Best Cleveland MLB draft picks of the last 15 years (and the ones they’d like to forget)
Montverde Academy Eagles shortstop Francisco Lindor #12 during a game at Olympia High School in Orlando, Florida; March 7, 2011. (Mike Janes/Four Seam Images via AP Images)
By Zack Meisel
Jul 14, 2022
CLEVELAND – With the MLB Draft set to begin Sunday, let’s review the good, the bad, the surprises and the what-could-have-beens from the last 15 years of Cleveland’s drafts. We’ll examine the picks from the first two rounds each year, plus any late-round bloomers.
Note: We tallied up Baseball-Reference’s version of WAR for each class, including players who ultimately suited up elsewhere.
2021 (WAR: N/A)
Round 1, Pick 23: Gavin Williams, SP
Round 2, Pick 58: Doug Nikhazy, SP
Round 2, Pick 69: Tommy Mace, SP
Best pick: Choose your pitcher. Cleveland took 19 of them with their 21 selections. Williams has front-of-the-rotation potential; in his first professional season, he’s sporting a 1.64 ERA in 14 starts split between High-A Lake County and Double-A Akron, with 91 strikeouts and only 37 hits allowed in 65 2/3 innings. The Athletic’s Keith Law noted Williams was a glaring omission from the Futures Game roster.
2020 (WAR: N/A)
Round 1, Pick 23: Carson Tucker, SS
Round 1, Pick 36: Tanner Burns, SP
Round 2, Pick 56: Logan Allen, SP
Best pick: It’s a bit early to make any sweeping declarations, but Burns and Allen seem destined for a major-league rotation. One National League scout raved about Milan Tolentino, though he questioned whether the fourth-rounder will stick at shortstop.
Tucker, 20, has logged only 89 plate appearances since he joined the organization. He owns a .451 OPS this season at Class-A Lynchburg.
2019 (WAR: N/A)
Daniel Espino shakes hands with commissioner Rob Manfred at the 2019 draft. (Alex Trautwig / MLB Photos via Getty Images)
Round 1, Pick 24: Daniel Espino, SP
Round 2, Pick 63: Yordys Valdes, SS
Best pick: Espino surely looks the part with his elite fastball/slider combination — he has struck out 41 percent of the hitters he’s faced as a professional — but don’t overlook outfielder Will Brennan, an eighth-round pick who has done nothing but hit, draw walks and steal bases in 2022.
2018 (WAR: 2.3)
Round 1, Pick 29: Bo Naylor, C
Round 1, Pick 35: Ethan Hankins, SP
Round 1, Pick 41: Lenny Torres, SP
Round 2, Pick 67: Nick Sandlin, RP
Best pick: For now, Steven Kwan seems like a gem of a fifth-rounder, but there’s a lot of potential with this class, including Hankins (who is recovering from Tommy John surgery in 2021), fellow pitcher Cody Morris (seventh round) and possibly the future catching tandem of Naylor and 15th-rounder Bryan Lavastida.
Naylor has reinvented himself at the plate this season with a .924 OPS, nearly as many walks as strikeouts, and an impressive blend of power and speed. Morris, meanwhile, has finally begun a rehab assignment after he was shut down in spring training with an upper back/shoulder strain. He likely would have made his major-league debut by now had he not suffered the injury.
2017 (WAR: 3.8)
Round 2, Pick 64: Quentin Holmes, OF
Round 2, Pick 71: Tyler Freeman, SS
Best pick: Cleveland snagged Spencer Strider in the 35th round but he went to Clemson and is flourishing for the Braves, with 110 strikeouts in 70 innings. They also drafted top Twins prospect Austin Martin, but he didn’t sign, instead attending Vanderbilt before the Blue Jays made him the fifth overall pick in 2020. For now, the best pick from this class might be Eli Morgan in the eighth round or James Karinchak in the ninth, though Freeman could crack Cleveland’s middle-infield picture in the near future. The club forfeited its first-round selection when it signed Edwin Encarnación to a three-year, $60 million deal, then the largest contract in franchise history.
2016 (WAR: 21.2)
Round 1, Pick 14: Will Benson, OF
Round 2, Pick 55: Nolan Jones, 3B
Round 2, Pick 72: Logan Ice, C
Best pick: Jones was the organization’s top prospect for a couple of years, so he has plenty of potential, but he faces an uphill climb to emerge at the top of this group. That’ll happen when a fourth-round pick blossoms into a Cy Young winner and rotation anchor, as Shane Bieber did. And don’t forget about Zach Plesac in the 12th round and Aaron Civale in the third. This is the scouting department’s golden standard, and this list doesn’t include Cal Quantrill, who was San Diego’s first-round choice that summer. Ice topped out at Double-A Akron in 2019, his last professional season.
2015 (WAR: 5.0)
Round 1, Pick 17: Brady Aiken, SP
Round 1, Pick 42: Triston McKenzie, SP
Round 2, Pick 59: Juan Hillman, SP
Best pick: Well, it wasn’t Aiken, who spent the 2016-17 seasons in the system, threw two-thirds of an inning in 2019 and hasn’t pitched since. He was a risky pick, having been the No. 1 overall selection a year earlier by the Astros, but opting not to sign after disagreements over his health and contract. McKenzie is the safe pick here, though the club did grab infielder Nick Madrigal in the 17th round. Madrigal elected to attend Oregon State, where he played with Kwan and before becoming the fourth overall pick in the 2018 draft.
2014 (WAR: 4.3)
Round 1, Pick 21: Bradley Zimmer, OF
Round 1, Pick 31: Justus Sheffield, SP
Round 1, Pick 38: Mike Papi, OF
Round 2, Pick 61: Grant Hockin, SP
Best pick: How about a guy who never actually pitched for Cleveland, but was included in one of the club’s most significant trades of the last 20 years, the deal for Andrew Miller? J.P. Feyereisen, the team’s 16th-round pick in 2014, is on the Rays’ injured list but has yet to allow an earned run in 24 1/3 innings. Sheffield was included in the Miller trade, too. Papi and Hockin never reached the majors.
2013 (WAR: 3.4)
Round 1, Pick 5: Clint Frazier, OF
Best pick: A bunch of picks from this class became trade ammunition. Cleveland flipped Thomas Pannone for Joe Smith in 2017. Frazier (he now goes by Jackson, his middle name) and Ben Heller were in the Miller trade, and because Frazier was the cornerstone of the package, we’ll tab him ahead of … um … Cole Sulser, the team’s 25th-round pick? Sulser owns a 3.86 ERA in 26 appearances with the Marlins this season. Frazier owns a .756 OPS in parts of six seasons with the Yankees and Cubs.
2012 (WAR: 16.2)
Round 1, Pick 15: Tyler Naquin, OF
Round 2, Pick 79: Mitch Brown, RHP
Best pick: Joey Wendle has pieced together a solid career as a versatile infielder for Oakland, Tampa Bay and Miami after Cleveland swapped him for outfielder Brandon Moss, who was jettisoned to St. Louis after an uninspiring first half in 2015. Only four players from this class reached the majors: Wendle, Naquin, Justin Garza and Louis Head. Brown never climbed past Double A.
2011 (WAR: 44.1)
Round 1, Pick 8: Francisco Lindor, SS
Round 2, Pick 67: Dillon Howard, SP
Best pick: Cleveland selected Cody Allen for a second time, this year in the 23rd round, and he became one of the most valuable picks in team history. Allen, who projected as a low-ceiling starter, bloomed into the franchise’s all-time saves leader. Ryan Merritt, who guided the club to a pretty important win in the 2016 ALCS, deserves a mention as a 16th-rounder, too. But it’s hard to deny the significance of the Lindor pick. Cleveland had narrowed their options to Lindor and Javy Báez. They made the right choice.
2010 (WAR: 21.0)
Round 1, Pick 5: Drew Pomeranz, SP
Round 2, Pick 55: LeVon Washington, OF
Best pick: Can we choose Allen, the 16th-rounder, even though he didn’t sign until the next year? Pomeranz leads this class in WAR, but it all came with other teams, as Cleveland dealt him to Colorado — along with Alex White, the first-round pick the previous year — in the Ubaldo Jiménez trade in 2011.
2009 (WAR: 41.6)
Round 1, Pick 15: Alex White, SP
Round 2, Pick 63: Jason Kipnis, 2B
Best pick: Max Muncy, a two-time All-Star with the Dodgers, didn’t sign when Cleveland drafted him in the 41st round, so it has to be Kipnis, who spent nine years with the big-league club and made a pair of All-Star rosters. He was drafted as a center fielder but didn’t play that position until the closing moments of the 2017 and ’18 seasons. White, by the way, made three starts for Cleveland in 2011 before the Jiménez trade, and wound up logging only 149 innings in his major-league career.
2008 (WAR: 25.4)
Round 1, Pick 29: Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B
Round 2, Pick 76: Trey Haley, RHP
Best pick: In the 33rd round, Cleveland selected a catcher named Roberto Pérez out of Florida Gateway College. He worked his way up to the starting catching gig, captured a pair of Gold Gloves and even smacked 24 home runs in 2019. That’s quite the steal. Haley, meanwhile, spent nine years in the minors and two more in independent ball with the Sugar Land Skeeters and the Rockland Boulders but never broke into the majors.
2007 (WAR: -0.4)
Round 1, Pick 13: Beau Mills, 1B
Best pick: Yikes. The leader in WAR (with a whopping 0.2) is Eric Jokisch, a left-handed pitcher taken in the 39th round, who made four appearances for the Cubs in 2014. Cleveland did select pitcher T.J. McFarland in the fourth round, but he’s spent all 10 years of his big-league career with other franchises. Mills reached Triple A in 2011, when he produced a solid season, but after a trying 2012 campaign, he opted to retire.
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