Cleveland Indians’ catching future, offseason checklist, and a spicy George Valera take: Meisel’s Mailbag
CLEVELAND, OH - JULY 10: Roberto Perez #55 of the Cleveland Indians rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run off Ervin Santana #54 of the Kansas City Royals during the sixth inning at Progressive Field on July 10, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio.
By Zack Meisel 4h ago 14
Let’s get right to your questions …
(Questions have been edited for clarity and length.)
Cleveland’s catching situation is the problem no one talks about much. Do you see the roster having new catchers next season? — Eric F. … How much time is left on Roberto Pérez’s clock with Cleveland? Obviously, his defense is tough to replicate, but injuries and his plate performance have left a lot to be desired over the past two seasons. — Sam R.
It’s something Pérez has wondered as well. He insists he just needs to be healthy to return to his 2019 production levels, but he can’t seem to escape the injured list. The Indians kept Pérez and Austin Hedges, both defensive-minded catchers, this year for nearly $9 million. Would they do it again next season for about $11 million?
Pérez has a $7 million club option or a $450,000 buyout. Hedges has one more year of arbitration eligibility, in which he’d likely earn about $3.5 million.
Bo Naylor, the club’s top-ranked catching prospect, is likely suited to be an option in 2023. He has slashed just .189/.276/.357 this season. Naylor and Bryan Lavastida are at Double-A Akron. Lavastida has excelled with his bat (.311/.403/.484), and the organization has considered trying him out at first base to increase his versatility.
No matter what the Indians do, if that pairing is the future, they need a stopgap for another season, and they’d benefit from at least one of their catchers proving semi-useful at the plate, not just behind it.
If you could recommend buying one Cleveland minor leaguer’s first Bowman Chrome card, who would you recommend, and why? — Ben G.
Want a bold prediction, a super-spicy, Trinidad Scorpion pepper-level take? George Valera will be the burgeoning face of the franchise in five years. He’s slashing .255/.415/.542 at High A, and he has yet to face a pitcher who is younger than he is. His walk rate (19.4 percent) is elite — Valera has nearly as many walks as strikeouts — especially for a 20-year-old who has a limited track record because of injuries and the pandemic. I’ve heard nothing but rave reviews about his off-the-field presence, too. He’s bilingual and a clubhouse leader, an impressive kid who should start to garner more widespread attention from prospect evaluators.
How many players away is this team from legitimately competing for the division, the pennant and the World Series? And what positions would likely need to be upgraded? I assume the corner outfielders at a minimum. Thoughts? — Arjun K.
Well, if they can compete for the division, they can compete for everything else, because the White Sox are as equipped to win a title as any team, and they figure to be just as formidable in 2022.
If what we’ve witnessed recently from Cal Quantrill and Triston McKenzie is the new norm, then the pitching staff should be postseason-caliber next season, provided they avoid another barrage of injuries. They’ll also have some intriguing depth options, starting with Eli Morgan, Logan T. Allen and Cody Morris.
That’s all to say that addressing the lineup is, obviously, the front office’s priority this winter. Myles Straw is the only outfielder who has earned a spot for next season. We can pencil him in at center field, José Ramírez at third base and Franmil Reyes at designated hitter. After that, who knows? Amed Rosario could play somewhere, but it probably shouldn’t be shortstop. Cleveland could keep one of the other outfielders, maybe Bradley Zimmer, in a reserve role. But there are a bunch of lineup spots in need of an upgrade. Is Bobby Bradley the long-term solution at first base? Who will catch? Will any of the infielders — Owen Miller, Andrés Giménez, Ernie Clement, Yu Chang — state a case to start in 2022? Where do Nolan Jones and Gabriel Arias fit?
There’s a lot of work for Chris Antonetti and company to complete to construct a capable batting order. And they’ll also need to answer this: Who will be filling out that lineup card each day?
With the 40-man roster crunch, the club’s insistence that the payroll will increase, and its motivation to field a competitive product to coincide with the first season as the Guardians (hello, merchandise sales), you’d think the front office will act aggressively to solve some of those lineup concerns. Add a couple of bats, have a couple more blossom at the right time and this team could pique Cleveland’s interest. There’s a lot to figure out, though.
Who are the top candidates on the roster for future Random Jersey Sightings? — Ruben C.
Why limit it to players when I spotted a navy, mid-aughts Luis Isaac uniform on the main concourse at Target Field this week? A bullpen coach jersey is a new one.
There have been a bunch of guys who swung through Cleveland for only a minute this season, including René Rivera, Ryan Lavarnway, Ben Gamel and D.J. Johnson. And before you interject with, “There’s no way anyone would purchase their jersey,” just know we had a Melvin Upton Jr. sighting earlier this month, and he never even made it to the end of spring training with Cleveland in 2018.
There’s one that would top them all, though: Pablo Sandoval was, technically, a member of the organization for about three hours on July 30, after the Eddie Rosario salary dump. If you happened to secure a Sandoval jersey in that timeframe, I offer you unparalleled kudos.
How many outfielders do you think Cleveland will carry on its 26-man roster next year, and how many of them are already on the team? — Rob L.
Five is typically the magic number. Straw is a lock. After that, um, well, there are no certainties or anything resembling a certainty. This is why Zimmer, Oscar Mercado, Daniel Johnson and Harold Ramirez need as much playing time as possible in the next six weeks. It’s difficult to offer all four sufficient at-bats, though.
It’s probably safe to assume one of those guys will remain on the big-league roster. Maybe another winds up in Triple A to start the year. They won’t all stick. There won’t be enough 40-man roster space. And Zimmer, Mercado and Ramirez will be out of options next season.
If I’m the Indians, Michael Conforto is someone I’m targeting in free agency. What are your thoughts? — David W.
He’s really interesting: a 28-year-old outfielder who hits for power (until this year), walks at a decent clip, doesn’t strike out an exorbitant amount and has experience at all three defensive spots. He fits better in a corner, which makes sense for Cleveland anyway because Straw hauls in every fly ball hit to his zip code.
Will Conforto’s career-worst 2021 hinder his earning potential at all? It’s difficult to project what he’ll fetch in free agency, but it’s still probably more than Cleveland has ever doled out to a player.
This free-agent class is loaded, but it lacks marquee outfielders. Conforto, Charlie Blackmon, Andrew McCutchen, Tommy Pham, Mark Canha and Starling Marte are the best of the outfield bunch. Among them, Conforto is the only one under the age of 32.
Conforto’s projections for 2022, per FanGraphs’ ZiPS model: .266/.371/.482 slash line, 26 HR, 91 RBIs, 28 doubles, 3.3 WAR
In other words, he’d be as proficient — and, probably, expensive — as any Cleveland outfielder (non-Michael Brantley division) in a long time.
Is it realistic to think the Indians could extend José Ramírez this offseason, then pull off a blockbuster deal centered on Jones and either Arias or Giménez? — Michael J.
They can certainly think along those aggressive lines. They’ll have to move some of these middle infielders at some point. Trade value is fleeting. The key is, they’ll need to correctly predict which young players will flourish. So far, what we’ve seen from Miller and Giménez has been rather uninspiring. It hasn’t been a huge sample, but there are also others (Arias, Tyler Freeman) who will soon push for opportunities.
As far as a Ramírez extension — we’ll cover this in more detail in the near future — the front office will likely hold conversations with him, Shane Bieber and maybe even Reyes in the spring. With some extra financial wiggle room, perhaps they’ll strike a deal or two. It’s always difficult to handicap this, because players’ preferences evolve, and it’s tough to know whether the two sides can find middle ground.
I was surprised the team and Bieber never made much progress last spring. He’ll be eligible for arbitration this offseason. He’s three years from free agency.
Ramírez is a tricky case since this would be his second extension, and perhaps his final big chance to cash in on all of his production over the years. If Cleveland winds up keeping him beyond 2023, his last year of team control, it would certainly make some infield prospects expendable.
If the Indians have a fully healthy rotation in 2022, they’d have Bieber, Aaron Civale, Zach Plesac, McKenzie, and Quantrill as the presumed starters. What would they do with Eli Morgan? Would he go to the bullpen, or down to Triple A? — Ben G.
As was reinforced this season, depth is critical. There’s almost always room for a sixth and seventh (and sometimes eighth and ninth) starter to rack up a bunch of big-league innings. Morgan could fill that Adam Plutko-type role, dashing to Cleveland from Triple-A Columbus whenever necessary. Aside from a clunker against Oakland last week, Morgan has fared pretty well for the past two months.
“Eli’s pitching really well,” Quantrill said. “His numbers, I don’t think, are doing justice to the level of competition he’s playing at.”
Beyond Morgan, the team will have to determine how or if Logan S. Allen, Scott Moss, J.C. Mejia and Sam Hentges fit into the 2022 picture. Morris, Logan T. Allen, Konnor Pilkington and Peyton Battenfield could also enter the mix at some point during the year. The elder Allen, Mejia and Hentges will be out of minor-league options in 2022.
Tell us more about Cody Morris. — David W.
Morris’ stock is rapidly rising. The front office is quite intrigued by the 24-year-old, who had 21 appearances in A-ball prior to this season. A lat strain delayed his 2021 debut, but in eight starts (seven at Akron or Columbus), he has posted a 1.11 ERA, with 11 walks and 54 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings. He has limited opponents to a .476 OPS and his fastball has averaged 95.5 mph.
He has been on a limited pitch count, hence the low innings total. The Indians will have to add Morris to the 40-man roster before the Rule 5 draft in December. He’s a safe bet to pitch for the club in some capacity in 2022.
Are the Indians going to cave to PETA and put a veggie dog in the hot dog races? — Stacey Y.
The three competitors are all named after condiments (Ketchup, Mustard, Onion), so how does a veggie dog even factor into this equation? Just pretend each intern-filled costume is made of soybeans instead of beef trimmings.
(Photo of Roberto Pérez: Ron Schwane / Getty Images)
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