, week by week, series by series, road trip by road trip, it is not going to look like anything you once thought of as “normal.” So now let’s rip through those details.
Why will the Cardinals fly 10,000 more miles than the Brewers?
Paul Goldschmidt’s Cardinals have the second-biggest increase in air miles. (Jay Biggerstaff / USA Today)
Air miles. That wasn’t a category that used to appear in your top 1,000 things to think about heading into a season. But it’s something to think about this year because teams are about to travel about 50,000 more total miles in the air than last season.
Of course, when you divide that up among 30 teams, it’s not as huge a number as it first appears for the average team. And air miles in general can be a misleading way to analyze travel. But for some specific teams, there are significant changes coming. Here’s that never-before-revealed leaderboard, which I compiled from data available at Baseball Savant.
Biggest increase in air miles, 2022-2023
Giants
35,027
46,111
+11,084
Cardinals
26,772
35,524
+8,752
A’s
42,918
51,527
+8,609
Rockies
29,708
37,920
+8,212
Red Sox
31,572
38,029
+6,457
Orioles
27,734
33,483
+5,749
Padres
38,460
44,208
+5,748
Rays
34,320
39,478
+5,158
Dodgers
36,694
41,698
+5,004
Biggest decrease in air miles, 2022-2023
Tigers
34,184
26,606
-7,578
Rangers
38,945
34,373
-4,572
Brewers
28,557
25,426
-3,131
Mets
34,686
31,659
-3,027
Twins
31,759
29,077
-2,682
(Source: Baseball Savant)
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So what’s up with that? Impossible to generalize, say people familiar with the schedule-making process, because there are multiple reasons for it:
• Some of it is fluky, a product of year-to-year variations, especially in the old schedule, which rotated on a three-year interleague cycle.
• Some of it has to do with one-of-a-kind trips, like the Cardinals’ foray to London this June.
• Some of the 2022 totals are a product of the frenetic travel a bunch of teams had to do just to play 162 games after the lockout. (The Tigers, for instance, made two special trips to Oakland that weren’t on the original schedule.)
• Also, there is this rule of thumb: Teams on the West Coast fly a lot!
But whatever the reason, the ripple effects on some of these 2023 division races are something to keep an eye on.
• The Cardinals will fly about 10,000 more miles than the Brewers.
• The Mariners will fly about 10,000 more miles than the Astros.
• The Rays will fly about 8,000 more miles than the Blue Jays and 5,000 more than the Yankees.
• The Phillies will fly about 3,000 more miles than the Mets.
Some of that will theoretically even out in future years, with future schedules. Some is a product of various teams’ travel requests, which we’ll get into shortly. And some of it (Mariners/Astros, for instance) won’t ever even out, based solely on geography. In other words, Seattle isn’t moving closer to Houston, no matter what schedule MLB trots out!
Why will the Phillies make twice as many visits to the Pacific Time Zone as the Mets?
Rhys Hoskins’ Phillies head to the West Coast four times. The Mets do so only twice. (Vincent Carchietta / USA Today)
I thought it would be fun and revealing to chart how many trips eastern teams make to the West Coast — and vice-versa. It took way too long, but it was definitely eye-opening, because …
The Mets will take only two trips to the Pacific Time Zone all season — an April spin through Oakland, Los Angeles and San Francisco, then a July journey to Arizona and San Diego. That’s the fewest trips west of any team in the NL East or AL East. But …
The Phillies and Nationals will each pass through the Pacific Time Zone on four trips, the most of any teams in the NL East or AL East.
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The A’s and Diamondbacks will make six trips that take them through the Eastern Time Zone — the most of any western-division teams.
The Padres, meanwhile, will make only four trips to the Eastern Time Zone. That’s the fewest of any West Coast team.
So how did something like that happen? It’s not just random scheduling, it turns out.
Before it made up this schedule, MLB asked all 30 teams for special requests and travel preferences. At least in part, the schedule reflects those requests.
So teams such as the Mariners and Giants, who do a lot of flying no matter what the schedule looks like, tell MLB their preference is to take more three-city trips when they’re traveling across the country. So if they’re traveling east, they might as well see as much of the east as possible. The upside of that is fewer total road trips and less multi-time-zone travel.
But other teams, like the Phillies, would rather do shorter trips — two cities, then back home — wherever possible. So that gives them more regular homestands and more flexible home scheduling. But in this case, it also means they find themselves making trips like Milwaukee/San Diego or Houston/Los Angeles.
Got it? That doesn’t explain all of this. But you should know there’s an actual method to this travel madness.
Did somebody forget the Yankees are in the AL East?
The Yankees and Red Sox will have to wait a couple of months before facing each other. (Paul Rutherford / USA Today)
Of all the surprises in this schedule, April feels like the biggest. Here’s why:
The Yankees will play as many games in April against the Twins (six) as the AL East. And the Giants, Phillies and Padres will all visit Yankee Stadium before the Red Sox first stop by on June 9.
The Phillies will play more series against the American League in April (five) than they’ll play games against the NL East (three). And they won’t play a home game against the Mets or Braves until June 20!
The Giants have been known to play the whole month of April without leaving the Pacific Time Zone. But this year … um, not so much. In fact, they spend so much time in the Eastern and Central time zones in April, that before they flip the calendar to May, they’ll play seven games that are scheduled to start before noon, San Francisco time. And they won’t play a road game in the state of California until June 16!
There are lots more examples like that, but you get the idea. So what’s that all about? It’s about an aspect of scheduling most of us never think about — makeup games.
Why did the schedule gurus line up so many out-of-division games early in the season whenever possible? Because those are the hardest to make up if weather stuff happens. And weather stuff will happen.
Now that every team plays 110 games outside its division, finding common off days is a much bigger challenge. So April and May are loaded with those games, to provide as much flexibility as possible to reschedule them later if necessary.
Why aren’t the AL East teams’ schedules easier?
When I first heard about this schedule change last March, my very first trip was to go see the Tampa Bay Rays. Guess why.
Because they were about to play nearly 20 fewer games every year against the Yankees, Blue Jays and Red Sox — three teams that are always a threat to outspend them by about half a billion dollars a season. That’s why. I was pretty sure they were stoked about that.
“We talk about it every spring,” Rays manager Kevin Cash said back then, “how it’s such a good division that we beat up on each other all summer. So to be able to get away from that … I think it’s good for baseball.”
Or, to provide a rough translation of That Thing He Couldn’t Say: “I think it’s awesome for us!”
But then the actual 2023 schedule arrived. And a funny thing happened: It wasn’t quite as awesome for the Rays as you’d expect.
Strength of schedule* (opponent win pct)
Yankees
.501
.502
-.001
Blue Jays
.504
.506
-.002
Rays
.505
.506
-.001
Orioles
.506
.507
-.001
Red Sox
.511
.517
-.006
(*-based on 2022 records)
(Source: STATS Perform)
Hmmm, that wasn’t much different at all. So how about we look at it a different way?
Games vs. winning teams*
Orioles
79
82
-3
Rays
79
83
-4
Yankees
80
86
-6
Blue Jays
81
88
-7
Red Sox
93
106
-13
(*-based on 2022 records)
(Source: STATS Perform)
The last chart is more like what you’d expect. But even that one is potentially misleading, because we don’t know who’s about to have a winning record this year. So in retrospect, are we sure this schedule is “improving” the quality of life in the AL East as much as we thought it would?
That answer, says Rays president of baseball operations Erik Neander, is still yes. The reason would be a word called “familiarity.” By which he means it’s overkill to find yourself playing those other three AL East behemoths over and over and over.
Here’s an example of the potential impact of that familiarity. In 2003 and 2004, the Yankees and Red Sox played each other a staggering 52 times in two years — counting their two best-of-seven ALCS duels. So because of that, the Red Sox wound up facing the great Mariano Rivera 27 times in that span.
Now let’s pose this question: Did all those looks have anything to do with Mariano’s two history-altering blown saves in the epic Red Sox comeback from down 0-3 in the 2004 ALCS? We’ll never know. But it seems “intuitive,” Neander says, to think that all that familiarity could have been a factor, much in the way data shows hitters have more success against pitchers in their second and third times through a lineup.
“Whether it’s measurable or not, it at least seems logical to expand that to say that when you see a pitcher more over time, especially if they are unique, you’ve got a greater chance against them,” Neander said. “And in the case of somebody like this, I mean, Mariano Rivera is not normal. I suppose, to eventually have a chance against Mariano Rivera, the best thing you can do is have reps against Mariano Rivera, because who looks like Mariano Rivera? Nobody.”
So regardless of how many extra games they now have to play against the Dodgers and Padres, will any of those AL East teams really miss those eight series they’re no longer sentenced to play inside their division? Does that question even require an answer?
Why do the schedule makers hate the Dodgers and Guardians?
José Ramírez’s Guardians will play 14 more games against teams that had winning records. (LG Patterson / MLB Photos via Getty Images)
We know “strength of schedule” is a concept that doesn’t apply to baseball quite the same way it applies to, say, the Sun Belt Conference on March Madness Selection Sunday. But did that stop us from looking into how strength of schedule might be changing in 2023, under this new schedule? Of course not. This is a full-service column, you know.
So we asked our friends from STATS to compute this year’s strength-of-schedule rankings, based on last season’s records. But before we give you that leaderboard, you might be interested in the teams that are looking at the biggest uptick against teams with a winning record.
Most additional games vs. winning teams*
Guardians
60
46
+14
Dodgers
66
55
+11
White Sox
72
64
+8
Padres
68
60
+8
(*-based on 2022 records)
(Source: STATS Perform)
So to answer the question that began this section, this clearly isn’t a we hate the Guardians or Dodgers thing. It’s an AL Central/NL West thing. What happens when a league shifts from a heavily unbalanced schedule to a more balanced schedule? Teams in a bad division get affected the most because they can’t avoid the good teams the way they used to anymore.
But wait. There’s one little strength-of-schedule tidbit we left out. The Guardians and Dodgers still rank in the top five for easiest strength of schedule, even with all those extra games against winning teams. It’s just a little less easy than before.
Easiest strength of schedule* (opponent win pct)
Astros
.486
.479
+.007
Cardinals
.487
.479
+.008
Guardians
.488
.481
+.007
Dodgers
.490
.483
+.007
Brewers
.490
.486
+.004
(*-based on 2022 records)
(Source: STATS Perform)
Hardest strength of schedule* (opponent win pct)
Nationals
.513
.521
-.008
Rockies
.512
.514
-.002
Red Sox
.511
.517
-.006
A’s
.508
.514
-.006
Diamondbacks
.508
.511
-.003
(*-based on 2022 records)
(Source: STATS Perform)
So what should you take away from all of that? First off, the worst teams will always have the toughest schedules because they don’t get to play themselves. Second, you’ll notice the toughest schedules got slightly easier and the easiest schedules got slightly harder. That’s what happens when you shift to a more balanced schedule. Heck, it’s the whole idea.
But to understand the most important thing, let’s circle back to our AL East discussion. We spent all that time last spring focusing on how this new schedule would make life “easier” for teams like the Rays and Orioles. We now understand that “easy” wasn’t the right word.
“I don’t think of it as ‘an advantage,’” Neander said. “I just think it’s more fair, no matter whether the teams you’re playing are stronger or weaker, or the division is stronger or weaker. When you expand the playoff field and more teams are competing for the wild card based on record, it’s just appropriate to have those teams’ records determined by playing more similar schedules and more similar opponents.”
And that was one of the biggest forces that drove MLB’s shift to a more balanced schedule. It’s an idea that teams like the Rays and Guardians have championed for years, in fact. Why? Because in a world with multiple wild cards — three of them now in each league — this is just more fair.
There was a time last summer, for instance, when it looked as if the Rays and Guardians might be fighting it out for the last wild-card spot. How “fair” was that, when one team (the Rays) had to play 83 games against teams with a winning record while the other (the Guardians) had to play only 46?
“That’s a joke,” said an executive from another wild-card contender. “That can’t happen. We need a schedule where, when two teams win 90 games, that means the same thing.”
Now that’s about to happen. Under the old schedule, teams competing for a wild-card spot played only a little more than half their games, on average, against common opponents. Under this system, that will increase to more than 75 percent. That’s the way playoff races are supposed to work. Right?
Rays president of baseball operations Erik Neander said the new schedule was “more fair.” (Kim Klement / USA Today)
Will there ever be another World Series involving two teams that haven’t played each other?
One last thing: The Super Bowl is a little more than a week away. The two teams playing in it — the Chiefs and Eagles — never met this season. Does that add to the intrigue? Or does it even matter?
We ask those questions because the World Series feels like the final subplot in baseball’s new schedule. Never again, unless the schedule changes in some other way, will we see a World Series matching two teams that just went through a whole season without playing each other.
Let’s ask this again. Does that lessen the intrigue? Or does it even matter?
Here’s my take: Before there was any such thing as interleague play, this mattered. How could you top that air of mystery, about what might happen, when Mickey Mantle’s Yankees played Henry Aaron’s Braves for the first time ever, with a World Series trophy on the line? That was very cool. But …
It was also very 1957. Once interleague play arrived in 1997, though, all of that mystery became officially defunct. Forever. I can’t think of a single World Series that was lessened in any way because the two teams had already played each other — much like I can’t think of a single reason any other Super Bowl was less fun because the two teams involved had met before.
So if you want Mickey Mantle versus Henry Aaron, go buy a time machine. If you want progress — if you want Shohei Ohtani to visit your town every couple of years — welcome to 2023, when baseball finally joins the world of modern scheduling.