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by TFIR
How Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, the 2019 rookies and others might fit into the Indians’ 2020 rotation plans
Zack Meisel 4h ago 3
CLEVELAND — Shane Bieber began his offseason with a vacation in Italy, a well-deserved respite following a dream season. In the span of a few months, Bieber evolved from the Indians’ No. 5 starter to an All-Star Game MVP and potential Cy Young Award finalist.
And now?
“There’s a pretty good chance he’s going to be (in) our five-man rotation next year,” Terry Francona said, with the slightest hint of sarcasm.
Well, there’s one piece to the Indians’ 2020 pitching puzzle.
For years, the rotation has served as the foundation of the Indians’ roster. Long ago, when dinosaurs and woolly mammoths roamed the concourse at Progressive Field, Justin Masterson and Ubaldo Jiménez anchored the pitching staff. In 2019, Bieber and Mike Clevinger emerged as the pillars of the rotation while Corey Kluber shooed the injury bug, Carlos Carrasco pursued a plan to conquer leukemia and Trevor Bauer came unglued before being dealt to the Reds. In their absences, Aaron Civale and Zach Plesac proved they belong in the big leagues.
So, does that leave the Indians with a deep, talented starting pitching crop heading into 2020 or with an abundance of question marks? The Indians ranked sixth among the league’s 30 teams in starting pitcher ERA (3.81) and third in the American League, behind only the Astros and Rays, whose “starters” often only covered an inning or two. The Indians ranked sixth in the majors in strikeout rate (9.5 per nine innings) and fifth in WAR (second in the AL, behind Houston).
All of that despite Kluber and Carrasco combining to make only 19 starts, Bauer being jettisoned to Cincinnati and Clevinger spending two months on the shelf. No one would have been surprised had that sort of scenario translated into a 90-loss campaign.
The Indians used 11 starting pitchers in 2019, not including Tyler Clippard’s three cameos as the bullpen day ringleader. In 2018, Cleveland relied upon only seven starters.
“We’re always panicked about pitching depth,” Indians GM Mike Chernoff said. “And a year like this confirms why we should be panicked about it. I think we do feel really good about the strides a lot of guys took. You never know how a guy’s going to transition to the big leagues. We saw some guys that weren’t really on the radar quite yet be able to handle it. Especially when you turn the page to next year and you think about guys like Carrasco and Kluber coming back into that rotation, now that just builds out the depth even further.”
Corey Kluber
The Indians intend to exercise Kluber’s $17.5 million option for the 2020 season. Francona routinely preaches “turning a negative into a positive,” so expect to hear plenty of commentary over the next five months about how Kluber’s lost season could serve as the ol’ blessing in disguise.
Kluber piled up 1,136 innings (including the postseason) from 2014 to 2018, more than any other big-league hurler. Max Scherzer ranked second with 1,125, and Jon Lester third with 1,067.
In 2019, Kluber totaled 35 2/3 innings.
“He’s able to do some things in his delivery that maybe he wasn’t able to,” Francona said. “You start accumulating all those innings, and with that come bumps and bruises and nicks and things like that. Good pitchers and good players, they keep playing. They figure out a way. But over the course of time, his arm was getting lower, his back knee was getting a little lower. You just keep competing, but it does things to your pitches.
“Yeah, we missed the heck out of him, but come next year, I bet you he has a chance to be the Kluber that we’ve seen and relied on … because of having a little bit of a layoff.”
Corey Kluber, his contract and silver linings
Carlos Carrasco
The plan, for now, is for Carrasco to rejoin the rotation in 2020. He returned to the mound on Sept. 1 following a three-month absence and pitched in relief over the final four weeks of the season. He threw as many as 30 pitches in an outing. Carrasco said last week he feels great.
“I, personally, continued to get goosebumps every time he took the mound,” Chris Antonetti said. “To think about what he went through over the course of the season, and then just for him to persevere and have the courage to fight through things and get back out there was inspiring for all of us. It not only uplifted our team, but to see the impact it had on our fans and community, too.
“As of right now, we’re planning for him to come back and be an anchor in our starting rotation. We have no reason to think otherwise, but obviously we’ll stay in close contact with Carlos and his caregivers to make sure nothing changes.”
The inspirational tale behind Carrasco’s humanitarian efforts, which earned him the Roberto Clemente Award
Shane Bieber
In 2018, Bieber spent spring training in minor-league camp. A few months later, he made his major-league debut. In 2019, he treated spring training as an audition even though he had a firm grasp on the No. 5 spot in the rotation. At the end of the year, Bieber had logged a team-high 214 1/3 innings.
Next spring, he can exhale. In their exit meeting with the 24-year-old, the Indians told Bieber they’ll likely ease him into the Cactus League schedule.
“My guess is Bieber will come back stronger than ever, and he’ll probably figure out a way to be even better next year,” Francona said.
Bieber described 2019 as “an extremely fulfilling season.”
“I didn’t think I had the greatest start,” he said, “and then to be able to refine everything and become more consistent, and then just the way the whole All-Star thing happened and a lot of things just turned out a lot better than expected. So I’m extremely grateful for the opportunities this year, and fortunately, I was able to make the most of them.”
From walk-on to workhorse: The blossoming of Bieber Fever
Mike Clevinger
Once Clevinger bid farewell to his final shoulder and ankle aches, he blossomed into the Indians’ ace. From July 3 until his last start of the season — a glorified spring-training clunker with the club’s B-squad supporting him in Game 162 — Clevinger posted a 1.76 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .588 OPS. He averaged seven innings per start and 11.8 strikeouts per nine. Oh, and he throws in the upper-90s now.
“I wasn’t really worried about numbers,” Clevinger said. “We were on a run, and I just wanted to play in the playoffs. I think all of us, the ones who have been here the whole time, have, every year, been to the postseason. You don’t want that (streak) to come to an end. That was the big, driving motivator was I wanted to pitch in October. … It’s going to give me more motivation all offseason, and I hope it does for the rest of this clubhouse.”
Clevinger is eligible for arbitration this winter for the first time and, especially given his age — he’ll turn 29 in late December and isn’t eligible for free agency until he’s 32 — he’s a sensible candidate for a contract extension.
“This kid’s future is so bright,” Francona said.
The rookies
Civale didn’t allow more than two earned runs in a start until his 10th and final outing of the year. How many other pitchers in Indians history had accomplished that in their first nine starts? Zero. In those nine starts, Civale surrendered only two home runs. His final numbers: 2.34 ERA, 3.40 FIP, .216 opponent batting average.
Plesac posted a 3.81 ERA in 21 starts, including a dazzling debut at Fenway Park, where he outdueled David Price. He had logged only three starts at Class AAA Columbus prior to his promotion to the big leagues.
“They looked like they were supposed to be here from the get-go,” Clevinger said. “I’m really excited to see them get to work and really kind of know they have their name in the running for a spot, and not trying to worry too much about where they’re going to be.”
Barring a trade, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Civale, Plesac and others fighting for one vacant rotation spot in the spring.
The rest of the crew
Adam Plutko racked up 109 innings for the Indians in 2019, and while neither his numbers (4.86 ERA) nor his fastball (91.1 mph) will blow anyone away, the team did emerge victorious in 14 of his 20 starts. He provided stability during a season of pitching upheaval. That said, he has exhausted his minor-league options, so he’ll be a player to monitor this winter and next spring.
Jefry Rodriguez made a handful of effective spot starts early in the season before he suffered a shoulder injury. During his recovery, he refined his throwing mechanics, and the Indians are intrigued by what he might be able to offer next season.
Logan Allen was widely regarded as a top-100 prospect entering the 2019 season, including No. 74 overall by MLB Pipeline. In 2018, at the Padres’ Double-A and Triple-A affiliates, he registered a 2.54 ERA with more than a strikeout per inning and a .589 opponent OPS. This year, he pitched for the Padres, Indians and both organizations’ Triple-A clubs, and the results were not as encouraging (5.85 ERA, 10.4 H/9). Granted, he’s only 22.
That’s nine pitchers with at least a bit of major-league experience who should vie for attention next year. There’s also top prospect Triston McKenzie, who missed the entire season with a lat injury and a pectoral strain; he’s expected to arrive at spring training sans restrictions. The Indians will have to add him to the 40-man roster, and Chernoff said this “is a big offseason for him and then a big spring training.”
Perhaps the Indians will deal from their wealth of arms to address some weaknesses in the lineup. Then again, they needed every ounce of that depth in 2019.
“When you think about the major steps forward that some of our young pitchers have taken in the past two years,” Chernoff said, “whether it’s Bieber, who wasn’t in spring training the year before, or Plesac and Civale this year, the same thing. Or even Clevinger, the steps forward he took last year and really even improved on this year — I think it’s obviously a huge organizational success in that way, and I think it sets up a foundation for the future for us.”
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