Re: Politics

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Russia’s trade with China surges to more than $107 billion

Published time: 14 Jan, 2019 14:49

Trade turnover between Russia and China soared by nearly 30 percent in 2018, reaching a record number of $107.06 billion, according to the latest report released by China’s General Administration of Customs (GAC).

The agency noted that last year Russian imports of Chinese goods increased by 12 percent to $47.98 billion. At the same time, China’s imports from Russia grew by 42.7 percent, reaching $59.08 billion. In December alone, the volume of trade between the neighboring countries reportedly totaled $9.8 billion.

Russia-China trade turnover has grown significantly over recent years. In 2017, mutual trade amounted to $84.07 billion demonstrating a growth of 20.8 percent. In 2016, the trade turnover grew by 2.2 percent in annual terms to $69.52 billion.

Russia became China’s number one partner when it comes to trade growth dynamics, according to the GAC spokesman Li Kuiwen. The spokesman added that China had mostly exported electromechanical goods to Russia, while purchased oil, coal, and wood.

Last week, the Chinese commerce ministry said that mutual trade between the countries in December reached $100 billion for the first time ever. Russia is currently ranked as China’s tenth biggest trade partner. Beijing remained a major importer of Russian produce, accounting for 15 percent of the country’s international trade as of 2017.

https://www.rt.com/business/448783-russ ... -turnover/

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Trump tariff fail? China’s trade surplus with US hits highest level in more than decade

Published time: 14 Jan, 2019 11:14

Despite efforts by the Trump administration to pressure Beijing into reducing the US-China trade deficit, the trade surplus with the US still reached $323.32 billion last year – the highest level since 2006.

The trade surplus grew 17 percent from around $275 billion a year ago, China’s General Administration of Customs announced on Monday. The figure is the highest on record since 2006, according to government-affiliated Global Times newspaper.

Exports to the US surged 11.3 percent year-on-year in 2018 to $478.4 billion, while imports from the US to China rose a scanty 0.7 percent over the same period.

The data raises questions about the success of the trade war and increased tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump against China in an attempt to reduce the US trade deficit. The levies targeted hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods last year and forced Beijing to retaliate.

Washington was threatening even higher tariffs before Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed on a 90-day truce in December.

The trade surplus with Washington was not the only record for Beijing in 2018, according to the released customs data. Despite a volatile year, overall foreign trade volume rose 12.6 percent to record $4.62 trillion.

Exports growth in 2018 was the highest in 7 years, surging 9.9 percent while imports grew 15.8 percent compared with last year.

“China effectively tackled changes of the external environment last year, and the foreign trade maintained stable and positive growth, reaching a historic high in import and export volume,” the customs spokesperson, Li Kuiwen, said on Monday. He added that cooperation with Belt and Road countries “has become new driving force of China’s foreign trade development.”

China’s trade growth may slow in 2019 due to external uncertainties and rising protectionism, Li warned.

Even though export growth was the highest since 2011, last year’s overall Chinese trade surplus fell to the lowest level since 2013. In December, exports and imports unexpectedly fell 4.4 percent and 7.6 percent respectively from a year earlier.

In an apparent reaction to the news, major Asian indexes tumbled on Monday. Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng lost 1.38 percent, while the Shanghai Composite index fell 0.71 percent to finish its trading day at 2,535.77. Only Japan’s Nikkei 225 did not slip among others, rising nearly 1 percent.

https://www.rt.com/business/448758-chin ... e-surplus/

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Farmers already hurt by Trump’s trade war prepare for more pain — from the government shutdown

PUBLISHED MON, JAN 14 2019 • 4:35 PM EST

Michelle Fox

American farmers, already hurt by the U.S.-China trade war, are preparing for more pain ahead, thanks to the government shutdown, according to Tim McGreevy, a Washington-based farmer and the CEO of USA Dry Pea & Lentil Council.

Chinese tariffs on U.S. agriculture, imposed in response to U.S. duties on goods from China, have caused crop prices to drop. For pulse crops — dry beans, dry peas, chickpeas and lentils — that means a cut of 30 percent to 60 percent, McGreevy told CNBC on Monday.

However, last spring about 60 percent of pulse farmers took out what’s called revenue crop insurance, which protects against price drops like this, he said on “The Exchange. ”

“We expect to have a fairly significant revenue insurance payment, but we have to have the harvest prices announced,” he said.

Those are supposed to be announced on Friday, resulting in payouts by the end of January. However, the analysts who analyze the data are on furlough. That means a delay for farmers waiting for much-needed funds.

“It’s going to be millions of dollars to pulse farmers when these harvest prices actually get announced,” McGreevy said.

Now in its 24th day, the shutdown is the longest in U.S. history, and there appears to be no resolution in sight. The sticking point is President Donald Trump’s insistence that funding for his border wall be included in the spending package.

On Monday, the president urged farmers to stick with him when he addressed the Farm Bureau at its annual convention in New Orleans.

He also said his policies would help the agriculture industry, even if they caused short-term pain.

However, there are still some longer-term implications caused by the delay, said McGreevy.

“Farmers are struggling right now. All prices are low, and we’re trying to cash flow, and we’re making spring planting decisions right now,” he said. “So it’s really important to get these harvest prices announced and get that money in growers’ hands.”

Last week, the Agriculture Department said it would extend the deadline for farmers hurt by the trade war to apply for aid. The deadline was originally set for Jan. 15 but will now be delayed for the number of days that the department is closed due to the shutdown.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/14/governm ... armers.html

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China might just have grown the first plant ever on the moon

By Ben Westcott and Yong Xiong, CNN

Hong Kong (CNN)Cotton seeds carried to the moon by a Chinese probe have sprouted, marking what could be the first plant to ever grow there, according to Chinese government images.

In making the announcement Tuesday, Chinese researchers released pictures from the probe showing the tiny plant growing in a small pot inside the spacecraft, hundreds of thousands of kilometers away from the Earth.

China became the first country to land a probe on the far side of the moon on January 3 when a rover named Yutu 2, or Jade Rabbit 2, touched down in the moon's largest and oldest impact crater, the South Pole-Aitken Basin.

The mission, titled Chang'e 4, is intended to accomplish a range of tasks, including conducting the first lunar low-frequency radio astronomy experiment and exploring whether there is water at the moon's poles.

Updated 9:35 AM ET, Tue January 15, 2019

Another purpose of the mission was to test whether plants could grow in a low-gravity environment, a test which appears to have already yielded results.

The system started to water the seedlings after the probe landed and less than a week later a green shoot had already appeared.

While human beings have grown plants in space before, they've never attempted to grow one on the moon.

Xie Gengxin, dean of Institute of Advanced Technology at Chongqing University, and the chief designer of the experiment, praised the achievement on the university's blog.

"This (mission) has achieved the first biological experiment on the moon of human history, to sprout the first bud on the desolate moon. And with time moving on, it'll be the first plant with green leaves on the moon," Xie said.

Chinese scientists are also attempting to grow seeds from rapeseed, potato and mouse-ear cress, and are trying to hatch fruit fly eggs.

According to the university's blog, the experiment will show how life develops in low gravity and strong radiation environments. It could even help provide a blueprint for growing resources during a future moon colony established by humans.

China's ambitions for space and lunar exploration aren't limited to the current mission. On Monday, China's space agency announced the Chang'e 5 lunar mission would launch by the end of the year with a goal to bring moon samples back to Earth.

The country's first mission to Mars is scheduled for around 2020, Wu Yanhua, deputy head of China National Space Administration, said at a news conference in Beijing Monday.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/15/asia/chi ... /index.html

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McConnell blocks House bill to reopen government for second time

BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 01/15/19 11:33 AM EST

Senate Republicans blocked a House-passed package to reopen the federal government for a second time in as many weeks on Tuesday.

Democratic Sens. Chris Van Hollen (Md.) and Ben Cardin (Md.) asked for consent to take up a package of bills that would reopen the federal government.

One bill would fund the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 8, while the other would fund the rest of the impacted departments and agencies through Sept. 30, the end of the fiscal year.

Under Senate rules, any senator can ask for consent to vote on or pass a bill, but any senator can object. McConnell blocked the two bills, saying the Senate wouldn't "participate in something that doesn't lead to an outcome."

McConnell for weeks has said he would not bring legislation to the floor on the shutdown unless there was a deal between President Trump and Democrats on border security, the issue that has triggered the shutdown. McConnell has described other votes as "show votes."

"The solution to this is a negotiation between the one person in the country who can sign something into law, the president of the United States, and our Democratic colleagues," McConnell said Tuesday.

Roughly a quarter of the government has been shut down since Dec. 22 over an entrenched fight on funding for Trump’s proposed wall on the U.S.-Mexico border wall.

The Senate passed a stopgap bill late last year by a voice vote, but it was rejected by the White House because it didn’t include extra border money.

Trump is demanding more than $5 billion for his signature wall. Democratic leadership has pointed to $1.3 billion as their cap and argued that it must go to fencing.

House Democrats passed their package to fully reopen the government earlier this month and have begun passing individual appropriations bills as they try to ratchet up pressure on Republicans to break with the president and support the legislation. But those bills are expected to go nowhere in the GOP-led Senate.

McConnell sought to drive a wedge between Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Democrats earlier Tuesday, characterizing the newly minted House leader as making border security “take a back seat to the political whims of the far left.”

“Here in the Senate my Democratic colleagues have an important choice to make. They could stand with common sense border experts, with federal workers and with their own past voting records, by the way, or they could continue to remain passive spectators complaining from the sidelines, as the Speaker refuses to negotiate with the White House,” McConnell said from the Senate floor.

Talks between Trump and congressional leadership are at a standstill after the president walked out of a White House meeting last week when Pelosi told him that Democrats would not consider border wall funding even if he fully reopened the government.

Democrats are trying to build pressure on McConnell to break with Trump and move legislation, something Senate GOP leadership say the careful Republican leader will not do.

Though several senators are publicly picking their own ideas, Sen. John Thune (S.D.), the No. 2 Senate Republican, said on Tuesday that hasn’t resulted in much pressure from within the caucus for McConnell to change his strategy.

“Our members are, you know, they’re going to make their positions known, nobody will be shy about that,” Thune told reporters. “But in the end, having a vote in the Senate I think has to be on something that not only can pass here but that can be signed into law by the president.”

But Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) urged McConnell to get involved in the talks on Tuesday, touting his previous role as a deal-maker who could resolve sticky political stalemates.

“There's only one person who can help America break through this gridlock: Leader McConnell. For the past month Leader McConnell has been content to hide behind the president, essentially giving him a veto over what comes to the floor of the Senate,” Schumer said.

He added that if McConnell brought up the House bills to fully reopen the government he believed they would receive a “significant,” “veto-proof” majority. McConnell has said the House bills cannot pass the Senate.

Cardin also appealed to McConnell after the GOP senator blocked his request on Tuesday, describing the Senate as “missing in action.”

“We’re a co-equal branch of government. Let us speak about opening government. There are members on both sides who understand that we can debate border security and we can reach agreements, but you can’t do that with a partial government shutdown,” Cardin said.

Several GOP senators have backed either taking up the House bills or passing a continuing resolution (CR) to reopen most or all of the government while Democratic leadership and Trump continue to fight over border security.

A group of Senate Republicans, led by Sen. Lindsey Graham (S.C.), were negotiating last week on a plan to reopen most of the government in exchange for the Senate taking up Trump's border request, including an additional $7 billion sent in a request earlier this month. To help win over Democrats, there were talks about a deal on “Dreamers,” immigrants who came to the country illegally as children.

But those talks derailed, senators said, because of intransigence by Trump and Pelosi. A bipartisan group, involving many of the same senators, also met on Monday night to discuss a similar framework but made little progress toward breaking the shutdown stalemate.

Trump on Monday wasn’t interested in the idea of temporarily reopening the government. But Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), who took part in both talks, said Tuesday that he hoped the president changed his mind.

“We ought to take the president’s request, immediately consider it … add to it whatever we need to do to get a result, send it to him, sign it and in the meantime open the government up,” Alexander told WREC, a Tennessee radio station.

Alexander acknowledged that the idea of reopening the government for roughly three weeks wouldn’t gain traction without Trump’s support, adding, “I’m hoping the president changes his mind. This is the way you get a result.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/425 ... econd-time

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POLITICS

McConnell Says He Won’t Override Trump To Reopen Government

The Senate majority leader believes the president is right to seek funding for a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border.


By Igor Bobic 01/15/2019 05:52 pm ET

WASHINGTON ― Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) on Tuesday rejected the prospect of overriding a presidential veto on a bill to reopen the federal government.

Democrats have been calling on McConnell to allow a vote on a short-term bill that would reopen the government without including funding for President Donald Trump’s proposed wall on the U.S.-Mexico border, giving both sides time to continue negotiations while making sure 800,000 furloughed federal employees receive their latest paycheck. Such a bill, Democrats say, could pass with enough support in the Senate ― 67 votes ― to override a presidential veto.

“The issue here is the Senate really does need to do its job as a separate and co-equal branch of government,” Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) said Tuesday on the Senate floor, urging McConnell to allow the Senate to make use of its powers under the Constitution to try to end the partial government shutdown.

McConnell, however, has said that it would be pointless to vote on any spending bill that does not have the support of the president. He shot down the veto override suggestion on Tuesday, telling reporters at a weekly press conference that Trump is correct to push for additional border security funding.

“In a situation like this where the president in my view is in the right place trying to get the right outcome… of course not,” McConnell said when asked by an NBC News reporter if he would try to reopen the government with a veto override.

But if McConnell believed the situation on the border was so critical that it needed additional security measures like Trump’s wall, he could have pushed for that funding in December, when the Senate passed a short-term government funding bill easily by voice vote. The Kentucky Republican did not.

McConnell instead called on Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to sit down again with Trump and come to an agreement on wall funding, essentially attempting to take himself out of negotiations amid the ongoing shutdown.

“Let me repeat again what I’ve said now for three weeks: The solution is a negotiation between the one person who can sign something into law, the president of the United States, and our Democratic colleagues,” McConnell said Tuesday.

The last time Trump huddled with congressional leaders at the White House, the president walked out of the meeting after Pelosi said she did not support his proposed border wall.

“He just got up and said we have nothing to discuss, and he walked out,” Schumer said last week. “He just walked out of the meeting.”

Democrats and Republicans remain dug in on their positions as the shutdown continues this week, with no significant talks occurring to reopen the government. Trump invited a group of House Democrats to the White House on Tuesday to discuss the matter, but each one of them declined the meeting.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/sh ... baf541dbbd

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Democrats turn down White House invitation for shutdown talks

BY JORDAN FABIAN AND SCOTT WONG - 01/15/19 12:08 PM EST

No Democrats attended a lunch on Tuesday with President Trump designed to reach an agreement to end the government shutdown and fund a border wall, as the president’s attempt to force leaders back to the negotiating table fell flat.

Trump invited several moderate House Democrats to the White House in an effort to undermine Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who has refused to grant Trump his demand for $5.7 billion in wall funding. But the group turned down the invitation.

“Today, the president offered both Democrats and Republicans the chance to meet for lunch at the White House. Unfortunately, no Democrats will attend,” White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said in a statement ahead of the meeting.

A group of nine House Republicans were scheduled to meet with the president, but Sanders said “it’s time for the Democrats to come to the table and make a deal.”

Two of the GOP lawmakers, Reps. Rodney Davis (Ill.) and John Katko (N.Y.), have voted for Democratic bills to reopen government agencies.

After the meeting ended, Republicans lambasted Democrats for refusing to attend in an attempt to pin blame on them for the shutdown.

“He’s put a deal on the table,” Davis said of Trump while speaking to reporters at the White House. “The sheer fact that no Democrats [were] here to even talk with us shows the lack of willingness to compromise.”

The event was the latest sign that no end remains in sight for the partial shutdown, which on Tuesday entered its record-setting 25th day.

It also signaled that Pelosi has retained her grip over the Democratic caucus in the wall fight, despite the White House’s effort to divide the party.

At least two moderate House Democrats said they explicitly declined the White House invitation.

Reps. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.) and Lou Correa (D-Calif.), two of the co-chairs of the Blue Dog Coalition, confirmed to The Hill they would not attend the 12:30 p.m. lunch meeting.

Murphy said she had a scheduling conflict, but both Blue Dog Democrats said they believe the Senate should take up House-passed funding bills to reopen the government and send them to the president.

“The congressman is declining the invitation,” said Correa spokesman Andrew Scibetta. “Congressman Correa welcomes the opportunity to talk with the president about border security, as soon as the government is reopened.”

In a statement, Murphy said: “I have attended meetings with the president at the White House before, but a scheduling conflict prevented me from accepting this invitation.

“However, I continue to believe the Senate should pass and the president should sign the bills reopening government that the House already passed. As a former national security specialist at the Pentagon, I look forward to having a meaningful, bipartisan discussion about the best way to secure our country.”

The three other Democrats who rejected Trump’s lunch invite were Rep. Charlie Crist, the former Florida governor, Rep. David Scott (Ga.), and freshman Rep. Abigail Spanberger (Va.), who upset conservative Republican Dave Brat last fall, according to White House sources.

Scott later told The Hill he never received an invitation.

Democratic Rep. Scott Peters (Calif.), who was not named by the White House, also said he turned down the invitation.

A Democratic congressional aide said the meeting appeared to be pulled together “haphazardly at the last minute,” with invitations to members received from the White House beginning in the late afternoon on Monday and continuing until late at night.

A copy of the invitation seen by The Hill provided little information about the subject of the meeting.

Pelosi has been trying to project Democratic unity in the shutdown fight but did not dissuade fellow Democrats from going to the White House.

In a private meeting Monday night, Pelosi and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) told fellow leaders they were fine with rank-and-file members meeting with Trump, according to a source in the meeting.

Pelosi joked to Hoyer: “They can see what we’ve been dealing with. And they’ll want to make a citizen’s arrest.”

Democrats believe they have the upper hand in the shutdown fight, with recent polls showing most of the country blames Trump for the impasse.

But the president has refused to back down from his position that billions in wall funding must be part of spending bills to reopen the government.

“This president isn’t taking polls,” Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-Texas) said after the meeting. “This president has the pulse of this country and he understands that the safety and security of the American people is his first job.”

Hoyer on Tuesday suggested Trump's attempt to sidestep Democratic leaders by inviting Blue Dogs to the meeting was an act of desperation on the part of the president.

“Is anybody surprised that the president’s trying to get votes wherever he can get votes?" Hoyer said during a press briefing in the Capitol. "We are totally united — totally. You will see that on the floor on these [spending] votes. We want the government open, Mr. President.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/administra ... down-talks

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Senate advances measure bucking Trump on Russia sanctions

BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 01/15/19 05:28 PM EST

The Senate voted to advance legislation blocking President Trump’s plan to lift sanctions against three Russian companies despite an eleventh-hour effort by the administration to kill the bill.

Senators voted 57-42 to begin debating the resolution, with only a simple majority needed to get over the initial hurdle.

Though only a procedural vote, it’s the latest foreign policy break between the Trump administration and Senate Republicans, who have been wary of his warmer rhetoric toward Moscow.

It comes amid reports that the president has discussed pulling the United States out of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).

“I do disapprove of the easing of the sanctions because I think it sends the wrong message to Russia and to the oligarch and close ally of Mr. Putin, Oleg Deripaska, who will in my judgement continue to maintain considerable [ownership] under the Treasury’s plan,” Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) told reporters.

In addition to Collins, GOP Sens. John Boozman (Ark.), Tom Cotton (Ark.), Steve Daines (Mont.) Cory Gardner (Colo.), Josh Hawley (Mo.), John Kennedy (La.), Martha McSally (Ariz.), Jerry Moran (Kan.), Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Ben Sasse (Neb.) voted to proceed to the resolution on Tuesday.

The same senators also helped block a separate effort from Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) to pigeonhole the measure.

The setback for the administration comes after it announced plans late last month to relax sanctions on the three businesses — Rusal, EN+ and EuroSibEnerg — connected to Oleg Deripaska, an oligarch with ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Under the 2017 sanctions bill, Democrats are able to force a vote on a resolution to block the administration from lifting the financial penalties.

Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin led a lobbying effort to try to squelch concerns on Capitol Hill about the decision. He met with House Democrats last week and pitched Senate Republicans during a closed-door lunch Tuesday, hours before the vote.

Mnuchin declined to say if he believed the administration had the votes to prevent the Senate from passing the resolution of disapproval but argued it shouldn’t be a “political issue.”

But he added that the administration believed the sanctions against the three companies should be lifted because Deripaska’s ownership in the entities has fallen below 50 percent.

“We put together an agreement that we think meets the requirements of the laws and the regulations to do this,” Mnuchin said.

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) echoed Mnuchin in opposing the resolution to block the sanctions from being lifted.

“I will vote 'no' today because this was a hard-fought negotiation resulting in one of the strongest agreements ever, which supports long-standing U.S. sanctions policy and foreign policy toward Russia,” he said.

GOP leadership had been tight-lipped about whether they would be able to pull together the simple majority needed to sink the Democratic resolution, noting a swath of their members wanted to hear from Mnuchin.

Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) said “a lot of our members are anxious to ask questions” of the Trump administration before the vote.

“Whether we get on it, is still kind of an open question, I think,” Thune said.

McConnell separately knocked Democrats for forcing the Russia vote even as they are blocking a GOP foreign policy bill as part of their shutdown strategy.

"It was all just a farce. The Democratic leader doesn't actually mind doing other business because he now intends to bring a privileged and political stunt of a motion relating to the administration's use of sanctions against Russia,” McConnell said.

Democrats needed to win over at least four Republicans to advance the resolution, provided they could also unite their own caucus.

They could still face a 60-vote threshold filibuster of the measure before a final passage vote, which would require them to get 13 GOP senators.

Gardner, a member of the Foreign Relations Committee and a vulnerable 2020 incumbent, said on Tuesday that he would support the resolution.

"I anticipate voting to overturn the decision by the administration," Gardner told reporters.

Rubio added that while he “appreciated” the Treasury Department’s effort, “for all intents and purposes between his shares, the independent shares that the Russian state owned bank control, and various other individual shareholders I still think he retains operational control … So they’re going to have to do better.”

Democrats announced over the weekend that they would force a vote to stop the Trump administration from being able to lift the sanctions.

Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.), making a pitch to his colleagues before the vote, said opposing the resolution would be a “vote to go easy on President Putin and his oligarchs.”

“Putin’s Russia continues to run rampant over international norms,” Schumer added. “Show me the behavior from Vladimir Putin that warrants such relief? I can’t think of any. I’ll put 90 percent of all Americans can’t think of any.”

Both chambers would need to pass a resolution of disapproval by Thursday in order to block the administration from lifting sanctions. House Democrats have asked for an extension from the Treasury Department, but Mnuchin declined to discuss the issue on Tuesday.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said Tuesday he is introducing a resolution to prevent the Trump administration from lifting the sanctions.

“Today, I am introducing a resolution to prevent the Treasury Department from lifting sanctions on businesses controlled by Oleg Deripaska, a Russian oligarch who has been sanctioned for his close relationship to President Putin and activities aimed at harming the interests of the United States,” Hoyer said in a statement.

He added that “Deripaska has been key to much of the malign activities Russia directs against the United States, and the Congress must protect the American people against foreign interference and corruption.”

https://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/ ... -sanctions

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GOP reasserts NATO support after report on Trump’s wavering

BY REBECCA KHEEL - 01/15/19 07:59 PM EST

Congressional Republicans are jumping to NATO’s defense following a report that President Trump has repeatedly suggested U.S. withdrawal from the 70-year-old military alliance.

Trump has frequently disparaged the international body, seen by many as a cornerstone of the post-World War II world order, ever since he began his presidential campaign in 2015.

But on Capitol Hill Tuesday, lawmakers on both sides of the aisle voiced their strong support for the alliance when asked about Trump’s reported desire to leave the organization.

“NATO is one of the great accomplishments of the last century,” Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) said, adding that to this day it is “almost uniquely successful at keeping the peace.”

The New York Times reported Monday that Trump privately told aides several times over the past year that he wants to withdraw from NATO, the 29-country alliance that includes Canada and European nations.

One of the occasions when Trump reportedly raised the issue of withdrawal was the lead-up to the NATO summit in July, when he told his top national security officials he did not see the point of the alliance and thought it was a drain on the United States.

The summit was soon followed by Trump’s meeting in Helsinki with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Weakening NATO has long been one of Putin’s goals, and a U.S. withdrawal would accomplish that without any action on Russia’s part.

Since then, one of the strongest supporters of NATO has left the Trump administration. Former Defense Secretary James Mattis resigned last month, and in his resignation letter he cited differences of opinion with Trump on alliances, highlighting NATO and the anti-ISIS coalition.

Congressional Republicans appeared doubtful that Trump might be more likely to withdraw from NATO now that Mattis has left.

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) said Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Pentagon officials, like acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan and Under Secretary of Defense for Policy John Rood, “recognize the importance of allies.”
Congress has stepped up to defend the alliance during the Trump presidency after reports of the commander in chief’s wavering support for it. In July, lawmakers easily passed a resolution that declared NATO “the most important and critical security link between the United States and Europe.”

Last year, senators also revived the NATO Observer Group, designed to coordinate Senate efforts and demonstrate the U.S. commitment to the alliance. Senators at the time downplayed Trump’s connection to the timing of the revival, saying it was more about Russia’s aggressive actions.

On Tuesday, Sen. Thom Tillis (N.C.), the Republican co-chair of the Observer Group, said Congress is “solidly behind the NATO alliance.”

Tillis said he thinks Trump “was frustrated with the lack of financial engagement” by some allies and credited his “rhetoric” with helping increase their defense spending.

During the NATO summit in July, Trump called for member states to double their defense spending to 4 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). At the time, reports also surfaced that Trump told NATO allies that the United States could “go it alone” if they didn’t ramp up military spending.

“But make no mistake about it: I think Congress is solidly behind the NATO alliance, and I know as co-chair of the NATO Senate Observer Group, I am,” Tillis said.

In a joint statement later that day with co-chair Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.), the two lawmakers touted NATO’s “broad bipartisan support.”

“Progress has been steadily made to ensure all NATO members are paying their fair share of dues, and it’s imperative that the United States work with allies to strengthen the transatlantic bonds that have kept us safe for 70 years and modernize NATO to respond to hybrid warfare and other threats to global security,” they said.

“For these reasons, the Senate stands ready to defend NATO,” the senators said, adding that they hope to soon welcome Macedonia into the alliance.

Trump is facing increased scrutiny for his stance on Russia.

The Times reported on Friday that the FBI became so worried about Trump’s behavior toward Moscow in 2017 that it opened an investigation into whether he was working on Russia’s behalf. The Washington Post reported the following day that Trump sought to withhold details of his conversations with Putin from other administration officials.

The mounting articles prompted Trump to publicly push back on the accounts.

“I never worked for Russia,” Trump told reporters on Monday. “Not only did I never work for Russia, I think it’s a disgrace that you even asked that question because it’s a whole big fat hoax.”

In a sign of increasing concerns over Trump’s foreign policy, the Senate voted 57-42 on Tuesday to advance a bill that would block Trump’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies.

Trump’s views on NATO are no secret. During the 2016 presidential race, he questioned whether he would come to the defense of allies that do not meet NATO’s spending goals.

Allies pledged in 2014 to spend 2 percent of their GDP on defense by 2024. Eight member states are now meeting the goal, with 15 expected to be there in the next five years.

Even with those remarks, some of the president’s less enthusiastic supporters say a withdrawal isn’t likely.

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah), who has an on-again, off-again rivalry with Trump, said he “can’t imagine” Trump would withdraw.

“NATO is an entity that has helped keep the world safe, kept us out of global conflict and has led to prosperity and peace, so I am a very strong supporter of NATO and our commitment to NATO,” he said. “I can’t imagine that the president or the administration have any interest in doing anything other than strengthening NATO and strengthening our commitment to it.”

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4255 ... s-wavering

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Trump Discussed Pulling U.S. From NATO

Aides Say Amid New Concerns Over Russia


By Julian E. Barnes and Helene Cooper

Jan. 14, 2019

WASHINGTON — There are few things that President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia desires more than the weakening of NATO, the military alliance among the United States, Europe and Canada that has deterred Soviet and Russian aggression for 70 years.

Last year, President Trump suggested a move tantamount to destroying NATO: the withdrawal of the United States.

Senior administration officials told The New York Times that several times over the course of 2018, Mr. Trump privately said he wanted to withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Current and former officials who support the alliance said they feared Mr. Trump could return to his threat as allied military spending continued to lag behind the goals the president had set.


In the days around a tumultuous NATO summit meeting last summer, they said, Mr. Trump told his top national security officials that he did not see the point of the military alliance, which he presented as a drain on the United States.

At the time, Mr. Trump’s national security team, including Jim Mattis, then the defense secretary, and John R. Bolton, the national security adviser, scrambled to keep American strategy on track without mention of a withdrawal that would drastically reduce Washington’s influence in Europe and could embolden Russia for decades.

Now, the president’s repeatedly stated desire to withdraw from NATO is raising new worries among national security officials amid growing concern about Mr. Trump’s efforts to keep his meetings with Mr. Putin secret from even his own aides, and an F.B.I. investigation into the administration’s Russia ties.

A move to withdraw from the alliance, in place since 1949, “would be one of the most damaging things that any president could do to U.S. interests,” said Michèle A. Flournoy, an under secretary of defense under President Barack Obama.

“It would destroy 70-plus years of painstaking work across multiple administrations, Republican and Democratic, to create perhaps the most powerful and advantageous alliance in history,” Ms. Flournoy said in an interview. “And it would be the wildest success that Vladimir Putin could dream of.”

Retired Adm. James G. Stavridis, the former supreme allied commander of NATO, said an American withdrawal from the alliance would be “a geopolitical mistake of epic proportion.”

“Even discussing the idea of leaving NATO — let alone actually doing so — would be the gift of the century for Putin,” Admiral Stavridis said.

Senior Trump administration officials discussed the internal and highly sensitive efforts to preserve the military alliance on condition of anonymity.

After the White House was asked for comment on Monday, a senior administration official pointed to Mr. Trump’s remarks in July when he called the United States’ commitment to NATO “very strong” and the alliance “very important.” The official declined to comment further.

American national security officials believe that Russia has largely focused on undermining solidarity between the United States and Europe after it annexed Crimea in 2014. Its goal was to upend NATO, which Moscow views as a threat.

Russia’s meddling in American elections and its efforts to prevent former satellite states from joining the alliance have aimed to weaken what it views as an enemy next door, the American officials said. With a weakened NATO, they said, Mr. Putin would have more freedom to behave as he wishes, setting up Russia as a counterweight to Europe and the United States.

An American withdrawal from the alliance would accomplish all that Mr. Putin has been trying to put into motion, the officials said — essentially, doing the Russian leader’s hardest and most critical work for him.

When Mr. Trump first raised the possibility of leaving the alliance, senior administration officials were unsure if he was serious. He has returned to the idea several times, officials said increasing their worries.

Mr. Trump’s dislike of alliances abroad and American commitments to international organizations is no secret.

The president has repeatedly and publicly challenged or withdrawn from a number of military and economic partnerships, from the Paris climate accord to an Asia-Pacific trade pact. He has questioned the United States’ military alliance with South Korea and Japan, and he has announced a withdrawal of American troops from Syria without first consulting allies in the American-led coalition to defeat the Islamic State.

NATO had planned to hold a leaders meeting in Washington to mark its 70th anniversary in April, akin to the 50-year celebration that was hosted by President Bill Clinton in 1999. But this year’s meeting has been downgraded to a foreign ministers gathering, as some diplomats feared that Mr. Trump could use a Washington summit meeting to renew his attacks on the alliance.

Leaders are now scheduled to meet at the end of 2019, but not in Washington.

Mr. Trump’s threats to withdraw had sent officials scrambling to prevent the annual gathering of NATO leaders in Brussels last July from turning into a disaster.

Senior national security officials had already pushed the military alliance’s ambassadors to complete a formal agreement on several NATO goals — including shared defenses against Russia — before the summit meeting even began, to shield it from Mr. Trump.

But Mr. Trump upended the proceedings anyway. One meeting, on July 12, was ostensibly supposed to be about Ukraine and Georgia — two non-NATO members with aspirations to join the alliance.

Accepted protocol dictates that alliance members do not discuss internal business in front of nonmembers. But as is frequently the case, Mr. Trump did not adhere to the established norms, according to several American and European officials who were in the room.

He complained that European governments were not spending enough on the shared costs of defense, leaving the United States to carry an outsize burden. He expressed frustration that European leaders would not, on the spot, pledge to spend more. And he appeared not to grasp the details when several tried to explain to him that spending levels were set by parliaments in individual countries, the American and European officials said.

Then, at another leaders gathering at the same summit meeting, Mr. Trump appeared to be taken by surprise by Jens Stoltenberg, the NATO secretary general.

Backing Mr. Trump’s position, Mr. Stoltenberg pushed allies to increase their spending and praised the United States for leading by example — including by increasing its military spending in Europe. At that, according to one official who was in the room, Mr. Trump whipped his head around and glared at American officials behind him, surprised by Mr. Stoltenberg’s remarks and betraying ignorance of his administration’s own spending plans.

Mr. Trump appeared especially annoyed, officials in the meeting said, with Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany and her country’s military spending of 1 percent of its gross domestic product.

By comparison, the United States’ military spending is about 4 percent of G.D.P., and Mr. Trump has railed against allies for not meeting the NATO spending goal of 2 percent of economic output. At the summit meeting, he surprised the leaders by demanding 4 percent — a move that would essentially put the goal out of reach for many alliance members. He also threatened that the United States would “go its own way” in 2019 if military spending from other NATO countries did not rise.

During the middle of a speech by Ms. Merkel, Mr. Trump again broke protocol by getting up and leaving, sending ripples of shock across the room, according to American and European officials who were there. But before he left, the president walked behind Ms. Merkel and interrupted her speech to call her a great leader. Startled and relieved that Mr. Trump had not continued his berating of the leaders, the people in the room clapped.

In the end, the NATO leaders publicly papered over their differences to present a unified front. But both European leaders and American officials emerged from the two days in Brussels shaken and worried that Mr. Trump would renew his threat to withdraw from the alliance.

Mr. Trump’s skepticism of NATO appears to be a core belief, administration officials said, akin to his desire to expropriate Iraq’s oil. While officials have explained multiple times why the United States cannot take Iraq’s oil, Mr. Trump returns to the issue every few months.

Similarly, just when officials think the issue of NATO membership has been settled, Mr. Trump again brings up his desire to leave the alliance.

Any move by Mr. Trump against NATO would most likely invite a response by Congress. American policy toward Russia is the one area where congressional Republicans have consistently bucked Mr. Trump, including with new sanctions on Moscow and by criticizing his warm July 16 news conference with Mr. Putin in Helsinki, Finland.

Members of NATO may withdraw after a notification period of a year, under Article 13 of the Washington Treaty. Such a delay would give Congress time to try blocking any attempt by Mr. Trump to leave.

“It’s alarming that the president continues to falsely assert that NATO does not contribute to the overall safety of the United States or the international community,” said Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a New Hampshire Democrat who is among the lawmakers who support legislation to stop Mr. Trump from withdrawing from the military alliance. “The Senate knows better and stands ready to defend NATO.”

NATO’s popularity with the public continues to be strong. But the alliance has become a more partisan issue, with Democrats showing strong enthusiasm and Republican support softening, according to a survey by the Ronald Reagan Institute.

Kay Bailey Hutchison, Washington’s ambassador to NATO and a former Republican senator, has sought to build support for the alliance in Congress, including helping to organize a bipartisan group of backers.

But even if Congress moved to block a withdrawal, a statement by Mr. Trump that he wanted to leave would greatly damage NATO. Allies feeling threatened by Russia already have extreme doubts about whether Mr. Trump would order troops to come to their aid.

In his resignation letter last month, Mr. Mattis specifically cited his own commitment to America’s alliances in an implicit criticism of Mr. Trump’s principles. Mr. Mattis originally said he would stay through the next NATO meeting at the end of February, but Mr. Trump pushed him out before the new year.

Acting Defense Secretary Patrick M. Shanahan is believed to support the alliance. But he has also pointedly said he thinks that the Pentagon should not be “the Department of No” to the president.

European and American officials said the presence of Mr. Mattis, a former top NATO commander, had reassured allies that a senior Trump administration official had their back. His exit from the Pentagon has increased worries among some European diplomats that the safety blanket has now been lost.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/p ... ule=inline

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HEALTH CARE

Trump wants to bypass Congress on Medicaid plan

Block grants for states would achieve conservative dream on health program for poor.


By RACHANA PRADHAN and DAN DIAMOND 01/11/2019 05:14 PM EST Updated 01/11/2019 06:15 PM EST

The Trump administration is quietly devising a plan bypassing Congress to give block grants to states for Medicaid, achieving a longstanding conservative dream of reining in spending on the health care safety net for the poor.

Three administration sources say the Trump administration is drawing up guidelines on what could be a major overhaul of Medicaid in some states. Instead of the traditional open-ended entitlement, states would get spending limits, along with more flexibility to run the low-income health program that serves nearly 75 million Americans, from poor children, to disabled people, to impoverished seniors in nursing homes.

Capping spending could mean fewer low-income people getting covered, or state-designated cutbacks in health benefits — although proponents of block grants argue that states would be able to spend the money smarter with fewer federal strings attached.

Aware of the political sensitivity, the administration has been deliberating and refining the plan for weeks, hoping to advance an idea that Republicans since the Reagan era have unsuccessfully championed in Congress against stiff opposition from Democrats and patient advocates. During the Obamacare repeal debate in 2017, Republican proposals to cap and shrink federal Medicaid spending helped galvanize public opposition, with projections showing millions would be forced off coverage.

In addition to potential legal obstacles presented by moving forward without Congress, the administration effort could face strong opposition from newly empowered House Democrats who've vowed to investigate the administration's health care moves.

“Hell no,” Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) wrote on Twitter on Friday evening, vowing to oppose the administration’s block grant plan “through legislation, in the courts, holding up Administration nominees, literally every means that a U.S. Senator has.”

The administration's plan remains a work in progress, and sources said the scope is still unclear. It's not yet known whether CMS would encourage states to seek strict block grants or softer spending caps, or if new limits could apply to all Medicaid populations — including nursing home patients — or just a smaller subset like working-age adults.

A spokesperson for CMS did not comment on the administration's plans but indicated support for the concept of block grants.

“We believe strongly in the important role that states play in fostering innovation in program design and financing,” the spokesperson said. “We also believe that only when states are held accountable to a defined budget — can the federal government finally end our practice of micromanaging every administrative process."

Republicans have sought to rein in Medicaid spending, especially as enrollment swelled under Obamacare’s expansion of the program to millions of low-income adults in recent years. CMS Administrator Seema Verma has warned increased spending on the Medicaid expansion population could force cutbacks on sicker, lower-income patients who rely on the program.

The administration wants to let states use waivers to reshape their Medicaid programs, but the effort could face legal challenges in the courts. Waivers approved by the Trump administration to allow the first-ever Medicaid work requirements for some enrollees, for example, are already being challenged in two states.

Also complicating the administration’s push: the newfound popularity of Medicaid, which has grown to cover about one in five Americans. Voters in three GOP-led states in November approved ballot measures to expand Medicaid, which has been adopted by about two-thirds of states. Newly elected Democratic governors in Kansas and Wisconsin are pushing their Republican-led legislatures to expand Medicaid this year.

Verma has been trying to insert block grant language into federal guidance for months but has encountered heave scrutiny from agency lawyers, two CMS staffers said. She mentioned interest in using her agency’s authority to pursue block grants during a meeting with state Medicaid directors in the fall but did not provide details, said two individuals who attended.

There is some precedent for the federal government capping its spending on the entitlement program. Former President George W. Bush's health department approved Medicaid spending caps in Rhode Island and Vermont that would have made the states responsible for all costs over defined limits. However, those spending caps were set so high there was never really any risk of the states blowing through them.

In recent years, governors have complained about the rising costs of Medicaid, which is eating up a bigger share of their budgets. States jointly finance the program with the federal government, which on average covers 60 percent of the cost – though the federal government typically shoulders more of the burden in poorer states. The federal government covers a much higher share of the cost for Medicaid enrollees covered by the Obamacare expansion.

An official from a conservative state, speaking on background to discuss an effort not yet public, said states would consider a block grant as long as the federal government's guidance isn't overly prescriptive.

CMS is hoping to make an announcement early this year, but it could be further delayed by legal review, which has already been slowed by the prolonged government shutdown.

Some conservative experts said the administration’s plans ultimately may be limited by Medicaid statute, which requires the federal government to match state costs. However, they say the federal government can still try to stem costs by approving program caps.

“There’s no direct provision of authority to waive the way that the federal government pays the states,” said Joe Antos of the American Enterprise Institute, a right-leaning think tank. “However, that doesn’t mean that you can’t try to have some of the effects that people that like block grants would like to see, in terms of encouraging states to be more prudent with the ways they spend the money.”

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/ ... an-1078885

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UK’s May faces no-confidence vote after Brexit plan crushed

By JILL LAWLESS, GREGORY KATZ and RAF CASERT

2 hours ago

LONDON (AP) — British lawmakers overwhelmingly rejected Prime Minister Theresa May’s divorce deal with the European Union on Tuesday, plunging the Brexit process into chaos and triggering a no-confidence vote that could topple her government.

The defeat was widely expected, but the scale of the House of Commons’ vote — 432 votes against the government and 202 in support — was devastating for May’s fragile leadership.

It followed more than two years of political upheaval in which May has staked her political reputation on getting a Brexit deal and was the biggest defeat for a government in the House of Commons in modern history.

Moments after the result was announced — with Speaker John Bercow bellowing “the noes have it” to a packed Commons chamber — May said it was only right to test whether the government still had lawmakers’ support to carry on. Opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn quickly obliged, saying May’s government had lost the confidence of Parliament.

Lawmakers will vote Wednesday on his motion of no-confidence. If the government loses, it will have 14 days to overturn the result or face a national election.

Although May lacks an overall majority in Parliament, she looks likely to survive the vote unless lawmakers from her Conservative party rebel. Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party, which props up May’s government, said it would support her.

“The House has spoken and the government will listen,” May said after the vote, which leaves her Brexit plan on life support just 10 weeks before the country is due to leave the EU on March 29.

May promised to consult lawmakers on future moves, but gave little indication of what she plans to do next. Parliament has given the government until Monday to come up with a new proposal.

She faces a stark choice: Steer the country toward an abrupt “no-deal” break with the EU or try to nudge it toward a softer departure. Meanwhile, lawmakers from both government and opposition parties are trying to wrest control of the Brexit process from a paralyzed government, so that lawmakers by majority vote can specify a new plan for Britain’s EU exit.

But with no clear majority in Parliament for any single alternate course, there is a growing chance that Britain may seek to postpone its departure date while politicians work on a new plan — or even hand the decision back to voters in a new referendum on EU membership.

“If you can’t resolve the impasse here in Westminster, than you have to refer it back to the people,” said Labour Party lawmaker Chuka Umunna, who supports a second referendum.

May, who had postponed a vote on the deal in December to avoid certain defeat, had implored lawmakers to back her deal and deliver on voters’ decision in 2016 to leave the EU.

But the deal was doomed by deep opposition from both sides of the divide over U.K.’s place in the bloc. Pro-Brexit lawmakers say the deal will leave Britain bound indefinitely to EU rules, while pro-EU politicians favor an even closer economic relationship with Europe.

The most contentious section of the deal was an insurance policy known as the “backstop” designed to prevent the reintroduction of border controls between the U.K.’s Northern Ireland and EU member Ireland. Assurances from EU leaders that the backstop is intended as a temporary measure of last resort completely failed to win over many British skeptics.

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Two and a half years after the referendum, Britain remains divided over how, and whether, to leave the EU.

As lawmakers debated in the chamber, there was a cacophony of chants, drums and music from rival bands of pro-EU and pro-Brexit protesters outside. One group waved blue-and-yellow EU flags, the other brandished “Leave Means Leave” placards.

Inside, the government and opposition parties ordered lawmakers to cancel all other plans to be on hand for the crucial vote. Labour legislator Tulip Siddiq delayed the scheduled cesarean birth of her son so she could attend, arriving in a wheelchair

Some Conservatives want May to seek further talks with EU leaders on changes before bringing a tweaked version of the bill back to Parliament, even though EU officials insist the 585-page withdrawal agreement cannot be renegotiated.

Tim Bale, professor of politics at Queen Mary University of London, said May was unlikely to get changes to her deal from that could “placate her Brexiteers.”

“Or, she reaches out to Labour and goes for a softer Brexit than most Brexiteers would contemplate” — but which the EU might accept, Bale said.

Frustrated EU leaders called on May to make her intentions clear on the future of Brexit.

“Now, it is time for the U.K. to tell us the next steps,” said Michel Barnier, the bloc’s chief negotiator.

European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker — who returned to Brussels late Tuesday to deal with fallout from the vote — said the rejection of May’s deal had increased “the risk of a disorderly withdrawal of the United Kingdom.”

“Time is almost up,” he said.

Economists warn that an abrupt break from the EU could batter the British economy and bring chaotic scenes at borders, ports and airports. Business groups expressed alarm at the prospect of a “no-deal” exit.

“Every business will feel no-deal is hurtling closer,” said Carolyn Fairbairn, director-general of the Confederation of British Industry. “A new plan is needed immediately.”

European Council President Donald Tusk highlighted the quagmire the U.K. had sunk into, and hinted that the best solution might be for Britain not to leave.

“If a deal is impossible, and no one wants no deal, then who will finally have the courage to say what the only positive solution is?” he tweeted.

https://www.apnews.com/544adda6dd594190a7b60437d146b95c

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For the first time, Coast Guard not receiving a paycheck amid partial government shutdown

By TESSA WEINBERG Jan 15, 2019, 3:02 PM ET

Adm. Karl Schultz, the Coast Guard commandant, tweeted Tuesday that the Coast Guard would not be receiving their regularly scheduled mid-month paycheck.

"To the best of my knowledge, this marks the first time in our Nation’s history that servicemembers in a U.S. Armed Force have not been paid during a lapse in government

Schultz said he recognizes the "anxiety and uncertainty" Coast Guard members are feeling and shared that Coast Guard Mutual Assistance, a nonprofit that assists members in financial need, received a $15 million donation from USAA, a financial services group that supports the military community and their families. The American Red Cross will also assist in distributing funds to military and civilian members in need.

The commandant said he was grateful for the support shown to the Coast Guard.

"The strength of our Service has, and always will be, our people. You have proven time and again the ability to rise above adversity. Stay the course, stand the watch, and serve with pride. You are not, and will not, be forgotten," he wrote in his letter to Coast Guard members.

On Dec. 31, the Coast Guard doled out a one-time emergency payment to approximately 42,000 active duty service members. The Department of Homeland Security, which the Coast Guard is a part of, is not funded during the partial government shutdown, which is in its fourth week and is the longest-running shutdown in history. Coast Guard members have had to work without pay, unlike members in other branches of the U.S. military that fall under the Defense Department, which already has funding approved.

The Coast Guard warned members in a Dec. 28 post on the Coast Guard All Hands blog that the one-time emergency payment would not guarantee a paycheck Jan. 15.

"Meeting active duty and reserve military payroll for January 2019 will require a fiscal year 2019 appropriation, a continuing resolution, or passage of an alternative measure," the blog post said.

Legislation has been introduced in both the House and Senate seeking to fund the Coast Guard if the shutdown persists.

Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen tweeted Tuesday that she is working with the White House and Congress to pass legislation to reinstate funding for the Coast Guard.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/time-co ... d=60396964

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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[ REMEMBER THIS ONE - TRUMP GOT THIS ONE RIGHT ]

Midterm results open door to more oversight of President Trump


Originally published November 7, 2018 at 1:32 am Updated November 7, 2018 at 1:14 pm

WASHINGTON – Democrats seized control of the House while Republicans held the Senate on Tuesday in a national referendum on President Donald Trump that drew record numbers of voters to the polls and opened the door to tougher oversight of the White House over the next two years.

The dramatic conclusion of the most expensive and consequential midterms in modern times fell short of delivering the sweeping repudiation of Trump wished for by Democrats and the “resistance” movement. But Democrats’ takeover in the House still portended serious changes in Washington, as the party prepared to block Trump’s agenda and investigate his personal finances and potential ties to Russia.......................

---“They can play that game, but we can play it better, because we have a thing called the United States Senate,” Trump said, referring to GOP control of the upper chamber. ” . . . I think I’m better at that game than they are, actually, but we’ll find out.”


https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-wor ... -majority/

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McConnell blocks House bill to reopen government for second time (We'll Find Out 1)

BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 01/15/19 11:33 AM EST

Senate Republicans blocked a House-passed package to reopen the federal government for a second time in as many weeks on Tuesday.

Democratic Sens. Chris Van Hollen (Md.) and Ben Cardin (Md.) asked for consent to take up a package of bills that would reopen the federal government.

One bill would fund the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 8, while the other would fund the rest of the impacted departments and agencies through Sept. 30, the end of the fiscal year.

Under Senate rules, any senator can ask for consent to vote on or pass a bill, but any senator can object. McConnell blocked the two bills, saying the Senate wouldn't "participate in something that doesn't lead to an outcome."

McConnell for weeks has said he would not bring legislation to the floor on the shutdown unless there was a deal between President Trump and Democrats on border security, the issue that has triggered the shutdown. McConnell has described other votes as "show votes."

"The solution to this is a negotiation between the one person in the country who can sign something into law, the president of the United States, and our Democratic colleagues," McConnell said Tuesday.

Roughly a quarter of the government has been shut down since Dec. 22 over an entrenched fight on funding for Trump’s proposed wall on the U.S.-Mexico border wall.

The Senate passed a stopgap bill late last year by a voice vote, but it was rejected by the White House because it didn’t include extra border money.

Trump is demanding more than $5 billion for his signature wall. Democratic leadership has pointed to $1.3 billion as their cap and argued that it must go to fencing.

House Democrats passed their package to fully reopen the government earlier this month and have begun passing individual appropriations bills as they try to ratchet up pressure on Republicans to break with the president and support the legislation. But those bills are expected to go nowhere in the GOP-led Senate.

McConnell sought to drive a wedge between Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Democrats earlier Tuesday, characterizing the newly minted House leader as making border security “take a back seat to the political whims of the far left.”

“Here in the Senate my Democratic colleagues have an important choice to make. They could stand with common sense border experts, with federal workers and with their own past voting records, by the way, or they could continue to remain passive spectators complaining from the sidelines, as the Speaker refuses to negotiate with the White House,” McConnell said from the Senate floor.

Talks between Trump and congressional leadership are at a standstill after the president walked out of a White House meeting last week when Pelosi told him that Democrats would not consider border wall funding even if he fully reopened the government.

Democrats are trying to build pressure on McConnell to break with Trump and move legislation, something Senate GOP leadership say the careful Republican leader will not do.

Though several senators are publicly picking their own ideas, Sen. John Thune (S.D.), the No. 2 Senate Republican, said on Tuesday that hasn’t resulted in much pressure from within the caucus for McConnell to change his strategy.

“Our members are, you know, they’re going to make their positions known, nobody will be shy about that,” Thune told reporters. “But in the end, having a vote in the Senate I think has to be on something that not only can pass here but that can be signed into law by the president.”

But Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) urged McConnell to get involved in the talks on Tuesday, touting his previous role as a deal-maker who could resolve sticky political stalemates.

“There's only one person who can help America break through this gridlock: Leader McConnell. For the past month Leader McConnell has been content to hide behind the president, essentially giving him a veto over what comes to the floor of the Senate,” Schumer said.

He added that if McConnell brought up the House bills to fully reopen the government he believed they would receive a “significant,” “veto-proof” majority. McConnell has said the House bills cannot pass the Senate.

Cardin also appealed to McConnell after the GOP senator blocked his request on Tuesday, describing the Senate as “missing in action.”

“We’re a co-equal branch of government. Let us speak about opening government. There are members on both sides who understand that we can debate border security and we can reach agreements, but you can’t do that with a partial government shutdown,” Cardin said.

Several GOP senators have backed either taking up the House bills or passing a continuing resolution (CR) to reopen most or all of the government while Democratic leadership and Trump continue to fight over border security.

A group of Senate Republicans, led by Sen. Lindsey Graham (S.C.), were negotiating last week on a plan to reopen most of the government in exchange for the Senate taking up Trump's border request, including an additional $7 billion sent in a request earlier this month. To help win over Democrats, there were talks about a deal on “Dreamers,” immigrants who came to the country illegally as children.

But those talks derailed, senators said, because of intransigence by Trump and Pelosi. A bipartisan group, involving many of the same senators, also met on Monday night to discuss a similar framework but made little progress toward breaking the shutdown stalemate.

Trump on Monday wasn’t interested in the idea of temporarily reopening the government. But Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), who took part in both talks, said Tuesday that he hoped the president changed his mind.

“We ought to take the president’s request, immediately consider it … add to it whatever we need to do to get a result, send it to him, sign it and in the meantime open the government up,” Alexander told WREC, a Tennessee radio station.

Alexander acknowledged that the idea of reopening the government for roughly three weeks wouldn’t gain traction without Trump’s support, adding, “I’m hoping the president changes his mind. This is the way you get a result.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/425 ... econd-time

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Senate rejects effort to block Trump on Russia sanctions (We'll find out 2)

BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 01/16/19 01:17 PM EST

The Senate on Wednesday narrowly rejected a Democratic-led effort to block President Trump from lifting sanctions against three Russian businesses.

Senators voted 57-42 to end debate on the resolution, falling short of the 60 votes needed. If all Democrats supported the measure, they needed to win over 13 GOP senators.

GOP Sens. John Boozman (Ark.), Susan Collins (Maine), Tom Cotton (Ark.), Steve Daines (Mont.), Cory Gardner (Colo.), Josh Hawley (Mo.), John Kennedy (La.), Martha McSally (Ariz.), Jerry Moran (Kan.), Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Ben Sasse (Neb.) voted to end debate on the resolution and advance it to a final vote.

The Trump administration announced plans late last month to relax sanctions on the three businesses — Rusal, EN+ and EuroSibEnergo — connected to Oleg Deripaska, an oligarch with ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Under the 2017 sanctions bill, Democrats are able to force a vote on a resolution to block the administration from lifting the financial penalties.

Wednesday's vote hands the Trump administration a win after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin was dispatched to Capitol Hill to lobby Congress to squash the resolution.

He met with House Democrats last week and Senate Republicans on Tuesday to make the case that the sanctions against the three companies should be lifted because Deripaska’s ownership in the entities has fallen below 50 percent.

Mnuchin failed to sway enough senators to stop the resolution during an initial vote on Tuesday, where only a simple majority was needed. With Democrats holding 47 seats they had to win over at least four GOP senators on the first vote.

GOP senators who backed the resolution say they were unconvinced that Deripaska wouldn't maintain considerable sway over the companies under the Treasury Department's plan.

"For all intents and purposes between his shares, the independent shares that the Russian state-owned bank control and various other individual shareholders, I still think he retains operational control," Rubio told reporters ahead of the initial vote. "So they’re going to have to do better.”

Kennedy added afterward that he voted to advance the resolution "because the principal involved is a gangster."

But Tuesday's 57-42 vote still left Democrats a few votes shy of being able to defeat the expected filibuster. Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) urged Republicans to support the resolution to block the sanctions from being lifted if they believe that Putin is a "thug."

"I'd like to make a direct appeal to my Republican friends who are wondering about this. … Do you believe America should take a tough line on Putin or do you think we should go easy on Putin and his cronies? From where I'm standing that's an easy choice," Schumer said.

The vote in the Senate means that the Trump administration will be able to lift the Russia sanctions.

Though House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said this week that he would introduce a resolution in that chamber to block the financial penalties from being nixed, both chambers would need to pass a resolution of disapproval by Thursday in order to block the administration from lifting sanctions.

House Democrats have asked for an extension from the Treasury Department, but Mnuchin declined to discuss the issue with reporters.

The Russia sanctions resolution is the first piece of legislation the Senate has debated since the start of the 116th Congress. Democrats have blocked a separate GOP foreign policy bill three times, arguing lawmakers should be focused on ending the partial government shutdown.

Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) knocked Democrats on Wednesday accusing them of trying to blow up an agreement negotiated by the Trump administration in order to "make a political splash."

"Political obstruction is their top priority. Everything else follows from that," McConnell said.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/425 ... -sanctions

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CONGRESS

‘She’s satin and steel’: Pelosi wages war on Trump

Pelosi’s move to derail Trump’s State of the Union address underscores her aggressive challenge to the president.


By JOHN BRESNAHAN, HEATHER CAYGLE and RACHAEL BADE 01/16/2019 07:39 PM EST

Donald Trump may have finally met his match in Nancy Pelosi.

As the partial government shutdown grinds on with no end in sight, the struggle between the president and the speaker is becoming an unprecedented political fight — with the fallout likely to extend far beyond this episode.

Pelosi privately refers to Trump as the “Whiner in chief." She’s questioned his manhood. She calls out Trump’s lies to his face and openly wonders whether he’s fit for the job. She mocks Trump for his privileged upbringing and his lack of empathy for the less fortunate. She jokes with other senior Democrats that if the American public saw how Trump acts in private, they’d “want to make a citizen’s arrest.”

And in effectively rescinding Trump’s invitation to address Congress for the annual State of the Union address, as she did Wednesday, Pelosi has pulled her most aggressive gambit yet.


After more than two years of Trump’s whipsaw presidency, Pelosi is saying what perhaps every Democrat feels should be said to Trump: No, no and no.

While Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) blocked many Trump initiatives during the last Congress, Pelosi is the first leader able and willing to really challenge Trump since he took office. And with control of the House and public polls firmly on her side in the shutdown fight, Pelosi is empowered to act. Unlike the Republicans on Capitol Hill, Trump can't really hurt her, back home or on Capitol Hill.

Pelosi’s letter Wednesday to Trump suggesting he reschedule his address until the government shutdown ends was a stunning rebuke for the president. Pelosi even told Trump he could simply send a letter to Congress instead, like presidents did in the 1800s.

“Sadly, given the security concerns and unless government re-opens this week, I suggest that we work together to determine another suitable date after government has re-opened for this address or for you to consider delivering your State of the Union address in writing to the Congress on January 29th,” Pelosi wrote, with mild-mannered language that belied the explosive maneuver.


It was a daring move, one that appeared to catch the White House off guard. While it could backfire on Pelosi by making some Republican Trump skeptics more sympathetic to the president, it also showed exactly how Pelosi operates. She’s tough and wily, with a ruthless streak that Democrats who have crossed her readily acknowledge. She’s not afraid of Trump, and she’s capable of surprising moves that keep opponents off balance.

“She’s satin and steel. He’s just untethered,” said Rep. Anna Eshoo (D-Calif.), a longtime Pelosi friend and political ally.

"She’s just a badass," added Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.). "There is some truth when she says, ‘I’m a grandmother, I know a temper tantrum when I see it.’"


Pelosi is planning to make Trump’s life difficult on a host of other fronts as well, targeting everything from his business dealings to his personal life to Russia. Every issue the president has tried to avoid the last two years — while shielded by the GOP-controlled Congress — is fair game for Pelosi and her fellow Democrats, and they're happily trampling through those fields right now.

The House Oversight Committee has called Michael Cohen, Trump's former personal lawyer, to testify on Feb. 7, a month before Cohen heads to prison. Cohen is expected to dish on payments made to women Trump allegedly had affairs with to buy their silence during the 2016 presidential campaign.

The House Judiciary Committee has scheduled a Feb. 8 appearance for Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker, where he will be grilled over how he’s handled special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and potential Trump campaign ties to the Kremlin.

And on Wednesday, the General Services Administration's inspector general said in a report that the agency "improperly ignored" concerns that Trump's lease on the Old Post Office — where the Trump International Hotel is — may violate the Constitution. The IG's findings are a gift to Democrats, who already planned to investigate the lease.

"Anybody's relationship with Trump is difficult, but not because they want it to be," said Oversight Chairman Elijah Cummings (D-Md.). "Listening to her, I believe that [Pelosi] has truly approached this with integrity and straightforwardness. And she's just not sure who she's dealing with. You never know with Trump, from one hour to the next."

As the shock from Pelosi's State of the Union announcement was still reverberating throughout the Capitol, House Republicans railed against the California Democrat. But being in the House minority means they're powerless to stop her. (Is the shoe on the other foot?)

"What the speaker is doing is making it all political. I think what the American public wants us to do is actually find common ground, to find compromise," House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said.

Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.) complained Pelosi "was part of the ‘Resist’ movement that didn’t want to acknowledge that [Trump] got elected. And they got the majority on an agenda of blocking anything the president wanted to do."

Trump, for the most part, has refrained from publicly attacking Pelosi; Schumer, aka “Cryin’ Chuck,” has been a more frequent target of his Twitter barbs.

But Pelosi is starting to get under the president’s skin. In recent days, Trump has started mentioning Pelosi more often on Twitter.

“Why is Nancy Pelosi getting paid when people who are working are not?” Trump asked his followers on Tuesday.

Pelosi hit right back at him, tweeting: “.@realDonaldTrump, stop holding the paychecks of 800,000 Americans hostage. There is no reason for them to be suffering right now. Re-open the government! #TrumpShutdown."


Schumer didn't want to comment on Pelosi or Trump when asked about their relationship Wednesday. But he did make clear — once again — that Democrats won't negotiate any border security funding until federal agencies are back in operation.

"Democrats House and Senate are united," Schumer told reporters. "We have three words for President Trump, Mitch McConnell, Leader McCarthy: Open the government. We are all united and we’re finding Republicans are beginning to join us."

Meanwhile, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.), himself an occasional Pelosi sparring partner over the years, said Trump is woefully misjudging the longtime Democratic leader if he thinks she can be bullied or pushed around.

"Oh, no, no, no," Hoyer said. "She doesn’t back down to anybody."

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/ ... si-1106624

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1. BAD TIMING

Pence Insists ISIS Has Been Defeated Same Day Terror Group Claims Syria Attack


THE VIDEO


https://youtu.be/Rzn65KFPNDw


Vice President Mike Pence on Wednesday claimed that ISIS “has been defeated,” just hours after four Americans were killed in an attack in Syria that ISIS later claimed. Early Wednesday, a suicide bomber in the Syrian town of Manbij reportedly killed 16 people at a local restaurant, including two U.S. troops, one Department of Defense civilian, and one contractor supporting DOD work. ISIS later claimed responsibility for the attack. Nevertheless, Pence told the Global Chiefs of Mission conference that “The caliphate has crumbled and ISIS has been defeated,” and made no mention of the suicide bombing during his talk. Pence also backed Trump’s controversial decision to pull out of the war-torn nation, arguing that “Thanks to the leadership of this commander in chief and the courage and sacrifice of our armed forces, we’re now actually able to begin to hand off the fight against ISIS in Syria to our coalition partners and we’re bringing our troops home.” A White House official later told CNN that “The White House hadn’t publicly confirmed the deaths at the time he spoke.”

https://www.thedailybeast.com/pence-ins ... ria-attack

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Graham says Trump's Syria withdrawal 'set in motion enthusiasm' by ISIS

BY REBECCA KHEEL - 01/16/19 12:42 PM EST

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) said Wednesday that President Trump's announced withdrawal from Syria has emboldened the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) after the terrorist group took credit for a suicide bombing that killed American troops.

“My concern by the statements made by President Trump is that you have set in motion enthusiasm by the enemy we’re fighting,” Graham said while chairing an unrelated Judiciary Committee hearing Wednesday. “So I would hope the president would look long and hard of where he’s headed in Syria.”

Earlier Wednesday, the ISIS took credit for a suicide bombing at a restaurant in a busy market area in the northern Syrian town of Manbij.

The U.S.-led coalition fighting ISIS confirmed U.S. troops were killed in the attack, but did not say how many.

The attack comes roughly a month after Trump announced he ordered a withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria. At the time, he claimed ISIS was defeated and said troops were coming home “now.”

Trump and the administration later walked that back, saying the withdrawal would happen more slowly and be tailored to conditions on the ground.

Graham, who is typically a Trump ally, was among the most vocal critics of Trump’s decision to withdraw. Graham warned that he was making an “Obama-like mistake,” an apparent reference to the 2011 withdrawal from Iraq.

Graham later said he felt better about Trump’s Syria plans after a White House meeting, saying “the president understands the need to finish the job."

But on Wednesday, Graham again compared the situation in Syria to Iraq

“We saw this in Iraq. And I’m now seeing it in Syria,” he said.

Graham said U.S. troops gave the people at the restaurant “the space” to be there and that the United States needs to remain committed to helping those who want to fight ISIS.

“Every American wants our troops to come home, but I now think all of us want to make sure that when they do come home, we’re safe,” he said. “I know people are frustrated. But we’re never going to be safe here unless we’re willing to help people over there who will stand against this radical ideology.”

“So to those who lost their lives today in Syria, you were defending America, in my view,” he added later. “To those in Syria who are trying to work together, you’re providing the best and only hope to your country. I hope the president will look long and hard about what we’re doing in Syria.”

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4256 ... sm-by-isis

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Coulter: Trump 'dead in the water' if he caves on wall

BY BRETT SAMUELS - 01/16/19 07:17 AM EST

Conservative commentator Ann Coulter in a new interview criticized President Trump for failing to negotiate an end to the ongoing partial government shutdown, but warned he's "dead in the water" if he fails to build a wall along the southern border, Newsweek reported early Wednesday.

Coulter reportedly told HBO's "Vice News Tonight" that she supports Trump standing his ground during the shutdown over his demand for more than $5 billion to fund the border wall.

“It is self-preservation because he is dead in the water if he does not build that wall. Dead, dead, dead," she said.

“More Americans die from drug overdose every year than died in the entire course of the Vietnam War, and the vast majority of those drugs are being brought in because we have a wide-open border,” she added. "I care more about that than I care about the Yosemite gift shop being open."

Newsweek reported that Coulter, who previously said she expected Trump to "fold" in negotiations over wall funding, lamented that the president had not already followed through on his signature campaign promise to build the wall, saying his negotiating skills "“turns out [to] have been exaggerated.”

Roughly 25 percent of the federal government has been shuttered for nearly four weeks as Trump demands funding for the border wall, something Democrats have staunchly opposed. The president is set to meet with members of Congress on Wednesday, though a breakthrough does not appear imminent.

Rep. Jackie Speier (D-Calif.) on Tuesday urged Coulter to tell Trump that "it's OK" to fully reopen the federal government, a nod to the influence conservative personalities have on the White House.

https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing ... es-on-wall

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Ocasio-Cortez and freshmen Dems seek out McConnell in bid to end shutdown

BY ALEXANDER BOLTON - 01/16/19 03:53 PM EST

Fast-rising freshman Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and a group of fellow freshmen Democrats marched to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s (R-Ky.) office Wednesday afternoon to hand-deliver a letter urging him to help reopen shuttered federal agencies.

The unorthodox move caused a media circus on the Senate side of the Capitol on what was otherwise a sleepy afternoon with little action on the Senate floor.

Ocasio-Cortez said the message to McConnell was to “reopen the government” and bring a House package to fund federal agencies “to a vote.”

The letter has been signed by more than 30 House freshmen, a majority of the class.

Tourists thronging the Capitol Rotunda were startled by the group marching across the Capitol campus, with many recognizing Ocasio-Cortez on sight. She became an overnight sensation after defeating longtime Democratic leader Joseph Crowley (D) in a primary last year.

"Oh my god, this is your life!" exclaimed Rep. Veronica Escobar (D-Texas) to Ocasio-Cortez when she saw all the excitement caused by her colleague's walk across the Capitol.

The group was met in McConnell’s reception area by his deputy chief of staff, Don Stewart, who accepted the letter and promised to deliver it to the GOP leader.

“I said I’m happy to give it to the leader, as I do with every single letter that comes into this office,” he said.

The freshmen Democrats then left McConnell’s office and huddled outside the Old Senate Chamber.

They decided they would then deliver the letter to the Senate GOP cloakroom and to McConnell’s personal office in the Russell Senate Office Building. The problem, however, was they didn’t have enough copies.

McConnell’s staff offered the use of their copy machine.

“They didn’t make a copy of their letter so we’re making a copy for them,” Stewart said.

The freshmen then marched in the direction of the Senate chamber to deliver copies to the Senate Republican cloakroom, encountering there some confusion over the correct entrance to the room.

Ocasio-Cortez was then stopped as she tried to enter the chamber and asked to remove a big blue and white political button from her lapel, as such items are prohibited from being displayed on the Senate floor.

The group sat for a while on the benches lined along the back wall of the chamber but there wasn’t any action on the Senate floor and they soon got up.

The freshmen then split up, with a smaller group going to Russell to find McConnell’s personal office.

“We wanted to make sure he gets the letter,” said Rep. Susie Lee (D-Nev.), who helped organize the effort. “We just wanted to see if we could get it to as many places as he would receive it.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4257 ... d-shutdown

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GLOBAL

Theresa May Lives to Fight Another Day. But for What?


The British prime minister narrowly survived a no-confidence vote, but no one knows what comes next for the U.K.

YASMEEN SERHAN 3:25 PM ET

LONDON—Less than 24 hours after suffering a historic defeat against her Brexit deal, British Prime Minister Theresa May survived another vote of no confidence on Wednesday, ensuring that she’ll survive to fight another day.

But there is little cause for celebration: More than two years after Britain voted to leave the European Union, its lawmakers are still hopelessly divided. Questions remain over how, or even if, that departure should happen. There isn’t a parliamentary majority to support the deal as it stands, nor are there enough lawmakers willing to countenance letting the country leave the EU without a deal.

Absent an alternative plan, however, none of that really matters—if a transitional deal with the EU is not approved by March 29, or if some other compromise is not found, then Britain will leave the bloc by default.

To avoid this scenario, the British government needs a new strategy—and its options are limited. Whatever Britain’s fate will be, it must be decided in the next couple of months. Here are the big questions that remain:

1. What will May do next?

In the wake of her Brexit deal being defeated on Tuesday, May told the House of Commons that she plans to hold cross-party talks with senior lawmakers to see if they can reach a “genuinely negotiable” compromise that can command Parliament’s support.

Still, it’s unclear just how far the prime minister is willing to go. Addressing lawmakers on Wednesday, May signaled that she would rule out a so-called soft Brexit preferred by some Labour lawmakers, which would see the country maintain closer links to the EU’s trade rules and regulations after it formally leaves the bloc.

“As things stand right now, the prospects for some sort of cross-party approach to try and find their way out of this mess are pretty meager,” John Springford, the deputy director of the London-based Centre for European Reform, told me. “It requires unprecedented cross-party work, which aren’t really in character for either [the opposition leader] Jeremy Corbyn or for Theresa May.”

While a new British consensus would be welcomed by the EU, which has repeatedly called on Britain to clarify its position, it almost certainly wouldn’t lead to the reopening of negotiations over the transitional deal, which concluded late last year. The best London can hope for is to update the political declaration, a nonbinding part of the agreement that sets out the framework of the United Kingdom and the EU’s future relationship.

This means that some of the most controversial aspects of the deal, such as the Irish backstop—a mechanism designed to prevent a hard border on the island of Ireland that some British lawmakers fear could could keep Britain beholden to EU trade rules and regulations indefinitely—would remain unchanged. Though French President Emmanuel Macron said on Tuesday that the EU might be willing to “make improvements on one or two things,” substantial changes to the agreement are unlikely. “We’ve reached the maximum of what we could do with the deal and we won’t, just to solve Britain’s domestic political issues, stop defending European interests,” Macron said.

2. Will Corbyn back a second Brexit referendum?

Now that a general election is off the cards—for now—the question facing Corbyn, the leader of the Labour Party, is what he plans to do next.

So far, he has resisted calls for him to swing the party’s support behind the so-called People’s Vote, a campaign that advocates for another referendum. A lifelong Euroskeptic, Corbyn is unlikely to pivot from his current strategy of simply opposing the government’s Brexit plan.

But as support for a second vote increases, some Labour parliamentarians have begun voicing their impatience. “This is not the time for further pussyfooting around or hesitation by Labour,” David Lammy, a Labour lawmaker and People’s Vote advocate, said Tuesday in a statement. Calling for his party to actively campaign for a new referendum, he added, “Our supporters and members now need the opposition to act.”

3. Will Britain leave the EU by March 29?

Under the EU Withdrawal Act, Britain will leave the EU on March 29 by default, with or without a deal. The vast majority are opposed to leaving without a deal—and have signaled their willingness to request an extension to Article 50, the EU’s time-limited exit procedure, to prevent it. (Though May told the House of Commons on Tuesday that she does not believe the country should delay its exit from the EU, she crucially didn’t rule out an Article 50 extension, either.)

Though prolonging the U.K.’s departure would require the unanimous consent of the EU’s 27 other member states, the bloc is already treating this option as the most likely scenario. “What is apparent is that [May] is going to struggle to deliver Brexit by the 29th of March,” Neena Gill, a Labour Party member of the European Parliament, told me. “An extension to July is a real possibility.”

With or without an extension, Britain has few options: Leave the EU with May’s negotiated deal (or a variation of it), leave the EU without a deal, or not to leave the EU at all.

“There are three paths,” Henry Newman, the director of the London-based Open Europe, told me, “all of which seem impossible.”

https://www.theatlantic.com/internation ... es/580645/

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

1518

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TRAVELING VIOLATION

[ BELIEVE IT ! HE ACTUALLY DID IT ! ]

[ THIS IS YOUR PRESIDENT :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops: :oops: ]

What Trump Just Wrecked By Canceling Pelosi’s Trip to Afghanistan

‘We’re still gathering information just like you,’ one Pentagon official told The Daily Beast. ‘We are trying to figure out what is going on.’


Erin Banco, Sam Stein, Lachlan Markay 01.17.19 5:11 PM ET

For more than three weeks, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her staff had quietly planned an international trip to Brussels and Afghanistan to check in on America’s longest war. Like most congressional delegations—“CODELs”—it was time-consuming work, involving coordination between numerous agencies, stakeholders, and international officials along with extra security briefings because of the danger of the destination.

Pelosi’s chief of staff worked with a liaison from the U.S. Air Force who was the lead in setting up travel arrangements and the itinerary for the trip. Senior officials at the Pentagon also had been read in on the speaker’s plans, especially those regarding her visit to war-torn Afghanistan, where extra security was needed for her time in Kabul. Two senior officials on the ground in Afghanistan said they received the itinerary for the trip, as they do other congressional trips, weeks in advance and held it close to the chest. Fellow members of Congress made similar accommodations as they prepared to accompany the Speaker on the CODEL.

And then, with minutes to go before they departed, President Trump pulled the plug.

"I am sorry to inform you that your trip to Brussels, Egypt, and Afghanistan has been postponed," Trump wrote, in a letter to Pelosi. "We will reschedule this seven-day excursion when the Shutdown is over."

"Obviously, if you would like to make your journey by flying commercial, that would certainly be your prerogative," Trump wrote.


Trump’s stated reason in cancelling the CODEL was the fact that the government remains shut down. But the more obvious explanation was that the president had been searching for a way to fire back at the Speaker after she had informed him that his State of the Union address would be postponed until a resolution on the shutdown was reached.

Left unappreciated by the back and forth was just how impulsive the president’s swift response truly was.

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https://www.thedailybeast.com/what-trum ... n?ref=home

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Trump grounds Pelosi after she imperils his big speech

By CATHERINE LUCEY, MATTHEW LEE, ZEKE MILLER and LISA MASCARO

32 minutes ago

WASHINGTON (AP) — She imperiled his State of the Union address. He denied her a plane to visit troops abroad.

The shutdown battle between President Donald Trump and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is playing out as a surreal game of constitutional brinkmanship, with both flexing their political powers from opposite ends of Pennsylvania Avenue as the negotiations to end the monthlong partial government shutdown remain stalled.

In dramatic fashion, Trump issued a letter to Pelosi on Thursday, just before she and other lawmakers were set to depart on the previously undisclosed trip to Afghanistan and Brussels. Trump belittled the trip as a “public relations event” — even though he had just made a similar warzone stop — and said it would be best if Pelosi remained in Washington to negotiate to reopen the government.

“Obviously, if you would like to make your journey by flying commercial, that would certainly be your prerogative!” concluded Trump, who had been smarting since Pelosi, the day before, called on him to postpone his Jan. 29 State of the Union address due to the shutdown.

Denying military aircraft to a senior lawmaker — let alone the speaker, who is second in line to the White House, traveling to a combat region — is very rare. Lawmakers were caught off guard. A bus to ferry the legislators to their departure idled outside the Capitol on Thursday afternoon.

The political tit-for-tat between Trump and Pelosi laid bare how the government-wide crisis has devolved into an intensely pointed clash between two leaders both determined to prevail. It took place as hundreds of thousands of federal workers go without pay and Washington’s routine protocols — a president’s speech to Congress, a lawmaker’s official trip — became collateral damage.

Pelosi spokesman Drew Hammill said the speaker planned to travel to Afghanistan and Brussels to thank service members and obtain briefings on national security and intelligence “from those on the front lines.” He noted Trump had traveled to Iraq during the shutdown and said a Republican-led congressional trip also had taken place.

Trump’s move was the latest example of his extraordinary willingness to tether U.S. government resources to his political needs. He has publicly urged the Justice Department to investigate political opponents and threatened to cut disaster aid to Puerto Rico amid a spat with the island territory’s leaders.

Some Republicans expressed frustration. Sen. Lindsey Graham tweeted, “One sophomoric response does not deserve another.” He called Pelosi’s State of the Union move “very irresponsible and blatantly political” but said Trump’s reaction was “also inappropriate.”

While there were few signs of progress Thursday, Vice President Mike Pence and senior adviser Jared Kushner dashed to the Capitol late in the day for a meeting with Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. And the State Department instructed all U.S. diplomats in Washington and elsewhere to return to work next week with pay, saying it had found money for their salaries at least temporarily.

For security reasons, Pelosi would normally make such a trip on a military aircraft supplied by the Pentagon. According to a defense official, Pelosi did request Defense Department support for overseas travel and it was initially approved. The official wasn’t authorized to speak by name about the matter, so spoke on condition of anonymity.

The official said the president does have the authority to cancel the use of military aircraft.

Rep. Adam Schiff of California slammed Trump for revealing the closely held travel plans. “I think the president’s decision to disclose a trip the speaker’s making to a war zone was completely and utterly irresponsible in every way,” Schiff said.

Trump’s trip to Iraq after Christmas was not disclosed in advance for security reasons.

White House spokeswoman Sarah Huckabee Sanders said Trump wanted Pelosi to stay in Washington before Tuesday, a deadline to prepare the next round of paychecks for federal workers.

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“We want to keep her in Washington,” Sanders said. “The president wants her here to negotiate.”

The White House also canceled plans for a presidential delegation to travel to an economic forum in Switzerland next week, citing the shutdown. And they said future congressional trips would be postponed until the shutdown is resolved, though it was not immediately clear if any such travel — which often is not disclosed in advance — was coming up.

Trump was taken by surprise by Pelosi’s move to postpone his address and told one adviser it was the sort of disruptive move he would make himself, according to a Republican who is in frequent contact with the White House and was not authorized to speak publicly about private conversations.

While he maintained a public silence, Trump grew weary of how Pelosi’s move was being received on cable TV and reiterated fears that he was being outmaneuvered in the public eye. Trump was delighted at the idea of canceling Pelosi’s trip, believing the focus on the resources needed would highlight her hypocrisy for cancelling his speech, according to the Republican.

Trump has still not said how he will handle Pelosi’s attempt to have him postpone his State of the Union address until the government is reopened so workers can be paid for providing security for the grand Washington tradition.

Pelosi told reporters earlier Thursday: “Let’s get a date when government is open. Let’s pay the employees. Maybe he thinks it’s OK not to pay people who do work. I don’t.”

Trump declined to address the stalemate over the speech during a visit Thursday to the Pentagon, simply promising that the nation will have “powerful, strong border security.”

Pelosi reiterated she is willing to negotiate money for border security once the government is reopened, but she said Democrats remain opposed to Trump’s long-promised wall. “I’m not for a wall,” Pelosi said twice, mouthing the statement a third time for effect.

In a notice to staff, the State Department said it can pay most of its employees beginning Sunday or Monday for their next pay period. They will not be paid for time worked since the shutdown began in December until the situation is resolved, said the notice.

The new White House travel ban did not extend to the first family.

About two hours after Trump grounded Pelosi and her delegation, an Air Force-modified Boeing 757 took off from Joint Base Andrews outside Washington with the call sign “Executive One Foxtrot,” reserved for the first family when the president is not traveling with them. It landed just before 7 p.m. at Palm Beach International Airport, less than two miles from the president’s private club.

A White House spokesperson did not answer questions about the flight.

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https://www.apnews.com/fd13507e5acf4babb02320c9499d9412




<
“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

1519


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POLITICS

Nancy Pelosi Cancels Afghanistan Trip After Accusing Trump Of Leaking Travel Plans

The House speaker cited “the grave threats caused by the President’s action.”


By Marina Fang 01/18/2019 10:17 am ET Updated 6 hours ago

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) on Friday officially canceled a congressional delegation trip to Afghanistan after President Donald Trump leaked her travel plans to retaliate against her request to postpone his State of the Union address until after the government shutdown.

“After President Trump revoked the use of military aircraft to travel to Afghanistan, the delegation was prepared to fly commercially to proceed with this vital trip to meet with our commanders and troops on the front lines,” Pelosi’s spokesman Drew Hammill said in a statement. The statement continued:

---“In the middle of the night, the State Department’s Diplomatic Security Service provided an updated threat assessment detailing that the President announcing this sensitive travel had significantly increased danger to the delegation and to the troops, security, and other officials supporting the trip. This morning, we learned that the Administration had leaked the commercial travel plans as well. In light of the grave threats caused by the President’s action, the delegation has decided to postpone the trip so as not to further endanger our troops and security personnel, or the other travelers on the flights.”


Hammill said later in an email that Pelosi canceled the trip after her office found out that multiple administration officials had attempted to leak the congressional delegation’s commercial flight plans through reporters.

The White House did not immediately return a request for comment on Pelosi’s statement.

Later on Friday, the White House announced that under the government shutdown, no congressional lawmakers will be allowed to use “any government owned, rented, leased, or chartered aircraft,” or any executive branch funds for travel without White House approval.

A senior White House official, who would not comment on the record, hotly denied Pelosi’s assertion that Trump’s administration leaked the delegation’s travel plans.

“When the speaker of the House and about 20 others from Capitol Hill decide to book their own commercial flights to Afghanistan, the world is going to find out,” the official said. “The idea we would leak anything that would put the safety and security of any American at risk is a flat-out lie.”

On Thursday, Trump sent a letter to Pelosi canceling the planned congressional delegation trip aboard a government plane to visit troops in Afghanistan, and suggested she and the congressional delegation take commercial flights instead. Trips like these are typically kept top-secret due to security concerns, so Trump’s tit-for-tat letter canceling the trip had the effect of revealing the trip’s details.

Trump’s petty letter to Pelosi on Thursday added more drama to the showdown over the government shutdown, which reached its 28th day on Friday and continued to create uncertainty for hundreds of thousands of government workers who are furloughed or working without pay. Trump is demanding $5 billion for his promised border wall, which Democrats have called immoral and a waste of money.

On Wednesday, Pelosi requested that Trump postpone the Jan. 29 State of the Union address until the government reopens, citing the strain that the high-profile, high-security event would place on furloughed workers in the Secret Service and Department of Homeland Security. Instead of answering the request, Trump hit back at Pelosi with the travel cancelation.

This article has been updated to include an unnamed White House official denying that Trump’s administration leaked congressional travel plans.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/na ... a693c2f8b2

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TRAVELING VIOLATION

What Trump Just Wrecked by Canceling Pelosi’s Trip to Afghanistan

‘We’re still gathering information just like you,’ one Pentagon official told The Daily Beast. ‘We are trying to figure out what is going on.’


Erin Banco, Sam Stein, Lachlan Markay 01.17.19 5:11 PM ET

For more than three weeks, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her staff had quietly planned an international trip to Brussels and Afghanistan to check in on America’s longest war. Like most congressional delegations—“CODELs”—it was time-consuming work, involving coordination between numerous agencies, stakeholders, and international officials along with extra security briefings because of the danger of the destination.

Pelosi’s chief of staff worked with a liaison from the U.S. Air Force who was the lead in setting up travel arrangements and the itinerary for the trip. Senior officials at the Pentagon also had been read in on the speaker’s plans, especially those regarding her visit to war-torn Afghanistan, where extra security was needed for her time in Kabul. Two senior officials on the ground in Afghanistan said they received the itinerary for the trip, as they do other congressional trips, weeks in advance and held it close to the chest. Fellow members of Congress made similar accommodations as they prepared to accompany the Speaker on the CODEL.

And then, with minutes to go before they departed, President Trump pulled the plug.

“I am sorry to inform you that your trip to Brussels, Egypt, and Afghanistan has been postponed,” Trump wrote in a letter to Pelosi. “We will reschedule this seven-day excursion when the Shutdown is over.”

“Obviously, if you would like to make your journey by flying commercial, that would certainly be your prerogative,” Trump wrote.

Trump’s stated reason in cancelling the CODEL was the fact that the government remains shut down. But the more obvious explanation was that the president had been searching for a way to fire back at the speaker after she had informed him that his State of the Union address would be postponed until a resolution on the shutdown was reached.

Left unappreciated by the back and forth was just how impulsive the president’s swift response truly was.

White House officials told CNN that Trump had coordinated with the Department of Defense about the decision to prohibit the use of military aircraft for Pelosi. But as of the time of this publication, staffers in the Pentagon were furiously scrambling to gather information about the cancellation.

“We’re still gathering information just like you,” one Pentagon official told The Daily Beast. “We are trying to figure out what is going on.” One other source inside the Pentagon said that the White House had not coordinated with senior officials in Kabul about the cancellation, either.

The White House did not respond to The Daily Beast’s question on whether or not the president or his team directly contacted the Defense Department and the Air Force about restricting Pelosi or her team’s use of military aircraft, prior to issuing the White House announcement Thursday afternoon. But the president’s team appeared prepared for the moment in other ways.

Within an hour of the White House’s announcement, the Trump campaign was already fundraising off of the tit-for-tat. The Trump Make America Great Again Committee, a joint fundraising account for the campaign and the Republican National Committee, blasted out an email with the subject line “I’m disinvited?”

“Democrats have illegitimately ‘disinvited’ me from making my scheduled and VERY important State of the Union Address,” the email complained. “Americans DEMAND the truth, so we need to make a CLEAR STATEMENT and raise $1,OOO,OOO by Midnight TONIGHT to show your support for Border Security (the REAL security concern).”

Pelosi’s trip was to come during a particularly sensitive geopolitical moment. The Speaker was to stop in Brussels to meet with top NATO commanders amid Trump’s continued criticism of the transcontinental alliance. And she was to visit Afghanistan amid news that the president would significantly drawback U.S. troops from the ground, two source with the U.S. Marines in Kabul said.

Trump is set to roll back close to half of all U.S. troops in Afghanistan, dealing a significant blow to the progress the U.S. has made over the last six months to help broker peace talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban, those same sources said. The administration appointed Zalmay Khalilzad as a U.S. envoy to Afghanistan in September to work solely on negotiations between the two sides.

Troops on the ground viewed the Pelosi trip as a chance to gain an inroad with someone, especially the highest ranking member of the House, in the U.S. government who could see the need to keep U.S. troops in the country. The announcement of the drawback has significantly lowered morale among officials and soldiers.

And Pelosi’s team, too, said it wanted a chance to visit the troops in Afghanistan—where Trump has never been—to understand exactly what was happening on the ground.

“The purpose of the trip was to express appreciation and thanks to our men and women in uniform for their service and dedication, and to obtain critical national security and intelligence briefings from those on the front lines,” Drew Hammill, spokesman for Speaker Pelosi, said.


Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and other Trump officials such as Secretary of State Mike Pompeo are supposed to travel to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland this week.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/what-trum ... ref=scroll

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Politics & Policy

Mitt Romney Fails His First Test on Russia

John McCain was willing to vote against Trump, but Utah’s junior senator doesn’t seem quite ready.


By Eli Lake January 17, 2019, 9:30 AM CST

When Senator Mitt Romney opened 2019 with a scathing op-ed lamenting President Donald Trump’s lack of moral leadership, it seemed like he was claiming the mantle of the late Senator John McCain.

Like McCain, Romney — for the most part — did not partake in the ritual fealty that so many of Trump’s vanquished foes demonstrated. Sure, he met with Trump in November 2016 to audition for secretary of state. But Romney never fully bent the knee.

So one might think Romney would have joined the 11 other Republican senators who voted this week to stop the Trump administration from lifting sanctions meant to squeeze Russian President Vladimir Putin’s allies. Senate aides told me Majority Leader Mitch McConnell did not try too hard to whip the vote, and neither did the White House.

Yet Utah’s junior senator voted with the administration. His communications director, Liz Johnson, told me Romney “believes the U.S. should maintain strong sanctions on Russia for its bad behavior, including its interference in our elections.” Nonetheless, she said, “his vote was in line with longstanding U.S. policy and will help preserve our leverage to gain concessions from other bad actors.”

At issue was a deal that required Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska to divest from three of his companies so he no longer owned a majority stake. In exchange for the divestment, the U.S. Treasury Department would lift sanctions on those companies.

Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin made the case for the bargain personally in meetings this month with House leaders and Senate Republicans. Part of his argument was that it was important to show that sanctions can be lifted when bad actors comply. He also promised that the deal for Deripaska’s divestiture required unprecedented transparency from these companies. If they violated the agreement, he said, there would be swift repercussions.

That sounds good. But it’s not entirely clear that Treasury has the capability to find out whether Deripaska, who has been accused of money-laundering, extortion and threatening rivals, has actually divested. Charles Davidson, the founder of the Kleptocracy Initiative, told me that Treasury can demand a change in ownership, but it wouldn’t necessarily know who controls or influences the newly organized companies.

Senator Tom Cotton, who voted against easing the sanctions, was slightly more optimistic in an interview. The new agreement calls for an extraordinary level of transparency and includes an auditing requirement, he told me. At the same time, the unprecedented nature of the bargain means that the Treasury Department lacks experience in enforcing it. And the deal allows Deripaska to retain a 45 percent stake in the companies, down from 70 percent. “I fear Deripaska will likely retain operational control of those companies,” Cotton said.

If he does, what can Treasury do? Romney’s argument is that the punishment will be swift. “The senator expects the administration to re-impose sanctions if these companies don’t comply,” Johnson told me.

This expectation is misplaced. Remember that last year Trump overruled his own Commerce Department when it sought to sanction the Chinese telecom giant, ZTE, for violating the terms of an earlier settlement to avoid penalties for selling equipment to Iran and other sanctioned states. At the time, Trump was in the middle of trade negotiations with China.

There is no evidence, for now, that this Deripaska deal is part of a larger rapprochement with Russia. Some policy experts have endorsed it on the merits. That said, the optics are miserable for the president. Trump’s former campaign manager, Paul Manafort, is a former business associate of Deripaska, who once loaned Manafort $10 million.

Democrats have already seized on this. In a letter to colleagues, Senator Minority Leader Chuck Schumer wrote he was concerned by the timing of the sanctions deal because it benefits a Putin confidante “who is reportedly under investigation as part of the Special Counsel’s investigation of the Russian government’s effort to interfere in the 2016 presidential election.”

All of this gets back to Romney. The measure to close debate and repeal the Deripaska deal lost by only two votes. The senator declined to join the 11 other members of his party, a party whose 2012 presidential nominee memorably warned that Russia was America’s “No. 1 geopolitical foe.” That guy was on to something. I wonder what happened to him.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/artic ... -on-russia

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Russia warns US against arms race on Earth & space after missile defense plans revealed

Published time: 18 Jan, 2019 20:22

US rejection of any limitations on missile defense programs and readiness to weaponize space has drawn a blunt reaction from Moscow, with the Russian Foreign Ministry warning Washington not to restart the Cold War-era arms race.

Describing the US Missile Defense Review (MDR) published Thursday as “openly confrontational,” the Russian Foreign Ministry said the document shows Washington’s intent to establish military dominance and ability to conduct military operations anywhere on the planet with impunity, while rejecting any limitations on missile defense efforts.

“We would like to note that the very same logic served as the foundation of the widespread nuclear missile race that brought the world to the brink of disaster multiple times,” Russia’s Foreign Ministry said on Friday, adding that the US leadership has “apparently decided to step on the same rake, with predictable consequences.”

Of particular alarm is the notion of deploying not just sensors but also weaponry in orbit, the Foreign Ministry said. The MDR “practically gives the green light to deploying elements with strike capability in space.”

Implementation of these ideas will “inevitably lead to an arms race in space, which would have the worst kind of consequences for international security and stability,” the Foreign Ministry added, calling on Washington to “come to its senses” and abandon the attempt to revive the ‘Star Wars’ program proposed under the Reagan administration in the 1980s.

This will not improve the security of either the US or its allies and partners, but have the entirely opposite effect – striking a “heavily blow to international stability, which is already falling apart thanks to irresponsible actions by Washington,” it said. “Obviously, no one wins in this scenario.”

At the Helsinki summit in July last year, Russia proposed a full restoration of Russo-American talks on all issues related to arms control and international security, the Foreign Ministry said, noting that Washington has yet to respond. It called on the US to find the political will to work together on strategic issues “before it is too late.”

Russia’s Foreign Ministry’s warnings echo the military experts’ understanding of the MDR, which not only envisioned the weaponization of space but also reserved the right for pre-emptive military strikes against missiles deemed to pose a threat to the US or its allies.

“Militarization of space is inevitable, and the United States will quit any relevant non-proliferation treaty that stands in the way," Col. Mikhail Khodarenok, military expert and retired officer who served in the Russian missile defense forces, told RT on Thursday. The day before, US diplomats announced that Washington would be leaving the 1987 INF treaty, placing limitations on specific missiles in Europe.

However, Khodarenok was confident that any current or even future missile defenses would be useless against missiles currently in the Russian arsenal, such as Avangard.

https://www.rt.com/news/449153-russia-w ... e-defense/

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Trump’s base shows signs of eroding ahead of reelection bid

BY REID WILSON - 01/18/19 02:36 PM EST

The core of President Trump’s base is showing signs of cracking after four years of steadfast support, and just as he ramps up his bid for a second term.

Ever since Trump descended the escalator at his namesake tower in New York City, white voters without a college education have formed the foundation of his political success. He won two-thirds of those voters in 2016, and they were among the few demographic groups that maintained positive views of his job performance.

But new surveys show that support is dropping, and that an increasing number of Trump’s biggest fans now disapprove of the job he is doing in office.

Four surveys released this week show Trump’s approval rating slipping substantially, thanks in large part to a drop in support among non-college educated white voters.

A Pew Research Center survey released Friday shows Trump’s job approval rating at 37 percent, near the lowest point that survey has ever found.

Among non-college educated white respondents, 50 percent approve of Trump’s job performance, while 48 percent disapprove. That’s a net 15-point swing from a Pew poll conducted a year ago; in that survey, 54 percent of white respondents without a college degree approved of Trump’s job performance, while 37 percent disapproved.

“This obviously is a key group for the president,” said Carroll Doherty, the Pew Research Center’s director of political research. He said Trump’s ratings among those voters have fallen this far only once before, in the fall of 2017.

A survey conducted by SSRS for CNN found Trump’s job approval rating among white people without a college degree at 45 percent, down 9 points since early December. A Quinnipiac survey out this week showed Trump’s job rating among those voters slip from a net 19-point positive margin to a net 10-point positive margin.

And a survey conducted by the Marist Institute for Public Opinion for NPR and PBS NewsHour shows Trump’s approval rating slipping — and his disapproval rating rising — among Republicans, white evangelicals, suburban men and those without a college degree.

“It’s the first time that there’s been significant erosion in the base,” said Lee Miringoff, who runs the Marist poll. “An erosion of the base is the last thing he needs. His whole strategy has been base-focused.”

A stunning 57 percent of respondents said they would definitely vote against Trump in the 2020 elections, according to the Marist poll, while 30 percent said they would vote to reelect him. Among non-college educated whites, 42 percent said they would vote for Trump again, while 44 percent said they would vote for someone new.

A majority of non-college educated white women, 53 percent, said they would definitely vote for someone else.

A Trump campaign spokesman did not respond to an email seeking comment. But Republicans who back Trump dismissed the recent polls as a temporary wane in the dynamic cycle of public opinion.

“Polls ebb and flow, but reality is that the American people are better off now than they were two years ago because of President Trump’s policies. GDP and wages are up, unemployment has hit record lows, consumer confidence is soaring, and industries across the country – manufacturing, construction and health care – continue to experience steady growth. These results speak for themselves,” said Blair Ellis, a spokesperson at the Republican National Committee.

Worryingly for the White House, Trump’s decline has come in spite of growing optimism about the economy and their own economic prospects.

Seven in 10 voters believe their financial situation will improve over the course of the next year, and 60 percent say there are plenty of jobs available in their community — the highest Pew has measured on that question since before the turn of the century.

Fifty-one percent of those surveyed told Pew they believe the nation’s economic conditions are excellent or good, close to the highest levels measured since the 2002 recession.

Instead, the falling support seems fueled by a string of self-inflicted wounds, from a partial government shutdown that has become the longest in American history to a decision to pull troops out of Syria that met stiff resistance from congressional Republicans and the constant trickle of news about special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation.

Polls conducted in recent weeks have showed more voters blame Trump for the shutdown than those who blame Democrats. In a December meeting with top Democratic leaders, Trump declared he would be “proud to shut down the government for border security.”

The CNN survey showed 55 percent of voters — including a plurality of non-college educated whites — said Trump was more responsible for the shutdown than were Democrats in Congress.

Trump’s overall approval rating is at or near its lowest ebb in many of the most recent surveys. His disapproval rating stands at 55 percent in the most recent RealClear Politics average of recent polls, its lowest point since March. His approval rating has never been higher than 46 percent in that average.

The question, Miringoff said, is whether Trump’s decline is a temporary reflection of shutdown politics or a more permanent schism between the president and his foundational supporters.

“Is it a crack that becomes long-lasting and worsening over time, or is this a temporary reaction to shutdowns?” Miringoff said.

https://thehill.com/homenews/administra ... ection-bid

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Texas GOP lawmaker calls Trump border crisis a 'myth'

BY MORGAN GSTALTER - 01/18/19 02:01 PM EST

Republican Rep. Will Hurd (Texas) is pushing back on President Trump's claims of a crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border, calling the hype around illegal border crossings a “myth.”

"It is a myth," Hurd told Rolling Stone in an interview published Friday. He also called Trump’s long-desired border wall a “third-century solution to a 21st-century problem.”

“What I always say is building a wall from sea to shining sea is the most expensive and least effective way to do border security,” Hurd said.

Hurd, a former undercover CIA officer, is the only lawmaker representing a border district who is a Republican. His district is one of the largest in the country, with the Texas 23rd Congressional District including 820 miles of border between San Antonio and El Paso.

The Republican lawmaker told the outlet if there was a crisis of illegal border crossings, the “first step” should be paying the officials dealing with it.

The Department of Homeland Security is the federal agency with the largest number of employees either furloughed or forced to work without pay during the record-long government shutdown.

More than $1 billion is owed to 245,405 workers, who have each missed an estimated $5,895 in pay since the shutdown began on Dec. 22 in a fight over funding for Trump’s long-promised border wall.

Hurd said a physical barrier is a “helpful tool” along certain stretches of the border but said other technology — such as infrared cameras — would be more beneficial.

“You need a mile-by-mile assessment because each mile is different from the next,” Hurd told the outlet.

Trump frequently refers to illegal border crossings and drug smuggling activity as a "crisis."

Fewer than half of U.S. voters, however, believe that there is an urgent issue at the southern border requiring a major response.

A Politico–Morning Consult poll released Tuesday found that 42 percent of American voters believe that the situation at the U.S-Mexico border is "a crisis." Another 37 percent said illegal immigration was a "problem," but not in the terms the president has used.

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4260 ... sis-a-myth

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POLITICS

Pentagon Confirms Climate Change Is A National Security Threat, Contradicting Trump

The military walks a fine line between the White House’s official climate denialism and the stark realities of a warming planet.


By Chris D’Angelo and Alexander C. Kaufman 01/18/2019 03:57 pm ET

More than a year after President Donald Trump nixed climate change from his administration’s list of national security threats, the Pentagon has released an alarming report detailing how dozens of U.S. military bases are already threatened by rising seas, drought and wildfire.

“The effects of a changing climate are a national security issue with potential impacts to Department of Defense missions, operational plans, and installations,” states the 22-page document, which was published Thursday.

The congressionally mandated analysis looked at a total of 79 military installations around the country. The Defense Department found that 53 sites are currently vulnerable to repeat flooding. Langley Air Force Base in Virginia, for example, has experienced 14 inches of sea level rise since 1930. Additionally, more than half of the 79 bases are at risk from drought, while nearly half are vulnerable to wildfire.

These climate impacts are expected to pose a risk to several other installations over the next two decades, and the report notes that “projected changes will likely be more pronounced at the mid-century mark” if climate adaptation measures are not taken.

While the report is a clear recognition of the immediate threat that climate change poses to the nation’s military infrastructure, it makes no mention of the greenhouse gas emissions driving the crisis. It also doesn’t mention some of the most recent climate-related devastation to military bases, including the estimated $3.6 billion in damages that Camp Lejeune in North Carolina suffered during Hurricane Florence last year.

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President Donald Trump removed any reference to climate change from the White House’s National Security Strategy report in 2017.

The Pentagon’s assessment comes just over a year after Trump eliminated any reference to climate change from the White House’s 2017 National Security Strategy report, breaking with two decades of military planning.

Even then, there was dissonance between the Defense Department and the White House.

A week earlier, Trump had signed the National Defense Authorization Act, which devoted about 870 words to the “vulnerabilities to military installations” over the next two decades and warned that rising temperatures, droughts and famines might lead to more failed states ― which are “breeding grounds of extremist and terrorist organizations.” “Climate change is a national security issue,” the legislation said, quoting then-Defense Secretary Jim Mattis; Gen. Joseph Dunford, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff; and four other former top military commanders. And it said that the Air Force’s $1 billion radar installation on a Marshall Islands atoll “is projected to be underwater within two decades.”

Yet a month later, in January 2018, the Pentagon followed Trump’s lead and scrubbed its National Defense Strategy of all references to climate change.

In Thursday’s report, the Defense Department describes climate change as “a global issue” and says it is “continuing to work with partner nations to understand and plan for future potential mission impacts.”

The department said in a statement to HuffPost that the report delivers a “high-level assessment of the vulnerability of DOD installations.”

“DOD must be able to adapt current and future operations to address the impacts of a wide variety of threats and conditions, to include those from weather, climate and natural events,” Pentagon spokeswoman Heather Babb said by email. “DOD will focus on ensuring it remains ready and able to adapt to a wide variety of threats ― regardless of the source ― to fulfill our mission to deter war and ensure our nation’s security.”

The department did not respond to HuffPost’s questions about any White House role in the report.

Oddly, the new analysis omits the Marine Corps. It also doesn’t identify the top 10 military bases within each service branch that are most vulnerable to climate impacts, a requirement of the defense bill that Trump signed into law in December 2017.

“They don’t have the prioritization of impact. That’s confusing,” said John Conger, a former principal deputy under secretary of defense in the Obama administration and current director of the research group Center for Climate and Security.

Conger said he expects that Congress will tell the Pentagon to go back and fulfill its request.

Climate change was first publicly recognized as a major concern for the Pentagon in May 1990, when the U.S. Naval War College issued a 73-page report, titled “Global Climate Change Implications for the United States,” which found that “Naval operations in the coming half century may be drastically affected by the impact of global climate change.”

The issue gained prominence under President George W. Bush, despite that administration’s embrace of climate change denialism. In October 2003, the National Defense University published a report stating that “global warming could have a chilling effect on the military.”

Today, the military still walks a fine line when discussing climate issues, particularly given that many congressional Republicans reject the realities of human-driven warming. Officials at Naval Station Norfolk in Virginia, the world’s largest naval station, have admitted to avoiding language such as “sea level rise” when requesting maintenance funds to raise docks, according to journalist Jeff Goodell’s recent book The Water Will Come.

Sen. Jack Reed (D-R.I.), the ranking member on the Senate Armed Services Committee, called the new report “inadequate” and criticized the Trump-era Defense Department for “treating climate change as a back burner issue.”

“President Trump’s climate change denial must not adversely impact the security environment where our troops live, work, and serve,” Reed said in a Friday statement. “Whether the Trump Administration wants to admit it or not, climate change is already costing the Department significant amounts of taxpayer resources and impacting military readiness.”

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/de ... c3bbc1713f

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CULTURE

The Invisible Children of the Trump Administration

According to a new report, the White House separated many more families than it had previously acknowledged—and failed to keep track of those it separated.


MEGAN GARBER 2:47 PM ET

Here is the finding listed as the “key takeaway” in a report compiled by the inspector general for the Department of Health and Human Services and released to the American public on Thursday:

---The total number of children separated from a parent or guardian by immigration authorities is unknown. Pursuant to a June 2018 Federal District Court order, HHS [the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services] has thus far identified 2,737 children in its care at that time who were separated from their parents. However, thousands of children may have been separated during an influx that began in 2017, before the accounting required by the Court, and HHS has faced challenges in identifying separated children.


It bears repeating: The total number of children separated from a parent or guardian by immigration authorities is unknown. Carelessness can suggest sloppiness, but it can also suggest something more literal: a simple lack of caring. The Office of Inspector General report, an attempt to graft care, after the fact, onto a process that seems to have involved little of it, doubles as a broad accounting of the U.S. government’s treatment of the families it separated, as part of its “zero tolerance” policy, at the southern border. And its conclusion presents evidence that Donald Trump’s administration has managed to combine both kinds of carelessness at once. Chaos, cruelty, xenophobia, thousands of children more than were previously acknowledged to have been separated from their families: They’re made manifest in the numbers in the report, and in the phantom numbers that poor record-keeping has made it impossible to know.

Last year, when the separation policy and its horrific results catapulted to the attention of the American public, members of the Trump administration and their allies in the media attempted to downplay the situation by suggesting that empathy for the families, torn apart and caged like animals, was wrong. “Child actors,” Ann Coulter said. “Don’t believe the press,” Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen warned. It was a particularly pernicious twist on Orwellianism—lies aimed not at the mind, but at the heart—and it is a strategy that has, despite its profound untruths, continued over the past several months. In November, a Reuters photographer captured a picture of a woman and two children running to evade the stinging smoke of tear gas that had been lobbed at a group of migrants by U.S. Border Patrol agents. The image was, in some quarters, dismissed as a hoax: the whole thing staged for the cameras, the argument went, in order to produce sympathy. A deceit in the guise of journalism, allegedly; a conspiracy that turned empathy itself into the liar.

President Trump has, in the past month, further blended the line between human suffering and political theater. In his national address last week—broadcast, with grotesque spectacle, from the Oval Office—he admitted that the situation at the border was a “humanitarian crisis.” He used that basic concession, however, to demand that other branches of the U.S. government give him the border wall he has promised to his constituents. The speech was, in a collision that is ever more common as the Trump administration wears on, simultaneously shocking and unsurprising: the humanitarian crisis, used as a bargaining chip. He seemed unable to discern between the desperation of migrant families and his own petulant wants.

The speech called to mind the callousness of Trump’s earlier reaction to the deaths of Jakelin Caal Maquin, 7, and Felipe Alonzo-Gomez, 8, under the custody of U.S. Customs and Border Protection late last year: “Any deaths of children or others at the Border are strictly the fault of the Democrats and their pathetic immigration policies that allow people to make the long trek thinking they can enter our country illegally,” the president wrote on Twitter. “They can’t. If we had a Wall, they wouldn’t even try!”

That Trump summons more emotion for a notional wall than he does for the suffering of human children is clear enough. What this week’s report suggests, though, is how that bias gets bureaucratized. The inspector general’s office has provided evidence of personal carelessness that becomes systemic. With the report’s known unknowns—managerial ineptitude colliding with human lives—it suggests the radiating effects of leadership that, on so many levels, simply cannot be bothered to care. Later in the report: “There is even less visibility for separated children who fall outside the court case.” And: “Additionally, efforts to identify and assess more recent separations may be hampered by incomplete information.”

This past summer, the administration and its allies defended the zero-tolerance policy by suggesting that the American media had misrepresented its true effects. “This misreporting by Members, press & advocacy groups must stop,” Kirstjen Nielsen tweeted last June, as news of the family separations spread. “It is irresponsible and unproductive.” She added: “We do not have a policy of separating families at the border. Period.”

It was an outright lie, and it was, in retrospect, clarifying precisely in its dishonesty. The administration seems to have had so little regard for the people it had put in its care that it failed to give them that smallest measure of dignity: being measured in the first place. Being counted, and accounted for. “The unfortunate reality,” the federal judge Dana Sabraw wrote in ordering a stop to the child-separation policy this summer, “is that under the present system migrant children are not accounted for with the same efficiency and accuracy as property.”

The Office of Inspector General report makes it clear once more that chaos can have its own kind of cruel canniness. The same day the report was released, NBC News published another shocking finding: that the Trump administration had considered, among other things, the legal targeting of migrant parents in order to accelerate the deportation of their children. The same day, as well, the Trump administration appealed a judicial ruling, this one concerning the all-important national census that will be taken in 2020. The White House is fighting to ask American residents specifically about their citizenship, a move that would reverse nearly 70 years of protocol—and a change that, many argue, would lead to the undercounting specifically of immigrants and communities of color.

The White House’s legal struggle suggests another way of weaponizing data by enforcing its absence: to take human lives and relegate them to the realm of the known unknown. The tension it is bringing to the fore has lurked in the shadows cast by many of the Trump administration’s gaudy spectacles: the question of who belongs, and who does not; who will be counted, and who will not. One thing that is all too well known, within the muddle of the president’s own making, is how he has elected to answer those questions.

https://www.theatlantic.com/entertainme ... on/580807/

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MSM hero Nastya Rybka: Whistleblower with dirt on Trump or orgy organizer with credibility problem?

Published time: 18 Jan, 2019 20:08

After the arrest of escort Nastya Rybka in Russia, Western media has revived her claims of owning tapes proving collusion between Donald Trump and the Kremlin. One problem: there’s still no reason to believe they ever existed.
Allegations by the part-time "sex coach" made the headlines of most leading English-language outlets, while the articles focused on the dramatic video in which she struggles against law enforcement awkwardly bundling her into a wheelchair at Moscow’s Sheremetyevo airport.

Audiences predominantly had to read down to the middle of the text to discover that she was charged by the Russian authorities with inducement into prostitution, a crime remarkably similar to the conspiracy and soliciting prostitution sentences to which she pleaded in Thailand earlier this week, having spent a year behind bars for organizing paid-to-play orgies in the coastal resort of Pattaya.

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[ SEE VIDEO - DID SHE GET THE NEEDLE ?? ]


https://youtu.be/k5zZlYVwq4o


There also seemed to be a new-found coyness on behalf of a woman who rose to niche internet fame with an amateur video of her and another female “seduction specialist” having sex outdoors with a stranger, an incident that led to yet another criminal charge. 28-year-old Rybka, real name Anastasia Vashukevich, a citizen of Belarus, was referred to as a “model” and “expert,” which would be akin to calling the US president a best-selling author and amateur golfer.

Newspapers rehashed the details of her claims – that she possesses what she once claimed was between 16 and 18 hours of clandestinely-recorded audio featuring Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska, on whose yacht she had spent time in 2016. From this, the now-familiar web of connections was spun to include his former business partner and Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort, special counsel Robert Mueller and the US president himself. While giving them weight, newspapers stayed clear of libel by remaining non-committal on the veracity of Rybka’s words.

‘Outrageous’

Others weren’t so calculating.

---“This is outrageous. Natalia [sic] Rybka is attested [sic] and brutally manhandled the moment she touched down in Moscow after being deported from Thailand,” wrote noted Kremlin admirer Bill Browder. “Just to remind you, she secretly taped Deripaska on his yacht with a senior Russian official talking about manipulating US politics.”


See, no need for an “allegedly” there. That was the tone picked up by most on social media, who had already made up their mind about Russian meddling some way through the last election cycle.

Solemnly, dozens of commentators bemoaned that Rybka had been “betrayed by the US” that failed to extradite her, and feared that she would “never be seen again.”

The journey from a social-media floozy to someone who former BBC journalist Leonid Ragozin praised as “almost like a seasoned activist” on her return to Moscow, to martyr for collusion is almost complete.

‘Pretty bizarre story’

Yet as Rybka’s tape story makes a zombie-like return into public consciousness, this is perhaps the place to remember why it disappeared from there in the first place.

The Deripaska trip off the coast of Norway had already come to public attention by the time Rybka was arrested in Thailand in early 2018, over the purported presence of not just the aluminum tycoon but a senior Russian politician, which is why it was picked up by the opposition activist Alexei Navalny, who used her videos from the yacht to attack the Kremlin.

At this point, Rybka had spoken broadly about the incident, including in a book on seducing billionaires she’d published, but made no mention of any compromising conversation. Then in February, she suddenly revealed the existence of her trove of materials that – if true – would be the biggest scoop anywhere in the world, could net her millions of dollars, and change the course of world history.

All the lucky first listener would have to do would be to get her out of Thai jail and guarantee Rybka asylum in the United States. Is that not a good deal? And what convenient timing, too.

But the US didn’t seem won over. Despite friendly relations with Thailand, Washington did not insist on extradition.

“We support and assist American citizens. She is not an American citizen,” said the US State Department spokesperson Heather Nauert, calling Rybka’s allegations a “pretty bizarre story.”


Rybka’s representatives also said that people introducing themselves as FBI agents came to interview her while she was in jail, yet that did not appear to produce any substantial leads either.

By August, she was telling the New York Times that she no longer wanted to make the tapes public, and had sent copies to Deripaska himself, because she still wanted “to be friends” with him. He has not confirmed receipt.

Who would you choose to believe?

Judging someone’s claims by their reputation is an imperfect exercise, but in the absence of proof, Rybka leaves no other choice. And her name, real or adopted, does not have any particular track record of rectitude – and not because she is a sex worker.

This is a woman who protested naked outside the US embassy in support of Harvey Weinstein following the #MeToo allegations, offered the aforementioned Navalny to make a sex tape and claimed he was in love with her, and – worse than selling her body – helped hawk her “sexual master’s” pick-up courses.

It’s not even that she is lying, it’s more curious that people would take her words seriously in the first place. Some may argue that it is an indictment of Trump that people would rather believe a Russian prostitute than their own president, but if you choose to take her audio tape story at face value, what does it say about your own perceptiveness?

Oh, and by the way, the maximum sentence for inducement to prostitution in Russia is six years, and she hasn’t actually yet been sentenced. So you can be sure we will be hearing from Rybka again.

Igor Ogorodnev, RT

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/449152-rybka-trump-tapes-msm/

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North Korea's Secret Money

101 East reveals the shadowy financial operations funding North Korea's economy and fueling its missile ambitions.


17 Jan 2019 09:01 GMT

One man was sent to a construction site in Kuwait.

Another went to work in a bank in Singapore.

Over the years, an estimated 150,000 North Korean workers have been sent abroad to raise money for the ruling Kim family.

This film reveals the men and women who help generate billions of dollars for North Korea - from former high-ranking officers to the workers who toil in factories and on construction sites around the world, only to have most of their salaries go directly back to the pariah state.

101 East meets defectors who say the cash earned overseas goes directly to the Kim family and has helped fund the development of their nuclear missile program.

A former high-ranking official reveals how former leader Kim Jong Il created Office 39, which manages thousands of companies and factories overseas and provides half of the country's gross domestic product.

That money comes from labourers like Lim II.

He describes how he worked day and night on a construction site in Kuwait for five months but was never paid any wages. Instead, he says, his salary was sent straight back to Pyongyang.

Another defector, Kim Kwang-jin, says he made tens of millions of dollars for North Korea when he was sent to Singapore in the early 2000s to work for the country's North East Asia Bank.

"Our main goal was to make foreign cash and this foreign cash business is a complete secret," he says.

101 East follows the trail of North Korea's Secret Money.

https://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/10 ... 37221.html

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PREQUEL

Dear Rep. Ocasio-Ortiz: Hang Tough. History Is on Your Side

Long before AOC started raising hell with the Democratic establishment—like, oh, a century before—Wisconsin progressive Robert La Follette was proving her critics wrong.


Michael Wolraich 01.18.19 10:31 PM ET

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez fascinates the press and electrifies progressives, but some Democratic colleagues just want her to pipe down and behave. One anonymous Democratic rep told Politico, “She needs to decide: Does she want to be an effective legislator or just continue being a Twitter star? There’s a difference between being an activist and a lawmaker in Congress.” According to the article, Ocasio-Cortez’s colleagues are particularly dismayed by her history of backing primary challenges to Democratic incumbents, and they warn that she will have “a lonely, ineffectual career in Congress if she continues to treat her own party as the enemy.”

If Ocasio-Cortez does start to feel lonely, I urge her to visit the Senate Reception Room at the other end of the Capitol. There’s a man she should meet. His portrait hangs on the wall, the old guy with the bow tie and the enormous pompadour. Few remember him these days, but Senator Robert La Follette of Wisconsin was a political sensation in his day, loved by the press, hated by his Republican colleagues. They loathed him for his radical ideas, his outspokenness, and his disloyalty to the party. President Theodore Roosevelt called him “a shifty self-seeker” and “an entirely worthless Senator.” In 1907, a journalist memorably described him as “the loneliest man in the United States Senate.”

Yet Bob La Follette’s insurgency against the Republican Party was extraordinarily effective. His passionate crusade against corpo rate power transfixed the press, inspired the public, and lit the spark that ignited the Progressive Movement. Many of his conservative detractors were eventually thrown out of office and replaced by progressive allies who worked with him to pass landmark legislation: income taxes, labor law, women’s suffrage, election reform, environmental protection, and corporate regulation. Decades later, the Senate recognized him as one of the five “most outstanding” senators in American history and hung his portrait on the wall. If Ocasio-Cortez hopes to make an impact in Washington, she might follow Fighting Bob’s example. Who knows, maybe her portrait may one day grace the Senate Reception Room too.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/dear-rep- ... e?ref=home

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Trump plans ‘major announcement’ on border, longest shutdown

By JILL COLVIN, LISA MASCARO, ZEKE MILLER and CATHERINE LUCEY an hour ago

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said he’ll be making a “major announcement” on the government shutdown and the southern border on Saturday afternoon as the standstill over his border wall continues into its fifth week.

Democrats are now proposing hundreds of millions of dollars for new immigration judges and improvements to ports of entry from Mexico but nothing for the wall, a House aide said, as the party begins fleshing out its vision of improving border security.

After days of bitter clashes between Trump and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, it was unclear if the twin developments represented serious steps toward resolving the nasty partisan fight or posturing. But they were the first tangible signs of movement in a dispute that has caused a partial government shutdown, which Saturday was entering its record 29th day.

Trump’s refusal to sign spending bills that lack $5.7 billion he wants to start constructing that wall, which Democrats oppose, has prompted the shutdown.

The White House declined to provide details late Friday about what the president would be announcing. But Trump was not expected to sign the national emergency declaration he’s been threatening as an option to circumvent Congress, according to two people familiar with the planning.

Instead, Trump was expected to propose the outlines of a new deal that the administration believes could potentially pave the way to an end to the shutdown, according to one of the people. They were not authorized to discuss the announcement and spoke on condition of anonymity.

The move, amid a shutdown that has left hundreds of thousands of federal workers without paychecks, represents the first major overture by the president since Jan. 8, when he delivered an Oval Office address making the public case for his border wall. Democrats have said they will not negotiate until the government reopens, raising questions about how Trump might move the ball forward.

Democrats were proposing $563 million to hire 75 more immigration judges, who currently face large backlogs processing cases, and $524 million to improve ports of entry in Calexico, California, and San Luis, Arizona, the Democratic House aide said. The money is to be added to spending bills, largely negotiated between the House and Senate, that the House plans to vote on next week.

In addition, Democrats were working toward adding money for more border security personnel and for sensors and other technology to a separate bill financing the Department of Homeland Security, but no funds for a wall or other physical barriers, the aide said.

It was possible Democrats would unveil that measure next week as the cornerstone of their border security alternative to Trump’s wall, the aide said. Earlier Friday, Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard, D-Calif., who chairs the House Appropriations Committee’s homeland security subcommittee, said in an interview that some Democrats were asking leaders, “What is our plan?”

The aide spoke on condition of anonymity because he wasn’t authorized to discuss the details publicly. The Democrats’ spending plans were first reported by The New York Times.

In a video posted on his Twitter feed late Friday, Trump said both sides should “take the politics out of it” and “get to work” to “make a deal.” But he also repeated his warnings, saying: “We have to secure our southern border. If we don’t do that, we’re a very, very sad and foolish lot.”

White House spokeswoman Sarah Huckabee Sanders said only that Trump was “going to continue fighting for border security” and “going to continue looking for the solution” to end what the administration had repeatedly referred to as a “humanitarian and national security crisis at the border.”

While few would argue that a humanitarian crisis is unfolding at the U.S.-Mexico border, as the demand for entry by migrants and the Trump administration’s hardline response overwhelm border resources, critics say Trump has dramatically exaggerated the security risks and argue that a wall would do little to solve existing problems.

Trump will be speaking from the Diplomatic Room at 3 p.m.

Trump’s Friday evening tweeted announcement came after Pelosi, D-Calif., on Friday canceled her plans to travel by commercial plane to visit U.S. troops in Afghanistan, saying Trump had caused a security risk by talking about the trip. The White House said there was no such leak.

It was the latest turn — and potentially the most dangerous — in the high-stakes brinkmanship between Trump and Pelosi that has been playing out against the stalled negotiations over how to end the partial government shutdown.

And it showed once again the willingness of the former hard-charging businessman to hit hard when challenged, as he was earlier this week when Pelosi suggested postponing his State of the Union address until after the shutdown.

It was an unusually combative week between the executive and legislative branches.

Tensions flared when Pelosi suggested Trump postpone the annual State of the Union address, a grand Washington tradition — and a platform for his border wall fight with Democrats — that was tentatively scheduled for Jan. 29.

Trump never responded directly. Instead, he abruptly canceled Pelosi’s military flight on Thursday, hours before she and a congressional delegation were to depart for Afghanistan on the previously undisclosed visit to U.S. troops.

Trump belittled the trip as a “public relations event” — even though he had just made a similar stop in a conflict zone during the shutdown — and said it would be best if Pelosi remained in Washington to negotiate to reopen the government.

Pelosi, undeterred, quietly began making her own preparations for the overseas trip.

But on Friday, Pelosi said her plan to travel by commercial plane had been “leaked” by the White House.

“The administration leaked that we were traveling commercially,” Pelosi told reporters at the Capitol. She said it was “very irresponsible on the part of the president.”

She said the State Department told her “the president outing” the original trip made the scene on the ground in Afghanistan “more dangerous because it’s a signal to the bad actors that we’re coming.”

The White House said it had leaked nothing that would cause a security risk.

Denying military aircraft to a senior lawmaker — let alone the speaker, who is second in line to the presidency after the vice president, traveling to a combat region — is very rare.

Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff of California slammed Trump for revealing the closely held travel plan, calling it “completely and utterly irresponsible in every way.”

Some Republicans expressed frustration. Sen. Lindsey Graham tweeted, “One sophomoric response does not deserve another.” He called Pelosi’s State of the Union move “very irresponsible and blatantly political” but said Trump’s reaction was “also inappropriate.”

https://www.apnews.com/9bbaddf680d24b5788c5777d12096645

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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Democrats aren’t buying Trump’s shutdown-ending ‘compromise’

By JILL COLVIN, CATHERINE LUCEY and ZEKE MILLER today 1/20/19

Trump offered to extend temporary protections for young people brought to the U.S. illegally as children and those fleeing disaster zones in exchange for his long-promised border wall. But while Trump cast the move as a “common-sense compromise,” Democrats were quick to dismiss it as a “non-starter.”

With polls showing a majority of Americans blaming him and Republicans for the impasse, Trump said from the White House that he was there “to break the logjam and provide Congress with a path forward to end the government shutdown and solve the crisis on the southern border.”

Hoping to put pressure on Democrats, the White House billed the announcement as a major step forward. But Trump did not budge on his $5.7 billion demand for the wall and, in essence, offered to temporarily roll-back some of his own hawkish immigration actions — actions that have been blocked by federal courts.

Following a week marked by his pointed clashes with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, it was not clear if Trump’s offer would lead to serious steps to reopen the government, shut for a record 29 days. Trump’s move came as hundreds of thousands of federal workers go without paychecks, with many enduring financial hardship. Many public services are unavailable to Americans during the closure.

Democrats dismissed Trump’s proposal even before his formal remarks. Pelosi said the expected offer was nothing more than “a compilation of several previously rejected initiatives” and that the effort could not pass the House

“What is original in the President’s proposal is not good. What is good in the proposal is not original,” she later tweeted.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer also panned the proposal as “more hostage taking,” saying that it was Trump who had “single-handedly” imperiled the future of the immigrants he proposed to help.

The New York Democrat said there is only “one way out” of the shutdown. “Open up the government, Mr. President, and then Democrats and Republicans can have a civil discussion and come up with bipartisan solutions.” he said.

Democrats had made their own move late Friday to try to break the impasse when they pledged to provide hundreds of millions of dollars more for border security. But Trump, who has yet to acknowledge that offer, laid out his own plan, which officials said had been in the works for days.

Seeking to cast the plan as a bipartisan way forward, Trump said Saturday he was incorporating ideas from “rank-and-file” Democrats, as top Democrats made clear they had not been consulted. He also said Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell would bring the legislation to a vote this week, though Democrats appeared likely to block it. McConnell had previously stated that no vote should be held in the Senate until Trump and Democrats agreed on a bill.

Trump’s plan seems to stand little chance of getting the 60 votes needed in the Senate. Chris Coons of Delaware, a Democrat the White House has looked to as a possible partner on immigration negotiations, said he will not support it. And Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, another key centrist, said she would study the details of the plan but did not commit to vote for it.

She added of the shutdown: “This needs to end now.”

Trump’s remarks from the Diplomatic Room marked the second time he has addressed the nation as the partial shutdown drags on. On this occasion, he sought to strike a diplomatic tone, emphasizing the need to work across the aisle. He maintained a border barrier was needed to block what he describes as the flow of drugs and crime into the country — but described “steel barriers in high-priority locations” instead of “a 2,000-mile concrete structure from sea to sea.”

The proposal was met with immediate criticism from some conservative corners, including NumbersUSA, which seeks to reduce both legal and illegal immigration to the U.S. “The offer the President announced today is a loser for the forgotten American workers who were central to his campaign promises,” said Roy Beck, the group’s president.

At the other end of the political spectrum, Trump’s offer was panned by progressive groups, with Anthony Romero, the executive director of the American Civil Liberties Union, calling it a “one-sided proposal.”

Trump embraced the shutdown in December in large part because of angry warnings from his most ardent supporters that he was passing up on his last, best shot to build the wall before Democrat took control of the House in the new year. After his announcement Saturday, some supporters appeared unhappy with his effort to bridge the divide with Democrats.

“Trump proposes amnesty,” tweeted conservative firebrand Ann Coulter. “We voted for Trump and got Jeb!” she said, in a reference to Trump’s 2016 rival, Jeb Bush.

In a briefing with reporters, Vice President Mike Pence defended the proposal from criticism from the right. “This is not an amnesty bill,” he insisted.

White House acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney also sought to increase the pressure on congressional Democrats in advance of Tuesday, the deadline for the next federal pay period and the day officials said McConnell would begin to move on legislation.

“If the bill is filibustered on Tuesday...people will not get paid,” he said.

Mulvaney said that Trump had not ruled out one day declaring a national emergency to circumvent Congress to get his wall money — as he has threatened — but added that Trump maintains that the “best way to fix this is through legislation.”

Trump’s son-in-law and senior aide, Jared Kushner, along with Vice President Mike Pence, had led the efforts build the plan Trump announced on Saturday, according to three people familiar with White House thinking who were not authorized to speak publicly. After a heated meeting with Pelosi and Schumer that Trump stormed out of, the president directed his aides to bypass Democratic leaders and instead reach out to rank-and-file members for ideas.

To ensure wall funding, Trump said he would extend temporary protections for three years for “Dreamers,” young people brought to the country illegally as children. Administration officials said the protections would apply only to the approximately 700,000 people currently enrolled in the Obama-era program shielding them from deportation, and not all those who could be eligible. The plan would offer no pathway to citizenship for those immigrants — a deal breaker for many Democrats.

Trump also proposed a three-year extension to the temporary protected status the U.S. offers to immigrants fleeing countries affected by natural disasters or violence. Officials said the exemption would apply to about 300,000 people who currently live in the U.S. under the program and have been here since 2011. That means people from El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Haiti — countries that saw the status revoked since Trump took office — would get a reprieve.

Democrats, however, criticized Trump’s proposal for failing to offer a permanent solution for the immigrants in question and because he refuses back away from his demand a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border, which the party strongly oppposes. Democrats have told Trump he must reopen government before talks can start.

Trump had repeatedly dismissed the idea of a deal involving Dreamers in recent weeks, saying he would prefer to see first whether the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, or DACA, survived a court challenge.

On Friday, the Supreme Court took no action on the Trump administration’s request to decide by early summer whether Trump’s bid to end that program was legal, meaning it probably will survive at least another year.

But during a recent trip to the U.S.-Mexico border, Trump hinted at the possibility, saying he would consider working on the wall and DACA “simultaneously.”

A previous attempt to reach a compromise that addressed the status of “Dreamers” broke down a year ago as a result of escalating White House demands.

https://www.apnews.com/f118593282134d518b59067492f6faf0

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POLITICS

Ann Coulter Mocks Trump’s Dreamers ‘Amnesty,’ Calls Him A Jeb

Maybe he can finally get his wall if we “grant citizenship to a BILLION foreigners,” she angrily tweets.


[ WHEN WILL TRUMP GROW SOME BALLS AND KEEP COULTER, LIMBAUGH, AND HANNITY FROM RUNNING THE COUNTRY ]

By Mary Papenfuss 01/19/2019 09:01 pm ET

Right wing scold Ann Coulter is tearing into President Donald Trump’s offer to extend protections for the so-called immigrant Dreamers in exchange for Democrats’ support for $5.7 billion for his southern border wall.

Coulter lashed out after Trump offered to extend protections for three years under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals for immigrants brought to the U.S. as children.

Coulter mocked the plan’s “amnesty,” noting sarcastically that maybe Trump could finally get an entire border wall if “we grant citizenship to a BILLION foreigners.” The In Trump We Trust author also accused Trump of turning into his GOP presidential candidate rival Jeb Bush, who is far more supportive of immigrants.

Coulter speaks for extreme immigration hardliners. But many observers believe her opinions sway the president. Conservative pundit Charlie Sykes said earlier this month that if Trump begins to waffle on his insistence on his border wall, White House aide Stephen Miller ― known for his hardline stance on immigration ― would simply “pick up the phone and call Ann Coulter ... and the base will get riled up” to bring the president to heel.

---
Ann Coulter

Trump's solution: Let's just amnesty them!


Ann Coulter

---100 miles of border wall in exchange for amnestying millions of illegals. So if we grant citizenship to a BILLION foreigners, maybe we can finally get a full border wall.
3:20 PM - Jan 19, 2019


Ann Coulter

Trump proposes amnesty. We voted for Trump and got Jeb!
3:18 PM - Jan 19, 2019



House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) dismissed Trump’s DACA offer as a “non-starter.”

Earlier this month Coulter told Lou Dobbs on Fox Business that she would rather deport Dreamers than MS-13 gang members.

“I’d deport the Dreamers before deporting MS-13 members. You catch them, they at least say, ‘Ok, you got me,’”


Coulter noted cryptically.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/co ... c3bbc25bf2

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Model in Russian court apologizes for US election claim

[ REALLY ? COERCION ? WILL THIS BE THE LAST WE HEAR FROM ANASTASIA ? ALMOST A HOMELAND FINALE WHEN SAUL FREED CARRIE FROM RUSSIAN IMPRISONMENT ]

By JIM HEINTZ yesterday 1/19/19

MOSCOW (AP) — A Belarusian model and self-styled sex instructor who last year claimed to have evidence of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election said Saturday that she apologizes to a Russian tycoon for the claim and won’t say more about the matter.

Anastasia Vashukevich made the statement in a Moscow court that was considering whether to keep her in jail as she faces charges of inducement to prostitution. The court extended her detention for three more days.

Vashukevich’s statement appears to head off any chance of her speaking to U.S. investigators looking into possible collusion between Russia and President Donald Trump’s campaign.

Vashukevich, who goes by the name Nastya Rybka on social media, was arrested in Thailand last February on prostitution charges. She and several others were arrested in connection with a sex training seminar they were holding in Thailand.

After her arrest she claimed she had audio tapes of Russian tycoon Oleg Deripaska, who is close to President Vladimir Putin, talking about interference in the U.S. election.

She had shot to world attention a few weeks earlier when a Russian opposition leader published an investigation based on her social media posts that suggested corrupt links between Deripaska and Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Prikhodko. The report featured video from Deripaska’s yacht in 2016, when Vashukevich says she was having an affair with him.

She was deported from Thailand on Thursday after pleading guilty and was detained when her flight arrived in Moscow, along with three other deportees including mentor Alexander Kirillov.

She told journalists in the Moscow court that she has apologized to Deripaska and says “I will no longer compromise him.”

Deripaska is among the Russian tycoons and officials who have been sanctioned in recent years by the United States in connection with Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea. His business empire includes aluminum, energy and construction assets.

He also once was a client of Paul Manafort, the former campaign manager for Trump. Manafort was convicted last year in the United States of tax and bank fraud.

https://www.apnews.com/74ad73e945554eeb8861ca7deb077eac

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The MAGA Hat–Wearing Teens Who Taunted A Native American Elder ( And Viet Nam veteran ) Could Be Expelled

The Diocese of Covington and Covington Catholic High in Kentucky rebuked the students' actions.


Stephanie K. Baer Last updated on January 20, 2019, at 1:32 a.m. ET

A Kentucky Catholic school may take disciplinary action against their students after a group of the MAGA hat–wearing teenage boys taunted a Native American elder at the Indigenous Peoples March in Washington, DC, on Friday.

Several viral videos show the young men, nearly all of whom are white and wearing pro-Trump gear, chanting at and mocking the man on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial.

One of the teens can be seen standing face-to-face with the elder, smirking and saying nothing, while the man sings and beats a drum.

The indigenous protester was identified by Indian Country Today as Nathan Phillips, a member of the Omaha Nation and a Vietnam War veteran. He reportedly hosts a ceremony each year honoring Native American veterans at Arlington National Cemetery and is also the keeper of a sacred pipe.

[ THE VIDEO THAT WENT VIRAL:
TRUMP MAGA FALL OUT ??
TRUMP RACIST RHETORIC FALL OUT ??
BUILD A WALL, KEEP OUT PEOPLE OF COLOR ?? ]



https://youtu.be/sIG5ZB0fw1k


Kaya Taitano, a 26-year-old student from Guam, told BuzzFeed News she filmed the videos of Phillips. "You can tell he has power in his being," she said in a phone interview.

Phillips told the Washington Post Saturday that he had been singing an American Indian Movement song that serves as a ceremony to send the spirits home when he noticed that tensions started to escalate.

“It was getting ugly, and I was thinking: ‘I’ve got to find myself an exit out of this situation and finish my song at the Lincoln Memorial,’” Phillips told the paper. But after one of the teens wearing a MAGA hat stood in his way, he said, he continued to drum and sing.

“I felt like the spirit was talking through me,” Phillips said.

In an interview with Taitano following the incident that she uploaded to her Instagram, Phillips said he wished he could see those teens "put that energy into making this country really great, helping those that are hungry."

"I heard them saying, 'Build that wall, build that wall,'" said Phillips, who could not be immediately reached for comment by BuzzFeed News. "You know, this is indigenous lands. We’re not supposed to have walls here — we never did for millennia, before anybody else came here."

It was not the first time Phillips has faced racist harassment.

According to Fox 2 Detroit, a group of Eastern Michigan University students in 2015 berated him with racist slurs and pelted him with a beer can while they were dressed up as Native Americans for a theme party.

"They had their face painted," Phillips said at the time. "I said, 'What the heck is going on here?' 'Oh, we are honoring you.' I said, 'No, you are not honoring me.' ... [They said,] 'Go back to the reservation, you blank Indian.'"

After videos of the incident on Friday were posted online, they soon went viral, with people calling the teens racist and urging for consequences.

Due to the clothing some of the students in the video were wearing, people quickly deduced the teens were from Covington Catholic High School, an all-male Catholic school in Park Hills, Kentucky, a suburb of Cincinnati.

According to the school's website, students had been in DC to attend the March for Life, which also took place Friday. The school deleted its Facebook account and set its Twitter to private after the incident.

In a joint statement to the Cincinnati Enquirer, the Diocese of Covington and Covington Catholic High School rebuked the students' actions and said they could be expelled:

"We condemn the actions of the Covington Catholic High School students towards Nathan Phillips specifically, and Native Americans in general, Jan. 18, after the March for Life, in Washington, DC," the statement said. "We extend our deepest apologies to Mr. Phillips."

"This behavior is opposed to the Church’s teachings on the dignity and respect of the human person. The matter is being investigated and we will take appropriate action, up to and including expulsion," the statement continued. "We know this incident also has tainted the entire witness of the March for Life and express our most sincere apologies to all those who attended the March and all those who support the pro-life movement."

At least one boy was wearing a hoodie from Owensboro Catholic, another school in Kentucky. In one video, a man tells the group of boys that they are on stolen land, and the boy in the Owensboro Catholic hoodie responds, "Land gets stolen. That’s how it works. It’s the way of the world."

Tom Lilly, president of Owensboro Catholic Schools, told the Owensboro Times that some middle school students traveled to Washington, DC, for the Right to Life March on Friday.

In an email to BuzzFeed News, Lilly said administrators were only aware of one student — the boy featured in the video — being involved in the incident. He said the student was in high school and was not on a school-sponsored trip.

"The student is deeply remorseful for the comments he made," Lilly said. "I found the videos terribly disturbing."

Lilly declined to comment on whether the student would face any disciplinary actions but said faculty were notified about the incident on Saturday and that they hoped "to turn this terrible event into a teaching moment for our children."

"We can not undo what’s been done, but because of what our Catholic School System represents, we SHOULD be held to a higher level of accountability," Lilly added. "We will not fail that obligation."

Representatives for Covington Catholic High School and the Diocese did not immediately return requests for comment from BuzzFeed News.

Hunter Hooligan, a 27-year-old from Baltimore who attended the Indigenous Peoples March with his sister, said by the time the teenage boys showed up, only 10 or 12 people who had participated in the march were still gathered at the monument.

"The boys just kind of, like, surrounded us, and we like tried to move through the crowd. And one boy in particular just like totally refused to move, and that’s the boy you see in the video who is standing directly in front of Nathan," Hooligan, who also recorded video of the incident, told BuzzFeed News Saturday.

He said that for at least 10 minutes, the group of about 50 to 70 boys chanted various things, including "build the wall" and "gone in 2020," and jumped and danced around the small group of demonstrators.

"What made me feel scared was the mob mentality of the situation," Hooligan said. "That type of tactic of instilling fear and intimidation and overpowering and outnumbering has been a consistent weapon of white supremacy against indigenous people."

The incident sparked enormous backlash online, with many people sharing their disgust and sadness.

Someone even briefly edited the school's name on Google to "Covington Catholic White Male Entitlement High School."

James J. Martin, SJ, a Jesuit priest, harshly criticized the high schoolers' "attempt to shame and disrespect" Phillips.

"These actions are not Catholic, not Christian, and not acceptable," Martin said.

Alison Grimes, the Kentucky secretary of state, released a statement blaming "the adults and administration that are charged with teaching" the teens, and called on the school to "denounce this behavior."

"This is not the Kentucky we know and love," Grimes said.

A number of Democratic lawmakers also spoke out about the incident and in support of Phillips.

Michigan Rep. Rashida Tlaib said, "It reminds us of the growing hate & oppression we are all up against."

New Mexico Rep. Deb Haaland, who was one of the first two Native American women elected to Congress in November, called the video "heartbreaking."

"This Veteran put his life on the line for our country," Haaland said. "The students’ display of blatant hate, disrespect, and intolerance is a signal of how common decency has decayed under this administration."

“What we saw yesterday, the display surrounding Mr. Phillips, is emblematic of the state of our discourse in Trump’s America,” said Darren Thompson, an organizer for the Indigenous Peoples Movement. “It clearly demonstrates the validity of our concerns about the marginalization and disrespect of Indigenous peoples, and it shows that traditional knowledge is being ignored by those who should listen most closely.”

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ju ... ples-march

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A Student Who Posted A Blackface Video Has Been Kicked Out Of Her Sorority

"To those students directly impacted by this senseless act of racism, we are deeply sorry, and we know that's not enough," Tri Delta's chapter president said in a statement.


Laura Silver Posted on January 20, 2019, at 4:55 a.m. ET

A University of Oklahoma (OU) student who was seen in a Snapchat video in which she says the n-word while in blackface has been expelled by her sorority.

"Our chapter condemns the racist, offensive and disgraceful conduct of the two women involved in the video posted yesterday," Theta Gamma Delta Delta Delta – also known as Tri Delta – collegiate chapter president London Moore said in a statement.

"The behaviour documented in the video is abhorrent and is in no way consistent with Tri Delta's ideals.

"To those students directly impacted by this senseless act of racism, we are deeply sorry, and we know that's not enough."

Moore said that: "The woman who participated in, filmed and posted the video is no longer a member of our organization."

Two women are seen in the video, one of whom is applying black paint to her face, and can be heard to say “I am a nigger” to the camera. A second women, who appears to be making the recording can be heard laughing and saying, “You’ve got too much. That’s not a face mask”.

Neither women have been identified by Tri Delta, or the University of Oklahoma, which has also publicly condemned the incident.

"The students have offered to apologize in order to reflect their regret," OU president James Gallogly said in a statement, but did not indicate whether they have faced disciplinary action.

The video, which was originally posted to Snapchat, but was shared on Twitter and Facebook, has been widely condemned by OU students and alumna.

"I am embarrassed at my schools response to this issue," OU medical student Samantha Denney wrote on Twitter. "This is a huge issue taken way too lightly."

"'Offered to apologize' Sorry doesn't fix racists acts like this one," grad student Brooke Maxey wrote. "Consequences need to be seen, otherwise you're telling your POC students and also racists students that this behavior is tolerated."

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/la ... f=hpsplash

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Trump cites massive winter storm to mock global warming

BY BRETT SAMUELS - 01/20/19 08:25 AM EST

President Trump in an early morning tweet on Sunday suggested global warming could be helpful as a massive snowstorm dropped several inches of snow and sent temperatures plunging across the Midwest and swaths of the Northeast United States.

"Be careful and try staying in your house," Trump advised. "Large parts of the Country are suffering from tremendous amounts of snow and near record setting cold. Amazing how big this system is. Wouldn’t be bad to have a little of that good old fashioned Global Warming right now!"

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Donald J. Trump

Be careful and try staying in your house. Large parts of the Country are suffering from tremendous amounts of snow and near record setting cold. Amazing how big this system is. Wouldn’t be bad to have a little of that good old fashioned Global Warming right now!

6:59 AM - Jan 20, 2019


The president, who has repeatedly cast doubt on the existence and effects of climate change, has regularly cited significant winter storms to mock the concept of global warming. He sent similar tweets in 2017 and 2011.

The current winter storm prompted the governor of Kansas to declare a state of emergency, canceled thousands of flights and dumped more than a foot of snow across most of upstate New York. Falling temperatures were expected to create icy surfaces, further increasing the risk of travel.

Trump and others who deny climate change have cited cold temperatures and winter storms to dismiss global warming, but experts have noted there is a difference between the climate and weather.

A government report issued late last year concluded that climate change could cost the United States billions of dollars annually within decades if greenhouse gases aren’t dramatically reduced and could worsen environmental disasters like wildfires and flooding. Its findings aligned with those of the broader scientific community.

The study, mandated to be released every four years under the National Climate Assessment from the multiagency Global Change Research Program, was conducted by hundreds of government and external scientists.

Trump dismissed the report, saying he did not believe its findings and disputing that climate change is man-made.

https://thehill.com/homenews/administra ... al-warming

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Economics

Europe’s Most Important River Is Running Dry

The Rhine waterway, critical to moving coal, car parts, food and thousands of other goods, risks becoming impassable because of climate change.


By William Wilkes , Vanessa Dezem , and Brian Parkin January 17, 2019, 11:00 PM CST

Kevin Kilps’s car ferry churns the waters of Germany’s Rhine river as he steers toward the bank opposite Kaub, a scenic village just south of the rocky outcropping named after the legendary siren Lorelei.

It’s typically a busy stretch of waterway. On a normal day, the commuter ferry vies for space with cargo barges shuttling supplies to factories in the south and German goods to ports on the North Sea as well as tourist boats heading for nearby medieval castles and vineyards.

After a prolonged summer drought, the bustling traffic at one of the shallowest points on the Rhine ground to a halt for nearly a month late last year, choking off a critical transport artery. The impact damped Germany’s industrial machine, slowing economic growth in the third and fourth quarters. It was the latest sign of how even advanced industrial economies are increasingly fighting the effects of global warming.

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“You can see the water levels are lower each year,” said Kilps, who added extra flotation equipment to the 150-ton boat during the stoppage to enable it to finally cross the river again. “It’s scary to watch the climate changing.”

With its source high in the Swiss Alps, the Rhine snakes 800 miles through the industrial zones of Switzerland, Germany and the Netherlands before emptying into the sea at Rotterdam, Europe’s busiest port. It serves as a key conduit for manufacturers such as Daimler AG, Robert Bosch GmbH and Bayer AG.

When low water halted shipping this summer, steelmaker Thyssenkrupp AG was forced to delay shipments to customers like automaker Volkswagen AG as it couldn’t get raw materials to a mill in Duisburg.

Constraints on the Rhine cost BASF SE around 250 million euros ($285 million) by pushing the chemical maker to use more expensive transport options. In a recent newspaper interview, BASF Chief Executive Officer Martin Brudermueller called for major infrastructure investments such as locks and dams that can release water to ensure shipping lanes remain open.

“We have already seen effects on national economic growth,” said Oliver Rakau, chief German economist at Oxford Economics. “The problem is related to global warming and can happen again.”

The river is fed by glaciers and rain. But alpine ice flows shrank 28 percent between 1973 and 2010—the date of the most recent in-depth study by the Swiss government—and that decline may be as much as 35 percent now, according to Wilfried Hagg, glacier expert at Munich University.

“The Alps are warming at an even faster rate as snow and ice melts,” Hagg said. “A warming climate means that incidents like the low river levels this summer are more likely to occur.”

Water depths, which hit 12-year lows at Kaub for most of the second half of 2018, hobbled barge flows for months. The boats, which typically haul more than 18,000 barrels of diesel each, were prevented from loading at full capacity until late December, and fluctuating water levels continued to affect cargo activity in January, according to Riverlake Barging, a Rotterdam-based broker.

Fuel pumps at some gas stations in Baden-Wuerttemberg ran dry this summer because of supply problems, which led to the release of emergency stockpiles in Switzerland and Germany. Natural gas prices in Europe jumped 13 percent in November, when utilities boosted output at gas-fired generators as they struggled to get supplies for coal plants.

Even with Germany’s extensive road and train networks, the Rhine is hard to beat. Barges can carry more than five times their own weight, making them cheap to operate. Shipping from Rotterdam to Basel costs around 40 percent less than rail transport, according to the German Federal Institute of Hydrology.

To thwart future transport-related disruptions to the economy, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government is mulling measures such as permanently easing Sunday restrictions on truck traffic in Rhine states, lightening loads on barges and improving freight train connections.

In Kaub—known for Pfalzgrafenstein Castle, an imposing former toll station located on a rock in the middle of the Rhine—locals have noted the river’s ever-lower levels and are concerned about what the coming years will bring.

“I think we’re going to have problems much more regularly,” Kilps, a 15-year Rhine veteran, said as cars rolled on to the ferry.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... unning-dry

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POLITICS

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Calls On Women To ‘Shake The Table’ In Women’s March Speech

“We just captured the House, and now we’re going to show what we’re going to do with it,” the star congresswoman told the crowd.


By Andy McDonald 01/19/2019 05:59 pm ET

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) fired up the crowds at New York City’s Women’s March on Saturday with a pointed message: We’ve got the power, now it’s time to do something with it.

The 2019 Women’s March is happening in cities across the world, continuing its three-year tradition of promoting gender equality and resistance to the administration of President Donald Trump.

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ABC News

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaks at the 2019 Women's March in New York: "Last year we brought the power to the polls, and this year we need to make sure we translate that power into policy." http://abcn.ws/2FKMCfJ

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10:51 AM - Jan 19, 2019


“Last year we brought the power to the polls, and this year we need to make sure we translate that power into policy,” Ocasio-Cortez said after taking the stage Saturday.

The freshman congresswoman is a rising star in the Democratic Party and won election last year amid a historic landslide for Democrats in the House of Representatives.

“We will pass ... an equal rights amendment that ensures that all people regardless of their gender identity will be respected by the laws of this land,” she said.

The representative from New York’s 14th District, the youngest woman ever elected to Congress, stressed equal pay for equal work and parental leave rights for both men and women.

“This is the start of our advocacy,” she said. “Because we just captured the House, and now we’re going to show what we’re going to do with it.”

Ocasio-Cortez appeared at another march location in New York, where she emphasized justice not as some abstract concept but as a notion with real-world applications and ramifications.

“Justice is about the water we drink. Justice is about the air we breathe. Justice is about how easy is it to vote. Justice is about how much ladies get paid,” she said.

“Justice is about making sure that being polite is not the same thing as being quiet. In fact, oftentimes, the most righteous thing you can do is shake the table.”

The first Women’s March was held in January 2017, coinciding with, and largely becoming a protest of, Trump’s inauguration.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/al ... dbe171ed19

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HERO

Meet the Double Amputee Clearing Mines in Iraq

Hoshyar Ali has spent the past three decades dismantling hundreds of thousands of land mines.


Kelly Caminero 01.18.19 10:29 PM ET

Hoshyar Ali is a double amputee who lost his limbs during the 1980s and 1990s clearing fields from land mines. His lifelong mission has been clearing land mines left behind in the countryside in North Iraq. Ali’s hometown, for instance, Halabja, finds that almost a third of the land surrounding it is home to mines. Thousands of acres of land in Iraq is reportedly littered with mines laid by Saddam Hussein’s regime alone. In the past thirty years, he has claimed to have dismantled hundreds of thousands of land mines. Working independently, and for free, Ali continues his mission to clear land mines.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/meet-the- ... ref=scroll

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Here’s Trump’s latest offer to end the shutdown — and why Democrats aren’t interested

The “deal” Trump is offering on immigration and DACA, explained.


By Dara Lind and Li Zhou Jan 19, 2019, 3:53pm EST

President Donald Trump just blinked on the government shutdown. But his standoff with congressional Democrats doesn’t appear to be headed to a resolution anytime soon.

On Saturday, in remarks billed as a “major announcement” on the border and the shutdown, Trump proposed a deal to Democrats. He continues to insist that any bill to reopen the government include billions of dollars for a physical barrier on the US-Mexico border — a “wall” — but is now open to such a bill including other immigration provisions as well.

Most notably, he’s open to extending existing protections for the 700,000 or so immigrants currently protected by the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program and the hundreds of thousands of immigrants who currently have legal status under Temporary Protected Status. The Trump administration has moved to sunset DACA, and to end protections for most of the immigrants covered under TPS. Both of those plans are currently held up in litigation.

Democrats aren’t particularly interested in what Trump’s proposing. “Democrats were not consulted on this and have rejected similar overtures previously,” a Democratic aide told Vox. “It’s clearly a non-serious product of negotiations amongst White House staff to try to clean up messes the president created in the first place. POTUS is holding more people hostage for his wall.”

After weeks of all-or-nothing intransigence, Trump’s announcement Saturday indicates that the White House realizes they’re losing the shutdown in the eyes of most Americans, and are willing to compromise to reopen the government. But Democrats also know the White House is losing the shutdown, and the compromise now on offer is something they are unlikely to take.

What Trump’s offering: $5.7 billion for the wall in exchange for extensions of existing protections for some immigrants

Trump’s pitching this as a compromise: He wants the wall, Democrats want to help DACA and TPS recipients. But the deal isn’t the result of conversations with Democrats. It’s reportedly the result of discussions that Vice President Mike Pence and presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner have had with congressional Republicans (most notably Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC)).

And it shows. What Trump’s offering — temporary extensions of existing protections for both groups of immigrants — isn’t something that Democrats have been wildly enthusiastic about in the past. Furthermore, with Trump’s efforts to strip existing protections held up in court, it’s essentially a short extension of the status quo.

DACA recipients are currently being allowed to extend their protections for two years, just as they could under the Obama administration, while the administration fights in court to end the program. (People who don’t already have protections are no longer allowed to apply.) Without knowing when the Supreme Court will rule — or how the Trump administration will proceed if the Supreme Court agrees they can end DACA, since their original plan (issuing no renewals for expirations after March 2018) is obviously moot — it’s hard to say for sure that a three-year one-time extension will protect DACA recipients for longer than waiting for the Supreme Court.

Here’s what he offered Saturday:

$5.7 billion in funding for a physical barrier on the US-Mexico border. Trump’s not budging on this. The White House has already “conceded” that the barrier will be made of steel poles — which is what experts and border agents wanted anyway

— rather than solid concrete. Per a letter sent earlier this month, the administration could build 243 miles of barriers with the $5.7 billion it’s requesting, most of which would be built in the Rio Grande Valley.’

Three years of temporary protections for DACA recipients. On DACA, Trump is embracing a version of Graham’s BRIDGE Act, which would extend DACA recipients’ existing deportation protections and work permits for three more years. (The original BRIDGE Act applied also to immigrants who were eligible for DACA but not currently protected.) In theory, Congress would use that time to work out a permanent solution for DREAMers; but the last time the White House tried that, by giving Congress six months to address DACA before sunsetting it entirely, the gambit did not succeed. During that debate in late 2017 and early 2018, many Republicans gravitated toward bills that would offer DREAMers access to permanent legal status and ultimately to citizenship — a more moderate approach than what Trump is offering now.

A three-year extension of protections for TPS holders. Trump is also offering to extend ( for three years as well) the legal protections that hundreds of thousands of immigrants have under the Temporary Protected Status program — which is supposed to allow people to stay in the US while their countries recover from war or natural disasters, but which, over the years, has allowed many people to stay and put down roots in the US. TPS, unlike DACA, grants official legal status, but it doesn’t offer any way to apply for a green card or citizenship. Trump’s efforts to end TPS for most countries are held up in a different court fight — so this proposal, like the DACA proposal, would essentially be a legislative extension of the current judicially-imposed status quo.

$800 million to improve care for children and families at the border — with millions more for enforcement. The rest of Trump’s proposal is a modified version of what the White House originally floated to Democrats in negotiations two weeks ago, codified in a letter sent by the Office of Management and Budget. Those demands include $800 million to deal with the actually-urgent humanitarian crisis at the US/Mexico border — the fact that unprecedented numbers of children and families are coming to the US (often to seek asylum) and border agents aren’t equipped to deal with them. Trump’s also demanding 2,750 more border agents and other law enforcement officials; millions of dollars in screening technology to detect drugs at ports of entry; and the hiring of 75 new immigration judges to address the immigration-court backlog, which is currently the biggest barrier to deporting people quickly (and which the current shutdown has exacerbated).

Modest changes to asylum for Central American children and teenagers. The Trump administration is floating allowing Central American children and teenagers to apply for asylum in their home countries — a modification of an Obama-administration program Trump ended in 2017. In return, they want to change current law to eliminate automatic court hearings for children and teens who come to the US from Central America and other countries — making it much easier to summarily deport them.

Trump is in a weakening position on the shutdown — and on immigration

Trump could have proposed this deal at any time since before the government shut down; Graham has been pushing it for weeks. But as recently as Wednesday, Trump was telling reporters that he was waiting for Democrats to come back to the table to negotiate. And as recently as last week, Vice President Mike Pence told reporters that the president was firmly opposed, in particular, to any wall deal that addressed the DACA issue.

On both of those questions — whether to offer Democrats a compromise to end the shutdown, and whether that compromise could include some protection for DACA recipients — the White House’s political calculus has changed.

Over the last week or so, the real-life consequences of the shutdown for the 800,000 federal employees currently going without pay have started becoming apparent. Affected workers missed their first paycheck on Friday, January 11; if nothing changes, they’re set to miss another paycheck on Friday, January 25. (The president has signed a bill to give back pay to workers, but only after the shutdown ends.) And with the Senate out of session for the next week (though they could be called back for votes on 24 hours’ notice), it looks like that second missed paycheck is a foregone conclusion.

Reports from inside the White House indicate that Trump advisers have gotten increasingly anxious to end the shutdown. One administration official told the Wall Street Journal’s Natalie Andrews and Michael C. Bender on Wednesday that advisers have warned Trump “this isn’t just a messaging war” and that he’s “playing with live ammunition” — with the implication that the president is taking the blame for the shutdown’s real-life casualties.

The White House’s sudden willingness to include DACA in shutdown talks, meanwhile, might stem from something that happened Friday — or rather, didn’t happen.

Observers on all sides have assumed that the Supreme Court was going to take up the lawsuit against Trump’s efforts to end DACA this term, and would rule (probably in the Trump administration’s favor) in June. But as of yesterday — the court’s traditional deadline for adopting cases for the current term — the Supreme Court hadn’t officially agreed to hear the DACA case.

It’s possible that the court will announce in the coming days that it’s hearing the DACA case after all, and can squeeze it in. But the fact that they haven’t done it already makes it seem very plausible that they’re going to wait until the new term starts in October. That means DACA, in its current form, would remain alive for months — and possibly until June 2020.

That undermines Trump’s boasts that the Supreme Court is going to rule in his favor on DACA. If the White House was expecting to be able to pressure Democrats to accept a more conservative immigration deal in June, because they were worried about DREAMers’ protections expiring imminently, the administration may now be reconsidering.

The problem for the White House is that Democrats also know all this. They know that if they don’t make a deal, current DACA recipients will remain protected from deportation and able to work for several more months at least. So there’s less incentive for them to agree to any compromise — especially one that offers to extend the same protections DACA recipients have now for just a few years, instead of offering them permanent legal status or access to citizenship.

Why Democrats probably won’t be tempted by Trump’s offer

There are three big reasons — above and beyond the fact that Democrats know they have the upper hand on timing — why this deal is unlikely to appeal to them.

All you have to do is listen to what Democratic leaders have been saying so far.

1) Most obviously, the deal’s a non-starter because it still calls for money to fund a border wall. After all, Trump’s unflinching demand for wall money — and Democrats’ refusal to approve it — is the main reason the government is shutdown in the first place.

Week after week, Democrats have signaled that there’s little room for negotiation on this issue. In Democratic leaders last meeting with Trump, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi went so far as to say she wouldn’t agree to fund such a structure even after the government is opened. “The fact is, a wall is an immorality,” she said at a recent press appearance. “It’s not who we are as a nation.”

While Democrats are open to providing more money for border security — allocations that would cover fencing and technology along the southern border — any deal referencing a wall, or something like it, would be a very tough pill to swallow even if it guarantees them some policy wins.

As Vox’s Tara Golshan has explained, Democrats are vehemently opposed to a border wall not necessarily because they oppose physical barriers along the border, but because backing it would be seen as the equivalent of backing one of Trump’s racist campaign promises.

2) Thus far, Democrats have refused to negotiate on border security until the government is reopened. They’ve asked Trump to end the shutdown first and then they’ll talk.

“We Democrats are exasperated. All we want to do is reopen the government,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said during floor remarks this week. “We are happy to debate border security with the president and our Republican colleagues. Happy to. But let’s reopen the government.”

If Democrats adhere to this stance, Trump’s proposal wouldn’t even be up for discussion until the shutdown ends, rendering it a moot point. As of Saturday afternoon, Democratic leadership has given no sign that they are budging from their position. In fact, Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin reaffirmed it.

3) Democrats have a lot of trust issues with Trump when it comes to any kind of DACA deal. That also throws their willingness to consider this proposal further into doubt.

Much of this distrust stems from a similar effort to negotiate on DACA almost exactly a year ago, when Schumer offered Trump more than $20 billion in border wall funding in exchange for a pathway to citizenship for DACA recipients. At the time, Trump actually appeared open to the proposal and Schumer was optimistic, MSNBC reported.

Just hours after the meeting where they purportedly reached an agreement, however, Trump reneged because the plan wasn’t conservative enough, and ultimately urged Congress to consider another proposal that had far more stringent restrictions on legal immigration. Trump has since shut down numerous other efforts to codify DACA protections as well.

Schumer was heavily criticized by liberal activists for his concessions on wall funding last January, an offer he wound up retracting, and it’s unlikely he and Pelosi would be willing to take on that kind of heat unless they were certain a deal would not only be guaranteed, but also ensure that Democrats walk away with other significant victories.

“That’s what we offered last time and the President reneged on his offer,” Sen. Patty Murray, the third-ranking member in the Democratic Senate conference, told Vox last week, when asked about the possibility of a trade that includes wall money and a permanent path to citizenship for DACA recipients. “We don’t know what he wants.”

Where talks could go from here

Trump’s decision to offer up an explicit proposal does put some pressure on Democrats, who’ve thus far been rejecting a more theoretical suggestion of a DACA deal. His announcement doesn’t necessarily push them to accept this specific deal, but it is meant to create the impression that the president is trying to negotiate, putting some onus on Democrats to respond.

They seem ready to. Earlier on Saturday, The New York Times’s Julie Hirschfield Davis reported that Democrats had plans of offering a concession of their own. In the coming week, House Democrats intend to pass a spending bill that will include an additional $1 billion to address border-security needs, like improving infrastructure at ports of entry and hiring immigration judges.

As The New York Times’s Maggie Haberman reported, White House officials think Trump’s new proposal could potentially pass the Senate, presumably with the help of moderate Democrats. Currently, Republicans, who have a 53-47 majority in the upper chamber, would need seven Democrats to join them to advance it. As Trump noted in his speech, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell intends to bring the proposal to a floor vote this week, a somewhat confusing move since McConnell has said he isn’t interested in taking votes on spending bills that don’t have the support to pass.

It’s highly unlikely that enough Democrats would be willing to peel off from their caucus in support of wall funding, though some have been open to it in the past. Ahead of the midterms, a subset of vulnerable red-state Democrats including Sens. Joe Manchin and Jon Tester said they would back Trump’s border wall and other lawmakers have previously supported a DACA trade for border security.

At the same time, Trump’s willingness to allow any form of relief for DACA recipients is producing a backlash from the conservative influencers who Trump usually trusts to speak for his “base”:

Ann Coulter

Trump proposes amnesty. We voted for Trump and got Jeb!

3:18 PM - Jan 19, 2019


Trump has a history of backing out of immigration compromises once he feels the heat from his base. It’s not clear whether that will happen now that he’s committed to this deal in a “major announcement.” But it’s also not clear how the deal will lead to an end to the shutdown if, instead of building support for the proposal, the White House is losing it.

https://www.vox.com/2019/1/19/18189549/ ... -democrats

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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Russian Oligarch and Allies Could Benefit From Sanctions Deal, Document Shows

An agreement that the companies controlled by the Russian oligarch Oleg V. Deripaska negotiated with the Trump administration may have been less punitive than advertised.
Credit

Sergei Karpukhin/Reuters
By Kenneth P. Vogel
Jan. 21, 2019


WASHINGTON — When the Trump administration announced last month that it was lifting sanctions against a trio of companies controlled by an influential Russian oligarch, it cast the move as tough on Russia and on the oligarch, arguing that he had to make painful concessions to get the sanctions lifted.

But a binding confidential document signed by both sides suggests that the agreement the administration negotiated with the companies controlled by the oligarch, Oleg V. Deripaska, may have been less punitive than advertised.
The deal contains provisions that free him from hundreds of millions of dollars in debt while leaving him and his allies with majority ownership of his most important company, the document shows.

With the special counsel’s investigation into Russia’s role in the 2016 election continuing to shadow President Trump, the administration’s decision to lift sanctions on Mr. Deripaska’s companies has become a political flash point. House Democrats won widespread Republican support last week for their efforts to block the sanctions relief deal. Democratic hopes of blocking the administration’s decision have been stifled by the Republican-controlled Senate.

The Treasury Department announced the sanctions last April against Mr. Deripaska, six other Russian oligarchs and their companies, including Mr. Deripaska’s aluminum giant, Rusal, as well as the holding company that owns it, EN+, and another company it controls, EuroSibEnergo. Like other oligarchs, Mr. Deripaska is closely allied with the Kremlin.

The sanctions were in retaliation for “a range of malign activity around the globe” by Russia, Steven Mnuchin, the Treasury secretary, said at the time.

The personal sanctions on Mr. Deripaska went into effect immediately, but those on his companies were delayed several times, and Mr. Mnuchin struck a conciliatory tone toward the companies. He clarified that the goal of the sanctions was “to change the behavior” of Mr. Deripaska, and “not to put Rusal out of business,” given the company’s pivotal role as a global supplier of aluminum.

Mr. Mnuchin indicated that the Treasury Department might be willing to lift the sanctions from Mr. Deripaska’s companies if he reduced his stake to less than 50 percent.

Steven Mnuchin, the Treasury secretary, pressed lawmakers on Capitol Hill last week to back the sanctions deal.

Last month, Mr. Mnuchin announced that the department had reached an agreement to lift the sanctions on Mr. Deripaska’s companies in exchange for a commitment “to significantly diminish Deripaska’s ownership and sever his control.”

The department laid out the broad contours of the agreement in a letter to Congress, which was released publicly. But the confidential document, which was not released publicly but was reviewed by The New York Times, describes the deal in considerably greater detail, including proprietary information about the corporate restructuring, much of it not previously reported.

It shows that the sanctions relief deal will allow Mr. Deripaska to wipe out potentially hundreds of millions of dollars in debt by transferring some of his shares to VTB, a Russian government-owned bank under limited United States sanctions that had lent him large sums of money.

The confidential document, titled “Terms of Removal,” also shows that the agreement would leave allies of Mr. Deripaska and the Kremlin with significant stakes in his companies. The document is signed by executives representing Mr. Deripaska’s three companies as well as the official in the Treasury Department who oversees the division that handled the negotiations.

The new information could lend ammunition to criticism that the Trump administration either knowingly let a Kremlin-allied oligarch off easy, or was outmaneuvered by a sophisticated legal and lobbying campaign funded by his companies.
Mr. Deripaska has attracted particular attention because he has been a bit character in the story lines around the Russia investigation led by the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III. Mr. Deripaska had a business relationship with Paul Manafort, Mr. Trump’s former campaign chairman. Mr. Manafort has been convicted and pleaded guilty to charges brought by Mr. Mueller’s team.

In response to questions about the details outlined in the confidential document, the Treasury Department issued a statement broadly defending the deal, citing provisions that keep Mr. Deripaska and his allies from exerting voting control of some of their shares.

“Deripaska’s control over these entities is severed by this delisting, and he can no longer use them to carry out illicit activities on behalf of the Kremlin,” the statement said. “En+, Rusal and ESE have committed to provide Treasury with an unprecedented level of transparency into their dealings to ensure that Deripaska does not reassert control. Treasury will be vigilant in ensuring these commitments are met, and failure to comply will bring swift consequences, including the reimposition of sanctions.”

VTB Bank, a Russian government-owned bank whose main building in Moscow is at center, will receive additional shares in the business empire of Mr. Deripaska.
Credit

Yet Mr. Deripaska’s associates have privately expressed satisfaction with the deal. And representatives for EN+ suggested to at least one prospective outside buyer who expressed interest in Mr. Deripaska’s shares that the company would only consider selling to an independent investor as a fall back option if Treasury did not approve the restructuring agreement.

The publicly released letter sent to Congress said the under the agreement to lift the corporate sanctions, Mr. Deripaska would reduce his ownership stake in EN+ from approximately 70 percent to 44.95 percent. That would include a “restructuring transaction” with a Swiss mining company with which he has worked closely, Glencore, and the transfer of one block of his EN+ stock to VTB Bank and another to a charitable foundation.

The letter did not identify either the number of shares to be transferred, or the name of the foundation. And it stressed that “none of the transactions to be undertaken consistent with the agreement will allow Deripaska to obtain cash either in return for his shares or from future dividends” issued by his companies, which “will be placed into a blocked account.”

But the unreleased, confidential document contains raw numbers, names and other details that raise questions about the degree to which the deal is penalizing Mr. Deripaska.

The document identifies the foundation as Volnoe Delo, which was founded and funded by Mr. Deripaska. It supports programs ranging from stray dog rescue to archaeological excavations to book fairs. Under the deal, it will receive nearly 21 million shares of EN+, amounting to 3.22 percent of the company.

The confidential document reveals that Glencore, which is among Rusal’s biggest customers for aluminum, will receive 67.4 million shares of EN+, good for 10.55 percent of the company.
And VTB, which reportedly already owned nearly 10 percent of EN+, will receive nearly 92 million additional shares, bringing its total stake in the company to about 24 percent.

In return for the additional shares going to VTB, which were worth nearly $800 million at the close of trading Friday on the Moscow stock exchange, Mr. Deripaska would be released from debts he owes the bank, the document shows. Mr. Deripaska had secured the loans with stock in one of his companies before the sanctions were announced. The stock prices of Rusal and EN+ plummeted after the sanctions were announced last year, but rose on the news of the deal to lift them — in effect allowing Mr. Deripaska to pay off more of the loans than he would have been able to do absent a deal with the administration.

Another Russian oligarch, Viktor Vekselberg, owns a stake in Mr. Deripaska’s empire. He also faces sanctions from the United States.

Notably, VTB would be able to collect dividends from its EN+ shares, according to the confidential document, despite the bank being under limited United States sanctions.

Another Russian oligarch who faces sanctions by the United States and has attracted the interest of Mr. Mueller’s investigators, Viktor Vekselberg, also has a stake in Mr. Deripaska’s empire through a company called SUAL Partners Limited. Another investor in SUAL Partners is Len Blavatnik, a Ukrainian-born billionaire who has British and American citizenship. He donated $1 million through another company he controls to the committee that funded Mr. Trump’s inaugural festivities, which Mr. Vekselberg attended and to which Mr. Blavatnik was invited.

According to the confidential document, under the restructuring agreement approved by the Treasury Department, SUAL would own 22.5 percent of Rusal, while EN+ would own 56.88 percent of Rusal.

The document specifies the precise ownership stakes in EN+ of other people and entities with personal relationships to Mr. Deripaska. That includes shares owned by his ex-wife, Polina Yumasheva, a British-educated daughter of the chief of staff to Boris N. Yeltsin, a former president of Russia. She owns 5.19 percent of EN+, while her father, Valentin Yumashev, owns 1.57 percent, and a firm called Orandy Capital Limited, which reportedly has links to the family, owns another 1.78 percent, according to the document.

Taken together, Mr. Deripaska, his foundation, his ex-wife, her father and Orandy Capital would own nearly 57 percent of EN+ under the deal.

In its letter to Congress outlining the deal, Treasury stressed that independent trustees with “no personal or professional ties” to Mr. Deripaska will control the EN+ board votes associated with the shares owned by Mr. Deripaska’s foundation, his ex-wife, her father and the family-linked Orandy Capital, as well as those being transferred to VTB.

The deal also requires Mr. Deripaska to hand over voting authority for 10 percent of his shares to “a voting trust obligated to vote in the same manner as the majority of shares held by shareholders other than Deripaska.”
Critics of the deal pointed out that, after Treasury announced it, the share prices of Rusal and EN+ rose sharply, providing a boost to the portfolios of Mr. Deripaska, his family and VTB.

“Score that a win for Putin,” tweeted Michael A. McFaul, a former United States ambassador to Russia, referring to the Rusal share price surge.

Re: Politics

1522
You beat me to it Peter.

I was just about to post this very same article. I was going to tie this article into one about Anastasia Vashukevich and Oleg V. Deripaska.

This is the guy that Trump, Mnuchin, and our US Senate just left off the hook by lifting his sanctions. Tell me Trump is not compromised and indebted to Russia, in particularly Putin and Deripaska.
But a binding confidential document signed by both sides suggests that the agreement the administration negotiated with the companies controlled by the oligarch, Oleg V. Deripaska, may have been less punitive than advertised. The deal contains provisions that free him from hundreds of millions of dollars in debt while leaving him and his allies with majority ownership of his most important company, the document shows.
Brace yourself Peter! Trump, Mnuchin, and our US Senate are about to lift the sanctions on “En+, Rusal and ESE"
“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

1523
From Syria to Helsinki, to Russia and the lifting of sanctions, to the hacking of the DNC.....Trump has been all "GIVE", what has Trump "RECEIVED" from Putin? As far as I can tell, Zero! Would be nice to know what the contents of those discussions were all about that took place in Helsinki. Guess we'll never find out since Trump took the notes and won't share. Does he still have them. Have they been destroyed. The only way to find out now would be to subpoena the translator/stenographer.
“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

1524


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Muslim-American Congresswomen Prompt Saudi Alarm

January 21, 2019 1:23 PM

Jamie Dettmer

WASHINGTON —
Saudi Arabia may learn to regret the political attacks launched from the kingdom on two American Muslim women who won seats for the Democrats in Congress in the U.S. midterm elections. One of them, Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, has secured a seat on a House panel that has the power to disrupt U.S. arms sales to Saudi Arabia.

Omar, a Somali-American who won a seat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee last week, and her fellow congresswoman Rashida Tlaib of Michigan, have attracted disapproving Saudi attention with the oil-rich kingdom’s government-controlled media outlets, as well as academics and commentators known to reflect the views of the ruling royal family, dubbing them secret Islamists who are in league with the Muslim Brotherhood.

On securing a seat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Omar said she is determined to “rein in arms sales to human rights abusers like Saudi Arabia.”

The attacks on the two lawmakers, who dub themselves democratic socialists, have not diminished since their mid-term wins when they became the first Muslim women elected to the U.S. Congress. Both are among several politically progressive congressional newcomers who have pledged to shake up the U.S. Congress and their own Democratic Party.

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A Saudi diplomat kicked off the rhetoric against the lawmakers with a tweet on election night targeting Omar, saying “she will be hostile to the Gulf” and accusing her of being an adherent of the kind of political Islam represented by the Muslim Brotherhood.

Al Arabiya, a news network set up by relatives of the Saudi royal family, ran an op-ed last month saying the two newly elected congresswomen are part of an anti-Saudi infiltration of American politics, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood, which aims to undermine U.S. President Donald Trump’s strategic partnership with Saudi Arabia. The criticism has been echoed in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi’s Gulf neighbor and ally. The Muslim Brotherhood, a political movement, is banned in both Gulf countries.

“The Democrats’ battle against Republican control of the U.S. Congress led to an alliance with political Islamist movements in order to restore their control on government, pushing Muslim candidates and women activists of immigrant minorities onto the electoral scene,” the writer of the Al Arabiya article claimed.

Irony in rhetorical attacks

Supporters of the two congresswomen describe the Saudi media campaign against the pair as a vilification, saying there’s an irony in the rhetorical attacks as both lawmakers share socially progressive views, including strong advocacy of LGBTQ and women’s rights, which are diametrically at odds with political Islam. The Saudi targeting of the two is in response, they say, to the women’s advocacy of human rights and their criticism of the Saudi royals, and especially of the kingdom’s de facto ruler, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

Both women have criticized Trump over his handling of Saudi Arabia in response to the October killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Omar tweeted after his killing, "The Saudi government might have been strategic at covering up the daily atrocities carried out against minorities, women, activists and even the #YemenGenocide, but the murder of #JamalKhashoggi should be the last evil act they are allowed to commit."

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Trump has refrained from severely punishing Saudi Arabia for the killing of Khashoggi in its consulate in Istanbul. The Trump administration has imposed sanctions on 17 Saudis accused of organizing the murder, but says the strategic relationship with Riyadh is too important to do more.

The lawmakers' ire is not only focused on Saudi Arabia, though. Both women – ironically, considering the Saudi criticism – are firm opponents of Israeli policy and are supporters of a boycott, divestment and sanctions movement against Israel.

In an interview Thursday with The Intercept, a left-leaning online investigative news site, Rashida Tlaib, the first Palestinian-American woman elected to Congress, says she won’t support U.S. military aid to Israel or "any country that is not for equality or justice."


On Palestine, she said, “I have to tell you my grandmother lives there. By me supporting any aid to a country that denies her human dignity, denies her equality, the fact that she has to go and, you know, through checkpoints to get to the hospital for health care, the fact that she is felt as if she’s less than in her own country, that is something I will not be supporting.”

Tlaib said military aid should be used as leverage to persuade countries to observe civil rights.

“If we’re not doing that to Israel, Saudi Arabia and other countries, then we’re not doing our job as a country,” she added.

https://www.voanews.com/a/muslim-americ ... 52263.html

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Shares in Russian aluminium giant Rusal surge as US lifts sanctions

20 Dec, 2018 10:34

Russian aluminum giant Rusal saw its stock jump 25 percent after the US said it is dropping sanctions against the firm after its owner, who is on the US sanctions list, reduced his stake in the company.

The Trump administration on Wednesday notified Congress of its plans to lift sanctions on two Russian firms, Rusal and EN+ Group. Both companies are owned by Russian businessman Oleg Deripaska, who was included in the list of sanctioned companies and individuals as part of broader US sanctions against Russia.

“Treasury sanctioned these companies because of their ownership and control by sanctioned Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska, not for the conduct of the companies themselves,” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement.

“These companies have committed to significantly diminish Deripaska’s ownership and sever his control.”

On April 6, Washington imposed sanctions on the Russian businessman, and companies in which he owns stakes, citing “malign activities” by Russia. The move prompted fears of a global aluminum shortage and put upward pressure on the price.

However, the enforcement of the restrictions has been postponed to allow more time for talks with Rusal and its parent companies.

Rusal stock and En+’s global depositary receipt demonstrated significant growth at the opening of Moscow exchange on Thursday, surging 30 and 40 percent respectively, before rolling back slightly.

Deripaska himself will still remain on the sanctions list and his property in the US will remain blocked, the Treasury noted. The tycoon’s investment in En+, Rusal, or EuroSibEnergo is also frozen and he cannot obtain cash, either in return for his shares or from future dividends issued by the companies.

Shortly after the US Treasury announcement, the London Metal Exchange said that it would lift its suspension on aluminum produced by Rusal once the measure is implemented.

“In the event of the sanctions being lifted, the LME proposes removing all previous requirements around suspension of Rusal brand metal from being delivered into LME warehouses and used in settlement,” the exchange said in a statement, as cited by Reuters.

Rusal welcomed the US Treasury decision and said that it continues to do all the necessary work to return “the company to normal operation.” However, the aluminum giant noted that there are no guarantees that the restrictions will be removed as promised.

https://www.rt.com/business/446958-trea ... ted-rusal/

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Report: Sanctions deal actually boosts Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska

January 21, 2019

The sanctions agreement reached by the Trump administration and Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska actually appears to benefit Deripaska, The New York Times reports.

Last April, the Treasury Department announced sanctions against Deripaska — a onetime business associate of former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort — and three of his companies, as well as six other Russian oligarchs and their companies; Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said the sanctions were in response to "a range of malign activity around the globe." In December, Mnuchin said the Treasury Department reached an agreement to lift the sanctions on three companies controlled by Deripaska: The aluminum company Rusal; EN+, the holding company that owns Rusal; and EuroSibEnergo.

As part of the deal, Mnuchin said, the companies had to "significantly diminish Deripaska's ownership and sever his control." But the Times reviewed a confidential document, signed by a Treasury official and representatives of Deripaska's companies, which shows that under the deal, he will have the opportunity to wipe out hundreds of millions of dollars in debt by transferring some of his shares to the Russian government-owned bank VTB, which has lent him a substantial amount of money. At the same time, Deripaska's allies — who are also close to the Kremlin — will still have major stakes in his companies.

In a statement, the Treasury Department said Deripaska's companies have "committed to provide Treasury with an unprecedented level of transparency into their dealings to ensure that Deripaska does not reassert control." The Times reports that privately, Deripaska associates are happy with the agreement, and after the deal was announced, share prices of Rusal and EN+ went up, boosting Deripaska's portfolios.

https://theweek.com/speedreads/819179/j ... trict-race

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THE HUNTRESS HUNTED

The Sex Worker Who Could Hold Keys to Mueller Probe Freed From Moscow Jail

Nastya Rybka may not know as much as she claims about a sanctioned Russian oligarch and Paul Manafort. But if not, why did the oligarch try so hard to keep her in prison?


Amy Knight 01.22.19 11:46 AM ET

Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska’s nemesis, the 28-year-old Belarusian self-declared “seductress” and “huntress of billionaires” known as Nastya Rybka, just got out of jail in Moscow.

And Deripaska must have thought things were going so well.

As we now know, he worked hard to keep her locked up in Thailand, or Russia—wherever, as long as she would quit telling her stories and showing her videotapes about him talking American politics, Trump politics, with a deputy prime minister of Russia at the height of the U.S. elections.


Whether Rybka’s information sheds light on the Russia collusion investigation or not, the fact that Deripaska used to be a client of jailed Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort makes those conversations highly suspicious.

Still, Deripaska had reason to be pleased as the annual World Economic Forum readied to open in Davos, Switzerland, this week.

Late last year, Deripaska was told that he and oligarchs Andrei Kostin and Viktor Vekselberg would not be welcome at the gathering because they are on the U.S. Treasury’s sanctions list. But after Russia threatened to boycott the forum altogether, the organizers lifted the ban on the three men.

Those packing their bags for the Alps thought they could count on another one of Deripaska’s lavish parties, “where executives and world leaders rub elbows with scores of attractive Russian women,” as Bloomberg News put it.

Adding to Deripaska’s good fortune, as The New York Times reported, he has recently negotiated a very favorable deal with the U.S. Treasury to get sanctions lifted on his companies.

But on Monday things started to go wrong for the oligarch, and at the last minute he told his followers on Instagram he wouldn’t be going to Davos this year; he’d be fishing on Lake Baikal.

Then Rybka and her associate Alexander Kirillov were released. And that surprise came just after—perhaps because of—a highly damning exposé about Deripaska and the petite, blonde Rybka (real name Anastasia Vashukevich) was posted by Russian opposition democrat Aleksei Navalny.

On Monday, Navalny put up on his website two recordings of telephone conversations that concerned Deripaska and Rybka, who had until today been languishing in a Moscow prison after being arrested along with Kirillov and two others (who were released immediately) at Sheremetyevo Airport on Jan. 17.

Rybka and Kirillov had just landed on a flight from Thailand, where they spent nine months in jail with members of their group for allegedly conducting illegal sex activities (part of a program of so-called sex training).

Rybka first gained notoriety from a book, The Diary of How to Seduce a Billionaire, and an investigative report, “Yachts, Oligarchs, Girls: A Huntress for Men Exposes a Bribe-Taker” published in February 2018 by Navalny’s Anti-Corruption Fund.

It told the story of a 2016 yachting excursion off the coast of Norway that Rybka had taken with Deripaska. That report, based on Rybka’s photos and videos, revealed that Russian Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Prikhodko was also on board and that he and Deripaska had discussed the U.S. election campaign.

Navalny received the audio tapes a couple of months ago from an anonymous person who said in a note to Navalny that they were from a “silovik” (a member of Putin’s security entourage) “who takes part in this despicable activity, in which Putin himself is interested.” The anonymous donor “wanted people to know the truth.” Deripaska himself, it turns out, learned about the audiotapes and has filed a lawsuit demanding that Russian internet providers block access to them. But that has not stopped the indomitable Navalny.

Russia has threatened to block access to YouTube and Instagram if the websites do not remove videos and photos of a Kremlin-linked oligarch’s meeting with a senior government minister on a luxury yacht.

He won an injunction on Saturday from a court in his native Krasnodar region ordering the removal from websites of the videos and photographs, which he says are a violation of his privacy.

The watchdog also ordered Navalny to delete his investigation into the meeting from his website. Navalny has described the order as an unprecedented case of state censorship, and has urged his supporters to share his video on Deripaska’s meeting with Prikhodko as widely as possible.


The first audio recording posted by Navalny is a conversation in English that two Russians, “Tatiana” and “Georgii,” have with a foreign legal expert named “William” about the need to keep Rybka and her group, under arrest in Thailand for illegal business activity, locked up.

“William” tells them that, according to Thai law, the group will just be fined and deported. When the crime does not involve drugs, William says, there is usually no prison sentence. Georgii gets impatient and agitated, insisting that “we are very interested in that these people remain in prison, that the court sentences them to prison.” The conversation ends inconclusively.

The big enchilada here is that, through his usual meticulous research, Navalny was able to identify the two Russian speakers. “Tatiana,” he says, is Tatiana Monegen (she goes by Monaghan in English), who has been general secretary of the Russian branch of the International Chamber of Commerce since Russia joined the ICC in 2000. (In the 1990s, Monegen was an adviser on Russia for the World Economic Forum and helped to get Russia admitted to the World Trade Organization.)

Significantly, the chairman of the Russian Committee of the ICC happens to be none other than Deripaska! Navalny even reveals that the Moscow telephone number of the committee (7495-720-50-80) is the same number as that of Deripaska’s vast aluminum company, Rusal.

Navalny adds his own commentary: “I would very much like for all members of this independent international organization [the ICC], founded in 1919, to know what its representatives are doing 100 years later, in 2019. The general secretary [of the Russian committee] Monegen is resolving the problems of the chairman Deripaska with prostitutes.”

“Georgii,” Navalny says, is one Georgii Oganov, a member of the board of directors of Deripaska’s conglomerate Basic Element (as of now, under sanctions) and an adviser to Deripaska. Oganov, who speaks several languages, graduated from the venerable feeder institution for diplomats and intelligence officers, Moscow State Institute for International Relations (MGIMO), in 1975 and served in several diplomatic posts, including as press attaché in Washington, before joining Basic Element in 2003. Oganov also sits on the prestigious Russian Business Advisory Council to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation organization (APEC), as a deputy to Deripaska, one of three representatives on the council.

The second telephone recording produced by Navalny is allegedly between Deripaska and Evgenii Agarkov, who Navalny identifies as the director of an offshore company that owns the yacht Deripaska was on with Rybka. Agarkov, it seems, went along on the trip.

Deripaska asks Agarkov if he has ever used the professional services of the diminutive Nastya Rybka, and then says, “Why didn’t you tell me you had this Belorusian mouse?”

Agarkov insists that he was with Rybka “not on the boat, nowhere.” Deripaska then accuses Agarkov of giving Rybka his contact information, including his personal telephone number, which Agarkov denies, unconvincingly.

This last conversation might seem pretty harmless, given all that is known and alleged about Deripaska and Rybka. But Deripaska’s efforts to have Rybka arrested and jailed puts the conversation in a different light. Deripaska already filed a legal complaint against Rybka for the book she published last year, where she describes a relationship with an unnamed oligarch widely presumed to be him.

Navalny makes an allegation that might be leveled against many a Russian oligarch: “I declare that Oleg Deripaska should be charged with engaging in prostitution for selecting, through trial casting, Nastya Rybka (and dozens of other girls, including minors), bringing them to his dachas and yachts and paying them for sex with him, official Prikhodko and other drinking companions. In the interests of Deripaska, Deripaska’s people and Deripaska’s full management have organized a whole complex and streamlined supply system for prostitutes, which Deripaska himself actively uses.”

Deripaska has been dogged by scandals for years. When the U.S. Treasury sanctioned him and several of his businesses last April, it mentioned in a press release that Deripaska was being investigated for money-laundering and had in the past been accused of numerous crimes, including bribery, extortion, racketeering, and even murder. A dossier on Deripaska, published on the website Russian Mafia, offers extensive documentation of the many criminal allegations against him.

So what is it about Rybka that so ignited Deripaska’s wrath? When she was arrested in Thailand last year, she managed to post video from what looked like the back of the police van threatening implicitly to publicize more revelations about Deripaska’s role in Russian interference in the U.S. presidential election.

After her deportation, when she was arrested in Moscow, Rybka issued a statement apologizing to Deripaska and Prikhodko and promising Deripaska that she would not publish anything more that might compromise the oligarch. So she clearly assumed that her fate was in his hands. As Navalny observed: “All the illegal and truly horrible things that are happening to Nastya Rybka now are the personal work of Oleg Deripaska.”

"Guys, please pass my apologies to Oleg Deripaska and [Russian politician and former Deputy Prime Minister] Sergei Prikhodko," she told reporters in the courtroom. "I am very sorry that everything happened that way. I am sincerely ashamed of what happened. I do not want to aggravate [the situation] so I personally apologize to Oleg [Deripaska]. All this was in order to attract his personal attention, nobody else's, only his."


Perhaps thanks to the intervention of Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko, who today publicly demanded Rybka’s release, she and Kirillov are free, although their case is still pending.

But Navalny’s exposé may also have played a role. Navalny directed a message to Deripaska and Prikhodko: “You yourselves, not Rybka, are to blame. You called for prostitutes on the yacht. Well, you should have understood that they will not provide you with confidentiality. Order next time through the FSO [the Federal Protection Service]. Let Rybka collect her things and get home to Belarus. Cancel your order. Maybe you will decide to teach her a severe lesson in the SIZO [detention cell] or even have her die. But for you this will not end well. That’s for sure.”

https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-sex-w ... l?ref=home

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House passes bill expressing support for NATO

BY JULIEGRACE BRUFKE - 01/22/19 07:03 PM EST

The House passed bipartisan legislation on Tuesday expressing congressional support for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).

The bill, which passed in a 357-22 vote, includes a provision rejecting any efforts made by President Trump to potentially withdraw from the treaty. All the "no" votes were from conservative Republicans.


Its passage comes days after administration aides told The New York Times that Trump has repeatedly floated pulling out of NATO over the course of the past year — a move critics fear would embolden Russia and threaten strategic international military alliances.

The House-passed measure, spearheaded by Rep. Jimmy Panetta (D-Calif.), would bar any funds from being used to withdraw from the alliance.

“This bill makes it clear the United States Congress still believes in the NATO mission and will prevent any short-sighted efforts to undermine the NATO or unilaterally withdrawal our country,” House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) told reporters Tuesday, highlighting the alliance's role in the peaceful end to the Cold War.

The legislation also includes language calling on NATO members to meet their commitment of providing at least 2 percent of their GDP for defense spending, which was agreed upon in the 2014 Wales Defense Investment Pledge. It also promotes “robust funding for the European Deterrence Initiative to counter Russian aggression.”

"You know, all of us up here agree that we can continue to pressure our NATO allies to pay their self-stated goal of 2 percent of their GDP to the alliance. But that doesn't mean that we want to get out of here,” Panetta told reporters head of the vote.

“In fact, that would be a historic mistake. Because what we have to realize is that NATO is not just a transactional relationship," he said, adding that the focus "can't just be on who pays what and who gets what. Being a member of NATO is not like being a member of a country club.”

Panetta stressed that it is critical for the U.S. to remain in the alliance to help deter Russian aggression. He said other countries can work with the U.S. to prepare not only for the possibility of conventional war, but to “also push back against Russia's constant use of hybrid warfare.”

House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.) cosponsored the legislation along with Reps. Tom Malinowski (D-N.J.), Don Bacon (R-Neb.), Seth Moulton (D-Mass.), Will Hurd (R-Texas), Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.), Fred Upton (R-Mich.), Chrissy Houlahan (D-Pa.), Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.) and Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.).

Lawmakers who voted against the measure Tuesday included GOP Reps. Rick Allen (Ga.), Justin Amash (Mich.), Andy Biggs (Ariz.), Tim Burchett (Tenn.), Ben Cline (Va.), Scott DesJarlais (Tenn.), Russ Fulcher (Ind.), Matt Gaetz (Fla.), Louie Gohmert (Texas), Paul Gosar (Ariz.), Morgan Griffith (Va.), Andy Harris (Md.), Jody Hice (Ga.), Jim Jordan (Ohio), Thomas Massie (Ky.), Tom McClintock (Calif.), Mark Meadows (N.C.), Scott Perry (Pa.), John Rose (Tenn.), Chip Roy (Texas), Greg Steube (Fla.) and Randy Weber (Texas).

The House isn’t the only chamber taking action to deter the administration from pulling out of NATO. A bipartisan group of lawmakers in the Senate recently reintroduced legislation aimed at preventing the commander-in-chief from withdrawing from the alliance without the approval of the upper chamber.

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4264 ... t-for-nato

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TSA calls for backup help at airports facing callouts during shutdown: CNN

BY MICHAEL BURKE - 01/22/19 07:08 PM EST

The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) on Tuesday asked its workforce for backup help at airports experiencing low staffing because of the government shutdown, according to CNN.

An executive with TSA sent an email to TSA officials in more than 10 states and from more than 100 airports asking workers to move from their usual airports to other airports with staffing issues, according to CNN.

According to the email, a similar request for backup was made last week and resulted in 160 officers volunteering to switch airports, CNN reported.

TSA also noted in the email that it has already dispatched all of the members of its national deployment team, a group of TSA officers that can be sent to airports across the U.S. to combat staffing shortages. That group has been used to shore up TSA staffing at airports in Atlanta, Chicago and New York City, CNN reported.

TSA did not immediately return a request for comment from The Hill.

TSA's latest call for backup help comes after the agency said in a statement Monday that unscheduled absences among workers rose to 10 percent on Sunday.

"Many employees are reporting that they are not able to report to work due to financial limitations," TSA said in the statement.

Another 7.5 percent of TSA workers called out on Monday, according to CNN.

TSA is currently not funded because of the partial government shutdown, which has been in effect since Dec. 22. The agency's workers are still required to work, but they are not getting paid.

The shutdown was sparked because of President Trump's demand for funding for a wall along the southern border — funding the Democrats have refused to approve.

The Senate plans to vote Thursday on two proposals to reopen the government.

https://thehill.com/policy/transportati ... g-shutdown

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U.S.

‘OUR ENEMIES KNOW THEY CAN RUN FREELY’: FBI AGENTS PAINT GRIM CONSEQUENCES OF GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN


BY RAMSEY TOUCHBERRY ON 1/22/19 AT 4:19 PM

FBI agents around the world offered grim accounts of the government shutdown's impact on the agency's operations in a report released Tuesday by the FBI Agents Association (FBIAA), an organization that represents more than 14,000 current and former FBI agents.

The partial shutdown, now in its 32nd day, appears unlikely to end anytime soon. Republicans and Democrats are on diverging paths when it comes to passing spending bills this week that could reopen the government. The 72-page report from FBIAA hosts anonymous, often dire warnings from dozens of field agents. Many of the concerns they articulate could be summed up by one sentence: “The fear is our enemies know they can run freely.”

Employees have set up food banks for their coworkers. Counterterrorism efforts are underfunded and threaten national security. Confidential sources with drug and gang investigations have gone unpaid. And child sexual assault and trafficking cases have either been put on standby or are not receiving the necessary attention.

“On the child exploitation side, as an [undercover employee], I have had to put pervs on standby,” an agent in the Southeast region said. “This just puts children in jeopardy.”

“FBI offices…are having investigations stalled, to include delayed forensic interviews of child victims and delaying grand jury indictments on homicides and child sexual assault prosecutions,” said an agent from the western region. “The impact is we aren't able to take cases to grand jury to seek indictments/warrants in order to get our most violent offenders arrested and justice for our victims.”

Another agent warned about the risk of losing confidential sources, saying the inability to pay them "risks losing them and the information they provide FOREVER. It is not a switch that we can turn on and off,” the agent added.

FBI agents also expressed worries about gathering real-time intelligence for counterterrorism efforts. Agents are no longer receiving funds for travel vehicles and prepaid phone cards to talk with sources. Although the president has said his southern border wall would deter gangs and drugs from spilling over the border, agents warned of scenarios posed by the shutdown that amounted to far graver threats than a wall-free border.

At a press conference in Washington, D.C., where he pleaded for the government to be reopened, FBIAA President Tom O’Connor said the group's report and its agents' statements contained "no politics."

“I have been working a long-term MS-13 investigation for over three years. We have indicted 23 MS-13 gang members for racketeering, murder in aid of racketeering, extortion, money laundering and weapons offenses,” an agent from the Central Region said. “Since the shutdown, I have not had a Spanish speaker in the Division…. We are only able to communicate using a three-way call with a linguist in another division.”

Democratic Congresswoman Jackie Speier, a member of the House Armed Services and Intelligence committees, told Newsweek that Trump has "put out the welcome mat for criminals, spies, and terrorists-in-waiting."

"The FBI cannot launch critical investigations, continue vital operations, and process game-changing evidence," Speier said. "Imagine not being able to obtain a subpoena because the staff of the U.S. Attorney is furloughed. Try to sleep well tonight."

Senator Tim Kaine, Democrat from Virginia and member of the Senate Armed Services and Foreign Relations Committees, railed against Trump and Republicans on the Senate floor Tuesday, saying he agrees that the U.S. should crackdown on MS-13, a violent international crime organization, but that the shutdown is “undermining that effort.”

“Apparently, that doesn’t matter to President Trump,” Kaine said on the Senate floor. “That effort is just another causality of the shutdown he brought about.”

Aside from the security concerns, agents also said they’ve had to establish a “robust food bank,” along with free potluck lunches and breakfasts. “I am working with our inbound new agents to help them,” one agent said. “One of them may move in with my wife and I to help them save money.”

Another agent said they had begun to work weekends in an attempt to pull their child out of daycare during the week. "Will be visiting a food pantry today after work," the agent added. "Not that anyone on the Hill really cares anyway."

https://www.newsweek.com/fbi-agents-gov ... ty-1300903

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U.S. NEWS JAN. 22, 2019 / 2:32 PM

FBI agents group says shutdown hindering investigations


By Daniel Grimes, Medill News Service

WASHINGTON, Jan. 22 (UPI) -- The FBI Agents Association advocacy group released a report Tuesday saying that the ongoing government shutdown has strained bureau resources and is undermining criminal, counter-terrorism and counter-intelligence operations.

According to the report, FBI agents are subject to rigorous financial background checks. If an agent misses a debt payment due to not receiving a paycheck, it could lead to a delay in renewing security clearances or could even disqualify an agent from service.

The report also details an array of delayed services that have resulted from the government's closure.

FBI field offices have been forced to delay grand jury indictments on homicides and child sexual assault prosecutions, delay investigations into violent gangs and delay international counter-intelligence investigations, according to the association's report.

"Because of lack of funding, I am unable to travel to the countries in my area of responsibility. This means information sharing is diminished and relationships with foreign partners are weakening," an unnamed agent told the association, which cited the example in the report.

The 72-page report also details accounts of FBI agents not being able to buy phone cards to talk to domestic and international terrorism sources, the canceling of counter-terrorism training for agents and the crippling of the relationship between local police departments and the FBI due to strained resources.

In one case, the FBI could not help a local police force with recovering DNA from a crime scene to positively identify traces of a victim.

One potentially lasting impact of the shutdown is the ability of the FBI to recruit and retain "high-caliber professionals," the report states. The shutdown and subsequent financial instability felt by agents, could lead some current and prospective employees to reconsider their career options.

Association President Thomas O'Connor said in a statement:

"We are releasing Voices from the Field to ensure that our elected leaders and members of the public are aware that the resources available to support the work of FBI agents are currently stretched to the breaking point and are dwindling day by day."

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2019/01 ... 548184772/

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Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (left), Rashida Tlaib (right), Ayanna Pressley and Ro Khanna all won spots on the high-profile committee on Tuesday | Andrew Harnik/AP Photo

CONGRESS

Ocasio-Cortez and liberal freshmen join Oversight Committee


By ANDREW DESIDERIO and HEATHER CAYGLE 01/22/2019 07:43 PM EST Updated 01/22/2019 07:58 PM EST

The House Oversight Committee is adding a group of progressive flamethrowers to its ranks.

Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.), Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.) and Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) all won spots on the high-profile committee on Tuesday, two sources told POLITICO.

The new members, all of whom are freshmen except for Khanna, have been intensely critical of President Donald Trump, and their addition to the committee comes as Democrats have pledged to launch wide-ranging investigations into the president and his administration.

Tlaib drew swift backlash when she vowed to “impeach the motherf---er.” Republicans previously discussed a possible censure for Tlaib for railing against Trump.

Ocasio-Cortez has also become a favorite target of Republicans for her liberal views and her willingness to take on the president, particularly on social media.

Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-Md.), the chairman of the Oversight Committee, dismissed concerns about the outspoken freshman lawmakers.

“If I based the choices going on the committee based on what people said or their reputations or whatever, I probably wouldn’t have a committee,” Cummings told POLITICO. “I am excited — there were a lot of people that wanted to come on our committee.”

The Democratic Steering and Policy Committee, which handles the committee rosters, sent a list of the new additions to Cummings, who said he approved it.

Rep. Dan Kildee, a member of the Democratic steering panel, said he was excited about the progressive picks.

“I want people to be aggressive, especially on that committee. It’s good to have people who aren’t afraid,” the Michigan Democrat said in an interview. “They’re going to be dealing with some pretty important stuff.”

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/ ... ee-1120002

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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McConnell blocks bill to reopen most of government

BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 01/23/19 03:59 PM EST

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) blocked legislation on Wednesday that would reopen most of the government currently closed during the partial shutdown.

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) went to the Senate floor to ask for consent to take up the House-passed bill that would fund every agency and department impacted by the partial shutdown, except the Department of Homeland Security, through Sept. 30.

McConnell, however, objected. It's the fourth time he's blocked the bill to reopen most of government. He has also blocked, as recently as Tuesday, a House-passed bill to fund the Department of Homeland Security through Feb. 8.

Democrats have been coming to the floor on a near-daily basis while the Senate is in session to try to bring up the House package, even though the GOP leader has said he will not allow them to come to the Senate floor.

Under Senate rules any one senator can try to pass a bill, but any one senator can also object.

The partial government shutdown, which is currently in its 33rd day, is impacting roughly a quarter of the government and forcing approximately 800,000 employees to work without pay or be furloughed.

The back-and-forth on the floor comes a day before the Senate is expected to hold votes on dueling proposals that would fully reopen the government.

The first proposal, which is backed by the White House, includes $5.7 billion for the wall in exchange for a three-year extension of protections for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program recipients and some Temporary Protected Status holders.

McConnell is publicly pushing Democrats to support that proposal, even though it's expected to fall short of the 60 votes needed to break a filibuster.

"The president went out of his way to include additional items that have been priority areas for Democrats," McConnell said on Wednesday.

If that White House-backed measure does not get 60 votes, the Senate will then take a second vote on a proposal to temporarily reopen the government with a continuing resolution (CR) through Feb. 8.

Democrats say that President Trump has to reopen the government before they will negotiate. They worry that making a deal while the government is closed would set the precedent for shutting down the government as a negotiating tactic.

But that bill is also unlikely to get 60 votes. The Senate passed a CR to fund a quarter of the government through Feb. 8 by voice vote late last year, but Trump then came out against the measure.

https://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/ ... government

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Trump plays State of the Union chicken with Nancy Pelosi

Marisa Fernandez 1/23/19

President Trump said in a letter to House leader Nancy Pelosi on Wednesday that he plans to honor Pelosi’s original invitation to deliver the State of the Union address in the House Chamber on Jan. 29.

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The state of play: Speaker Pelosi's letter to Trump last week urged him to postpone the speech, for security reasons, until after the government reopens. As Axios' Jonathan Swan reported Wednesday morning, the White House wants to make Pelosi go ahead with the speech or formally rescind the invitation.

https://www.axios.com/donald-trump-stat ... 3eab6.html

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Pelosi denies Trump his State of the Union during shutdown

Axios 1/23/19

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi sent President Trump a letter Wednesday stating that the House "will not consider a resolution authorizing the President's State of the Union in the House Chamber until the government has opened."

The state of play: Trump said at the White House that he'll come up with another plan: "We'll do something in the alternative. I'll be talking to you about that at a later date." As Axios' Jonathan Swan reported this morning, the administration has a Plan B outside Washington, perhaps in the Southwest as a way of sending a message about immigration.

Read Pelosi's full letter:

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https://www.axios.com/nancy-pelosi-trum ... 6ac6d.html

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Michael Cohen postpones House testimony, blames Trump "threats"

Zachary Basu 6 hours ago 1/23/19

President Trump's former lawyer Michael Cohen said that he will postpone his scheduled Feb. 7 testimony before the House Oversight Committee due to "threats against his family from President Trump and Mr. Giuliani," as well as his cooperation in ongoing investigations, his lawyer said Wednesday.

The big picture: House Oversight chair Elijah Cummings and House Intelligence chair Adam Schiff issued a statement Wednesday saying that while they understand Cohen's concerns, "not appearing before Congress was never an option ... We will not let the President's tactics prevent Congress from fulfilling our constitutionally mandated oversight responsibilities." President Trump, on hearing the news that Cohen was postponing his testimony over threats to his family, told reporters that Cohen is being "threatened by the truth."

*House Democrats issued a statement on Jan. 13 warning Trump about obstructing congressional investigators and potential witness intimidation, following the president's tweets and comments about Cohen's father-in-law, Fima Shusterman.

*Shusterman pleaded guilty in 1993 to federal income tax fraud related to his taxicab business in New York, and loaned at least $20 million to a major Chicago cab operator mentioned in the FBI warrants used to raid Cohen’s home, office and hotel room last April.

*Cohen has been ordered to report to prison on March 6, leaving him less than 4 weeks to reschedule his testimony.

The full statement from Cohen's lawyer:

---"Mr. Cohen volunteered to testify before the House Oversight Committee on February 7th. Due to ongoing threats against his family from President Trump and Mr. Giuliani, as recently as this weekend, as well as Mr. Cohen's continued cooperation with ongoing investigations, by advice of counsel, Mr. Cohen's appearance will be postponed to a later date. Mr. Cohen wishes to thank Chairman Cummings for allowing him to appear before the House Oversight Committee and looks forward to testifying at the appropriate time. This is a time where Mr. Cohen had to put his family and their safety first."


Go deeper: Michael Cohen sentenced to 3 years in prison

https://www.axios.com/michael-cohen-pos ... b39cb.html

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‘BAD LOOK’

‘The View’ Hosts Come Together to Bash Lara Trump for Being Out of Touch on Shutdown ‘Pain’

Joy Behar and Meghan McCain united to trash ‘millionaire’s wife’ Lara Trump for minimizing the ‘pain’ of shutdown victims.


Matt Wilstein 01.23.19 12:47 PM ET

There was a rare moment of bipartisan agreement on The View Wednesday morning as frequent sparring partners Joy Behar and Meghan McCain came together to criticize recent comments made by Lara Trump about the government shutdown.

“We get that this is unfair to you, but this is so much bigger than any one person,” the president’s daughter-in-law said in an interview this week. “It is a little bit of pain, but it’s going to be for the future of our country and their children and their grandchildren and generations after that will thank them for their sacrifice right now.”


After McCain joked about “storming the Bastille” to end the ongoing shutdown, Behar said, “Speaking of storming the Bastille, Lara Trump doesn’t think it’s any big deal. So it’s like Marie Antoinette, you know?”

“Who is that?” McCain asked. After Sunny Hostin explained that she is “Eric’s wife” and read a portion of her comments aloud, McCain added, “It’s just such a bad look.”

“I just feel like if you are a millionaire’s wife, you may not understand that there are families that can’t afford to feed their children,” Hostin said.

Speaking over her, Behar added, “But she’s married to him, she knows pain.”

At the beginning of January, President Trump insisted that he “can relate” to federal workers who at that point were about to miss their first paycheck.

“And I’m sure that the people that are on the receiving end will make adjustments, they always do, and they’ll make adjustments,” he said. “People understand exactly what’s going on.” Then, without evidence, he added, “But many of those people that won’t be receiving a paycheck, many of those people agree 100 percent with what I’m doing.”


Meanwhile, even former Fox News host Abby Huntsman, who has previously expressed her support for Trump’s wall, seems to have soured on the shutdown. Earlier in the same segment she highlighted the “irony” that Trump originally shut down the government to “figure out what to do with illegals and how to protect people in this country,” and yet all the shutdown has done is “make it more difficult for our own people to protect people in this country.”

https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-view- ... ref=scroll

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BROILING

Australia’s Heat Wave Is Torching the Continent

‘This sort of event has not happened in Australia this far north since European settlement.’


Molly Enking 01.23.19 4:55 PM ET

On Wednesday, Rohan Smyth, a resident of Alice Springs in northern Australia, posted photos on Facebook of about two dozen wild horses, dead and decomposing in various stages, covered in dust and branches at the bottom of a reservoir called “Deep Hole,” which residents say has never been completely dried up before.

“The wild horses have gone down there looking for their water which is normally there, and it's not been there, so essentially they just had nowhere to go,” Smyth told ABC News.

Australia—which is in the midst of its summer—has been gripped by a heatwave since November that continues to break records across the country. According to the Guardian, the country recorded its hottest December on record; five of the ten hottest days on record are from last week. The extreme temperatures have killed bats on a “biblical scale,” as well as over a million fish in a river in the southeastern region, according to the Independent. The Australian government’s Bureau of Meteorology blamed climate change for the heatwaves in their 2018 State of the Climate report, and warned of “further increases in sea and air temperatures, with more hot days and marine heatwaves.”

The Guardian reported that humans have not been immune to the long heatwave, either, with dozens of patients checking in to hospitals with heat-related conditions. Health officials have declared the heatwave a threat to public safety, encouraging people to take precautions by limiting time outdoors as much as possible to avoid sun exposure. The extreme temperatures have also caused wildfire deaths, bush fires and an increase in hospital admissions, according to the BBC.

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“Anyone experiencing severe respiratory distress should seek immediate medical help,” said Richard Broome, Director of Environmental Health in New South Wales, in a statement. Broome said that high temperatures will exacerbate air pollution, which is expected to get particularly bad in Sydney. “Ozone can irritate the lungs, and that people with asthma need to follow their Asthma Action Plan and have their relieving medication with them,” he said.

Wild horses are not the only animals suffering from the heat wave. Since November, hundreds of dead bats have been falling from the skies in and around Sydney, their brains reportedly boiled by the extreme heat. Nearly one-third the population of an endangered bat species have perished.

“This sort of event has not happened in Australia this far north since European settlement,” Justin Welbergen, an ecologist and president of the Australasian Bat Society, told the BBC.

A local Alice Springs resident, Ralph Turner, who was one of the people to discover the horses commented, “It’s just terrible to know these beautiful animals died this way.”

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The death of these wild horses, “calls the community to wonder what steps are our leaders taking to tackle the effects of climate change in the future and what steps call we all take to prevent the suffering of innocent animals across our country,” wrote Smyth.

The Australian Government’s Bureau of Meteorology said in their 2018 State of the Climate Report that the ocean surrounding Australia has warmed by one degree celsius since 1910 and continues to warm, contributing to longer and more frequent heat waves. Based on their projections, Australia will continue to have less and less cold extremes over the years, and more hot days, heatwaves and droughts.

Australia is a signee to the Paris climate agreement, though the Guardian reported that it will miss its targets for lowering emissions.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/australia ... t?ref=home

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Pelosi tells Republicans: 'Take back your party'

BY EMILY BIRNBAUM - 01/23/19 07:29 PM EST

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) during a speech at the Conference of Mayors on Wednesday night told Republicans in attendance to "take back your party."

"To the Republicans in the crowd, I say: take back your party, the Grand Old Party," Pelosi said at the annual gathering of U.S. mayors. "America needs a strong Republican Party, not a rubber stamp."

Pelosi's comments came on the 33rd day of the ongoing partial government shutdown, which became the longest in U.S. history almost two weeks ago.

White House negotiators and Democratic leaders have been at an impasse over President Trump's demand for $5.7 in border wall funding, which Democrats have refused to provide in any spending bill to reopen the government."Congressional Democrats support smart, effective border security, but we do not support the president holding the health, safety and paychecks of the American people hostage again to a campaign applause line," Pelosi said during the speech.

"There is serious and justified concern that this president would shut down the government any time he does not get his way legislatively," she continued. "That is why we must hold the line on this shutdown in government."

The California Democrat on Wednesday escalated her battle with Trump by saying she would block him from delivering the annual State of the Union address from the House chamber. The speech was originally planned for Jan. 29.

Pelosi had previously said it was dangerous to hold the address while the government is partially shut down because security concerns. Her letter came hours after Trump on Wednesday issued his own letter saying he intended to go ahead with the State of the Union.

Trump, in response to Pelosi's letter, said he may do an “alternative” State of the Union, though he provided no further details about such an event.

Roughly one-quarter of the government has been shuttered since Dec. 22, leaving around 800,000 federal employees furloughed or forced to work without pay.

The Senate is scheduled to consider two dueling plans to end the shutdown on Thursday, neither of which is expected to pass.

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4267 ... your-party

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CONGRESS

Ocasio-Cortez and Freedom Caucus ready for battle

Liberal freshmen Democrats and conservative GOP hard-liners are set to face off in the House Oversight Committee.


By ANDREW DESIDERIO and MELANIE ZANONA 01/23/2019 03:19 PM EST

Jim Jordan, meet Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

The powerful House Oversight Committee was already stacked with hard-line Republicans ready to serve as President Donald Trump’s first line of defense in a new Democratic House. Now they’ll be going up against Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) and other progressive stars eager to investigate the president and his administration.

“I’m hoping that will rebalance the committee a little bit. We could use a little bit of heft from the left,” said Rep. Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.), a member of the Oversight Committee.

The new class of liberal House Democrats has frequently been compared to the conservative Freedom Caucus, with each more than happy to challenge party leaders. But on the Oversight Committee, they are typically aligned with leadership, which frequently places its most vocal partisans on the panel.

When Republicans controlled the committee during the Obama administration, Jordan, the top Republican on the panel, and Mark Meadows (R-N.C.) investigated the Benghazi attack and Eric Holder’s Justice Department.

Some of the new Democratic additions to the committee are already becoming lightning rods. Tlaib made headlines on her first day in office when she pledged to “impeach the motherf---er,” while Ocasio-Cortez has come under fire for her liberal views and her use of social media to push back on the GOP.

Their Democratic colleagues dismissed concerns of the potential for a circus-like atmosphere when the freshman lawmakers face off against Jordan, Meadows and other Trump loyalists in such a high-profile setting.

“Some people feel like it’s only Republicans who have the right to get passionate about politics. It’s not just Republicans. It’s Democrats, too,” said Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), a liberal member of the Oversight Committee. “Progressives are fighting mad about what the Trump administration has done with America. So if they don’t like it, they’re just going to have to learn to live with it.”

Republicans, too, are keenly aware of what the new additions mean for the committee, which will soon begin investigating a wide array of Trump administration scandals and controversies.

“I don’t know that any of them will be timid about expressing their opinions,” Meadows, the chairman of the Freedom Caucus, said with a smile.

The hard-liners in each party don’t necessarily dislike each other.

Meadows and Rep. Ro Khanna of California, a new Democratic member of the committee, were talking about each other in separate conversations with reporters on Wednesday when they walked past each other.

“Speaking of Ro Khanna — there he is,” said Meadows. “I’m saying nice things!” he quipped to Khanna.

The rare moment of levity even amid the doom and gloom of a government shutdown wasn’t surprising for two lawmakers who attend plays together with their wives and have worked closely on foreign policy initiatives. But they acknowledge that they’ll soon be butting heads on the Oversight Committee.

“I think there will be fireworks, just because of the political nature of the first hearing that we are having,” Meadows added, referring to ex-Trump attorney Michael Cohen’s appearance originally planned for next month. A spokesman for Cohen announced on Wednesday that he was postponing his testimony because of “ongoing threats against his family” from Trump and his lawyer Rudy Giuliani, though some Democratic lawmakers are discussing whether to compel Cohen to testify with a subpoena.

While Meadows has earned a reputation as a conservative bomb-thrower on Capitol Hill, he pointed out that he has close relationships with lawmakers across the aisle. In addition to Khanna, Meadows enjoys a good relationship with Oversight Chairman Elijah Cummings (D-Md.).

Meadows said he hopes that things don’t get heated on a personal level in the committee. But Meadows, one of Trump’s designated “warriors,” also warned that he is not afraid to stick up for his beliefs.

“I’m not shy about calling that out,” Meadows said.

There was a high level of interest in joining the Oversight panel, according to Democratic sources. The Judiciary Committee, which has jurisdiction over everything from impeachment to gun policy, is typically seen as a bigger prize for lawmakers. But with Democrats promising to launch a slew of new investigations, a spot on the Oversight Committee suddenly became even more coveted.

Democrats say they aren’t interested in simply scoring political points, but that the GOP-controlled House neglected to probe myriad issues of impropriety under Trump, focusing instead on trying to find evidence of anti-Trump bias within the FBI and Justice Department.

“[The new members] will be able to model some behavior for our Republican colleagues, who have utterly failed to conduct oversight over the last two years,” said Rep. David Cicilline of Rhode Island, a member of Democratic leadership.

Ocasio-Cortez won a spot on Oversight even though she was already named to the Financial Services Committee, an exclusive panel. But after she told leaders that she was interested in a spot on Oversight, she was granted a waiver that allows her to serve on both.

Ocasio-Cortez said in an interview that she talked with Cummings about “some of the most pressing and concerning issues in the administration,” adding, “That’s really what we were focusing on and less the political dynamic.”

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/ ... ht-1121380

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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House Democrats march to Senate for shutdown votes

BY SCOTT WONG - 01/24/19 03:03 PM EST

About 20 House Democrats on Thursday marched across the Capitol onto the Senate floor to urge senators to vote to reopen the government.

The visit came as the Senate began voting on two dueling bills aimed at ending the 34-day shutdown, neither of which were expected to pass.

House Democrats huddled in the back of the Senate chamber and were visited by senators including Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii) and Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.).

“The more dramatic things you can do, the more pressure it puts on them to realize these are not ordinary times,” Rep. Judy Chu (D-Calif.), chairwoman of the Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus, told The Hill.
The march was led by House Appropriations Chairwoman Nita Lowey (D-N.Y.).

Others who joined included Reps. John Lewis (D-Ga.), Barbara Lee (D-Calif.), Katherine Clark (D-Mass.), Bobby Scott (D-Va.), Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), as well as freshmen Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.), Deb Haaland (D-N.M.) and Katie Hill (D-Calif.).

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4268 ... down-votes

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Senate rejects rival plans for ending shutdown; talks start

By ANDREW TAYLOR and ALAN FRAM

47 minutes ago 1/24/19

WASHINGTON (AP) — A splintered Senate swatted down competing Democratic and Republican plans for ending the 34-day partial government shutdown on Thursday, but the twin setbacks prompted a burst of bipartisan talks aimed at temporarily halting the longest-ever closure of federal agencies and the damage it’s inflicting around the country.

In the first serious exchange in weeks, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., quickly called Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., to his office to explore potential next steps for solving the vitriolic stalemate. Senators from both sides floated a plan to reopen agencies for three weeks and pay hundreds of thousands of beleaguered federal workers while bargainers hunt for a deal.

At the White House, President Donald Trump told reporters he’d support “a reasonable agreement.” He suggested he’d also want a “prorated down payment” for his long-sought border wall with Mexico but didn’t describe the term. He said he has “other alternatives” for getting wall funding, an apparent reference to his disputed claim that he could declare a national emergency and fund the wall’s construction using other programs in the federal budget.

“At least we’re talking about it. That’s better than it was before,” McConnell told reporters in one of the most encouraging statements heard since the shutdown began Dec. 22.

Even so, it was unclear whether the flurry would produce results.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., whose relationship with Trump seems to sour daily, told reporters a “big” down payment would not be “a reasonable agreement.” Asked if she knew how much money Trump meant, Pelosi said, “I don’t know if he knows what he’s talking about.”

Schumer spokesman Justin Goodman said Democrats have made clear “that they will not support funding for the wall, prorated or otherwise.”

Contributing to the pressure on lawmakers to find a solution was the harsh reality confronting 800,000 federal workers, who on Friday face a second two-week payday with no paychecks.

Underscoring the strains, Sen. Michael Bennet, D-Colo., angrily said on the Senate floor that Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, had forced a 2013 shutdown during which “people were killed” in Colorado from flooding and shuttered federal agencies couldn’t help local emergency workers. Moments earlier, Cruz accused Democrats of blocking a separate, doomed bill to pay Coast Guard personnel during this shutdown to score political points, adding later, “Just because you hate somebody doesn’t mean you should shut the government down.”

Thursday’s votes came after Vice President Mike Pence lunched privately with GOP senators, who told him they were itching for the standoff to end, participants said. Sen. Roy Blunt, R-Mo., said their message to Pence was, “Find a way forward.”

In an embarrassment to Trump, the Democratic proposal got two more votes Thursday than the GOP plan, even though Republicans control the chamber 53-47. Six Republicans backed the Democratic plan, including freshman Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah, who’s clashed periodically with the president.

The Senate first rejected a Republican plan reopening the government through September and giving Trump the $5.7 billion he’s demanded for building segments of that wall, a project that he’d long promised Mexico would finance. The 50-47 vote for the measure fell 10 shy of the 60 votes needed to succeed.

Minutes later, senators voted 52-44 for a Democratic alternative that sought to open padlocked agencies through Feb. 8 with no wall money. That was eight votes short. It was aimed at giving bargainers time to seek an accord while getting paychecks to government workers who are either working wihout pay or being forced to stay home.

Flustered lawmakers said Thursday’s roll calls could be a reality check that would prod the start of talks. Throughout, the two sides have issued mutually exclusive demands that have blocked negotiations from even starting: Trump has refused to reopen government until Congress gives him the wall money, and congressional Democrats have rejected bargaining until he reopens government.

Thursday’s votes could “teach us that the leaders are going to have to get together and figure out how to resolve this,” said Sen. John Thune of South Dakota, the No. 2 Senate GOP leader. He added, “One way or another we’ve got to get out of this. This is no win for anybody.”

Initially, partisan potshots flowed freely.

Pelosi accused Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross of a ”‘Let them eat cake’ kind of attitude” after he said on television that he didn’t understand why unpaid civil servants were resorting to homeless shelters for food. Even as Pelosi offered to meet the president “anytime,” Trump stood firm, tweeting, “Without a Wall it all doesn’t work.... We will not Cave!”

As the Senate debated the two dueling proposals, McConnell said the Democratic plan would let that party’s lawmakers “make political points and nothing else” because Trump wouldn’t sign it. He called Pelosi’s opposition “unreasonable” and said, “Senate Democrats are not obligated to go down with her ship.”

Schumer criticized the GOP plan for endorsing Trump’s proposal to keep the government closed until he gets what he wants.

“A vote for the president’s plan is an endorsement of government by extortion,” Schumer said. “If we let him do it today, he’ll do it tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow.”

McConnell’s engagement was viewed as a constructive sign because he has a history of helping resolve partisan standoffs. For weeks, he’d let Trump and Democrats try reaching an accord and, until Thursday, had barred any votes on legislation Trump would not sign.

In consultation with their Senate counterparts, House Democrats were preparing a new border security package that might be rolled out Friday. Despite their pledge to not negotiate until agencies reopened, their forthcoming proposal was essentially a counteroffer to Trump. Pelosi expressed “some optimism that things could break loose pretty soon” in a closed-door meeting with other Democrats on Wednesday evening, said Rep. John Yarmuth, D-Ky.

The Democratic package was expected to include $5.7 billion, the same amount Trump wants for his wall, but it would be used instead for fencing, technology, personnel and other measures. In a plan the rejected Senate GOP plan mirrored, Trump on Saturday proposed to reopen government if he got his wall money. He also proposed to revamp immigration laws, including new restrictions on Central American minors seeking asylum in the U.S. and temporary protections for immigrants who entered the country illegally as children.

At a panel discussion held by House Democrats on the effects of the shutdown, union leaders and former Homeland Security officials said they worried about the long-term effects.

“We will be lucky to get everybody back on the job without a crisis to respond to,” said Tim Manning, a former Federal Emergency Management Agency official.

https://www.apnews.com/c468787c58124ffa9153e602fe7875ec

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Schumer blocks bill to pay Coast Guard

BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 01/24/19 02:12 PM EST

Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) blocked a request to pay the Coast Guard on Thursday after Republicans refused to also open the rest of the federal government.

Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) tried to take up legislation to pay the Coast Guard, which is part of the Department of Homeland Security.

Schumer blocked the request after first asking if Kennedy would modify his request to instead reopen the quarter of the government currently closed.

"President Trump is responsible not only for thousands of Coast Guard personnel not getting paid but hundreds of thousands of other federal employees also not getting paid," Schumer said.

Kennedy said he would not modify his legislation because it would then be vetoed by Trump.

"It will be a futile, useless exercise. Now, we can go through it if you want to. You can spend all day trying to teach a goat how to climb a tree, but you're better off hiring a squirrel," said Kennedy, who is known for his colorful colloquialisms.

When Kennedy rejected Schumer's request to fully reopen the government, the Senate Democratic leader in turn rejected his request to pay the Coast Guard.


"I would remind him whether it's squirrel, jack rabbit or armadillo, that we are the number one branch of government, and we have veto override power. We could get the powers paid even if he won't sign it," Schumer said.

The back-and-forth comes as the Senate is expected to take votes on two proposals later Thursday that would reopen the government. Both are expected to fail.

The first is Trump's proposal to reopen the government in exchange for $5.7 billion for the U.S.-Mexico border wall. The second is a stopgap measure that would reopen the quarter of the government currently closed and fund it through Feb. 8.

Roughly a quarter of the federal government has been closed since Dec. 22, making it the longest funding lapse in modern U.S. history. Approximately 800,000 federal employees have been forced to work without pay or be furloughed.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/426 ... oast-guard

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GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN

Trump White House grows eager to escape losing shutdown fight

After a day of failed Senate action, Trump and his advisers realize they may never win over Democrats in a battle that is costing them dearly.


By ELIANA JOHNSON, BURGESS EVERETT and HEATHER CAYGLE 01/24/2019 05:57 PM EST Updated 01/24/2019 06:15 PM EST

Now that the Senate has shot down President Donald Trump’s compromise offer to end the month-long government shutdown, White House officials aren’t sure of their next move.

But they do know one thing: they’re losing, and they want to cut a deal.


The president is weighing the idea of a three-week continuing resolution to fund the government, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) revealed Thursday afternoon, reviving a prospect the president has previously ruled out. Trump acknowledged the proposal in an afternoon meeting with lawmakers, saying that Democrats would have to offer “some sort of pro-rated down payment” on the Mexican border wall he is demanding. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi quickly shot down Graham's idea, however, telling reporters late Thursday “that is not a reasonable agreement.”

The White House's new appetite for a negotiated resolution came after the administration managed to peel off just one Democratic vote — that of Sen. Joe Manchin (D, W.V.) — a fact that came as a particular surprise to Trump’s son-in-law and adviser Jared Kushner, who has touted his relationships with Democratic lawmakers but lacks deep experience on Capitol Hill.

Meanwhile several Republicans abandoned their party to vote for a Democratic counter proposal offered by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer that would have funded the entire government through March 8 without providing any additional money for the wall. That was a grim sign for Trump and his aides looking for a way to end the partial shutdown.

Trump’s next move remained a mystery to many West Wing aides even as the White House considered Graham’s proposal Thursday. But with Trump’s approval rating dropping to its lowest point in a year and advisers warning of a rising economic toll from the enduring stalemate, the president and his team are more eager than ever to strike a deal, according to a half dozen sources familiar with the situation.

While the president has previously dangled the threat of a national emergency declaration, he now considers the move a “last resort,” according to a source familiar with his thinking.

“Conversations that I’ve had with my colleagues have indicated the president has told them he is willing to have negotiations occur and look at additional ideas,” said Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kan.), who along with the rest of the caucus chewed over the next steps with Pence at lunch on Thursday ahead of the vote.

White House aides said Thursday that the president would wait and see what sort of a proposal House Democrats outline in a planned press conference Friday morning, and determine then whether to make a counteroffer that would reopen the government.

House Democrats themselves were still debating on Thursday what to put in the proposal — which they insisted was not a counteroffer to Trump. Some members were open to the idea of funding for new fencing along the border while others remain adamantly opposed. Most agreed however that, even if they only offer money for border security measures that don’t involve building a physical barrier— including surveillance technology like drones — they will need to meet or surpass Trump’s demand for $5.7 billion in wall funding.

Trump’s apparent new desire for a negotiated exit to the shutdown was evident on Wednesday night, when he unexpectedly bowed to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s demand that he postpone his planned Tuesday State of the Union address until after the government reopens. “This is her prerogative — I will do the address when the shutdown is over,” Trump wrote on Twitter. “I am not looking for an alternative venue for the SOTU address because no venue can compete with the history, tradition, and importance of the House Chamber. I look forward to giving a ‘great’ State of the Union address in the near future!”

“Thank you for recognizing that it’s inappropriate to have a State of the Union address where people are working hard, very hard, to protect all of us in that room and not getting paid for it,” Pelosi said in response Thursday during her weekly press conference, which Trump tweeted about in real time.

Unused to seeing Trump back down, Democrats say they feel emboldened by his retreat on the State of the Union question — especially coming less than a week after he cancelled an Air Force flight Pelosi and several Democrats were about to take to Afghanistan in what was widely seen as retaliation for her move to postpone his annual address to Congress.

As Trump looks for an exit strategy, most Democrats remain dug in, insisting they will not negotiate with the president until he reopens the government first.

Introducing Pelosi in a closed-door meeting of House Democrats on Thursday, a triumphant House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) quoted Sun Tzu's classic The Art of War.

“Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win,” Clyburn said. “Thank you for winning for us. Now let's go to war.”

Many Republicans continue to blame Democrats for what they call an unwillingness to negotiate after two proposals to fully reopen the government failed in the Senate on Thursday. “Everything’s on the table right now,” said Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) “If one party’s not willing to negotiate, then we’ve got nowhere to go.”

In a Wednesday meeting at the White House with conservative leaders, Trump reassured his visitors that he would not yield to Democratic demands.

In another sign of Trump’s apparent moderation, he has all but dropped his past threats to declare a national emergency, which would allow him to allocate money for a wall unilaterally, if Democrats would not accede to his demands. While White House aides and Republican lawmakers say such an executive action remains a possibility, Trump now prefers a negotiated solution, aides say. Moran said he’d heard “no discussions about a national emergency for several days.”

Some Republicans lawmakers have tried to dissuade Trump from that path. Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), who has been talking to Democrats all week, said there’s a “third way”: working it out in Congress. “It’s far better for us to come up with a solution. That’s where we’re headed, I hope,” Portman said.

In a conversation with Trump earlier this month, Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) said he “discouraged” the president from going in that direction. “It’s actually no way out of it. I think a national emergency may lead to the opening of the government but it certainly does not lead to construction,” Scott said.

And many conservatives fear that Trump would be obliged to support re-opening the government if he declares a national emergency, even though such a declaration might be blocked by federal courts, leaving the president with nothing to show for his efforts.

But the idea is not dead, Republicans say. “It’s never been off the table. It’s not my preferred route but I don’t think it would be the end of the Western order if it happens,” said Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.).

Some Republicans believe that a national emergency declaration might be the only way to resolve the shutdown, especially given the scant support his position is winning among Senate Democrats.

That makes it seemingly impossible to get the seven or more Democrats Trump needs to pass border funding in the Senate. For now, the president seems able to count only on Manchin, one of few Congressional Democrats whom Trump views positively. Trump was reluctant to campaign against Manchin during last year’s midterm elections, telling aides en route to a campaign rally against Manchin’s Republican opponent: “I actually like Manchin.”

Manchin returned the favor on Thursday with his vote – and says if it takes endorsing a national emergency to reopen the government, he’ll back that too.

“The president’s emergency? Whatever it takes to open the government. I’m supporting whatever it takes,” Manchin said. Trump, in turn, praised him as a “wonderful man.”

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/ ... ht-1125033

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Out of touch? Trump aides struggle with shutdown empathy

By JONATHAN LEMIRE

today 1/24/19

NEW YORK (AP) — One White House aide mused that the shutdown was like a paid vacation for some furloughed workers. President Donald Trump’s daughter-in-law said employees’ “little bit of pain” was worth it for the good of the country. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross questioned why cash-poor workers were using food banks instead of taking out loans.

The president himself says workers simply need to “make adjustments.”

With hundreds of thousands of federal workers going without pay during the month long partial government shutdown, Trump and his team, which includes the wealthiest Cabinet ever assembled, have struggled to deliver a full dose of empathy for those who are scraping to get by.

Ross set off howls when he was asked on CNBC on Thursday about reports that some of the 800,000 workers currently not receiving paychecks were going to homeless shelters to get food.

“Well, I know they are, and I don’t really quite understand why,” he said. “The obligations that they would undertake, say borrowing from a bank or a credit union, are, in effect, federally guaranteed. So the 30 days of pay that some people will be out ... there’s no real reason why they shouldn’t be able to get a loan against it.”


In a subsequent interview with Bloomberg, Ross said he was “painfully aware” that workers were suffering hardships. He added that in his earlier remarks, he’d been trying to let workers know that credit union loans were available for those “experiencing liquidity crises” — hardly the language of those living paycheck to paycheck.

It all contributed to perceptions that the Trump administration was out of touch with workers bearing the brunt of the shutdown impact.

“Is this the ‘Let them eat cake’ kind of attitude?” said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. “Or call your father for money?” With that, the speaker evoked Marie Antoinette and took an indirect jab at Trump for inheriting family money to launch his business career.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Ross’ comments “reveal the administration’s callous indifference toward the federal workers it is treating as pawns.” He added: “Secretary Ross, they just can’t call their stock broker and ask them to sell some of their shares.”

Deeming air traffic controllers who are calling in sick “disappointing,” Ross said that workers will eventually get their pay and that there is no reason why a loan would not be a reasonable option for workers who have been staring at zeros on their pay statements.

“Now, true, the people might have to pay a little bit of interest, but the idea that it’s paycheck or zero is not a really valid idea,” said Ross, whose financial disclosure forms reveal $700 million in assets.

The president said he hadn’t seen Ross’s comments but added: “I do understand perhaps he should have said it differently.”

Trump said the commerce secretary’s point was that grocery stores, banks and other local entities were “working along” with federal employees to ease the shutdown’s impact. He added that Ross has “done a great job.”

Other Trump officials have been more effective in conveying their sympathies for those affected by the shutdown.

“Nobody, including myself, likes the hardship caused, the temporary hardship caused by the government shutdown,” Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council, said Thursday. “I have young people on my staff, devoted young people. You know, when you’re 28 years old, you don’t save a lot. I get that, and I think a lot of people have to get through this.”

Trump, for his part, has repeatedly maintained, without providing evidence, that federal workers support the need for a border wall even if it means going without a paycheck. The president did not mention the furloughed workers during his Oval Office address to the nation earlier this month and has said that government employees “will make adjustments” to get by.

Asked Thursday what his message to furloughed workers was, Trump said:

“I love them. I respect them. I really appreciate the great job they’re doing.” He continued to insist that “many of those people that are not getting paid are totally in favor of what we’re doing because they know the future of this country is dependent on having a strong border.”


Kevin Hassett, chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, said early in the shutdown that some furloughed employees were, “in some sense, they’re better off” because people who were already taking vacation over the holidays ultimately would not be charged for their already-planned trip. Hassett has since said that his remarks were taken out of context.

Lara Trump, the president’s daughter-in-law and campaign aide, said this week that for the furloughed workers,

“It is a little bit of pain, but it’s going to be for the future of our country.”


On Thursday, she tried to explain the comment, insisting to Fox News that “I am incredibly empathetic towards anyone right now without a paycheck” and blaming the mainstream media for misrepresenting her message.

https://www.apnews.com/f9f507bb1e6b4809a8a9ed5f615509c9

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The Trump administration has lost more than 90 percent of its court battles over deregulation

PUBLISHED THU, JAN 24 2019 • 12:22 PM EST | UPDATED 3 HOURS AGO

President Donald Trump has been hailed as the greatest rule-cutter in modern American history.

But despite his administration’s efforts to pare back federal regulations on business, in cases that have been challenged in court, Trump has fared quite poorly.

More than 90 percent of the Trump administration’s deregulatory efforts have been blocked in court, or withdrawn after a lawsuit, according to a running tally maintained by the Institute for Policy Integrity, a nonpartisan think tank sponsored by the New York University School of Law.


In cases involving the environment, immigration, disabled individuals, affordable housing, student loans and other matters, Trump has been blocked from stripping protections guaranteed by previous administrations.

The low success rate is unusual. In a typical administration, the government wins about 69 percent of the time in cases involving challenges to agency action, according to an average of 11 studies on the matter.

But federal courts have largely not signed onto the president’s agenda, handing him a string of defeats in disputes that have largely flown under the radar.

In many cases, courts said the administration’s actions were not justified because it failed to solicit public input before taking an action, or because it took an action that was arbitrary and capricious.

High-profile losses

In recent days, some of the Trump’s losses have earned a high profile.

Last week, a federal court blocked the administration’s attempt to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census after a host of U.S. states, as well as civil society groups, contended that the addition of the question would harm minority groups.

A day before, a federal court in Philadelphia issued a nationwide injunction blocking new rules that would limit women’s access to free birth control.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Supreme Court took no action on the Trump administration’s request for it to review a lower court decision blocking the government from terminating DACA, an Obama-era program shielding young migrants who were brought to the United States illegally as children from deportation. That was a major setback for the president as he seeks to negotiate with congressional Democrats over the partial government shutdown.

Groups that oppose regulation have remained largely supportive of the president’s efforts, although some have pointed out “warning signs ” that could undermine his deregulatory agenda.

The White House, which did not respond to a request for comment for this article, claimed last year that deregulation saved American families and businesses $23 billion for the fiscal year.

A major Trump priority

Trump has championed deregulation and said that it is responsible for the country’s economic success.

“One of the reasons the economy is so strong is that we’re not hampered by the ridiculous regulations that we were getting rid of and are getting rid of,” Trump said during a meeting on regulations last year.

Dan Bosch, director of regulatory policy at the right-leaning American Action Forum, said that the administration’s failures in court suggest that agencies “need to do their homework.”

“It looks like what actually happens is they may have skipped a step in the regulatory process, and they may need to go back and build up a more robust effort to explain the action that they are trying to take,” Bosch said.

He said that as a result of having to go back through the process, the administration’s rewritten rules will likely be harder to reverse.

“In some form, they will be successful,” Bosch said. “It may not look exactly like what is being written — the court had some problems — but they will get to their end goal, which is deregulation.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/24/trump-h ... ttles.html

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Tariffs force tough choices in Louisiana as farmers leave soybeans in fields to rot

PUBLISHED THU, JAN 24 2019 • 1:41 PM EST | UPDATED 5 HOURS AGO

Jodi Gralnick

“We’re in unchartered waters,” says the fourth-generation Louisiana grain farmer. “We’ve been through tough times, but definitely nothing of this magnitude.”

This is just one field Richard had to leave unharvested. In total, about 800 acres, 40 percent of his crop, sit dried out and useless.

“We lost the demand in the market with the tariffs. There were no exports. They weren’t shipping out. China wasn’t buying, of course China buys about, a little over 50 percent of our crop.”

Richard’s family has been farming this land for 110 years. His son is the fifth generation working the farm. They have about 3,000 acres from Arnaudville to Port Barre. About 80 percent is soybeans. The rest is rice.

“A normal year, you know we’re probably a million- to a million-and-a-half-dollar operation, and we always harvest all of our crop every year, which didn’t happen this past year,” Richard says.

The rotted beans are worth about $400,000. An equal amount of good, harvested crop is sitting in his full grain bins, with no one to buy them.

But it’s not just farmers feeling the pain. Tariffs have hit the trade-sensitive state of Louisiana particularly hard overall.

Businesses here paid $19 million in tariffs in October alone, more than eight times the duties paid on the same products one year earlier, according to Tariffs Hurt the Heartland, a bipartisan anti-tariff lobbying group, and economic consulting firm The Trade Partnership.

“The effects to this point in Louisiana are perhaps a bit more acute and recognizable, given the size of the state’s economy and the types of industries we’re talking about being impacted here,” says Stephen Barnes, director of the LSU Economics & Policy Research Group.

Louisiana’s ports are a major concern in the tariff war.

“Louisiana because of our position at the mouth of the Mississippi River handles an enormous portion of agricultural exports nationally,” says Barnes. “So when we think about effects to farmers in Iowa and Missouri, a piece of that’s going to hit Louisiana as well, because we’re no longer handling that cargo.”

In fact, breakbulk exports at the Port of New Orleans were down 14 percent in 2018 compared to 2017, mostly due to the decline in agricultural cargo. The port handles 60 percent of export grain from the Midwest. Imports were even harder hit, down 26 percent, much of that decline driven by steel.

Barnes says that while some steel mills in Louisiana are benefitting because U.S.-made steel is more competitive now, the negative tariff hit is much broader than any potential upside.

Daniel Richard worries that for him, the negative hit could become permanent, and his son’s legacy could be lost.

When asked what he will do if the tariff situation isn’t settled in time for planting in April, Richard says, “This year we grew a crop all year long and couldn’t, we couldn’t sell it. So how do you grow another crop? In hopes of not selling? That’s a tough decision. Very tough. It’ll keep you up at night.”

Richard doesn’t support the Trump tariffs, and says he feels like he’s being used as a “bargaining chip.”

“It doesn’t work, it just doesn’t work. I mean, it’s nonsense. I understand the war that’s going on, but the timing was terrible. It just wasn’t the right time, we weren’t prepared.”

But he still supports President Donald Trump, for whom he and 65 percent of his neighbors voted.

And he hasn’t given up hope.

“I’m an optimist, I know it’s gonna get settled. It’s can we weather the storm? I hope he wins, because if he doesn’t win we don’t win. If he fails, we fail.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/24/surging ... rmers.html

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Skripal poisoning: Trump admin yet to impose new Russia sanctions required by law

The European Union punished four Russians this week in connection with the Skripal poisoning, but the U.S. hasn't moved forward with its own penalties.


Jan. 24, 2019, 1:50 PM CST

By Josh Lederman

WASHINGTON — Nearly three months after deeming Russia in violation of a chemical weapons law, the Trump administration has yet to impose tough new sanctions on Moscow required by the law and triggered by the poisoning last year of former Russian spy Sergei Skripal.

Even as the European Union moves ahead, punishing four Russian officials this week in connection with the poisoning, the U.S. has not moved forward with its own penalties. The delay comes as the Trump administration faces intense congressional scrutiny over a Treasury Department deal to lift sanctions on companies that had been controlled by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska.

Asked about the Skripal sanctions, the State Department told NBC News the U.S. "will proceed with our statutory requirements" but would not comment on when the sanctions will take effect.

"There is no deadline in the law for imposing sanctions," the State Department said, adding, "We intend to proceed according to the statutory requirements."

In a letter Thursday to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Sen. Bob Menendez of New Jersey, the top Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said he was "deeply concerned" and called the sanctions "more than two months overdue." Menendez said he expected the U.S. to "swiftly institute these additional sanctions against the Russian Federation, as required by law."

"The United States must not renege on our duty to stand with our allies against the Russian Federation and the international norms against chemical weapons," Menendez wrote.

An earlier round of sanctions punishing Russia for the Skripal poisoning took effect in August, after the Trump administration — prodded by GOP lawmakers — determined that Russia had violated the Chemical and Biological Weapons Control and Warfare Elimination Act. Those sanctions cut off financing for some exports and licenses for selling sensitive national security goods to Russia. At the time, the State Department estimated the sanctions could cut off hundreds of millions of dollars in future exports.

Those sanctions also started a three-month clock for Russia to come into compliance with the law by providing "reliable assurances" that it won't use chemical weapons in the future and agreeing to "on-site inspections" by the United Nations. Under the law, a failure to meet that deadline triggers a second, harsher round of U.S. sanctions that could include downgrading diplomatic relations, suspending the state airline Aeroflot's ability to fly to the United States and cutting off nearly all exports and imports.

In early November, the administration told Congress that Russia was still violating the chemical weapons law. State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert said at the time that "we intend to proceed" with more sanctions but did not offer a timeline.

Former Rep. Ed Royce, R-Calif., as chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, repeatedly pushed the administration to follow through with those additional sanctions before he retired from Congress this month. But State Department officials tell NBC News that implementing the additional sanctions is a lengthy technical process made more complicated by efforts to ensure sanctions don't have unintended consequences for American businesses.

The law essentially requires the administration to choose at least three penalties out of a buffet of six options. Those include publicly opposing loans or aid to Russia from global financial institutions, barring U.S. banks from offering credit to Russia and prohibiting all exports to Russia, with limited exceptions. The other options include downgrading or suspending diplomatic relations, restricting Russian imports and moving to stop all Russian-controlled airlines from flying to or from the United States.

The nonpartisan Congressional Research Service in a report last month said that the second wave of sanctions "could have a negative impact on the Russian economy" but that the exact impact is difficult to predict — in part because of the possibility that Russia is currently planning ways to minimize the impact.

The wait for more U.S. sanctions comes amid new developments in the Mueller investigation that have raised further questions about President Donald Trump's ties to Russia. That includes a New York Times report this month that revealed the FBI had opened an investigation in 2017 into the possibility that Trump was working for Russia against American interests, citing former law enforcement officials and others familiar with the investigation.

"If you ask the folks in Russia, I've been tougher on Russia than anybody else," Trump told Fox News this month. "Nobody's been as tough as I have, from any standpoint."

Over the past two years Trump's administration has imposed a raft of sanctions on Russia that experts say have in some cases exceeded what previous administrations have done. But his cozy relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin, repeated rhetorical attacks on NATO and foreign policy positions on Syria, Ukraine and other areas have fueled the perception that Russia has broadly benefited from Trump's election.

Andrew Weiss, a former Russia director at the National Security Council in the Clinton administration, said it was likely the Trump administration would take some action to fulfill the chemical weapons law's requirements, but predicted that it would be relatively minor. He said the administration would likely emphasize that it is trying to deter future chemical attacks and Russian intelligence operations rather than focusing on the past.

"The administration has a fair amount of flexibility about how they apply these sanctions and we have seen abundant indications that Donald Trump isn't a big fan of imposing major sanctions versus Russia," said Weiss, now at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Skripal, a former Russian military officer convicted of spying for the U.K., was poisoned in March in Salisbury, England. Both he and his daughter, Yulia, were poisoned with the nerve agent Novichok, developed in the former Soviet Union. Both of them survived, but in June, two individuals a few miles away were exposed to Novichok in an incident police believe were linked, and one of those people died.

Aiming to keep up the pressure on Moscow, the E.U. this week slapped sanctions on two high-ranking officials in the GRU, Russia's military intelligence agency, along with the two Russian operatives British authorities accuse of carrying out the attack.

Moscow has adamantly denied involvement in either incident. In response to the new E.U. sanctions last week, the Kremlin said that the Russian officials targeted by the E.U. were "suspected groundlessly" and that Russia had yet to be presented with evidence against them. Moscow also threatened to retaliate for the sanctions.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/nation ... aw-n962216

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110 CENTRAL AMERICAN MIGRANTS SCALE ARIZONA BORDER WALL WITH LADDER BEFORE CBP CATCHES THEM


BY JASON LEMON ON 1/24/19 AT 2:52 PM

Customs and Border Patrol (CBP) agents have detained more than 110 Central American immigrants in Arizona after they scaled a border barrier between the United States and Mexico using a ladder.

The immigrants were caught on Monday, according to a tweet from CBP Arizona, which included a video of the group climbing over the barrier. They reportedly entered the U.S. near the city of Yuma and were aided by a smuggler.

Jose Garibay, a spokesperson for CBP, told Tucson.com that most of the group was composed of family units. He said the smuggler helping the migrants ran back into Mexico after the group had reached the U.S. side of the barrier. The spokesperson explained that CBP does not have jurisdiction to follow smugglers into Mexico to prevent them from assisting other migrants in the future.

CBP also found 376 migrants last week in the Arizona city of San Luis after the group dug under the border fence, local ABC affiliate KGUN 9 reported. Of that group, 179 were children.

Garibay said such large groups of migrants are not routinely apprehended by CBP, but explained to Tucson.com that such crossings doubled in the Yuma Sector last year, to more than 26,000. The spokesperson also said that the majority of those detained have been family units, primarily from Guatemala.

The recent migrant detentions in Arizona came as the U.S. government remains partially shut down due to President Donald Trump’s insistence on building a wall along the Mexican border. Before Christmas, Trump refused to sign a bipartisan budget that would have allowed the government to remain open as Congress continued to discuss border security concerns. Trump has refused to sign any budget that does not include $5.7 billion of funding for the wall, while 800,000 federal employees have been forced to work without pay or have been temporarily furloughed.

Trump has repeatedly insisted that criminals are entering the country through the southern border. Democrats and many analysts have pushed back, pointing out that the immigrants are often families escaping from economic problems and soaring crime rates. They’ve also repeatedly explained that a wall would be ineffective at preventing drugs and criminals from crossing the border, as most enter the country undetected through legal ports. But the president has insisted that his proposed wall will bring security and safety.

“Without a Wall there cannot be safety and security at the Border or for the U.S.A. BUILD THE WALL AND CRIME WILL FALL!,” the president tweeted on Thursday.

https://www.newsweek.com/110-central-am ... er-1304141

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Officials rejected Jared Kushner for top secret security clearance, but were overruled

Jared Kushner was rejected for a top secret clearance by 2 career security specialists, but their supervisor overruled them and approved him, say sources.


Jan. 24, 2019, 7:14 PM CST / Updated Jan. 24, 2019, 8:25 PM CST

By Laura Strickler, Ken Dilanian and Peter Alexander

WASHINGTON — Jared Kushner's application for a top secret clearance was rejected by two career White House security specialists after an FBI background check raised concerns about potential foreign influence on him — but their supervisor overruled the recommendation and approved the clearance, two sources familiar with the matter told NBC News.

The official, Carl Kline, is a former Pentagon employee who was installed as director of the personnel security office in the Executive Office of the President in May 2017. Kushner's was one of at least 30 cases in which Kline overruled career security experts and approved a top secret clearance for incoming Trump officials despite unfavorable information, the two sources said. They said the number of rejections that were overruled was unprecedented — it had happened only once in the three years preceding Kline's arrival.


The sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the information, said the Trump White House attracted many people with untraditional backgrounds who had complicated financial and personal histories, some of which raised red flags.

Kushner's FBI background check identified questions about his family's business, his foreign contacts, his foreign travel and meetings he had during the campaign, the sources said, declining to be more specific.

The White House office only determines eligibility for secret and top secret clearances. As a very senior official, Kushner was seeking an even higher designation that would grant him access to what is known as "sensitive compartmented information," or SCI. That material makes up the government's most sensitive secrets, including transcripts of intercepted foreign communications, CIA source reporting and other intelligence seemingly important for Kushner, whose job portfolio covers the Mideast and Mexico.


The CIA is the agency that decides whether to grant SCI clearance to senior White House officials after conducting a further background check.

After Kline overruled the White House security specialists and recommended Kushner for a top secret clearance, Kushner's file then went to the CIA for a ruling on SCI.

After reviewing the file, CIA officers who make clearance decisions balked, two of the people familiar with the matter said. One called over to the White House security division, wondering how Kushner got even a top secret clearance, the sources said. Top secret information is defined as material that would cause "exceptionally grave damage" to national security if disclosed to adversaries.

The sources say the CIA has not granted Kushner clearance to review SCI material. That would mean Kushner lacks access to key intelligence unless President Trump decides to override the rules, which is the president's' prerogative. The Washington Post reported in July 2018 that Kushner was not given an "SCI" clearance. CIA spokesman Timothy Barrett said, "The CIA does not comment on individual security clearances."

"What you are reporting is what all of us feared," said Brad Moss, a lawyer who represents persons seeking security clearances. "The normal line adjudicators looked at the FBI report…saw the foreign influence concerns, but were overruled by the quasi-political supervisor."

"We don't comment on security clearances," White House press secretary Sarah Sanders said when asked for comment.

NBC News was unable to reach Carl Kline for comment. Kushner's lawyer, Abbe Lowell, had no comment.

The sources said they did not know whether Kline was in communication with senior political White House officials. They say he overruled career bureaucrats at least 30 times, granting top secret clearances to officials in the Executive Office of the President or the White House after adjudicators working for him recommended against doing so.

The reasons for denying a clearance can include debts, a criminal past or questions about foreign entanglements. Anything in a person's background that could make them vulnerable to blackmail can be a factor.

Kushner's application followed the normal path for security clearance. It passed a "suitability review" in the White House and then went to the FBI for a background investigation.

Following the FBI investigation, the case went back to the White House office of personnel security, where a career adjudicator reviewed the FBI information, including questions about foreign influence and foreign business entanglements, the sources said.

The Washington Post, citing current and former U.S. officials familiar with intelligence reports on the matter, reported last February that officials in at least four countries had privately discussed ways they could manipulate Kushner by taking advantage of his complex business arrangements, financial difficulties and lack of foreign policy experience.

Among those nations discussing ways to influence Kushner to their advantage, according to the current and former officials, were the United Arab Emirates, China, Israel and Mexico, the Post reported.

On the basis of potential foreign influence, the adjudicator deemed Kushner's application "unfavorable" and handed it to a supervisor.

The supervisor agreed with the "unfavorable" determination and gave it to Kline, the head of the office at the time, who overruled the "unfavorable" determination and approved Kushner for "top secret" security clearance, the sources said.

"No one else gets that kind of treatment," Moss said. "My clients would get body slammed if they did that."

Sources also told NBC News career employees of the White House office disagreed with other steps Kline took, including ceasing credit checks on security clearance applicants. The sources said Kline cited a data breach at the credit reporting firm Equifax.

Kline is the subject of an October 2018 Equal Employment Opportunity Commission complaint viewed by NBC News that was filed by Tricia Newbold, a current employee. Newbold has a rare form of dwarfism and the complaint alleges Kline discriminated against her because of her height.

Her complaint states that in December 2017, Kline moved security files to a new location which was too high and out of her reach and told her, "You have people, have them get you the files you need; or you can ask me."

Her attorney, Ed Passman, told NBC News, "My client has been subjected to ongoing discrimination by a ruthless supervisor who was destroying the personnel security division by granting security clearances over the objections of civil servant recommendations."

In a letter to her family obtained by NBC News, Newbold described Kline's behavior towards her as "aggressive," involving "emotional and psychological abuse" starting in July 2017, a few months after he took over the office.

In the same letter, Newbold wrote that she also had serious concerns about how Kline "continuously changes policy" and makes "reckless security judgments". She added that Kline's decisions "if disclosed, can cause embarrassment and negative attention to the administration."

Newbold raised concerns about Kline's behavior with her second level supervisor regarding his "hostility and integrity" according to the EEOC complaint.

The EEOC confirmed to Newbold’s attorney that an investigation of her claims was conducted. He is now waiting to hear if his client will be granted a hearing.

The House Oversight Committee, now run by Rep. Elijah Cummings, D.-Md., announced yesterday that it is digging into how Kushner obtained his security clearance.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald ... ed-n962221

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Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet slams Ted Cruz’s “crocodile tears” over the shutdown

A fiery speech shows many lawmakers are reaching their breaking point on the impasse.


By Emily Stewart Jan 24, 2019, 4:20pm EST

As the United States Senate debated two dead-in-the-water bills to end the government shutdown on Thursday, Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) delivered an exasperated speech from the Senate floor. He attacked Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) for his “crocodile tears” over the shutdown and shouted that it’s “ludicrous” for President Donald Trump to refuse to fund the government over his insistence on a border wall.

YOU TUBE VIDEO: Mild Mannered Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) delivered an exasperated speech from the Senate floor. He attacked Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) for his “crocodile tears”


https://youtu.be/HYKCQQbX3Js



A clip of the Colorado Democrat slamming Republicans and the White House for keeping the government closed quickly went viral. Cruz called for Democratic senators to “withdraw their objections” to the GOP and Trump, and Bennet wasn’t having it.

“I seldom, as you know, rise on this floor to contradict somebody on the other side. I’ve worked very hard over the years to work in a bipartisan way with the presiding officer, with my Republican colleagues,” Bennet said. “But these crocodile tears that the senator from Texas is crying over first responders is hard to take.”

Bennet zeroed in on Cruz’s role in the 2013 government shutdown over Republicans’ insistence that any spending bill passed at that time delay the implementation of the Affordable Care Act. Cruz essentially led a group of Republicans in keeping the government closed for 17 days, at one point taking the Senate floor for a 21-hour speech, including a reading of Green Eggs and Ham.

“In 2013, my state was flooded, it was underwater, people were killed, people’s houses were destroyed. Their small businesses were ruined forever,” Bennet said, describing massive flooding that devastated Colorado in 2013. “And because of the senator from Texas, this government was shut down for politics that he surfed to a second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses.”


Cruz ran for the president in 2016, losing to Trump in the Republican primary.

Bennet continued his attack on Cruz, who he said “supports a president who wants to erect a medieval barrier, who wants to use eminent domain to build that wall, who wants to declare an unconstitutional emergency to build that wall.” That, Bennet said, is Cruz’s prerogative.

“I can assure you that in Colorado, if a president said he was going to use eminent domain to erect a barrier across the state of Colorado, across the mountains of Colorado, he was going to steal the property of our farmers and ranchers to build his medieval wall, there wouldn’t be an elected leader from our state that would support his idea,” Bennet said.

He saved perhaps his most impassioned critique for last, and was clearly emotional when he delivered it:

Which goes to my final point, how ludicrous it is that this government is shut down over a promise the president of the United States couldn’t keep. And that America is not interested in having him keep. This idea that he was going to build a medieval wall across the southern border of Texas, take it from the farmers and ranchers that were there and have the Mexicans pay for it is isn’t true. That’s why we’re here.


Where we are in the government shutdown: nobody has answers
The US government is in the midst of its longest government shutdown in history, with the current partial shutdown about to reach the 34-day mark at midnight on Thursday. And there are no answers in sight.

The Senate on Thursday voted on two bills to reopen the government — one that included the $5 billion Trump is demanding for his border wall, and one that did not. Neither appeared to have any chance of passing in the first place.

Some 800,000 federal government workers have been furloughed or are working without pay, and hundreds of thousands of government contractors have been impacted as well. The shutdown is starting to have a real impact on the US economy, not to mention likely millions of people’s lives. Yet lawmakers have not come to a solution.

Trump seems no closer to conceding on his border wall insistence, despite polling suggesting perhaps he should, and all sides are dug in. Bennet’s speech highlights the desperation of the moment — not only among lawmakers but, perhaps more importantly, among the people who are feeling the effects of the ordeal each day.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics ... t-shutdown

“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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'This is your fault': GOP senators clash over shutdown inside private luncheon


Sean Sullivan and Paul Kane

The Washington Post

1/25/2019 9:44 AM

WASHINGTON -- Republican senators clashed with each other and confronted Vice President Mike Pence inside a private luncheon on Thursday, as anger hit a boiling point over the longest government shutdown in history.

"This is your fault," Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., told Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., at one point, according to two Republicans who attended the lunch and witnessed the exchange.

"Are you suggesting I'm enjoying this?" McConnell snapped back, according to the people who attended the lunch.

Johnson spokesman Ben Voelkel confirmed the confrontation.
He said Johnson was expressing frustration with the day's proceedings -- votes on dueling plans to reopen the government, both of which failed to advance.

The people who attended the lunch spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe a closed-door session. Aides to McConnell, citing regular policy on GOP lunches, declined to comment on the gathering.

The argument was one of several heated moments in a lunch that came just before the Senate voted on the opposing plans to end the shutdown offered by President Donald Trump and Democrats.

The outbursts highlighted the toll the shutdown has taken on Republican lawmakers, who are dealing with growing concerns from constituents, blame from Democrats, all while facing pressure from conservatives to stand with Trump in his demand for money to build a wall on the border with Mexico.

The votes the Senate cast on Thursday were the first on the shutdown since it began Dec. 22, with McConnell and other GOP lawmakers refusing to vote on anything this year unless it had Trump's approval -- a policy that has drawn widespread criticism.

The day ended with some limited signs of progress. After the votes, McConnell and Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., engaged in a face-to-face negotiation that senators hoped would lead to a solution in the near future.

The first proposal, which Trump put forward, would have allocated $5.7 billion for wall funding in exchange for temporary protections for some immigrants. Only one Democrat voted for it. Two Republicans rejected the plan.

One of the Republicans, Sen. Mike Lee of Utah, also spoke out in the lunch. He explained that if Thursday's votes were merely a party line exercise, there should be more reforms to the nation's asylum laws, according to one of the people who attended the lunch. Lee also expressed concerns about getting assurances for votes on his amendments.

Six Republicans broke ranks to vote for the Democratic plan, which would have reopened shuttered government agencies through Feb. 8, without any wall money. Among them was Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah, who explained in the lunch why he planned to vote for both bills.

Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., who voted for Trump's bill but opposed the Democratic plan, started to interrupt him and Romney snapped back, according to one of the people who attended the lunch and another person familiar with it. The exchange was lively but not particularly angry, they said.

Representatives for Romney, Tillis and Lee did not immediately comment.

Senators also voiced their concerns about the shutdown directly with Pence, who was in attendance.

"Nobody was blaming the president," said Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, speaking about the lunch to reporters afterward. "But there was a lot of frustration expressed about the situation we find ourselves in."

Also during the lunch, McConnell made clear to Pence, and others in the room, that the shutdown was not his idea and was not working. According Republicans familiar with his comments, he quoted a favorite saying that he often uses to express his displeasure with government shutdowns: "There is no education in the second kick of a mule."

McConnell started using that saying after the 2013 shutdown, which lasted 16 days and ended after the public largely blamed Republicans.

That specific exchange was first reported by The Hill.

https://www.dailyherald.com/news/201901 ... um=twitter

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Trump Caves, Ends Longest Government Shutdown in History Without His Precious Wall

The president agrees to fund the federal government for three weeks, doing so without the $5 billion he demanded to seal the border with Mexico.


Sam Stein, Sam Brodey, Jackie Kucinich 01.25.19 2:30 PM ET

President Donald Trump agreed on Friday to fund the government without money for his much-desired border wall, effectively bringing an end to the longest shutdown in American history.

The deal extends funding for the government at current levels until February 15 and include a “vehicle” for lawmakers to begin discussions between the two congressional chambers over a larger bill to fund the Department of Homeland Security and border security specifically.

The president presented the end result as a triumph for his administration, insisting that Democrats had come to his position on the need for a border barrier (they hadn’t).

“After 36 days of spirited debate and dialogue—I have seen and heard from enough Democrats and Republicans that they are willing to put partisanship aside, I think, and put the security of the American people first,” Trump declared on the 35th day of the shutdown.

He added that if money for a “a powerful wall or steel barrier” was not included in a deal three weeks from now, he would shut down the government again or use emergency powers to build the wall himself—a threat he had issued several times already.

Though Trump spoke defiantly, the consensus view from officials of both parties on Capitol Hill was the Trump’s clock had been cleaned. The president had insisted to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) that he would not sign any bill to open the government that did not include $5.7 billion in wall funding. But amid sagging poll numbers and partial closures of critical government functions—including, on Friday morning, flights in and out of LaGuardia Airport in New York—Trump committed on Friday to doing just that.

At a joint press conference after the speech, Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) took a victory lap, shielding the White House and congressional Republicans and thanking the federal workers who worked more than a month without pay.

“Shutting down the government over a policy difference is self-defeating,” Schumer said. “It accomplishes nothing but pain and suffering for the country and incurs an enormous political cost to the party shutting it down.”

“It’s sad that it’s taken this long to come to such an obvious conclusion,” Pelosi added.

Pelosi dismissed several questions about whether the president has underestimated her ability to hold firm to her position — instead praising the unity of the Democratic caucus.

But it clear who was in charge when asked whether the State of the Union was going to go on as initially planned on Jan. 29.

“The State of the Union is not planned,” Pelosi said. “What I said to the president is when the government is open we will discuss a mutually agreeable date.”

Schumer, however, was less hesitant to praise Pelosi’s prowess.

“No one should ever underestimate the speaker as Donald Trump has learned,” he said.

The president’s cave was not lost on Senate Republicans who filed out of a closed-door meeting in the Capitol after the speech concluded.

“Everyone is relieved that the government is getting back open but I think everyone is still a little tenuous because we still have a sword of Damocles hanging over us three weeks from now,” he said.

Asked if the 35-day shutdown was worth it, Lankford said, “I think time will tell, honestly, I assume we’ll find out in the days ahead once we have the negotiations. “

Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH) predicted an “intense three week period of negotiation” but was optimistic that something would ultimate be hammered out before funding ran out again, noting that bipartisan groups of lawmakers have already been talking behind the scenes.

Still, he too wasn’t ready to say the ends justified the means.

“I’m not a shutdown fan,” he said. “We’ll see what happens.”

The resolution seemed destined to provide only a brief reprieve from the political acrimony that has paralyzed Washington in recent weeks as it would only last three weeks. At a lunch briefing with reporters and columnists on Friday, Pelosi said she felt optimistic that there would not be a shutdown again, owing to the likelihood that Trump will have recognized how politically damaging the current standoff had been.

“The point was to make sure he doesn’t see this is an option that he can cavalierly use,” she explained. “So I think it makes it less likely.”

Pelosi was also critical of Republican lawmakers for letting the situation get to its current point. In particular, she singled out Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), who had insisted it was pointless to move any government funding measure through the Senate if Trump had not committed to signing it—including reintroducing a clean funding bill that the Senate had overwhelming backed in December.

“I know he is a professional,” Pelosi said of McConnell. “So It is particularly painful to see him kowtowing to the president of the United States. And I said to him, ‘Do you just want to abolish the Congress or maybe just the United States Senate? Because that is effectively what you’re doing.’”

Asked what McConnell said in response, Pelosi replied: “What does he ever say? Nothing.”

An aide to McConnell told The Daily Beast that, “The Leader has given numerous speeches on how a bill becomes law. One of those components is a presidential signature. That’s in the Constitution.”

The majority leader did ultimately end up relenting on that pledge. On Thursday afternoon, he brought two bills to the floor. A Republican-backed bill that would have reopened the government—which included Trump’s wall money, some concessions on DACA designed to woo Democrats, and new asylum restrictions that made the bill a nonstarter—won the support of only one Democrat, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV).

A Democratic bill that would have reopened the government until February 8, meanwhile, fell short of 60 vote threshold needed for passage in the Senate but came out ahead of the Trump-backed bill. Six Republicans crossed the aisle to vote for the Democrats’ stopgap measure, including Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT) and Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME).

Shortly after the votes failed, McConnell met with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer to hash out a deal, their first such meeting in weeks. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who has the president’s ear, had been pushing for a short-term spending bill for a week and called for Senate leaders to move on it quickly.

White House sources had told The Daily Beast on Thursday that they were “stuck” in the shutdown impasse. But on the Hill, talks began in earnest, with lawmakers no longer eager to simply wait to see what the president might find agreeable and Republicans, in particular, growing increasingly anxious with how long the government had been closed.

“Let me tell you a little history of myself, in 1995 I thought the shutdown was the greatest thing since sliced bread, and you know what I’ve found out since then?” said Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA). “It costs money to shut down the government, it costs money to open government; it’s not a wise thing to do.”

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-cav ... l?ref=home

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Coulter blasts Trump over shutdown deal: 'Biggest wimp ever to serve as president'

BY OWEN DAUGHERTY - 01/25/19 03:20 PM EST

Conservative commentator Ann Coulter ripped President Trump over the news that he has agreed to end the government shutdown by accepting a temporary funding bill without money for his border wall, saying that Trump is now a bigger wimp than former President George H.W. Bush.

Coulter posted on Twitter shortly after Trump made the public announcement in the Rose Garden of the White House on Friday.

---
Ann Coulter

Good news for George Herbert Walker Bush: As of today, he is no longer the biggest wimp ever to serve as President of the United States.

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1:55 PM - Jan 25, 2019


Coulter has long been thought of as someone Trump looks to as a gauge of public support amongst his conservative base. She said last month — right before the shutdown began —that she would not vote for Trump again in 2020 without a border wall.

She published the book "In Trump We Trust: E Pluribus Awesome!" in 2016 but has been critical of him recently, saying Trump’s presidency would be a "joke" if he gave in to Democrats by signing government funding legislation that didn't include money for a border wall and warning him not to cave.

After previous remarks against Trump, Coulter pointed out that he unfollowed her on Twitter.

Earlier this month, Rep. Jackie Speier (D-Calif.) asked Coulter to tell Trump "it's OK" to fully reopen the federal government.

https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4270 ... o-serve-as

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Trump held government workers hostage for a month — and walked away with nothing

Analysis: The self-described deal-maker president gave up the ransom and the hostage for... a conference committee.


Jan. 25, 2019, 4:20 PM CST / Updated Jan. 25, 2019, 4:51 PM CST

By Jonathan Allen

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump promised a wall. He got a procedural death trap.

More than that, he undermined the brand he's tried to build as an indefatigable fighter, a master strategist and the world's savviest deal-maker. On all those counts, he lost — and lost big — Friday.

Usually, the loser in Washington gets some sort of policy fig leaf to cover up for the fact that they were defeated. Trump got nada.

he deal he cut boils down to this: He gave up the $5.7 billion wall-money ransom he'd sought and the hostage he'd taken — his own government's operations — in exchange for Democrats agreeing to participate in a "conference committee," which is the legislative equivalent of a firing squad for his wall.

He did gain one more thing he probably didn't want — a lesson in messing with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif. She stared him down over the border wall, the five-week partial government shutdown and the question of who decides whether and when he can deliver a State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress.

Trump gamely tried to declare victory by portraying Democrats as willing to acknowledge that some sort of border barrier is "part of the solution" to stopping illegal immigration and the flow of contraband across the southern border.

No one else is particularly confused about the fact that Trump swung for the fences and whiffed.

"Trump is the Babe Ruth of our era: he doesn't practice and he takes big, bold swings," said Dan Eberhart, a Republican donor who supports the president. "Sometimes he hits dramatic home runs. Shutting down the government over the border wall is a game-ending strikeout for his team."

Ann Coulter, the conservative commentator who has grown increasingly disillusioned with Trump, was less forgiving in comparing Trump to the president who famously broke his "no new taxes" pledge.

"Good news for George Herbert Walker Bush: As of today, he is no longer the biggest wimp ever to serve as President of the United States," she tweeted.

And Rep. Dan Kildee, a Michigan Democrat, said Trump's remarks from the Rose Garden Friday were a first in his memory.

"I've seen a lot of presidents take a victory lap before," he said. "But this is the first time I've seen a president go to the Rose Garden and take a defeat lap."

Usually, Congress is willing to give a defeated president a fig leaf so that he can claim that a policy capitulation didn't come without some tangible concession from the other side. But there's no real deal here for Trump.

Democrats were already happy to increase funding for drug-detection technology and other enhancements to ports of entry — new spending that not only addresses border security in ways they approve of but also increases the base level of funding for domestic programs heading into next year's budget battles with the White House and Senate Republicans.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white- ... nt-n963006

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POLITICS 01/25/2019 06:57 pm ET

Nancy Pelosi Didn’t End The Shutdown Alone. Federal Workers Did The Heavy Lifting.

Air safety concerns finally made the longest U.S. government shutdown in history untenable. Credit workers for that.


By Alexander C. Kaufman

In the hours after President Donald Trump announced a short-term plan to end the longest government shutdown in history, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) was showered in praise.

The hashtag PelosiWins began going viral on Twitter. MSNBC pundit Lawrence O’Donnell credited her with “crushing” the president. Vanity Fair’s headline blared, “Checkmate: Nancy Breaks Trump and Ends the Shutdown,” proclaiming that “Pelosi’s masterclass, and plummeting polls, forced the president’s hand.” ThinkProgress editor Ian Millhiser warned to “never ever” ― with the second word repeated 36 more times ― “bet against Pelosi.”

Her steadfast opposition to Trump’s demand for billions of dollars for a border wall may well be “proving her Democratic skeptics wrong,” as The New Republic wrote two days ago.

Yet it was thousands of federal workers, facing a second missed paycheck as the shutdown stretched into a 35th day, who stopped showing up to work and put the real pressure on Trump. On Friday the Transportation Security Administration reported its national rate of unscheduled absences surged to 7.6 percent from 3 percent a year earlier. A shortage of air traffic controllers briefly halted flights to LaGuardia Airport in New York City and delayed flights to Philadelphia International Airport and New Jersey’s Newark Liberty International Airport.

The absences were a daring — if officially uncoordinated — labor action. The National Labor Relations Act gives American workers the right to strike but does not extend that right to government workers. President Jimmy Carter enacted legislation to prohibit federal workers from striking, as The New York Times noted. President Ronald Reagan gave the statute teeth; when air traffic controllers went on strike in 1981, he ordered them to return to work and fired them when they didn’t.

The uptick in workers calling out this week was no coincidence. In a fiery statement, Sara Nelson, the president of the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA, said air safety professionals were “fatigued, worried, and distracted” as they carried out “unbelievably heroic work even as they are betrayed by the government that employs them.”

“So the planes will stay on the ground,” she said. “Do we have your attention now, [Senate Majority Leader Mitch] McConnell? All lawmakers? Open the government and then get back to the business of democracy and discuss whatever issue you so choose.”

A separate statement from the National Air Traffic Controllers Association, the Air Line Pilots Association and the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA excoriated lawmakers for creating a public safety threat by leaving workers unpaid.

“In our risk averse industry, we cannot even calculate the level of risk currently at play, nor predict the point at which the entire system will break,” the statement read.

Just two days ago, the National Transportation Safety Board told CNN of 87 accidents have not been investigated since the shutdown began. According to Larry Willis, the president of the Transportation Trades Department with the AFL-CIO, more than 1,800 air safety workers quit over the past month to find new jobs.

“They have a legal prohibition against strike. The unions did not violate that ... but they were correct in pointing out that workers were going to leave the industry,” he said by phone Friday. “They had to find ways to put food on the table, and at some point that was going to cause positions to go unfilled. That’s exactly what you started to see over the last several days.”

Beyond the aviation industry workers, federal employees spoke out about the hardship they were facing because of the shutdown, having to look for new jobs and forgo essentials. Their willingness to tell their stories raised essential public awareness about the real-life consequences of Washington games.

To her credit, Pelosi seemed to see that for what it was. On Thursday, responding to billionaire Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross’ widely criticized remarks urging federal workers to take out loans to make up missed paychecks, she said, “Is this the ‘Let them eat cake’ kind of attitude? Or ‘Call your father for money’? ‘This is character building for you’?”

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/na ... 872d43c02c

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FAA briefly halts flights into LaGuardia amid staffing shortages, shutdown

BY CHRIS MILLS RODRIGO - 01/25/19 10:09 AM EST

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) briefly halted flights into LaGuardia Airport in New York City on Friday morning in a move related to the government shutdown.

The halt was put in place just after 10 a.m. and was lifted at about 11 a.m. A ground delay remained in effect, according to the FAA's website.

Delays were also being reported at Newark Liberty International and Philadelphia International airports on Friday morning as air traffic controllers work without pay amid the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history.

The FAA issued a statement saying that it had experienced a "slight increase in sick leaves at two facilities."

"We are mitigating the impact by augmenting staffing, rerouting traffic, and increasing spacing between aircraft when needed. The public can monitor air traffic at fly.faa.gov and they should check with airlines for more information," the FAA said in a statement.

Democrats seized on the news as evidence that the shutdown is causing severe problems at airports.

"The #Trump/Shutdown has already pushed hundreds of thousands of Americans to the breaking point. Now it's pushing our airspace to the breaking point too," Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said in a tweet. "@realDonaldTrump, stop endangering the safety, security and well-being of our nation. Re-open government now!"

The White House said President Trump had been briefed on the developments.

“The president has been briefed and we are monitoring the ongoing delays at some airports," White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said. "We are in regular contact with officials at the Department of Transportation and the FAA.”
Air travel union leaders warned Wednesday that the shutdown was adversely affecting flight safety.

In a joint statement, the heads of the National Air Traffic Controllers Association (NATCA), the Air Line Pilots Association and the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA wrote that they had “growing concern for the safety and security of our members, our airlines, and the traveling public.”

“In our risk averse industry, we cannot even calculate the level of risk currently at play, nor predict the point at which the entire system will break,” they wrote. “It is unprecedented.”

NATCA told The Hill in a statement Friday that while the union does not condone “coordinated activity that negatively effects the capacity of the National Airspace System,” the shutdown has made the situation worse for its members.

"In the past few weeks, we have warned about what could happen as a result of the prolonged shutdown,” NATCA President Paul Rinaldi said. “Many controllers have reached the breaking point of exhaustion, stress, and worry caused by this shutdown. Each hour that goes by that the shutdown continues makes the situation worse.”

Rinaldi said the shutdown has compounded stress for workers navigating an already "difficult and stressful job."

“Air traffic controllers are required to report fit for duty every shift. It is a very high threshold of fitness demanded by the seriousness of the job," he added. "This shutdown has caused a tremendous amount of added stress for them on top of what is already a difficult and stressful job.”

The partial government shutdown, now it its 35th day, has had a big impact on air traffic controllers, who are deemed essential workers and have been working without pay.

Federal workers missed their second paycheck on Friday as the federal government remained closed with few signs of progress in negotiations.

The government has been partially shutdown since Dec. 22 over disagreements between Trump and congressional Democrats on the White House’s demand for $5.7 billion in funding for a border wall. Roughly 800,000 federal workers are either furloughed or working without pay during the shutdown.

Newark Liberty International Airport was experiencing delays of 45 to 59 minutes for a time on Friday morning, according to the FAA, while delays at Philadelphia International Airport were from one hour, one minute to one hour, 15 minutes. The FAA later on Friday morning said Philadelphia was no longer experiencing delays.

The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) said in a statement to The Hill that they had 7.6 percent unscheduled absences on Thursday, compared to 3 percent on the same day last year, partly because “many employees are reporting that they are not able to report to work due to financial limitations.”

The TSA noted that 99.9 percent of passengers did not have wait times exceeding 30 minutes at security checkpoints.

https://thehill.com/homenews/news/42695 ... -laguardia

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Pelosi on State of the Union date: 'Not planned' yet

CNN Digital Expansion 2018 Clare ForanCNN Digital Expansion 2017 Jim Acosta


By Clare Foran and Jim Acosta, CNN

Updated 4:52 PM ET, Fri January 25, 2019

(CNN)House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Friday that just because the federal government is expected to fully reopen soon does not necessarily mean that President Donald Trump's State of the Union address will take place next week.

At a news conference following Trump's announcement that there was a deal to end the partial government shutdown, Pelosi was asked by a reporter if the State of the Union will go on as originally scheduled for Tuesday night.

"The State of the Union is not planned now," the California Democrat responded, standing next to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, a New York Democrat. "What I said to the President is when the government is open we will discuss a mutually agreeable date, and I'll look forward to doing that and welcoming the President to the House of Representatives for the State of the Union when we agree on that."

A senior White House official appeared to agree that the President's State of the Union address will not be on Tuesday.
Asked about a later date, the official said: "You need to ask the speaker that."

Earlier this month, Pelosi told Trump that the State of the Union should either not happen while the government is partly closed or that he should deliver the address in writing, citing security concerns. Trump eventually agreed on Wednesday to not have the speech while the shutdown continued.

Having an address to a joint session of Congress requires both the House and Senate to pass a resolution allowing it to happen.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/25/politics ... index.html

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Pelosi takes shot at Trump in response to Stone indictment

BY MORGAN GSTALTER - 01/25/19 11:45 AM EST

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) took a shot at President Trump over the arrest of his longtime associate Roger Stone, saying it was "very interesting" to see the "kinds of people" Trump surrounds himself with.

“It’s very interesting to see the kinds of people the president of the United States surrounded himself with,” Pelosi told reporters. “This connection to the integrity of our elections is obviously something we have to get the truth about.

“But it’s also bothersome to see his connections to Russia and the president’s suggestions that we should question whether we should be in NATO, which is a dream come true for Vladimir Putin,” Pelosi added, referring to the Russian president.

Stone is the sixth associate of Trump's to be charged in connection with Mueller’s expansive probe into Russia's election interference and potential collusion between the Trump campaign and Moscow.

Stone, who served as an informal adviser on the Trump campaign, was indicted on seven counts in connection with Mueller's investigation, including one count of obstruction of an official proceeding, five counts of false statements and one count of witness tampering.

He was arrested early Friday morning during an FBI raid on his Fort Lauderdale, Fla., home.

The president renewed his attacks on Mueller in responding to the news, calling the investigation the “greatest witch hunt in the history of our country" in a tweet.

He also suggested that CNN — the only news outlet to capture dramatic footage at the pre-dawn raid — was tipped off about the arrest, asking “who alerted CNN to be there?”

The network said it was on the scene in Florida to capture the footage through its own reporting on grand jury proceedings.

Stone’s arrest came one day after an indictment was filed in federal court in Washington, D.C., on Thursday.

According to the indictment, Stone obstructed the investigations by the House Intelligence Committee and the FBI into Russian interference in the election.

He is accused of making “multiple false statements” to the committee about his interactions with “Organization 1” — an apparent reference to WikiLeaks.

WikiLeaks released troves of hacked Democratic emails before the 2016 election that the U.S. intelligence community later said were originally stolen by Russian intelligence agents.

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4269 ... -of-people

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WELCOME TO THE BARREL!

Cosplaying Supervillain Roger Stone Meets Robert Mueller’s Real-Life Feds

Stone lied to the Special Counsel because he trusted WhatsApp, which is a grandpa mistake of the first order.


Rick Wilson 01.25.19 4:40 PM ET

There were two ways Roger Stone’s morning arrest could have played out.

The first scenario is the one Roger rehearsed in his mind a hundred times; his attorney would have been notified well in advance, giving America’s number one parody cartoon supervillain time to assemble some typically foppish confection:

perhaps a purple morning coat, spats, hand-tooled lemur-skin calf boots, a jaunty top hat, a monocle, and an exotic cravat tied in a knot typically used only in vigorous German fesselspiele games. He would stride toward the waiting federales with a louche swagger, his bejeweled walking stick in hand. He would smile for the assembled cameras and toss off some bon mot that communicated both searing contempt and breezy insouciance.

Instead, a second, real-world scenario obtained. A frowzy, shocked Roger Stone woke to the sound of “FBI, WARRANT! OPEN THE DOOR!” in the predawn hours. The FBI may not be getting paid, but that didn’t stop them from rolling hard on Stone’s lair, arresting him, and booking him into the Broward County jail. Stern but polite FBI agents arrested Stone on seven counts of lying to Congress and Special Counsel Robert Mueller.

Two things must have rankled Stone most. First, a CNN stringer was on the scene to a provide video of the raid. Second, Stone appeared in court handcuffed and shackled clad not in one of his usual dandy-lad getups, but rather in a plain blue Polo shirt. Just wait until Roger gets issued prison Crocs and a polyester-blend jumpsuit that doesn’t match his spray tan.

Stone is charged with obstruction, making false statements, and witness tampering. Sorry, Trump fans; one of your heroes is about to either die in prison or flip on your cult leader. These charges, narrowly and surgically crafted, are enough that even a fairly slow jury would send Roger up the river long enough that a 66-year old man faces slim odds of coming out alive. The indictments draw yet another line of communication between Trump’s campaign (and likely Trump personally) and the efforts of Russia to elect Donald Trump, in this case via Stone’s relationship with GRU affiliate Wikileaks. The indictment is full of dumb, damning details.

All of Trump world seems to forget that Mueller has all the receipts, phone records, emails, text messages, metadata, and financial records. Stone lied to the Special Counsel because he trusted WhatsApp, which is a grandpa mistake of the first order. Stone lied in Congress because he believed that the House Republicans would sit on his transcript and he would never be held to account. Those lies met with the hard reality that elections have consequences. Donald Trump incinerated 40 GOP House seats, and so the Democratic majority shared the transcript the GOP had suppressed with Mueller. It wasn’t partisan; they had evidence of Stone committing multiple crimes in the form of lying to Congress.

When your primary line of defense is that “process crimes are not crimes,” you’re in pretty deep legal water, so of course, that’s where the Trump team went at once. The first line of defense from Trump world is the usual “No collusion! Witchhunt!” piffle to which we’ve all become inured. If this is a witch-hunt, Robert Mueller found a couple of our Broward County Voldemort’s horcruxes today.

It was a bad day to be an official or quasi-official spokesperson for Trump. Jay Sekulow and Rudy Giuliani did the usual Jay and Rudy show, to little effect. Sarah Sanders, balefully squinting at the camera, gamely muttered, “This has nothing to do with the President.” Oh, Sarah. That’s like saying sucking down a brace of Filet O’Fish sandwiches thrice daily has nothing to do with Trump’s enormous booty. This has everything to do with Trump, and his legal team’s panic-vomiting tells you how serious it is.

Another good barometer of how scared Trump’s media allies feel on any given day is how much they try to litigate the composition of Mueller’s staff or legal tactics as opposed to the underlying facts. The arrest at Stone’s love shack has become today’s hissy-fit shit-show screaming point by Trump and Stone fanboys like Gateway Pundit Jim Hoft, who ran a headline that captures the Trump-right drama-queen take on the arrest perfectly: “FBI Raid Would Make Gestapo Proud.” Did your eyes just roll? Because my eyes just rolled. The door-knock and the FBI’s handling of Stone was hardly a kinetic entry for a violent felon.

Stone acolyte Jacob Engels, Pizzagate hoaxer Jack Posobiec, greased-ham cosplayer Dan Bongino, Bongino’s handmaiden John Cardillo, and the usual cast of thousands raced to their fainting couches, declaring that the Deep State Gestapo was upon us. Trump Twitter ragebots always ready to scream “Lock her up” have suddenly discovered compassion and a love of due process and delicate treatment for those in the legal system. Several thousand kids in cages down on the border are muttering, “"¿Qué pinga?"

Mueller never sleeps, his targets aren’t getting exonerated no matter how many times the Trump media screams “But her emails!” or “No collusion!” This is one more set of indictments and moves in a mosaic of dread for Trump. It never gets better, Russia always draws closer, and the connections always paint of picture of more malfeasance and connection to Putin’s operation. The “process crimes” are just gravy. Delicious, delicious gravy.

It defies reason that Trump’s sudden, constant mentions of Wikileaks on the campaign trail in 2016 didn’t come from direct conversations with Stone. Trump would have loved the skullduggery aspects of it, the idea that an electoral cheat code would help him bring down Hillary Clinton.

The irony of today is that the weird, bullshit arc of Stone’s long investment in Trump is over today. What must truly sting for Stone is the inevitable process of Trump-world’s denials and distancing; after investing 40 years of his life in Trump, Stone was screwed out of the massive financial payday he expected from the campaign, then frozen out of the massive lobbying windfall that lesser lights like Corey Lewandowski have enjoyed. If he holds the line, he’s of no use to Trump and will be forgotten and dismissed. If (and more likely when) he breaks, he’ll be a traitor, a coffee boy, a ghost in the Trump machine.

Stone was an architect of Trump’s world view, his politics, and his ideological positions, such as they are. Roger was there at Trump’s side when Orange Bull Connor declared that the Central Park Five were guilty and deserved to be executed. He was at Trump’s side as one of the architects of Birtherism. His toxic brand of dumb ratfuckery for the sake of ratfuckery is the Trump administration writ large.

Roger survived for decades on his wits, blustering one campaign, interest group, scam PAC, or donor after another on his “I elected Nixon, Reagan, and Bush” line of white-hot horseshit. As I wrote in my book Everything Trump Touches Dies, Stone’s outsize image and reputation were his primary product, not elections or campaign work. As the famous (and sometimes infamous) Ray Harding, then chairman of New York’s Liberal Party, once told me in the late '90s, “The only two people who believe Roger Stone’s bullshit are Roger Stone and that fucking moron Trump.”

Stone’s post-arraignment press conference was the last gasp of a dying animal. He may posture and strut, playing the showman role to the hilt, but he’s in the barrel now, and unless he wants to die in prison and be buried in a potters’ field wearing a tattered, scratchy polyester blend orange prison jumpsuit, he’ll swallow his considerable pride and cooperate.

As Stone spoke to the press today, the crowd chanted, “Lock him up!” with more than a little glee. Roger, seeming unaware that karma is a cruel, magnificent bitch, walked away from the press conference unable to understand that his time in the barrel is here, and his future is not as a bon vivant and political showman but as just another victim of the Trump curse.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/roger-sto ... s?ref=home

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POLITICS 01/25/2019 06:32 am ET Updated 9 hours ago 1/25/19

Trump Associate Roger Stone Indicted In Mueller Investigation

The longtime Republican political operative was in touch with WikiLeaks and Russian hackers during the 2016 campaign
.

By Ryan J. Reilly and Lee Moran

Roger Stone, an eccentric longtime Republican strategist with a tattoo of Richard Nixon’s face on his back, was arrested early Friday on criminal charges that include obstruction of an official proceeding, false statements and witness tampering.

A federal grand jury impaneled by special counsel Robert Mueller charged Stone in a seven-count indictment. FBI agents arrested him at his home in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, and he appeared in court later Friday.

CNN shared footage of FBI agents arriving at the property:

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Kristin Davis, the former Manhattan madam, reportedly told The Washington Post’s Manuel Roig-Franzia that FBI agents also executed a search warrant at the New York City apartment she shared with Stone.

Stone ― who worked on presidential campaigns for Nixon, Ronald Reagan, Bob Dole and others ― took credit for Donald Trump’s presidential run and served as an informal adviser after he left Trump’s campaign in August 2015.

He repeatedly has said it was “a possibility” that he would be indicted in Mueller’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election and possible Trump campaign collusion.

Stone has previously admitted to being in contact with Julian Assange of WikiLeaks during the Trump campaign.

The indictment alleges he spoke “to senior Trump Campaign officials” about WikiLeaks and “information it might have had that would be damaging” to the campaign of Trump’s Democratic rival, Hillary Clinton, in the summer before the election.

Stone was “contacted by senior Trump Campaign officials to inquire about future releases” by WikiLeaks, according to the indictment, which refers to WikiLeaks as “Organization 1.”

Stone’s attorney, Grant Smith, said in a statement that “there was no Russian collusion” and that the charges were “a clear attempt at silencing Roger.”

After appearing in court on Friday, Stone said he plans to plead not guilty to the charges, saying he was “falsely accused” and calling the investigation “politically motivated.”

“I look forward to being fully and completely vindicated,” he said, while onlookers booed.

He also affirmed that he does not plan to testify against Trump, but would not say if he seeks a pardon from the president.

The July 2018 indictment of 12 Russian intelligence officers in connection with the hack of a Democratic National Committee server during the 2016 election referred to Stone as “a person who was in regular contact with senior members of the presidential campaign of Donald J. Trump.”

Stone has described his contact with the Russians ― who used the handle “Guccifer 2.0” ― as “benign.” He told The Washington Post that he met with a Russian national who wanted to sell Trump damaging information on Hillary Clinton for a sum of $2 million. The man had previously worked as an informant for the FBI, but told the Post that he was not working on the FBI’s behalf when he met with Stone in May 2016.

Stone’s indictment came after his associate Randy Credico, a radio show host, testified before the grand jury.

Stone, according to the indictment, “on multiple occasions” around Dec. 1, 2017, told Credico (“Person 2”) that he should “do a ‘Frank Pentangeli’” in his testimony before the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence “to avoid contradicting Stone’s testimony.”

It was a reference to the “Frankie Five Angels” character from “The Godather: Part II,” whom the indictment alleges Stone and Credico had previously discussed. In the film, the character testifies and “claims not to know critical information that he does in fact know,” the indictment recounts.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ro ... 7b003f3321

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Hitler-owned book hints at plans for North American Holocaust

By Matthew Robinson, CNN

Updated 1:51 PM ET, Fri January 25, 2019

(CNN)A rare book owned by Adolf Hitler, which is believed to detail the blueprint for a North American Holocaust, has been acquired by Canada's national archive.

Library and Archives Canada purchased the document last year for $4,500, and it was unveiled for the first time Wednesday, just days before International Holocaust Remembrance Day on Sunday.

The 137-page report -- titled "Statistics, Media and Organizations of Jewry in the United States and Canada" -- was compiled in 1944 by German linguist and researcher Heinz Kloss. He was responsible for conducting key research for the Nazi regime on issues such as nationality, with a particular focus on the United States.

Kloss -- who visited the United States in 1936-7 and maintained a network of Nazi sympathizers -- used 1930s population data to produce a personalized census of the Jewish population in North America, along with information about Jewish organizations and newspapers.

Michael Kent, curator of the Jacob M. Lowy Collection, which is preserving the book, told CNN that the report would have likely played "an important role" in any implementation of the Final Solution -- the term used by Nazi leaders to describe the extermination of the Jewish population -- had the Third Reich successfully invaded the United States and Canada.

Kent described the report as "quite shocking," and noted that it included detailed analysis not only of cities with large Jewish populations such as Toronto and Winnipeg, Manitoba, but also of small urban areas.

While other Holocaust memorial organizations have opted not to acquire or display any Nazi memorabilia, Kent told CNN that it was important for the archive to do so due to the "rise in xenophobia, dwindling knowledge of the Holocaust, and rise of Holocaust denial."

The book will go on public display Saturday before portions of it are made available online.

Rebecca Margolis of the University of Ottawa noted in a statement that the report offers a "documented confirmation of the fears felt so acutely" by Canadian Jews during World War II -- that the Nazis intended to invade North America.

Experts believe the report was part of a confidential series of research commissioned by Hitler and stored at his mountain retreat near Berchtesgaden in the Bavarian Alps. The bookplate bears a stylized eagle, swastika and the words "ex libris Adolf Hitler," which suggest that it came from the Nazi leader's personal library.

The report, along with other books owned by Hitler, is believed to have been brought to the United States as a souvenir by American soldiers after they raided his property at the end of the war in the spring of 1945.

The Holocaust Education Trust expressed shock over the finding. "This story highlights Hitler's obsessive anti-Semitism and the chilling Nazi ambition to murder Jewish people wherever they were in the world," a representative for the trust told CNN.
"It reminds us of the need to remain resolute in standing up to anti-Semitism, defending historical truth and educating the next generation."

Steven Wilson, chief executive of the UK's United Synagogue, told CNN: "Last Sunday the British Jewish community carried out an extraordinary funeral as we buried the remains of six Holocaust victims murdered at Auschwitz. It was a stark reminder the Holocaust is not ancient history but still in living memory. This ... is a reminder of the continued importance of the fight against anti-Semitism ... and the ongoing importance of Holocaust education, particularly for younger generations."

The book will be stored in the Jacob M. Lowy Collection at Library and Archives Canada in Ottawa. Other libraries in North America to store books owned by Hitler include the Library of Congress and Brown University Library.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/25/americas ... index.html

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Longest shutdown over: Trump signs bill to reopen government

By JILL COLVIN, LISA MASCARO and ZEKE MILLER

35 minutes ago 1/25/19

WASHINGTON (AP) — Submitting to mounting pressure amid growing disruption, President Donald Trump signed a bill Friday to reopen the government for three weeks, backing down from his demand that Congress give him money for his border wall before federal agencies get back to work.

Standing alone in the Rose Garden, Trump said he would sign legislation funding shuttered agencies until Feb. 15 and try again to persuade lawmakers to finance his long-sought wall. The deal he reached with congressional leaders contains no new money for the wall but ends the longest shutdown in U.S. history.

First the Senate, then the House swiftly and unanimously approved the deal. Late Friday, Trump signed it into law. The administration asked federal department heads to reopen offices in a “prompt and orderly manner” and said furloughed employees can return to work.

Trump’s retreat came in the 35th day of the partial shutdown as intensifying delays at the nation’s airports and another missed payday for hundreds of thousands of federal workers brought new urgency to efforts to resolve the standoff.

“This was in no way a concession,” Trump said in a tweet late Friday, fending off critics who wanted him to keep fighting. “It was taking care of millions of people who were getting badly hurt by the Shutdown with the understanding that in 21 days, if no deal is done, it’s off to the races!”

The shutdown ended as Democratic leaders had insisted it must — reopen the government first, then talk border security.

“The president thought he could crack Democrats, and he didn’t, and I hope it’s a lesson for him,” said the Senate Democratic leader, Chuck Schumer. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said of her members: “Our unity is our power. And that is what maybe the president underestimated.”

Trump still made the case for a border wall and maintained he might again shut down the government over it. Yet, as negotiations restart, Trump enters them from a weakened position. A strong majority of Americans blamed him for the standoff and rejected his arguments for a border wall, recent polls show.

“If we don’t get a fair deal from Congress, the government will either shut down on Feb. 15, again, or I will use the powers afforded to me under the laws and Constitution of the United States to address this emergency,” Trump said.

The president has said he could declare a national emergency to fund the border wall unilaterally if Congress doesn’t provide the money. Such a move would almost certainly face legal hurdles.

As part of the deal with congressional leaders, a bipartisan committee of House and Senate lawmakers was being formed to consider border spending as part of the legislative process in the weeks ahead.

“They are willing to put partisanship aside, I think, and put the security of the American people first,” Trump said. He asserted that a “barrier or walls will be an important part of the solution.”

The deal includes back pay for some 800,000 federal workers who have gone without paychecks. The Trump administration promises to pay them as soon as possible.

Also expected is a new date for the president to deliver his State of the Union address, postponed during the shutdown. But it will not be Jan. 29 as once planned, according to a person familiar with the planning but unauthorized to discuss it.

As border talks resume, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said he hopes there will be “good-faith negotiations over the next three weeks to try to resolve our differences.”

Schumer said that while Democrats oppose the wall money, they agree on other ways to secure the border “and that bodes well for coming to an eventual agreement.”

In striking the accord, Trump risks backlash from conservatives who pushed him to keep fighting for the wall. Some lashed out Friday for his having yielded, for now, on his signature campaign promise.

Conservative commentator Ann Coulter suggested on Twitter that she views Trump as “the biggest wimp” to serve as president.

Money for the wall is not at all guaranteed, as Democrats have held united against building a structure as Trump once envisioned, preferring other types of border technology. Asked about Trump’s wall, Pelosi, who has said repeatedly she won’t approve money for it, said: “Have I not been clear? No, I have been very clear.”

Within the White House, there was broad recognition among Trump’s aides that the shutdown pressure was growing, and they couldn’t keep the standoff going indefinitely. The president’s approval numbers had suffered during the impasse. Overnight and Friday, several Republicans were calling on him openly, and in private, to reopen the government.

The breakthrough came as LaGuardia Airport in New York and Newark Liberty International Airport in New Jersey both experienced at least 90-minute delays in takeoffs Friday because of the shutdown. And the world’s busiest airport — Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport — was experiencing long security wait times, a warning sign the week before it expects 150,000 out-of-town visitors for the Super Bowl.

The standoff became so severe that, as the Senate opened with prayer, Chaplain Barry Black called on high powers in the “hour of national turmoil” to help senators do “what is right.”

Senators were talking with increased urgency after Thursday’s defeat of competing proposals from Trump and the Democrats. Bipartisan talks provided a glimmer of hope Friday that some agreement could be reached. But several senators said they didn’t know what to expect as they arrived to watch the president’s televised address from their lunchroom off the Senate floor.

The Senate first rejected a Republican plan Thursday reopening the government through September and giving Trump the $5.7 billion he’s demanded for building segments of that wall, a project that he’d long promised Mexico would finance. The 50-47 vote for the measure fell 10 shy of the 60 votes needed to succeed.

Minutes later, senators voted 52-44 for a Democratic alternative that sought to open padlocked agencies through Feb. 8 with no wall money. That was eight votes short. But it earned more support than Trump’s plan, even though Republicans control the chamber 53-47. It was aimed at giving bargainers time to seek an accord while getting paychecks to government workers who are either working without pay or being forced to stay home.

Contributing to the pressure on lawmakers to find a solution was the harsh reality confronting many of the federal workers, who on Friday faced a second two-week payday with no paychecks.

Throughout, the two sides issued mutually exclusive demands that have blocked negotiations from even starting: Trump had refused to reopen government until Congress gave him the wall money, and congressional Democrats had rejected bargaining until he reopened government.

https://www.apnews.com/30769167ab7a4ef9adf880d020b775dd

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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NO RUSH

Dithering GOP Stalls House’s New Trump-Russia Probe

Democrats now in control of the crucial intelligence committee want to get back to their Russia probe. It can’t happen until the Republicans formally join.


Spencer Ackerman 01.26.19 10:25 AM ET

The new leadership on the House intelligence committee is eager to revive the panel’s probe into the connections between Donald Trump’s camp and Russia, an urgency underscored by the latest indictment of a Trump associate accused of lying to its investigation. But three weeks into the Democratic-controlled Congress, House Republicans haven’t taken a critical step necessary for the committee to begin any work at all.

The House Republican leadership has yet to name the intelligence committee’s Republican membership for the new Congress, with the exception of retaining Devin Nunes as ranking Republican. Without doing so, the committee is stalled—no hearings, no internal business meetings. Democrats announced their membership roster on Jan. 16, adding Val Demings, Raja Krishnamoorthi, Sean Patrick Maloney, and Peter Welch to their ten extant members. (This Republican intransigence was first noted by The Rachel Maddow Show.)

It’s not clear what the holdup is. “That will be announced when it is ready,” said Matt Sparks, a spokesperson for House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who did not address the reasons for the delay. A representative for Nunes – who does not pick the membership – did not respond to Daily Beast inquiries.

Thus far, Democrats on the panel are not accusing the House GOP of deliberately dragging its feet on the committee appointments. Some Democrats are hopeful the GOP will name its roster by next week. But, a Democratic committee aide said, “There is an urgency in getting all of our transcripts to Mueller that we cannot ignore.”

Friday’s indictment of Trump adviser Roger Stone underscored both that urgency and the stakes of the holdup. Among the offenses Mueller accuses Stone of committing are obstruction and false statements arising from his September 2017 testimony to the House intelligence committee, then under GOP management. Stone is the second such person to be indicted related to lying to the committee’s Russia probe, after ex-Trump attorney Michael Cohen.

Committee Democrats suspect others of having lied or otherwise giving them misleading testimony. One, identified by Connecticut Democrat Jim Himes, is Erik Prince, the founder of mercenary company Blackwater. (Some on the panel want several witnesses back for additional testimony, including Donald Trump Jr., while stopping short of saying those others lied as well.)

Adam Schiff, the new Democratic chairman of the committee, has said for months that an early order of business for the panel is to provide Mueller with every transcript of every witness before its Russia inquiry, which may lead to additional indictments. That hasn’t happened yet – and, until the Republicans formally join the committee, it can’t. Schiff, in a Friday statement following Stone’s indictment, called the transcript provision “the first order of business” facing the panel – when it can get down to business, that is.

“We’re ready to get going,” Mike Quigley, an Illinois Democrat on the panel, told The Daily Beast. “We are hopeful those appointments will be made early next week, and as soon as they are, we will get to work.”


The Stone and Cohen indictments show that Mueller doesn’t need to have the transcripts in hand to determine if witnesses before the House committee uttered indictable falsehoods. But the transcripts are likely to aid Mueller, whom attorney general nominee William Barr said was in the terminal phase of a historic criminal probe surrounding the president.

Then there’s everything else the committee intends to do to restart its Russia investigation. Schiff is preparing the committee to look at money laundering related to Trump, and particularly at Trump’s ties to Deutsche Bank, which has a history of connections to laundering and which lent Trump money when other banks didn’t consider him creditworthy. Schiff is also seeking to subpoena documents and additional testimony from witnesses before the probe.

And that’s on top of everything the committee oversees: namely, the operations of the CIA, National Security Agency, and the rest of the sprawling U.S. intelligence apparatus.

All of that is in a holding pattern for now.

Democrats on the panel have spent two years seething at their GOP colleagues, formerly a majority, for obstructing the committee’s Russia investigation to protect Trump. Under Nunes, the committee declined to issue subpoenas, including for documents, communications records or other material that investigators typically require to vet witness testimony and assess its truthfulness.

Nunes turned the panel’s attention instead to scrutinizing the Justice Department and FBI officials investigating Trump, and subpoenaed them instead.
Quigley, last January, pointedly questioned Nunes about whether he or his staff were still working with the White House after the California Republican was caught working with White House staff to intimate the Obama administration had improperly surveilled Trump associates. “As far as I know, no,” Nunes replied at a Jan. 30 2018 hearing.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/dithering ... e?ref=home

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Why thousands of protesters — and Trump — are demanding Venezuela’s president step down

A once-unknown politician is now leading a massive anti-Maduro movement.


By Alex Ward@AlexWardVoxalex.ward@vox.com Jan 23, 2019, 1:20pm EST

A long-time dictator and international pariah maintains he won a widely disputed election to stay in power. A fresh-faced, low-profile opposition leader calls him a “usurper” and has incited large-scale protests to hasten his ouster. And the United States — knowing the growing tensions could lead to greater violence — stokes the roaring fire from afar.

That’s the situation in Venezuela, where thousands of demonstrators plan to fill the streets on Wednesday in an effort to depose President Nicolás Maduro, the socialist leader who has overseen one of the most devastating economic collapses in the world.

The rally is mostly in support of Juan Guaidó, the leader of the country’s opposition-controlled legislative body, who has asked anti-government Venezuelans to demonstrate against Maduro.

Guaidó, along with the Trump administration and a number of other international observers, asserts that Maduro isn’t the rightful president of the South American nation. They argue that last May’s presidential election was rigged so that the dictator could win a second six-year term.

Citing Venezuela’s constitution, Guaidó and others say the sham vote means that he, as the head of the National Assembly (the country’s legislative body), is the rightful — albeit temporary — leader of the country since there’s no legitimate president. Guaidó wants the military to back him and has called for the people to protest — on the 61st anniversary of when a military dictatorship fell in Venezuela, no less — to compel Maduro’s resignation.

Guaidó says he will start to assume the presidential role and that in the future will call for new elections. He doesn’t plan to hold on to the presidency indefinitely, he says.

There are good reasons why Guaidó and the anti-Maduro movement have found an audience. Millions have fled the country due to a crippling economic downturn. Inflation is through the roof. Hunger rates have skyrocketed. And diseases once thought eradicated from Venezuela have sparked a new health crisis. Unsurprisingly, all of this and more have made Maduro an unpopular leader.

The Trump administration, which often prefers to side with dictators around the world, has taken an unusually strong interest in the power struggle in Venezuela.

Senior administration officials including National Security Adviser John Bolton and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo have publicly stated that they want to see a new government in Venezuela and that the National Assembly is the country’s only democratically elected body.

On Tuesday, Vice President Mike Pence posted a video on Twitter in which he directly addresses the Venezuelan people. Speaking in English with Spanish subtitles, Pence declared that America offers its “unwavering support ... as you, the people of Venezuela, raise your voices in a call for freedom.”

Pence labels Maduro “a dictator with no legitimate claim to power,” calls the National Assembly “the last vestige of democracy” in the country, and says the US supports Guaidó’s “courageous decision” to call for Maduro to be removed from power and replaced by a transitional government.

That’s a powerful statement coming from the vice president of the United States. But Trump went one step further: on Wednesday afternoon, Trump himself put out a statement saying he recognizes Guaidó as Venezuela’s interim president.

“In its role as the only legitimate branch of government duly elected by the Venezuelan people, the National Assembly invoked the country’s constitution to declare Nicolas Maduro illegitimate, and the office of the presidency therefore vacant,” Trump said in a statement sent by the White House.

Wednesday’s demonstration, which has already led to at least four deaths, will represent the strongest pushback yet against Maduro’s unquenchable thirst for power by the citizens and officials he’s subjugated for years.

But experts caution that the odds of Maduro maintaining his grip on the country remain in the dictator’s favor, mainly because he still has a strong hold over the country’s major institutions.

“It’s most likely that Maduro will remain in power and that Venezuela will continue to worsen — remaining in its miserable, critical condition,” Ronal Rodriguez, an expert at the University of Rosario’s Venezuelan Observatory in Colombia, told me.

The protests were decades in the making

Protests have broken out throughout the country in recent years, and have picked up against in recent days. And just this week, nearly 30 Venezuelan soldiers supportive of Guaidó’s movement had their mutiny quickly thwarted. Those efforts have added to mounting unrest that in some instances set parts of the capital city of Caracas aflame.

But it’s worth pausing briefly to take a look at how the country reached this boiling point.

The roots of Wednesday’s demonstrations date back to when Hugo Chávez, the populist firebrand, took over as as president of Venezuela in 1999. He steadily pushed the country away from democracy and spearheaded the country’s experiment with socialism.

Chávez is a legendary figure in Venezuela who transformed the country’s political and economic landscape by nationalizing industries and funneling enormous amounts of government money into social programs. Under his rule, Venezuela’s unemployment rate halved, income per capita more than doubled, the poverty rate fell by more than half, education improved, and infant mortality rates declined.

And while he sparked ferocious opposition among the country’s elites and conservatives, (and from the United States), the country’s poor and working class loved him.

A massive oil boom in the early 2000s that brought roughly a trillion dollars into the country’s coffers — making Venezuela Latin America’s richest country — helped Chávez remain in power until his death in 2013.

It also gave him the space to flex his authoritarian muscles.

He stacked the country’s courts with political allies, passed laws restricting the ability of journalists to criticize the government, and consistently sought ways to remove checks on his power. However, even Chávez had his limits, and experts say he thought of the electoral system as a key way to make himself more effective as a leader.

Maduro, who was Chávez’s vice president and handpicked successor, reveres his former boss and has tried to emulate him ever since Chávez’s demise. The problem is that his attempt to recreate the Chávez era has failed spectacularly and led to a horrific economic, social, and political crisis of his own making.

When oil prices crashed in late 2014, Venezuela’s economy crashed with them. Neither Chávez nor Maduro had done anything to diversify the country’s ability to make money, instead relying almost exclusively on oil revenue to fund the state. So when oil prices suddenly took a nosedive, it helped trigger a crisis that saw the nation transform from a regional powerhouse into a failing — if not failed — state in a staggeringly short amount of time.

And Maduro has also mismanaged the country’s fiscal policy. As Venezuela expert Francisco Toro wrote for Vox in 2016:

---Venezuela has been running enormous, unmanageable GDP deficits of more than 10 percent for years, even back when oil prices were high. Needless to say, it didn’t bother to save when the takings were good, and so it now finds itself facing a kind of fiscal Armageddon.


The government is so broke it can no longer afford to fly in the planefuls of fast-depreciating bolivar bills (the Venezuelan currency) it gets printed abroad; in effect, the country doesn’t have the money to pay for its money.

Inflation now hovers above a million percent, and could reach 10 million percent this year. Food and medicine is too expensive for many to purchase. And since 2015, over 3 million Venezuelans have left the country in search of better opportunities elsewhere, primarily in Colombia. (It’s expected that another 2 million will become refugees in 2019 alone.)

As a result, Maduro has become deeply unpopular: His approval ratings have rarely topped 20 percent in recent years. And in December 2015, for the first time in two decades, Venezuelan voters gave opposition parties a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly. The hope was that those lawmakers would check Maduro’s power and perhaps work with him to put the country back on a better economic path.

That’s not what happened, though. Instead, Maduro fought back — and kicked off a series of events that led to his current predicament.

Maduro usurped power. Now he faces a major backlash.

The dictator and his allies made three stunning moves that demonstrate how much control he aimed to wrest for himself.

In October 2016, the country’s Supreme Court — which Maduro stacked with his cronies — removed the National Assembly’s authority to have any say over the economy.

Then, in March 2017, the judicial branch straight-up dissolved the National Assembly altogether. After an international outcry, the court reversed its decision, but it still greatly reduced lawmakers’ powers.

And just a few months later, in July 2017, Maduro moved to replace the National Assembly. His government held an election to create a new body that would have the authority to rewrite the country’s laws and constitution. The dictator’s allies won all 545 seats.

Venezuelans didn’t just sit back and let this happen without voicing their displeasure, though. They protested furiously in Caracas and throughout the country for years, clashing with Maduro’s security forces in skirmishes that led to hundreds of deaths.

Maduro, however, remained in power. He also called an election for early 2018 — a move that might seem positive at first glance, but in reality was a crafty power move intended to cement his authority even further.

As Toro explained in the Washington Post at the time, Maduro called for the early election while representatives for his government and the opposition were involved in negotiations — backed by international observers — aimed at hammering out new rules for holding freer and fairer elections.

“By announcing an election without an agreement, the regime signaled that this [wasn’t] going to happen,” Toro wrote at the time.

And, sure enough, Maduro banned two of the most popular opposition leaders, Leopoldo Lopez and Henrique Capriles, from running in the election — all but solidifying his victory. He won with 68 percent of the vote.

International organizations and many democratic countries in North and South America and Europe called the vote a sham, as did many Venezuelans. “Jesus Christ could be the candidate and Maduro would still prevail because the system is set up for him to win,” Carlos González, an anti-government activist, told the Guardian right after the vote.

That anger remained when Maduro was sworn into office two weeks ago. But it erupted in full force on January 15 when the National Assembly, headed by the 35-year-old Guaidó, called Maduro a “usurper” — stating that he was not the legitimate leader of Venezuela.

Guaidó: the unlikely resistance leader

Guaidó’s ascent is quite surprising, according to Ronal Rodriguez, the Venezuela expert in Colombia. Guaidó is not the most popular figure among the opposition — Rodriguez even said he’s seen as “third-rate” and “uncharismatic.” But pictures of him speaking to large crowds have made the industrial engineer seem like his country’s Barack Obama, Rodriguez explained, although he clearly lacks the former American president’s political skill.

But what’s made him so central to the current drama is that he claims he’s the rightful president of his country.

Guaidó cites Article 233 of Venezuela’s constitution, which basically says that if the president fails at his or her duties — or if there is an absence in leadership — the National Assembly’s chief will take temporary charge of the nation. Guaidó says he doesn’t have plans to hold onto the office permanently, but rather that he would use his authority to hold a new — and fair — elections while distributing humanitarian aid.

Maduro and his supporters, of course, scoff at Guaidó’s claims — both because Maduro won last year’s election, and because the lawmaker’s interpretation of the constitution is somewhat disputed.

Guaidó and other opposition politicians have cleverly turned this argument back around on Maduro’s government, using it to rally people to the anti-government cause by arguing the people’s will is what matters most in a democracy. At a January 11 speech in Caracas, Guaidó proclaimed: “Is it enough to lean on the constitution in a dictatorship? No. It needs to be the people, the military and the international community that lead us to take over.”

But although Guaidó has been able to rally support from everyday Venezuelas, US officials and experts tell me he’s unlikely to get the critical military support he needs to actually force Maduro from power.

The vast majority of Venezuela’s armed forces remain fiercely loyal to Maduro, officials and experts say. And on Monday, the military quickly put down an uprising from 27 anti-Maduro national guardsmen who seemingly aimed to foment the president’s ouster. While the small effort failed, it instigated protests near Maduro’s palace where, in one instance, security forces used tear gas on people who set trash on fire for a makeshift barricade.

In addition, many of Maduro’s loyalists are still in charge of the country’s most important institutions. As long as the leader still enjoys those safety blankets, he probably won’t cede or lose power.

The demonstrations may still have some effect on the country’s future, experts say. “The current protest could represent a new high water mark in terms of challenging both international and domestic perceptions of the government’s legitimacy,” Daniel Erikson, a Latin America adviser in the White House from 2015 to 2017, told me.

One country the protesters don’t have to convince of Maduro’s legitimacy deficit, though, is the United States.

The Trump administration has been anti-Maduro from the start

In August 2017, Trump told reporters at his golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey, that he was considering a “military option” for Venezuela to overthrow Maduro.

His comments, which came seemingly out of the blue, shocked pretty much everyone — not least Maduro’s government. The Trump administration also held secret meetings with rebel Venezuelan officers throughout 2018 in which they discussed plans for a potential coup, according to the New York Times.

As of now, though, there is no indication that the US is actively considering militarily intervening in the country — partly because Venezuelan opposition figures and other Latin American leaders have said they’re opposed to such a move. But even a vague threat of that happening, especially when paired with other actions the Trump administration has taken, puts serious pressure on Maduro’s government.

Since May 2017, the Trump administration has placed ever-increasing sanctions on the Maduro regime, citing issues like corruption and undemocratic practices. The financial penalties mainly target government officials in Maduro’s inner circle, and even the dictator’s wife. Experts say that while those measures do hurt the government, they also hurt the people of Venezuela, who are already suffering from the crippling economic and health crisis.

National Security Adviser John Bolton has said that the squeeze will continue until Maduro changes his ways. In a November 2018 speech that named Venezuela as part of a “troika of tyranny” along with Cuba and Nicaragua, Bolton said Maduro had to release the country’s roughly 340 political prisoners, allow for humanitarian aid to reach those in need, hold free elections, and champion the rule of law and democratic institutions before he could expect any relief.

The US even considered labeling Venezuela as a state sponsor of terrorism. The country does have ties to the Lebanese terrorist group Hezbollah and the National Liberation Army (ELN), a Marxist guerrilla group in Colombia, but it’s not known to export terrorism purposefully around the world in the same way that, for example, Iran does.

Yet despite mounting pressure, Maduro has shown no signs of giving in to America’s demands. In fact, he says the US is orchestrating a coup against him, which has led him to “revisit” his country’s diplomatic ties with the US. That doesn’t bother the Trump administration, which still actively speaks out against the regime while supporting Guaidó.

In a Tuesday Wall Street Journal op-ed released just ahead of the protests, Pence called the National Assembly leader “courageous” for speaking out. The vice president also said the situation in Venezuela is a matter of US national security because the crisis exacerbates human trafficking, international crime, and the export of drugs, weapons, and terrorism.

“For the sake of our vital interests, and for the sake of the Venezuelan people, the US will not stand by as Venezuela crumbles,” Pence wrote.

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) has been among the most vocal advocating for the US to recognize Guaidó, which Trump did on Wednesday.

“As the people of Venezuela stand in support of their country’s Provisional President Juan Guaidó and their right to self-determination, I applaud their courage in rising-up against Nicolás Maduro’s narco-terrorist tyranny,” Rubio told me. “The world supports [their] fight for freedom and democracy.”

On the one hand, the US so forcefully speaking out against an odious regime is a good thing. America traditionally stands and fights for democracy around the world, at least in theory, and Maduro is clearly no democratic champion.

On the other hand, such an avid push could be dangerous. Protesters may now understandably believe that the US government — and perhaps even the US military — has their backs. That could lead demonstrators to take risks they otherwise might not, hoping America will somehow come to their aid. Unless the Trump administration somehow plans to directly intervene in Venezuela, though, that’s unlikely.

Which means that while Maduro may personally lose prestige after Wednesday’s demonstrations, he’ll still have the power to imperil his country even further.

“Venezuela’s long and painful political stress test still has no clear end in sight,” Erikson, the former White House adviser on Latin America, told me.

https://www.vox.com/world/2019/1/23/181 ... p-23-enero

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What Is Happening in Venezuela?

How It Got Here and Why It Matters


Megan Specia Jan. 24, 2019

Just two weeks after President Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela was sworn in for a second term, an opposition leader, Juan Guaidó, declared himself the interim president, directly challenging the country’s leadership.

Tens of thousands of protesters rallied across the country on Wednesday in support of Mr. Guaidó, and the United States, Canada and many Latin American countries quickly recognized him as the legitimate head of state.

Mr. Maduro, in return, severed remaining diplomatic ties with the United States and ordered its embassy personnel out of the country within 72 hours, a deadline the Americans said they would ignore.

“I am the only president of Venezuela,” Mr. Maduro told the country, speaking from the balcony of the presidential palace on Wednesday. “We do not want to return to the 20th century of gringo interventions and coups d’état.”

Here is how Venezuela arrived at this moment.

How has Nicolás Maduro held on to power?

Mr. Maduro, who assumed the presidency after the death of his mentor, Hugo Chávez, in 2013, has overseen a drastic unraveling of the economy in Venezuela — once one of the region’s most prosperous countries — largely as a result of mismanagement and corruption.

But he has centralized power in the executive branch, tamping down on dissent through violence and intimidation, and winning the loyalty of the military by giving it control of lucrative industries.

In 2017, as protests mounted, Mr. Maduro sidelined the opposition-controlled legislature, the National Assembly, by ordering the creation of a new legislative body, known as the Constituent Assembly, which was asked to rewrite the Constitution. He jailed prominent members of the opposition, leaving it largely ineffective for many months.

In May 2018, Mr. Maduro won re-election to a new six-year term in the midst of a financial and humanitarian crisis. Coercion and vote rigging were widely reported. By the time of his inauguration on Jan. 10, many countries did not recognize his new term as legitimate, including the United States, Canada and a dozen Latin American nations.

Who is Juan Guaidó?

Mr. Guaidó, 35, was largely unknown before being elected president of the National Assembly this month. He also leads of one of the country’s opposition parties, Voluntad Popular.

He has long been a critic of Mr. Maduro and Mr. Chávez, becoming politically active as a student leader in Caracas and leading protests against Mr. Chávez’s clampdown on press freedom.

His party has taken a hard-line stance against Mr. Maduro’s government, organizing street protests and rallies. Leopoldo López, the former leader of the party and one of Mr. Guaidó’s mentors, was sentenced to more than 13 years in prison after leading street protests in 2014 that challenged Mr. Maduro.

Mr. Guaidó, who declared his intention to have Mr. Maduro removed from power just days after the inauguration, was briefly detained by security forces earlier this month.

He says his intention now is to serve as the interim president of the country until new national elections can be held, a right he and the National Assembly assert is protected under Venezuela’s constitution. Mr. Guaidó has not yet said when elections might be held.

What about the country’s humanitarian crisis?

Consumer prices have skyrocketed, and the International Monetary Fund expects the inflation rate to reach 10 million percent in 2019, which would be one of the worst cases of hyperinflation in modern history.

Violence and hunger are widespread. Food shortages have reached new highs in recent months, and 80 percent of Venezuelan households don’t have sufficient access to food, according to monitoring groups. Grocery store shelves are bare. Hospitals struggle to treat severely malnourished children.

The country’s public health system has collapsed, leaving many without access to lifesaving medicine. The rates of several preventable diseases have risen.

The migration of Venezuelans out of the country has reached levels not seen before in modern history. More than three million people have left since 2014, according to the United Nations migration agency, setting off a regional crisis that has left neighboring countries grappling with how to respond.

What happens next?

It is unclear how the crisis will be resolved, with two men on opposite sides of the political spectrum proclaiming themselves president. Mr. Guaidó has cited an article of Venezuela’s Constitution that transfers power to the leader of the National Assembly in the event that the presidency becomes vacant.

President Trump issued a statement, minutes after Mr. Guaidó declared himself interim president, recognizing him as the country’s leader and calling the National Assembly the “only legitimate branch of government duly elected by the Venezuelan people.” The United States has not ruled out the use of military force.

Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Denmark, Paraguay, Peru and the Organization of American States have also recognized Mr. Guaidó as the country’s leader.

Mr. Maduro moved quickly on Wednesday to cut diplomatic ties with the United States and order American diplomats to leave the country. He accused the Trump administration of orchestrating a plot to overthrow him.

Other nations have stood by Mr. Maduro. Russia reiterated its support for his government on Wednesday, as did Bolivia.

The Venezuelan leadership may hinge on whether Mr. Maduro can maintain control over the military. As of now, the military has pledged its allegiance to Mr. Maduro, with the ministry of defense releasing a statement on Thursday that it remained loyal to him. The opposition had hoped that the turnout on Wednesday would persuade the military to eventually break ranks.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/24/worl ... aduro.html

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Venezuela is in a major political crisis.

Here are 5 scenarios for what could happen next.

One of them could spark a civil war.


By Alex Ward@AlexWardVoxalex.ward@vox.com Jan 25, 2019, 1:10pm EST

President Donald Trump’s decision to weigh in on the political crisis currently rocking Venezuela has thrust the country into a greater tailspin — and could possibly set the stage for a future war.

The country is currently in the midst of a potentially explosive political standoff between two men who both claim to be the legitimate president of Venezuela: Nicolás Maduro, who was reelected president in May 2018, and opposition leader Juan Guaidó.

Guaidó claims the 2018 election was rigged and that he, as the head of the National Assembly (the country’s legislative body), is now the rightful president according to the country’s constitution.

On Wednesday, Trump waded in, officially recognizing Guaidó as Venezuela’s interim president and called Maduro’s claim to the presidency “illegitimate.” But Maduro has responded with defiance, and has so far shown no sign of stepping down.

The question now is what happens next. After speaking with US officials and experts, the unsettling answer is that no one truly knows. But Ronal Rodriguez, an expert at the University of Rosario’s Venezuelan Observatory in Colombia, laid out five possible scenarios.

The most probable one at the moment is that the push to depose Maduro fails, and he maintains power while plunging Venezuela into a greater economic and health crisis. The least likely outcome is that a foreign military invasion to remove Maduro sparks a civil war that could kill thousands and turn the already struggling nation into a failed state.

Here are five possible future scenarios, ranked in order of most to least likely to happen.

Scenario 1: Maduro stays in power

Despite the chaos of the past few days, Maduro is probably going to stay right where he is.

Here’s why: The leadership of Venezuela’s armed forces remain fiercely loyal to Maduro, officials and experts say. On Monday, for example, the military quickly put down an uprising from 27 anti-Maduro national guard members who seemingly aimed to foment the president’s ouster. Plus, Maduro loyalists control many of the country’s other important institutions, like the supreme court.

So Maduro has no incentive to step down, even though thousands throughout Venezuela rallied against him — and in support of Guaidó — on Wednesday. He’s already said he won’t leave, and has even started to fight back.

On Wednesday, just hours after Trump’s decision, Maduro severed all diplomatic ties with Washington and gave American diplomats 72 hours to leave Venezuela. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo fired back, saying that the US won’t abide by Maduro’s order because the administration doesn’t see him as the country’s president anymore.

Still, Maduro will likely stay in power. That’s bad news for many people in Venezuela — huge swaths of the population live in poverty because of the socialist dictator’s economic mismanagement.

Inflation in the country now hovers above a million percent, and could reach 10 million percent this year, according to the International Monetary Fund. Food and medicine are too expensive for many to purchase. And since 2015, more than 3 million Venezuelans have left the country in search of better opportunities elsewhere, primarily in Colombia. (It’s expected that another 2 million will become refugees in 2019 alone.)

The political pressure on Maduro would certainly weaken him, and the economic pressure will complicate any attempt he may make to improve his country’s economic situation. The US, for example, has considered imposing an oil embargo on Venezuela. That threatens to drop Maduro’s approval rating lower than 20 percent, which it has remained close to in recent years.

The reality, then, is that the most likely result of the current anti-Maduro push is that he remains the country’s leader, albeit a badly bruised one.

Scenario 2: Maduro steps down,

But his political ideology and catastrophic economic policies continue
Maduro could renounce the presidency if he’s able to choose a new leader who subscribes to the same political ideology he does.

He is a chavista, someone who believes former President Hugo Chávez’s brand of populist, authoritarian socialism is the best way to govern.

Chávez is a legendary figure in Venezuela who transformed the country’s political and economic landscape by nationalizing industries and funneling enormous amounts of government money into social programs.

Under his rule, Venezuela’s unemployment rate decreased by nearly 50 percent, income per capita more than doubled, the poverty rate fell by more than half, education improved, and infant mortality rates declined.

But he also stacked the country’s courts with political allies, passed laws restricting the ability of journalists to criticize the government, and consistently sought ways to remove checks on his power.

Maduro tried to follow Chávez’s playbook, but the results were ruinous for the country. Oil prices crashed in late 2014, and the economy crashed with it. And after political opponents took control of the National Assembly in December 15, he tried to dissolve it while placing his cronies in the Supreme Court and elsewhere. What Venezuela got was an increasingly authoritarian leader overseeing a crumbling economy.

Now, roughly 80 percent of the country — and thousands on the streets — oppose him. That may compel leaders of Maduro’s socialist party to ask him to step aside and see if another chavista can do better as president. There are at least four people, including a governor and a mayor, waiting in the wings for their moment. This may be it.

If this scenario plays out, it means Venezuela’s future will look fairly similar to if Maduro remains in office. Basically: new face, same government.

Scenario 3: the opposition takes over

The mounting domestic and international pressure may ultimately prove too much for Maduro, forcing him to cut a deal with the opposition and step aside.

It’s unclear what that deal might look like. One possibility is Maduro agrees to remain in power until a fair election is held and then departs so the winner can take over. Another is Maduro willingly hands the country over to Guaidó as a caretaker while he calls for new elections.

Late on Thursday, Guaidó told Univision that he might consider offering Maduro amnesty if he willingly leaves office. “In transitional periods, we’ve seen similar things happening,” he said. “We can’t discard any element. We have to be firm, to get humanitarian assistance. Our priority is our people.”

The hope is that a new leader, presumably not from Maduro’s socialist party, would steer the country back toward a democracy. But even this rosy outcome has its challenges.

That’s because some of Maduro policies remain popular, particularly his party’s emphasis on spending large amounts of state revenue on funding social programs such as free medical care and affordable food. And a new leader would almost certainly have to make tough choices — including cutting funding for some of those programs — to end Venezuela’s economic collapse.

That could lead citizens to bristle, and possibly push out, the new leader in a short amount of time. In other words, the person who replaces Maduro with sincere hopes of fixing Venezuela will have a very tough job — and may not be very popular for doing it.

Scenario 4: Venezuela’s military takes over

Venezuela’s military is one of the most — if not the most — powerful institution in the country. The military’s leadership backs Maduro’s claim to power. But if the political crisis worsens, the military could eventually decide it’s time to defect and choose to take matters into its own hands by deposing Maduro itself.

There’s a chance that military leaders would call for free and fair elections and then step aside for the winner.

But history suggests otherwise. Many fear that this scenario could bring back the horrifying days of military dictatorship in Venezuela (and South America in general). From 1948 to 1958, military leaders — especially Gen. Marcos Pérez Jiménez — oversaw the torture, political imprisonment, and murder of opponents. Corruption was also rampant, as funding for education and health was diverted to line the pockets of the elites.

The worry is that a military ruler — probably a senior officer, like a general — as in years past would sacrifice democratic accountability in the name of social stability.

That would likely mean a repressive society with fewer personal freedoms, and likely a high number of political prisoners. (Although, to be fair, that doesn’t seem so different from how Maduro runs his country now.)

A military dictatorship in Venezuela would also be quite the ironic outcome. Anti-Maduro protesters rallied on January 23 for a specific reason: It was the 61st anniversary of when a military dictatorship fell in the country.

Again, though, this scenario is pretty unlikely. On Thursday, Venezuela’s military leadership said they stood firmly behind Maduro and would oppose any coup attempt against him. So if Maduro goes, it probably won’t be because the military took over. But stranger things have happened.

Scenario 5: a foreign military invasion topples Maduro —and possibly sparks a civil war

In August 2017, Trump publicly floated the possibility of using some unspecified “military option” to oust Maduro and to address Venezuela’s political and economic misfortune. And according to multiple reports, Trump discussed taking possible military action against the country with several of his aides around that time as well.

Trump’s advisers, particularly then-National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster, evidently convinced the president not to pursue that course of action.

But that was then. Today, the situation in Venezuela is very different: There is a clear opposition leader claiming the mantle of legitimacy who seems to have the support of a substantial portion of the Venezuelan people, and whom the US has publicly declared the true leader of the country.

On top of that, the advisers who steered Trump away from a “military option” last time around aren’t the same advisers he has now. McMaster and then-Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis are gone, and the far more hawkish John Bolton is now the national security adviser.

Citing Venezuela in a speech last November, Bolton said, “Under President Trump, the United States is taking direct action ... to defend the rule of law, liberty, and basic human decency in our region.” It’s therefore possible that he is much more open to US military intervention than McMaster was.

So there’s a chance (though not a big one) that Trump could choose to invade Venezuela — or, at least, support regional countries that might want to forcibly get rid of Maduro using their own militaries. So far, there doesn’t seem much appetite for that — on Thursday, for example, Brazilian generals told BuzzFeed News that they ruled out a military option.

Such an invasion, to be clear, would almost certainly be deadly, costly, and long-lasting, and could very easily plunge the country into a full-blown civil war.

And in a scenario like this, Maduro’s military would likely come to his defense. He’s already rallying his troops in case Trump launches an invasion. “You cannot lower your guard for even a second, because we will defend the greatest right our homeland has had in all of its history, which is to live in peace,” Maduro said last July.

Some might break off and join the invading forces, but either way, weeks or even months of brutal fighting would certainly follow, potentially leaving hundreds or thousands dead and cities ruined.

But Rodriguez and US officials warn it could get even worse: If Maduro were eventually deposed, the power struggle over who should succeed him could pit multiple factions in the country against each other, fueling a civil war. With no clear winner likely to emerge quickly, those factions could start to control and govern their own separate territories of Venezuela.

In effect, Venezuela as we know it could cease to exist and become more of a failed state than it is today. That’s obviously a worst-case scenario, but it’s not outside the realm of possibility. Similar situations have unfolded in other countries, including in Libya and Syria.

Thankfully, a military invasion — by either the US or another country — seems to be the least likely scenario right now. Venezuelan opposition figures and many Latin American leaders have said they’re opposed to such a move. And Trump, despite his public statement in 2017 about a possible “military option” and a 2018 comment about how Maduro could be “toppled very quickly” by a military coup, has otherwise been very clear and consistent about his desire to keep the US out of foreign wars.

One former top US military official I spoke to this week also said a US invasion wouldn’t be a good idea. Air Force Gen. Douglas Fraser, who led US Southern Command from June 2009 to November 2012, told me he doesn’t “see a good reason” for the US military “to be employed in this situation.”

But Trump says he hasn’t completely ruled out the possibility. When asked by reporters Thursday if a military option was still on the table, the president said, “We’re not considering anything, but all options are on the table.”

https://www.vox.com/world/2019/1/25/181 ... war-future

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WORLD

RUSSIAN SECRET MILITARY MERCENARIES DEPLOYED TO VENEZUELA TO PROTECT MADURO FROM COUP, CAPTURE: REPORT


BY CRISTINA MAZA ON 1/25/19 AT 4:25 PM

As Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro faces the biggest challenge to his rule since coming to power in 2013, Russia has quite literally come to the strongman leader’s defense.

On Friday, Reuters reported that Kremlin-linked military contractors from the Wagner group had traveled to Venezuela in the past several days to provide security for Maduro. At least one source told Reuters that there were around 400 Russian military contractors in the country.

After the head of Venezuela’s National Assembly, Juan Guaido, declared himself president of Venezuela on Wednesday, Russian officials have offered their full-throated support for the embattled Maduro. President Donald Trump and other leaders from the European Union and Canada, however, have recognized Guaido as Venezuela’s interim president and have backed the position of Venezuelan opposition leaders who say Maduro’s presidency is illegitimate.

Maduro’s approval rating is currently hovering at around 20 percent, but experts say Russia is unlikely to give up its support for Maduro even if he faces widespread opposition at home. Moscow has continued to support Maduro even as he oversaw a severe economic decline that provoked a humanitarian and regional refugee crisis.

“As the financial situation of the Venezuelan government became precarious due to a lack of oil profits, the Venezuelan leaders have been forced to look to other countries to bring in hard currency, and Russia has been all too eager to support a regime in Caracas that is anti-United States and has taken a number of actions to threaten the interests of not just the U.S. but other countries in the region,” Jason Marczak, director of the Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center at the Washington, D.C.-based Atlantic Council, told Newsweek.

“Russia has gained a strong ally in the Americas as Russia looks to counter the U.S. Also Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves, so Rosneft has acquired access to oil fields in Venezuela, and Russia supplies arms to Maduro and the military,” Marczak added.

Russia has also helped Venezuela develop a cryptocurrency to avoid U.S. sanctions. Maduro announced in February last year that Venezuela would launch an online currency called the petro, which would be backed by the value of one barrel of oil. The move mimicked Moscow’s attempt to launch its own digital currency to avoid U.S. sanctions. The petro was widely deemed a desperate and risky attempt to attract foreign currency to the cash-strapped country.

Meanwhile, other Russia-aligned countries such as China and Turkey have also thrown their weight behind Maduro. Researchers at the Atlantic Council who track disinformation online noted that some of the most prominent pro-Maduro Twitter hashtags originated out of Turkey.

The Russian military contractor group Wagner is a secretive organization headed by a Russian lieutenant named Dmitri Utkin who is a member of the Russian military intelligence the GRU. The group has been linked to the death of three Russian journalists who were producing a documentary about Wagner’s work in the Central African Republic.

Aside from its incursions into Africa, Wagner is also present in Syria and Ukraine. Russian media claims that Wagner is coordinated by Yevgeniy Prigozhin, a man who has been nicknamed “Putin’s chef.” Prigozhin allegedly ordered the Russian mercenaries to attack U.S. troops in Syria in February 2018.

Special counsel Robert Mueller indicted Prigozhin, alleging that his St. Petersburg-based troll farm the Internet Research Agency played a major role in Russia’s efforts to influence the 2016 presidential election. Both Prigozhin and Utkin are also subject to U.S. sanctions.


[ SO ! WHY WAS TRUMP, MNUCHIN, AND THE REPUBLICAN RUN SENATE SO EAGER TO LIFT SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA ???? ]

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-milita ... up-1306071

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STOP HITTING YOURSELF

Pelosi Embraces Legislation To Effectively Prevent Future Government Shutdowns

And she isn’t the only one to do so after the just-completed 35-day shit show.


Sam Stein01.25.19 9:07 PM ET

With America’s longest shutdown ending on Friday, lawmakers are turning their attention to another dramatic political objective: making sure such episodes can never take place again.

In a briefing with reporters and columnists on Friday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) became the highest official yet to formally embrace legislation that would effectively prevent the government from closing. And she hinted that she may even push a proposal in the near future.

“[Former Rep. Dale Kildee (D-MI)] had a bill that I’m hoping we might be able to put forward,” Pelosi explained. “And what that bill said is that if you do not, on any appropriations bill, I’m not talking about the omnibus or minibus”—aggregate spending bills— “any appropriations bill that does not get agreed upon within a timely fashion by the date, you automatically go into a CR” — a resolution to keep current spending levels going— “until you do.”

Were Pelosi the lone figure to embrace such a concept, the chances of it actually materializing into law would be slim. And they may well be. But in the wake of the just-completed shutdown over border wall funding, top Republicans have joined the chorus seeking to pass legislation that would prevent shutdowns from ever happening.

Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA), the president pro tempore of the Senate, put out a statement on Friday that included this conspicuous request about the government funding bill that Congress now must reach in three weeks, when the current deal expires: “The final package should also end government shutdowns once and for all.”

And in the halls of Congress following the announcement of a resolution to the current standoff, longtime Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-TN), who is retiring from office, said “that government shutdowns should be in budget negotiations what chemical weapons are to real warfare…. completely off limits.”

That so many veteran lawmakers feel so strongly about prohibiting government shutdowns speaks, in part, to the growing harm those shutdowns are inflicting. Since 1976, the government has experienced 22 lapses in funding, ten of which resulted in federal workers being furloughed. But three longest of those furloughs have all taken place since 1995: including a 16 day impasse in 2013 and the just ended 35 day one.

But as with much in federal politics today, while lawmakers broadly agee on the concept that government shutdowns should never be allowed to happen, they disagree about the means of getting there. Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) in a statement released on Friday, said that Congress should pursue “a new bipartisan rule” guaranteeing no shutdown happen again. Others, by contrast, want formal legislation. But there’s no consensus about the legislation that they want.

Senator Rob Portman (R-OH), along with numerous Senate Republicans, has introduced the End Government Shutdowns Act, under which current spending levels would simply continue if no agreement was reached on new government funding legislation. But under his bill, that level of spending would be reduced by one percent if the disagreement persisted past 120 days and another one percent every 90 days thereafter. Unsatisfied with the swiftness in that bill’s automatic spending cuts, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) introduced one of his own, making the spending reductions come in even quicker.

The concept Pelosi endorsed, by contrast, would not include those automatic reductions. It would keep spending levels as is.

And then there’s the “Stop Stupidity (Shutdowns Transferring Unnecessary Pain and Inflicting Damage In The Coming Years) Act.” The mangled-acronym inspired bill was introduced this week by Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA). It takes the keep-things-level-approach and offers a twist. In lieu of a failure by lawmakers to reach a spending deal, the current funding levels of the government would automatically continue — except for those monies meant to pay members of the legislative branch and the office of the president.

“We ought to never do this again,” Warner offered on Friday. “And if we can’t come to an agreement moving forward on an item, the people who ought to pay the price are not the 800,000 federal workers or the contractors, but the only entities that ought to be completely defunded are congress and the office of the president.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/pelosi-em ... s?ref=home

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GOING UP THE RIVER

No Escape for Roger Stone: Mueller’s Case Is a Slam Dunk and He’s Too Slimy to Get Flipped

Prosecutor who helped convict Dick Cheney aide Scooter Libby for lying and obstruction says the case against Trump’s old pal is virtually perfect.


Peter Zeidenberg

01.26.19 8:57 PM ET

The long-anticipated indictment of Roger Stone finally dropped on Friday, and it landed on Stone like the proverbial ton of bricks. As someone who prosecuted Scooter Libby and others on similar charges and defended white-collar cases involving similar charges as those alleged here—false statements, obstruction of justice and witness tampering—my takeaway is that Stone should begin getting his affairs in order. Barring a presidential pardon (always the wild-card possibility with a POTUS like Trump) Stone will be convicted and receive a very substantial prison sentence. This is as close to a slam-dunk case as a prosecutor will ever bring.

There are several types of defenses that are typically employed when defending a case like this, and none of them are viable here.

“I didn’t actually say what the government alleges I said/the government didn’t understand what I said.”

This defense can often work when the false statements are based on an interview conducted by field agents who simply take notes of the interview and do not record it. In these instances, defendants can plausibly argue that either they did not understand the agents’ questions, or the agents either did not understand or did not memorialize their response accurately. Any ambiguity in the question or the answer can be exploited. But that won’t work for Stone, because the entire Congressional hearing was transcribed, verbatim. The questions, and the answers, were under oath and were not at all ambiguous or open to interpretation.

“You can’t prove that my answer was false.”

In other words, cast doubt about the government’s version of what it alleges is the truth. Typically, this can be done by attacking the credibility of the government’s witnesses who are called to establish what the government contends actually happened. So, for example, if the government were reliant on Randy Credico or Jerome Corsi to tell the jury the “truth,” then Stone’s counsel could attack their credibility. Even the most straight-arrow witnesses can get tripped up on cross-examination on occasion. (If you doubt this, just dig up the descriptions of how Tim Russert, perhaps America’s most trusted journalist at the time, was tied up in knots on cross-examination when he testified in the Libby trial. Not pretty.)

Unfortunately for Stone, and what makes fighting this case futile, is that the government will not need to rely on the credibility of any individuals to make its case. The email and text evidence laid out in excruciating detail in the indictment is not open to interpretation. Just one example: on the very day that Stone testified that he had never sent or received emails or text messages from Credico, the two men had exchanged more than 30 text messages. Good luck spinning that.

And if that were not enough—and believe me, it is—the case will be tried in D.C. There is a facile critique that liberals are soft on crime. That can be true where the defendants are perceived to be from a disadvantaged minority. But have pity on an arrogant, white-collar defendant who is in cahoots with a despised Republican president; you will witness righteous fury. The venire in D.C. reviles Trump, and they will find Stone loathsome. The only contentiousness will be during jury selection, as the potential jurors all fight to be chosen so they can “do justice.”

Finally, do not expect to see special counsel Robert Mueller make any attempt to flip Stone and have him cooperate. A defendant like Stone is far more trouble than he is worth to a prosecutor. Stone is too untrustworthy for a prosecutor to ever rely upon. He has told so many documented lies, and bragged so often about his dirty tricks, that he simply has too much baggage to deal with even if here to want to cooperate—which seems unlikely in any event. Mueller, I suspect, would not even be willing to engage in a preliminary debrief with Stone to just test the possibility of cooperation out of concern that Stone would immediately go on television with his pals at Fox News to decry Mueller’s Gestapo tactics.

In short, Mueller does not need Stone to get to someone else and, even if he did, he could not rely on whatever Stone told him. Stone has nothing to sell that Mueller would be interested in buying.

Stone is clearly enjoying being in the spotlight now. He should enjoy it while he can. His remaining years won’t be nearly as pleasant.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/no-escape ... d?ref=home

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US economy lost at least $6 billion during shutdown, S&P says

BY MORGAN GSTALTER - 01/26/19 09:24 AM EST

The U.S. economy lost at least $6 billion during the record-long partial government shutdown, S&P Global Ratings said Friday.

The economic hit stems from a loss of productivity and and economic activity lost to outside business during the shutdown, which ended on its 35th day on Friday, Reuters reported.

Nearly 800,000 federal employees were furloughed or working without pay during the shutdown.

The shutdown, the longest in U.S. history, started on Dec. 22 over President Trump’s demand for $5.7 billion in funding for his long-desired wall along the U.S.-Mexico border.

Trump signed a three-week funding bill on Friday night, formally ending the shutdown without securing money for a border wall.

Trump warned that if he cannot get a “fair deal” when the stopgap bill runs out, the government may shut down again. The president suggested he may also declare a national emergency to bypass Congress to build his wall, a move which would likely trigger legal challenges.

“Although this shutdown has ended, little agreement on Capitol Hill will likely weigh on business confidence and financial market sentiments,” S&P said in a news release.

Trump’s top economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, said earlier this week that he didn’t expect the shutdown to do lasting damage to the U.S. economy.

“When the government reopens — and I'm not here to negotiate; I’m not going to make a prediction, that's up to the president — you will see an immediate snapback,” Kudlow told reporters.

Kudlow faced backlash during the shutdown when he said that thousands of federal employees were “volunteering” to work due to their “allegiance to President Trump.”

"They honor us and they do it because of their love for their country and the office of the presidency and presumably their allegiance to President Trump," Kudlow said. “They’re doing it. Give them some credit. There are a lot of wonderful people in this country."

Hundreds of thousands of federal employees who missed two paychecks during the shutdown could receive back pay within days, depending on how quickly their respective agencies can organize payrolls.

https://thehill.com/homenews/administra ... wn-sp-says

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Several undocumented workers fired from Trump golf course: report

BY TAL AXELROD - 01/26/19 04:20 PM EST

About a dozen employees were reportedly abruptly fired last week from Trump National Golf Club in Westchester County, New York, because they were found to be in the country illegally.

The firings, which were reported Saturday by The Washington Post, follow revelations last year that undocumented immigrants were hired and subsequently fired at a Trump property in New Jersey.

The workers in New York were told that the Trump company had recently audited their immigration documents, which were found to be fake, the Post reported. Those documents had been submitted years prior to their firing.

“Unfortunately, this means the club must end its employment relationship with you today,” a Trump executive told the employees, according to a recording one worker gave to the Post.

“I started to cry,” Gabriel Sedano, a former maintenance worker from Mexico, told the newspaper. “I told them they needed to consider us. I had worked almost 15 years for them in this club, and I’d given the best of myself to this job.”

Eric Trump, who along with President Trump's other adult son Donald Trump Jr. has managed the president's business empire since he entered office, told the Post that the Trump Organization is seeking to fire anyone who has submitted false hiring paperwork.

“We are making a broad effort to identify any employee who has given false and fraudulent documents to unlawfully gain employment. Where identified, any individual will be terminated immediately,” Eric Trump said in an email to the Post.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment from The Hill.

The news comes as President Trump has adopted several hard-line stances on immigration and asylum, maintaining pressure on Congress to appropriate the funds necessary to build a border wall. He has also denounced illegal immigration as harmful to American workers.

“On immigration policy, ‘America First’ means protecting the jobs, wages and security of American workers, whether first or 10th generation,” Trump said in 2016. “No matter who you are, we’re going to protect your job because, let me tell you, our jobs are being stripped from our country like we’re babies.”

Anibal Romero, who is representing the workers fired from the New York and New Jersey clubs, asserted that the Trump Organization has shown “a pattern and practice of hiring undocumented immigrants, not only in New Jersey, but also in New York.”

“We are demanding a full and thorough investigation from federal authorities," Romero told the Post.

A former manager of the New York property also argued that the Trump Organization placed a higher emphasis on hiring cheap labor rather than checking for immigration status.

“It didn’t matter. They didn’t care [about immigration status],’” the former manager told the Post. “It was, ‘Get the cheapest labor possible.’ ”

https://thehill.com/homenews/news/42711 ... rse-report

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WHITE HOUSE

Trump White House stonewalls as Puerto Rico aid runs dry

The president's theories about how the storm-wracked island is using disaster relief money could have dire consequences for its residents
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By DAVID ROGERS 01/26/2019 06:43 AM EST

Call it Donald Trump’s second wall, only this time the president’s target is not migrants coming north but dollars going south to help storm-tossed Puerto Rico.

Additional food aid for the island’s poor will soon be exhausted without supplemental funds opposed by the White House. At the same time, billions in community development appropriations have yet to leave Washington — a year after being approved by Congress to assist in the recovery from Hurricanes Maria and Irma.

Next to the government shutdown and bitter fight over immigration policy, Puerto Rico’s plight remains an afterthought to many in Washington. But the big common denominator is Trump’s high profile and the fact that low-income, often Hispanic or Latino families are feeling the crunch — even as U.S. citizens.

Republicans wince; Democrats seethe.

“The territories have long been treated badly, like they’re not part of the American family,” said Rep. Jose Serrano (D-N.Y.), who was born in Puerto Rico. “But Trump takes it to a new level of meanness.”

Beyond dollars and cents, two explanations are offered for the president’s stance.

One is his fixation on Puerto Rico’s substantial debt and the notion that bond holders will profit from disaster aid. The second goes to the rawer stuff of Florida politics—a state important to Trump’s base and the site of closely-fought elections this past year.

In an October tweet, the president triggered an outcry when he accused Puerto Rico’s “inept” leaders of trying to use “the massive and ridiculously high” amounts of disaster aid to pay off the commonwealth’s crippling debts. Independent observers said there was no factual basis for the president’s claim. Puerto Rico's advocates were baffled further since Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had been counted as an ally for the island in working through some aid issues.

Nonetheless, when the White House was asked this week if this was still the president’s mindset, there was no backing down. “I refer you back to the President’s tweet. Beyond that we will not be commenting,” a spokesperson said.

What’s certain is the administration explicitly warned Senate Democrats in advance that the president would not tolerate anything more for Puerto Rico in a disaster aid bill now pending in Congress. And when the White House opted to include $12.7 billion in disaster aid as a carrot for its border wall funding bill, it first took the scalpel to all of about $1.3 billion in new disaster aid for Puerto Rico proposed by the House Appropriations Committee.

Yet bigger than Trump’s Puerto Rico bonds fixation, some say, is Florida politics.

By this account, the president remains furious with Puerto Rico Gov. Ricardo Rossello for backing Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) who only narrowly lost to Trump’s choice, Republican challenger, former Gov. Rick Scott.

“The driver of the new heightened toxicity is the election, is Rossello endorsing Bill Nelson,” said one close observer. “That was it. You have a president basically going at it like we were in a Third World country.”


Cesar Conda, former chief-of-staff to Florida’s senior Republican senator, Marco Rubio, counters that Trump has done more for Puerto Rico than he gets credit for and Republicans like Rubio are working behind the scenes to ease the tension. But the political concerns are real: “We Republicans, who know Florida, are very concerned about how the President is being perceived among Puerto Ricans who live in the I-4 Corridor,” said Conda, referring to an east-west battleground swath of the swing state.

As if on cue, the newly-minted Sen. Scott made a splash Thursday when he went to the Senate floor vowing to be a champion for Puerto Rico and fight for the $600 million in food aid cut by Trump. It was Scott’s maiden speech, and he punctuated his remarks by closing in Spanish: “As a Senator, I will fight for the families of Puerto Rico and work to ensure that Puerto Rico is treated fairly.”

Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Richard Shelby (R-Ala.) has tacitly gone along with the administration’s Puerto Rico strategy, but straddled the fence when it came to Trump’s charges in his October tweet.

“To your question, the information we have gathered at this point is mainly anecdotal,” Shelby said, when asked about the issue given his years on the Senate Banking panel. “We don’t know for sure, but a lot of people believe that may be the case. We need to stay on this and continue to do oversight, and we will.”

Going forward, each of the appropriations in jeopardy — $600 million in food aid and approximately $700 million for clean water grants and community development funds — speak to the uphill fight facing Puerto Rico.

The food aid, for example, exposes how much the island’s poor are already disadvantaged because they don’t receive the same food stamp benefits as other U.S. citizens, including residents of the Virgin Islands, only about 50 miles east in the Caribbean.

That’s because of budget cuts enacted under Ronald Reagan, when the food stamp program was under assault and Puerto Rico became a sacrificial lamb of sorts for Congress given the high costs there and a history of abuses over the prior decade.

Beginning in 1982, the island was cut out of the food stamps entitlement, better known now as SNAP or Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, and forced to live with a more rigid, cheaper block grant program. Through the years since, Congress has approved increased funding for these annual grants, the Nutrition Assistance Program or NAP. But poor families in Puerto Rico are at a decided disadvantage when compared with SNAP.

Historically, NAP benefits are significantly lower. Thousands of families below the poverty line are left uncovered, all at a time while the Agriculture Department’s own reports show rising food costs in Puerto Rico. Even before Maria, for example, it was estimated that the average household in Puerto Rico was spending 9 percent more on food in 2013 than the average for the nation.

What’s more, as a block grant, NAP lacks the flexibility to respond to a spike in demand for aid after a disaster. An entitlement like SNAP can fill needs much more quickly, and the added cost is not counted as disaster aid subject to a new appropriations.

Mindful of this, Congress approved $1.27 billion more for NAP in early 2018 to provide emergency relief and bolster the economy. The shared goal was to improve benefits and enroll more households below the poverty line. But from the outset, the Trump administration warned this was only a temporary patch; Puerto Rico’s government hoped it could become a path to some more permanent reform.

Those visions are now colliding. Records show Puerto Rico has been burning through the $1.27 billion at a monthly rate of about $100 million since last March. A senior administration official, citing benefit estimates for February, said this pattern continues today. The result, he said, is a funding cliff made worse because San Juan has not lived up to plans to taper down the spending of the benefits.

Carlos Mercader, executive director the Puerto Rico Federal Affairs Administration, said this argument is unrealistic.

“We are still in a recovery process and families are still suffering from the results of the hurricane,” Mercader said. “As U.S. citizens we just want to be treated equally.”

Given the continued turmoil in Puerto Rico and the number of families who have left the island, the exact impact of what happens after the $1.27 billion runs out is not clear.

With the help of the added funds, Puerto Rico estimates that is has enrolled about 279,000 beneficiaries who were not covered previously. But as a practical matter, the total number of NAP participants is now about 1.35 million adults and children, only about 120,000 higher than in March 2018. That means some of those threatened by the cliff have already dropped off NAP’s rolls off or left the island.

Nonetheless, the impact will be substantial. Puerto Rico will be forced to cut families off and substantially reduce benefits for more than 1 million people. The $600 million in supplemental spending is estimated to be sufficient until the end of the fiscal year, giving time for a fuller debate.

The second big appropriation in contention — about $700 million for clean water and community development funds — lacks the human face of NAP and food aid. But proponents say these dollars are precisely the type of extra assistance needed if Puerto Rico is to rebuild in a fashion that surpasses its past, often inadequate, standards, and to make the island more resilient to future storms.

New York City, New Jersey and Houston have used the same “resiliency” funds when rebuilding after devastating storms. But Puerto Rico can’t command the same clout and complains of being slow walked by the White House at the president’s direction.

Mick Mulvaney, Trump’s acting chief of staff and the director of the Office of Management and Budget, is a central player in this drama. And the recent resignation of Pam Patenaude as deputy secretary for the Department of House and Urban Development exposed rifts in the administration over its approach to Puerto Rico.

In a November 29 letter to Mulvaney, Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Appropriations Committee, joined with Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N. Y.) in pressing Mulvaney to do more to free up aid funds sitting idle the past year.

“You cannot argue that additional resources are unnecessary for Puerto Rico’s recovery because they have yet to utilize the resources already appropriated, when you are the principal factor preventing the federal resources from becoming available,” the senators wrote. “OMB has been at the helm of this dysfunction and contrived bureaucratic issues. …It is critical that the recovery phase of this disaster be met with a sense of urgency, which surpasses the speed of typical bureaucracy, and sympathy with the unique challenges that Puerto Rico faces.”

Two months later, there has been no response.

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/ ... id-1125530

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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WORLD NEWS

Venezuela's Maduro denounces election call but says ready to talk


JANUARY 27, 2019 / 6:25 AM / UPDATED 6 HOURS AGO

Ali Kucukgocmen

ISTANBUL (Reuters) - Venezuela’s embattled President Nicolas Maduro rejected an international ultimatum to call elections within eight days and said opposition leader Juan Guaido had violated the country’s constitution by declaring himself leader.

Maduro, in an interview with CNN Turk aired on Sunday, also said he was open to dialogue and that meeting U.S. President Donald Trump was improbable but not impossible. The broadcaster dubbed the interview from Spanish into Turkish.

Washington, which has recognized Guaido as leader, had on Saturday urged the world to “pick a side” on Venezuela and financially disconnect from Maduro’s government.

Venezuela has sunk into turmoil under Maduro with food shortages and protests amid an economic and political crisis that has sparked mass emigration and inflation that is seen rising to 10 million percent this year.

Britain, Germany, France and Spain all said they would recognize Guaido if Maduro failed to call fresh elections within eight days, an ultimatum Russia said was “absurd” and the Venezuelan foreign minister called “childlike.”

Washington, Canada most Latin American nations and many European states have labeled Maduro’s second-term election win last May fraudulent.

Maduro retains the loyalty of the armed forces, though Venezuela’s top military envoy to the United States on Saturday defected to Guaido.

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan had voiced his support for Maduro in a phone call on Thursday.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-vene ... SKCN1PL0CR

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NEWS

Russian Mercenaries Arrive in Venezuela to Shore Up Maduro's Rule


Jan. 26 2019 - 15:01

Private military contractors who do secret missions for Russia flew into Venezuela in the past few days to beef up security for President Nicolas Maduro in the face of U.S.-backed opposition protests, according to two people close to them.

A third source close to the Russian contractors also told Reuters there was a contingent of them in Venezuela, but could not say when they arrived or what their role was.

Russia, which has backed Maduro's socialist government to the tune of billions of dollars, this week promised to stand by him after opposition leader Juan Guaido declared himself president with Washington's endorsement.

It was the latest international crisis to split the global superpowers, with the United States and Europe backing Guaido, and Russia and China urging non-interference.

Yevgeny Shabayev, leader of a local chapter of a paramilitary group of Cossacks with ties to Russian military contractors, said he had heard the number of Russian contractors in Venezuela may be about 400.

But the other sources spoke of small groups.

Russia's Defence Ministry and Venezuela's Information Ministry did not respond to requests for comment about the contractors. But Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "We have no such information."

The contractors are associated with the so-called Wagner group whose members, mostly ex-service personnel, fought clandestinely in support of Russian forces in Syria and Ukraine, according to Reuters interviews with dozens of contractors, their friends and relatives.

A person believed to work for the Wagner group did not respond to a message asking for information.

Citing contacts in a Russian state security structure, Shabayev said the contingent flew to Venezuela at the start of this week, a day or two before opposition protests started.

Cuba connection?

He said they set off in two chartered aircraft for Havana, Cuba, from where they transferred onto regular commercial flights to Venezuela. The Cuban government, a close ally of Venezuela's ruling socialists for the last two decades, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The contractors' task in Venezuela was to protect Maduro from any attempt by opposition sympathisers in his own security forces to detain him, Shabayev said.

"Our people are there directly for his protection," he said.

Venezuelan authorities said they had put down an attempted revolt on Monday by rogue military officers about a kilometre from the presidential palace in Caracas.

Maduro, the 56-year-old successor to Hugo Chavez, only takes to the streets in carefully-controlled situations, since crowds have barracked him in the past.

One of the two anonymous Russian sources, who is close to the Wagner group and fought in foreign conflicts where it was active, said the contractors first arrived in advance of the May 2018 presidential election, but another group arrived "recently."

Asked if the deployment was linked to protecting Maduro, the source said: "It's directly connected." The contractors flew to Venezuela not from Moscow but from third countries where they were conducting missions, he added.

The third source, who is close to the private military contractors, said there was a contingent in Venezuela but he could not provide further details.

"They did not arrive in a big crowd," he said.

Publicly-available flight-tracking data has shown a number of Russian government aircraft landing in or near Venezuela over past weeks, though there was no evidence the flights were connected to military contractors.

A Russian Ilyushin-96 flew into Havana late on Wednesday after starting its journey in Moscow and flying via Senegal and Paraguay, the data showed.

The aircraft, a civilian jet, is owned by a division of the Russian presidential administration, according to a publicly-available procurement contract relating to the plane.

Between Dec. 10 and Dec. 14 last year, an Antonov-124 heavy cargo aircraft, and an Ilyushin-76 transport aircraft, carried out flights between Russia and Caracas, flight-tracking data showed. Another Ilyushin-76 was in Caracas from Dec. 12 to Dec. 21 last year. All three aircraft belong to the Russian air force, according to the tracking data.

https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russian ... rule-64299

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Kremlin spokesman refutes allegations about Russia’s help in ensuring Maduro’s protection

Russian Politics & Diplomacy January 27, 21:45 UTC+3

Dmitry Peskov said that "fear has magnifying eyes

YUZHO-SAKHALINSK, January 27. /TASS/. Russian president’s press secretary Dmitry Peskov has refuted media allegations that Russian nationals were sent to guarantee protection to Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

"No, of course, not," he said when asked to comment on corresponding reports. "Fear has magnifying eyes."

On January 23, Venezuelan parliament speaker and opposition leader Juan Guaido declared himself interim president at a rally in the country’s capital of Caracas. Several countries, including the United States, Canada, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and Paraguay, have recognized him. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, in turn, blasted the move as a coup staged by Washington and said he was severing diplomatic ties with the US.

Russia, Bolivia, Iran, Cuba, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Turkey voiced support for Maduro, while China and Belarus called for resolving all differences peacefully and warned against foreign interference. The United Nations secretary general, in turn, called for dialogue to resolve the crisis.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, French President Emmanuel Macron, German government spokeswoman Martina Fitz, UK Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs Jeremy Hunt and Dutch Foreign Minister Stef Blok said on Saturday that their countries will recognize Guaido as Venezuela’s interim president in case Maduro doesn’t announce elections within eight days.

http://tass.com/politics/1042008

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HomeWorld News

‘Attack orchestrated from Washington’: Cuba slams US for ‘meddling’ accusation on Venezuela


Published time: 27 Jan, 2019 14:19

Edited time: 27 Jan, 2019 14:33

Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez has rejected US accusations that his country is “meddling” in Venezuela, and accused Washington of trying to “orchestrate” a coup to overthrow President Nicolas Maduro.

Rodriguez’ comments came after US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo accused Cuban “security and intelligence thugs” of propping up Maduro’s regime in his UN Security Council speech. He called on the international community to “pick a side,” choosing between President Maduro and opposition leader Juan Guaidó, who declared himself interim president last week.

---“I categorically reject the slanderous accusations launched by the US Secretary of State against Cuba at the UN Security Council,” Rodriguez tweeted later on Saturday. “His attack on the constitutionality of Venezuela, orchestrated from Washington, is doomed to fail despite all lies.”

---“Washington designed, financed and arranged the alleged usurpation of the Venezuelan presidency,”


Rodriguez claimed in a later tweet.

Guaidó, until now the head of Venezuela’s opposition-led National Assembly, swore himself in as interim president last Wednesday. His symbolic declaration came after days of anti-government protests in Caracas, and after the country’s Supreme Court declared all acts of the National Assembly null and void.

Within the hour, US President Donald Trump officially recognized Guaidó as Venezuela’s legitimate president, prompting Maduro to sever diplomatic ties with the US. Pompeo’s State Department promised to give Guaidó “the resources he needs to lead the government of Venezuela,” including $20 million in humanitarian aid.

With most of Venezuela’s neighbors echoing American calls for regime change, Cuba is one of a handful of Latin American countries that stuck by Maduro, with Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel calling the US and Guaidó’s efforts “imperialist attempts to discredit and destabilize the Bolivarian revolution.” Bolivia and Uruguay remained loyal to the president, and Mexico’s newly-elected leftist government kept its diplomatic relations with Venezuela unchanged.

The US called a UNSC meeting on Saturday to discuss the “situation in Venezuela” which was opposed by Russia and three other countries.

---“Venezuela does not represent a threat to peace and security, If anything does represent a threat to peace, it is the shameless and aggressive action of the United States and their allies aimed at the ouster of the legitimately elected president of Venezuela.”


Russia's UN ambassador, Vassily Nebenzia, told the Security Council.

Sitting on the world’s largest oil reserves, Venezuela’s economy was once the envy of Latin America. Mismanagement within the nationalized oil industry, coupled with a global downturn in the price of oil, triggered a deficit crisis that the Venezuelan government attempted to fight by printing more money. The resulting hyperinflation has led to widespread food and medicine shortages, and prompted almost three million Venezuelans to flee the country. US sanctions served only to exacerbate the country’s woes.

https://www.rt.com/news/449912-cuba-pom ... venezuela/

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Venezuelans abroad anxiously watch events unfolding at home

By VICENTE MARQUEZ

2 hours ago 1.27.19

BARCELONA, Spain (AP) — When Maria Eugenia Pirona moved from Venezuela to Spain over six months ago she had lost hope that things would get better in her homeland. A lawyer and former civil servant, Pirona had seen her comfortable life ruined by the deepening political and economic strife.

Her pension was cut and, as with many Venezuelans, hyperinflation made her savings worthless. And after she was attacked by a group of thugs aligned with the Socialist government for her opposition to the governments led by Hugo Chavez and Nicolas Maduro, she decided that moving was the only choice. So she sold her car and bought a plane ticket to Spain, leaving her elderly mother and house behind.

But ever since opposition leader Juan Guaido declared himself interim president last week, garnering support and recognition from a long list of countries including the United States, Pirona is hopeful she might soon be able to return home to Caracas.

“What happiness, freedom has arrived, we are removing the usurper,” Pirona said on Wednesday as she marched with thousands of Venezuelans in Barcelona against Maduro a few moments after Guaido had declared himself the new leader. “We will return to Venezuela to rebuild our country. All of us who have emigrated to other countries, we will help Venezuela to lift itself up.”

Pirona is part of an enormous outflow of people from Venezuela in recent years as its economy and democratic institutions have crumbled.

According to the International Organization for Migration, the Venezuelan diaspora has skyrocketed from 695,000 in 2015 to over 2.3 million by last year. Neighboring Colombia has seen its Venezuelan population soar from 48,000 to 870,000 in that period, while thousands more have fled to other Latin American countries and the United States.

The number of people born in Venezuela who live in Spain has jumped from 165,000 in 2015 to 255,000 last year, according to Spain’s National Institute of Statistics.

Pirona came to Spain because of the language and cultural links, and because Venezuela took in many Spaniards fleeing Gen. Francisco Franco’s dictatorship from 1939 to 1975, she said. But her move was still challenging.

Like many of her fellow Venezuelans who cross the Atlantic Ocean to Spain, Pirona is an educated professional who has been forced to do whatever it takes to get by. She says it’s hard at her age, 55, to start over and she’s cleaning houses as she waits for her asylum application to be processed. “But I prefer that a thousand times to suffering and being persecuted and seeing my Venezuelan people suffer so much.”

Ricardo Caballero moved from San Cristobal, Venezuela, to Barcelona 17 years ago after Chavez had been re-elected. Caballero worked several jobs and even slept in the streets before he finally found stability. Today he works as an athletics teacher and is married with two children. He’s also helped countless relatives, friends and strangers move from Venezuela, often giving them a place to sleep on his couch.

Caballero and Pirona met at church. She was crying. He recognized her Venezuelan accent and offered help. Soon enough he found her a house-cleaning job.

“I’ve tried to help them so they don’t have to go through what I have lived, so that they are not tricked,” said Caballero, 42, who was scammed in his early days in Barcelona when he rented a room by internet only to find that the room didn’t exist. He doesn’t think about moving back to Venezuela anymore after establishing his life in Spain. But the latest political developments also make him hopeful that some Venezuelans could return to their homeland.

Pirona and Caballero have been watching the news anxiously.

On Saturday, the Spanish government, along with fellow European Union members Germany, France and Britain, gave Maduro an ultimatum.

“Spain is giving the government of Nicolas Maduro eight days to call free, transparent and democratic elections, and if that does not occur, Spain will recognize Juan Guaido as the president charged with carrying out those elections,” Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said in a televised address.

Although Spain did not immediately recognize Guaido as the legitimate leader of Venezuela like the U.S., Canada, Brazil and other countries did, Pirona is very pleased with the country that welcomed her.

“They support us and are not OK with what is going on in Venezuela,” she said. “I am very thankful to Spain.”

https://www.apnews.com/46943f14a41c4a1487dbb9738686e06a

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Stone indictment isolates Trump confidant

BY MICHAEL BURKE - 01/27/19 01:59 PM EST

Roger Stone, the longtime confidant of President Trump who was indicted Friday as part of special counsel Robert Mueller's Russia probe, appeared increasingly isolated on Sunday as current and former lawmakers warned that the charges against him are serious.

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) each sounded the alarm to varying degrees about the indictment of Stone, who is charged with one count of obstruction of an official proceeding, five counts of false statements and one count of witness tampering.

For his part, Stone said on ABC's "This Week" that his attorneys view the charges as "thin as piss on a rock" and predicted that he would be acquitted in trial.

Schiff disagreed with that assessment of the indictment, calling the charges "very specific allegations of lies and witness intimidation."

"They’re matters that will be easily provable. These are not ambiguous statements. They’re very detailed. And I think he’s going to need a much better defense than the one you just heard," he said on "This Week" immediately following Stone's appearance on the program.

Stone on Friday became the latest Trump associate to be charged or convicted in Mueller's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election.

Stone is a longtime ally of Trump, having served for decades as an informal adviser to Trump as Trump considering running for president on numerous occasions.

Stone joined Trump's 2016 presidential campaign shortly after Trump threw his hat in the ring in 2015, and the two remained in contact after Stone left the campaign in an official capacity in August 2015.

The indictment against Stone alleges that he communicated with WikiLeaks ahead of the 2016 presidential election and that he lied to Congress about those communications.

The indictment also states that a top Trump campaign official was instructed to contact Stone to get information about the WikiLeaks release of hacked Democratic emails ahead of the 2016 election.

It also alleges that around June and July of 2016, Stone told senior Trump campaign officials that he "had information indicating" that WikiLeaks had emails "whose release would be damaging" to Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton's campaign.

Stone, who in 2016 hinted on Twitter and in public that he had advance knowledge of the WikiLeaks email dumps, claimed on "This Week" that he never received "any stolen or hacked material." He said he he only took publicly available information and tried "to get it as much attention as possible."

Rubio said on NBC's "Meet the Press" that "anyone who is cooperating" with WikiLeaks "is doing the work of a foreign intelligence agency to harm us."

"Suffice it to say it should be clear by now, and I think should have been clear to people a long time ago that WikiLeaks and others like that could have been tools of foreign intelligence used to divide America," Rubio said.

"And so I do believe that anyone who is cooperating with them, wittingly or unwittingly, is doing the work of a foreign intelligence agency to harm us," he added.

Rubio also said that working with WikiLeaks should be considered a crime "if you're wittingly doing it."

Christie, a Trump ally who served on the president's transition team, said during an interview on "This Week" that the "fact is that [Stone's] got a problem."

Christie, a former federal prosecutor, called the indictment "pretty damning" and predicted that Stone would be in "grave danger" if he decides to go to trial.

"They’ve got all these emails and text messages that he created that tell a pretty clear story, and I think it’s going to be very difficult for a jury to listen to that and conclude that it wasn’t what he was trying to do," Christie said.

“If he decides to go to trial, he’s in very, very grave danger," he added. "Everyone is presumed innocent, and so is he, but the indictment I think is a pretty damning indictment.”

Former associates of Stone also appear to be lining up to testify against him in court. Jerome Corsi and Randy Credico, who appeared before the grand jury that indicted Stone, have indicated that they would be willing to serve as witnesses if the case goes to trial.

Corsi, a conservative political commentator and conspiracy theorist, has been identified as "Person 1" in the indictment of Stone. He said Sunday on CNN's "State of the Union" that the information about him in the indictment is accurate and that he is willing to "affirm that" in court.

"I will affirm that what is in the indictment about me is accurate. And I will affirm that, if asked to in court," Corsi said.

https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-tal ... -confidant

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PATHETIC LOSER

‘I Will Piss on Your Grave’: Emails Reveal Roger Stone’s Abuse of Frenemy Randy Credico

‘You crossed a red line,’ said Credico after his dog was threatened. ‘Rot in hell,’ Stone replied.


Betsy Woodruff 01.26.19 12:14 AM ET

On April 9, 2018, Roger Stone sent an email that would play a role in his future arrest. Though it wasn’t the only reason he was hauled into a Florida courtroom on Friday morning, Special Counsel Robert Mueller quoted portions of it in his indictment of the Trump ally—an indictment that shook Washington and added an absurdist edge to the Mueller probe.

The email, which The Daily Beast obtained before a grand jury indicted Stone on several charges, shows just how irate Stone was about an acquaintance, Randy Credico. The exchange began when Credico emailed a group of people on the evening of April 9, 2018, about what he called an upcoming “media tour.”

---“It’s the “RANDY IS FULL OF SHIT “


tour Co- sponsored by Jack Daniels and Pablo Escobar,” Stone replied.

In another email, about an upcoming Credico appearance on MSNBC, Stone speculated that he would be able to sue Credico over comments he might make.

---“Send me your address,I bet I can get you served in a lawsuit the very next morning.”


Stone wrote.

---“Remember to bathe,”


he added.

---“When I wipe my ass what’s on the toilet paper is worth more than You are,”


Stone wrote.

---“Your threats are a violation of state and federal law,”


Credico replied.

Another email included more invective.

Then Stone sent the email Mueller would quote portions of.

---“I know u are a dumb shit but read the Constitution,”


he wrote.

---I have a constitutional right to call you a lightweight pantywaist cocksucker drunk asshole piece of shit and I just did

You are a rat. A stoolie. You backstab your friends-run your mouth my lawyers are dying Rip you to shreds

I’m going to take that dog away from you. Not a fucking thing you can do about it either because you are a weak broke piece of shit

---“You don't have a constitutional right to threaten me and especially not threaten my dog… you crossed a red line,”


Credico retorted. Stone had threatened to steal his service dog.

---“Rot in hell,”


Stone replied.

A month later, they had another semi-incomprehensible exchange that included accusations of drug abuse and financial problems. Stone emailed Credico,

---“I will piss on your grave.”


A few weeks after that later, Stone and Credico had another dramatic exchange.

---“You are a pathetic loser, Let’s see who’s around a year from now and who isn’t cocksucker”


” Stone wrote on May 21. “

---“Another one of your threats,”


Credico replied.

---“Not a threat. A prediction. How you feeling champ ?”


Roger replied.

The Daily Beast shared screenshots of the emails with Stone’s lawyer, Grant Smith. When asked if he had any comment, Smith replied, “No.”

After publication, Smith said Mueller was misusing the emails.

“You are presenting things that are completely out of context with a decades long relationship,” he texted. “These two people talk like that to one another for years and years, it is nothing unusual and it certainly does not rise to the level of what the special counsel’s office charged.”

Martin Stolar, a lawyer for Credico, declined to comment. “Randy will make public statements concerning the indictment if and when he’s called to testify.” he said.

Stone and Credico’s relationship—the link between a political arch-villain and a New York stand-up comic—has found its way into the investigation of the century. And it highlights one of the most amusing realities of the special counsel's into Russian meddling in the 2016 election: Mueller, a notoriously serious and straight-faced law man, has spent a huge amount of time dealing with clowns.

Stone, for his part, is basically a political performance artist. He spent his decades-long career in the public eye enmeshing himself in scandals, lobbing wild-eyed accusations at his critics, and honing the practice of wildly over-the-top political dirty tricks. He also wrote a column on men’s fashion for The Daily Caller.

He wore a top hat to Trump’s inauguration. He paraded around the 2016 Republican National Convention alongside conspiracy-monger Alex Jones while sporting a T-shirt accusing Bill Clinton of rape. He suggested Trump fans should storm the hotel rooms of RNC delegates who didn’t support Trump. He got booted from Twitter and banned from CNN.

He ran a lobbying firm with Paul Manafort. He got fired from Bob Dole’s campaign for putting out a newspaper ad for swingers. He starred in a Netflix documentary. He left the Trump campaign under contested circumstances and endeared himself to the internet conspiracy community, even questioning the scientific consensus on vaccines.

This is the man Mueller has dogged for months.

Credico, whose communications with Stone featured in his indictment, is also an ur-eccentric. As a comedian and drug-legalization activist, he drew notoriety for marching into the New York State Capitol dressed as the ancient Greek philosopher Diogenes, complete with a toga and a fake beard. Once there, he protested the state’s drug laws by lighting up a joint.

Credico is an expert at mimicking other people’s voices, impersonating Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan or Donald Trump at the drop of a hat. A small, white long-haired dog named Bianca is his constant companion. He even took her along for questioning by Mueller’s team.

Both men drew Mueller’s interest—Credico as a witness, Stone as a target—because of their shared interest in WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange. Credico, a self-described lefty, has long been a fan of WikiLeaks for revealing government secrets. Stone, meanwhile, wanted to get to Assange during the 2016 campaign in the his site had emails Hillary Clinton hadn’t made public.

A few weeks before the election, Credico interviewed Assange on his radio show. He would later visit the Ecuadorian embassy in London. The two men exchanged emails about Wikileaks before Assange started dumping emails stolen from Clinton’s campaign chairman, John Podesta. And Stone also made a series of cryptic, apparently prescient, statements about Wikileaks, which generated noisy speculation that he was getting information from inside the embassy.

After the election, when Special Counsel Mueller started investigating potential coordination between the Kremlin and Trumpworld, he soon zeroed in on Stone. As Mueller questioned a host of Stone’s long-time associates, congressional investigators grilled Stone himself.

Credico, in turn, faced questions about his relationships with WikiLeaks, ties to Stone, and alleged work as an intermediary between Stone and Assange. Stone had hinted in the past that Credico connected him to WikiLeaks, while Credico has long denied acting as any sort of go-between.

As those probes unfolded, Stone grew increasingly agitated. He told reporters he expected to be charged, and he lambasted Mueller for running a witch hunt. A few days before his indictment, he texted The Daily Beast to say he would expose monstrous misconduct by Mueller’s team if indicted.

On Friday morning, it was clear Stone’s actions after Mueller’s probe started had created his most immediate legal problems. The indictment alleges that he lied to Congress about his communications with Credico and another associate, Jerome Corsi; that he obstructed an official proceeding; and that he tampered with an unnamed witness, known to be Credico. And it cites the email printed above as one example of a statement “intended to prevent Person 2 from cooperating with the investigations.”

That’s how a foul-mouthed exchange that reads like it's written on the wall of a dive-bar bathroom found its way into what’s arguably the most geopolitically consequential criminal investigation in decades.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/mueller-i ... ref=scroll

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1 week in America: A slew of gun violence goes under the radar


Axios 5 hours ago 1.27.19

A rash of mass shooting incidents across the United States was forced under the radar last week as cable news largely focused on the indictment of former Trump political adviser Roger Stone and the end of the longest government shutdown in modern history.

The big picture: A number of last week's mass shooting incidents and threats specifically targeted women and other family members, highlighting the harrowing statistic that women in the U.S. are 16 times more likely to be killed by gun violence than in other developed countries.

Yesterday: "NEW ORLEANS (AP) — Authorities in Louisiana said they are searching for an 'armed and dangerous' 21-year-old accused of killing his parents and three others in two separate but related shootings."

Yesterday: "Three men were shot and killed ... in Southeast Washington, D.C. police chief Peter Newsham said. In a separate incident earlier in the day another homicide was reported in Northeast." (WashPost)

Friday: "ST. LOUIS (AP) — A male St. Louis police officer was charged ... with involuntary manslaughter in the shooting death of a female officer during what was described as a deadly game with a revolver."

Thursday: "STATE COLLEGE, Pa. (AP) — A gunman opened fire at a hotel bar near Penn State's main campus, killing two men and wounding a woman, broke into a stranger's house and fatally shot the 83-year-old homeowner, and then killed himself."

Thursday: "ROCKMART, Ga. (AP) — Authorities in Georgia are on the lookout for a gunman they say killed four people and wounded a man in a pair of shootings."

Wednesday: "SEBRING, Fla. (AP) — A man accused of fatally shooting five women at a small-town bank in Florida had dreamed of hurting classmates in high school and had long been fascinated with killing."

Tuesday: "SALT LAKE CITY (AP) — A man is under arrest in Utah after police say he posted on Facebook about 'killing as many girls as I see' the same weekend that Women's Marches were held around the U.S."

Go deeper: David Hogg: Trump should declare national emergency on gun violence

https://www.axios.com/gun-violence-mass ... 43f7f.html

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David Hogg: Trump should declare national emergency on gun violence


Marisa Fernandez Jan 8

Parkland school shooting survivor and gun control activist David Hogg criticized President Trump's proposal for a national emergency to fund a border wall on CNN Tuesday, countering that "40,000 Americans dying annually from gun violence is a pretty damn good" topic for a national emergency instead.

The state of play: House Democrats will introduce a bill that will require background checks on private transactions for gun sales on Tuesday. The bill's introduction coincides with the 8th anniversary of the shooting of former Arizona Rep. Gabby Giffords, was nearly killed in a shooting that left six others dead in 2011.

https://www.axios.com/david-hogg-trump- ... 5cdde.html

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List of regulation rollbacks for oil, gas and coal industry

By MATTHEW BROWN today 1.27.19

Under President Donald Trump, federal agencies have moved to roll back regulations for companies that extract, transport and burn oil, gas and coal. Government analyses show companies will save billions of dollars in compliance costs, but the trade-off often will be adverse impacts to public health and the environment.

The rule changes:

FUEL TRAIN BRAKES: Citing high costs, Trump’s administration rescinded a 2015 Department of Transportation rule requiring railroads to begin installing more advanced electronic brakes on trains hauling hazardous fuels.

Industry savings: $375 million-$554 million (2018-2037)

Impact: Additional derailments of tank cars. AP found the government understated potential impacts by as much as $117 million.

Status: Final

METHANE EMISSIONS: Administration wants to eliminate 2016 Environmental Protection Agency rule requiring energy companies to reduce flaring of methane, a potent greenhouse gas.

Industry savings: $380 million-$484 million (2019-2025)

Impacts: Emission increases of 380,000 tons of methane, 100,000 tons of volatile organic compounds, 3,800 tons of hazardous air pollutants; adverse health effects including premature deaths, heart attacks, and respiratory problems; potential reductions in visibility.

Status: Pending

METHANE EMISSIONS: Administration largely eliminated Interior Department’s 2016 “waste prevention rule” that required companies to reduce the flaring of methane on public and tribal lands.

Industry savings: $1.4 billion-$2.1 billion (2019-2028)

Impacts: Emission increases of 1.8 million tons of greenhouse gas methane; 800,000 tons of volatile organic compounds that can harm health; unspecified public health and welfare impacts.

Status: Final

CLEAN POWER PLAN: Administration is proposing replacement of EPA’s 2015 rule that aimed to cut U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by focusing on carbon dioxide from coal-fired power plants. The changes are projected to increase annual coal production by 33 million-40 million tons by 2030.

Industry savings: $3.7 billion-$6.4 billion (2023-2037)

Impacts: Emissions increases of up to 61 million tons of carbon dioxide, 52,000 tons of sulfur oxides and 39,000 tons of nitrous oxides annually by 2030; health effects including up to 1,400 premature deaths, 750 non-fatal heart attacks in 2030; reductions in visibility; ecosystem effects.

Status: Pending

COAL ASH DISPOSAL: Administration removed many mandates from 2015 EPA rule aimed at preventing hundreds of spills from toxic coal ash dumps over the next century.

Industry savings: $397 million-$605 million (100 years)

Impact: EPA says that, with other existing federal and state regulations, there will be no additional risks to human health and environment. Critics disagree.

Status: Final

FRACKING: Administration rescinded 2015 Interior Department rule that lowered the risk of water contamination from an oil and gas drilling technique called hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking.”

Industry savings: $102 million-$339 million (2018-2027)

Impact: Increased risk to surface waters, groundwater supplies.

Status: Final

OFFSHORE DRILLING-SAFETY: Administration dropped requirements for third-party safety equipment inspections from a rule enacted after the Deepwater Horizon oil spill.

Industry savings: $92 million-$131 million (2019-2028)

Impacts: Administration says the changes will have a negligible impact on safety and environmental protection; critics say it raises the risk of accidents.

Status: Final

OFFSHORE DRILLING-BLOWOUTS: Administration wants more flexibility in how companies meet safety and equipment standards in 2016 Interior rule requiring more stringent inspections of devices designed to prevent offshore oil spills.

Industry savings: $693 million-$946 million (2018-2027)

Impacts: Administration says the changes will not impact worker safety and environmental protection; critics say it raises the risk of accidents.

Status: Pending

REFINERY SECTOR: At request of oil industry, administration gave companies more flexibility in reporting air pollution releases under 2015 EPA rule restricting toxic air pollution from refineries.

Industry savings: $89 million-$110 million (2019-2026)

Impacts: Administration says no appreciable emission increases expected; critics say companies can now delay reports of toxic chemical releases into the air, putting communities at risk.

Status: Final

MERCURY POLLUTION: Administration wants to eliminate 2016 EPA rule that determined it was “appropriate and necessary” to reduce power plant emissions of mercury. It says EPA should not have considered up to $90 billion in secondary benefits in reaching its decision.

Industry savings: uncertain; utilities have spent estimated $18 billion to date on compliance

Impacts: Uncertain.

Status: Pending

VEHICLE FUEL EFFICIENCY: To limit a 2016 Department of Transportation proposal that called for more stringent fuel efficiency standards, the administration seeks to freeze them after 2020.

Industry savings: revenues on up to 79 billion gallons of additional fuel sales (for vehicles built through 2029)

Impacts: Emission increases of 961 million tons of carbon dioxide, 1.7 million tons of methane; administration says its proposal would prevent up to 1,000 highway deaths annually, a finding disputed by former EPA officials and outside experts.

Status: Pending

NOTE: All weights are in short tons, not metric tons

SOURCES: Department of Transportation, Department of Interior, Environmental Protection Agency

https://www.apnews.com/faca868339eb413f9a446ccb990dba05

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Warns Loss Of Journalists Will Send Democracy Crumbling

The congresswoman called the industry’s biggest threats “tech monopolies & concentration of ownership.”


POLITICS 01/27/2019 09:01 am ET

By Amy Russo

Social media queen Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) used her Twitter platform to defend journalists amid a series of sweeping layoffs across the media industry.

In a Saturday tweet, the freshman congresswoman cautioned that “the biggest threats to journalism right now are tech monopolies & concentration of ownership,” advocating for “high-quality journalism.”

Without a diversity of news outlets, she warned, “our democracy will continue to crumble.”

The tweet comes in the wake of recent cutbacks at HuffPost, Yahoo, AOL, BuzzFeed and a handful of Gannett-owned newspapers ― all told, some 1,000 workers lost their jobs.

Facebook and Google have been widely blamed for monopolizing online advertising, which critics have pointed to as a major handicap to digital news organizations trying to turn a profit to stay afloat.

In a follow-up tweet, Ocasio-Cortez doubled down on her defense of journalists, arguing the profession “will only die if we choose not to fight for it ― and if journalism dies, our democracy will, too.”

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/al ... 872d44a3cd

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What's wrong with Rudy? Longtime Giuliani watchers stunned by gaffes

The ex-NYC mayor once had an "extraordinary grasp of facts," one observer said. That seems to have changed, but is it part of a strategy?


Jan. 26, 2019, 8:59 AM CST / Updated Jan. 26, 2019, 9:03 AM CST

By Allan Smith

Within a few days recently, President Donald Trump's personal attorney Rudy Giuliani had to walk back or clarify a series of his public comments regarding the ongoing Russia investigation.

Giuliani, 74, did so after declaring on CNN last week that he "never said there was no collusion between the campaign" and Russia; when he told NBC News and The New York Times the Trump Tower Moscow negotiations went on months longer than Trump or his former attorney Michael Cohen had said; and after he claimed on CNN that Trump and Cohen discussed his testimony to Congress — Cohen has pleaded guilty to making false statements to lawmakers — ahead of time.

All of those Giuliani comments either contradicted Trump's past statements or were out of line with the White House's narrative.

Such clean-ups and reversals from Giuliani are nothing new for those who have closely followed his time as the face of Trump's legal team. But for those who've observed Giuliani for decades — both as U.S. attorney in Manhattan and New York City mayor — the gaffes couldn't be more out of character.

"I remember back when he was mayor he would deliver a two-hour budget presentation without any notes, and do it flawlessly," Giuliani biographer Andrew Kirtzman told NBC News. "One of the things that was so impressive was his extraordinary grasp of facts."

"That kind of precision that he was famous for is missing," he added. "His inability to stay disciplined with the facts, that has been the biggest surprise to me."

Paul Moses, who covered Giuliani for Newsday, echoed Kirtzman.

"He came in as mayor and mastered the details of city government very quickly. He knew the law, he knew where he could push it, and he took advantage of that," Moses said. "He just seems very imprecise now, constantly waffling and changing, and certainly that would not have been characteristic of him in the past."

The latest round of Giuliani's commentary has reportedly caused some consternation in the White House. Politico reported Trump was "apoplectic" following his attorney's recent interviews. The Associated Press, meanwhile, said Trump and allies raised the possibility that Giuliani be temporarily sidelined from media interviews.

A senior administration official last week criticized Giuliani's recent spate of comments, saying they are "not helping" and adding that he shouldn't appear on TV "if nothing good can come of it."

Giuliani did not respond to a request for comment from NBC News. But speaking to Politico, he pushed back on the idea that the president is frustrated with him and insisted he has a "mastery of the facts, which is why I can spin them honestly, argue them several different ways."

On that latter point, Giuliani's strategy has been seen by some as a calculated effort to improve Trump's public standing in comparison to special counsel Robert Mueller and possibly soften the impact of any impending bad news.

"I don't accept at face value the idea that Giuliani just makes these comments freelancing and then Trump hears them and gets upset or corrects him and then Giuliani walks it back," said Mimi Rocah, a former federal prosecutor and an NBC News/MSNBC legal analyst.

Rocah said that she believes the strategy is likely part of a larger plan to get Giuliani out ahead of bad information so the public is "desensitized and normalized to it."

Moses said he thinks the misstatements are the product of having "a difficult client and a difficult case."

"He sees public opinion as his best ally in protecting his client," Moses said. "The court of public opinion is much less precise than the legal system, so it seems as if he's constantly bobbing and weaving to come up with things that will diffuse the information he knows is there or maybe fears is there. It just involves him changing his story a lot."

Kirtzman said he was sure Giuliani was "trying to soften the ground to some extent, but not at the extent of making himself look foolish."

"That's what's happened," he added. "Giuliani is not going to sacrifice his reputation just to take one for the team for Trump."

The question of how this is affecting Giuliani's reputation and legacy is one that even he seems to be considering. When asked by The New Yorker recently if he worried that his stint as Trump's lawyer would become his legacy, Giuliani said:

"I am afraid it will be on my gravestone. 'Rudy Giuliani: He lied for Trump.' Somehow, I don't think that will be it. But, if it is, so what do I care? I'll be dead. I figure I can explain it to St. Peter."

"I don't think this will be the lead of his epitaph," said Rob Polner, who covered Giuliani for Newsday and edited a biography of him, pointing the dramatic reduction in crime in New York City he oversaw as mayor and his widely praised handling of the September 11 terror attacks' aftermath in the city.

Others think it's had a much more substantial impact.

"After September 11, he was a living saint in the eyes of people around the world," Kirtzman said. "He was lauded around the world. And now, those days look very far away...He's misfiring in his public appearances and he has people laughing at him."

Moses said, "I think he has gone back on his legacy, because he is really in many ways defining ethical deviancy downward as a part of the defense of his client."

Still, the present-day Giuliani doesn't come across as a total stranger as he battles on Trump's behalf.

"Even though he's been erratic factually at times, he's basically effective as a pit bull in the media arena for President Trump," Polner said, adding Giuliani has always been "at ease with confrontation."

"He was never very comfortable in peace time," he continued. "He liked to have a fight on his hands."

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald ... es-n961821

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Trump's shutdown is over for now. But the obliviousness of the plutocrats who run America won't be forgotten.

The behavior of this administration while denying 800,000 people paychecks was as imperious as Marie Antoinette's apocryphal offer of cake.


Jan. 25, 2019, 1:29 PM CST

By Talia Lavin, writer and researcher

Marie Antoinette had a fake dairy — a laiterie d’agrément — on the grounds of Versailles. There, the queen and her ladies would dress as dairymaids and pretend to make butter and ice cream; the pleasure dairy had “fixtures of white marble set against walls painted with trompe l’oeil to resemble marble,” according to “Butter: A Rich History” by Elaine Khosrova. But the laiterie d’agrément was one of two dairies on the grounds of Versailles: Not wishing to eat their own mock-preparations, Marie and her confidantes ate the butter, milk and ice cream prepared by real dairy workers at a separate, and far less ornate, facility on the palace grounds.

Centuries after her summary execution at the age of 37, Marie Antoinette remains a symbol of profligacy and scorn of the common man. While she churned a little, possibly inedible, butter in her pleasure dairy, the last of the milk curdled in jugs across France, and women rioted over the price of bread. This week, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi evoked her most famous — and apocryphal — quote, “Let them eat cake,” to describe the attitudes of the Trump administration towards federal workers furloughed during the longest government shutdown in American history.

Empathy (or at least the appearance of it) is a baseline political skill, and the sundry plutocrats of the Trump administration have proved astoundingly poor at it.

This week alone, Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross — a man with a $150 million art collection and a penchant for customized, $600 “smoking slippers” customized with the Department of Commerce logo — said he “didn’t quite understand” why federal employees were lining up for free food at soup kitchens and suggesting they take out loans instead. (The average American is already saddled with tens of thousands of dollars in debt; the Washington Post reported that the Department of Commerce’s own credit union is charging 9 percent interest on emergency loans for employees who are missing their second paycheck today.)

Lara Trump, the president’s daughter-in-law, called a month of no pay “a little bit of pain.” And Larry Kudlow, the administration’s top economic adviser, described federal employees working for no pay under pain of losing their jobs as “volunteers.” (Kudlow’s net worth is estimated at around $25 million.)

The president himself evinced even less understanding of the consequences of his own actions. In comments broadcast on Thursday, he suggested that grocery stores would “work along” with federal employees during their weeks of travail, presumably giving away food on the promise of future credit. Trump, notably, is 72 years old and, since leaving the opulence of his Trump Tower and Mar-A-Lago homes (except for the odd weekend), has had his food served to him by “chefs and servants” at the White House. It has, presumably, been quite some time since he visited a Safeway.

Plus, a man who received $413 million from his father can hardly be expected to know what it’s like to visit a grocery store with next-to-nothing in your bank account and your heart in your throat.

It says something about the sheer ineptitude of the various plutocrats that make up the Trump Cabinet that they’ve made House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, the consummate Washington insider, look like a salt-of-the-earth everywoman. Pelosi, to her credit, has kept her caucus firmly in hand, visited an impromptu food kitchen created by humanitarian chef Jose Andres, and called out the robber-baron coldheartedness of the administration. “He thinks they can just ask their father for money, but they can’t,” she said. (That’s indeed what Trump did when the Taj Mahal, his garish Atlantic City casino, was ailing prior to its 1991 bankruptcy; his father, Fred Trump, bought $3.5 million in chips and walked out without gambling at all.)

Across America, 800,000 federal workers — and thousands more government contractors — have been pinching pennies while Trump left them with no idea when the end to the government shutdown might come; today's announced deal is a temporary reprieve but not yet a permanent solution to the impasse. It thus cannot be reassuring that the leaders in the executive branch seem to be people who have no conception of the household realities of anyone who is not a multimillionaire.

Like much in the Trump era, the plight of workers struggling to cover health care, mortgages and groceries juxtaposed with Trump administration officials who own Modigliani paintings and whose callousness is compounded by cluelessness is a grotesque illustration of the income inequality that plagues our nation.

Across the aisle, this week Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren proposed an ambitious wealth tax on those with more than $50 million in assets, a policy that could raise trillions for robust, population-wide health insurance coverage. For the hyper-rarified class of Americans who are unacquainted with grocery stores, it would mean a check on unfettered accumulation.

And Congress’s most charismatic newcomer, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, has a policy guru, Dan Riffle, whose Twitter display name is a bald salvo against income inequality: “Every billionaire is a policy failure.” This may scandalize Sean Hannity, but I’d bet Wilbur Ross’s $600 slippers it appeals to a broad segment of the population — specifically, the 59 percent of Americans who endorse a 70 percent marginal tax rate on incomes above $10 million.

It is perhaps not surprising that a new and bolder stance on income inequality from the Democratic Party coincides with a widely-detested presidential administration whose officials live cocooned in the worlds of their own substantial assets. The charade of Trump and his cronies attempting to project insight into the lives of those outside the comfortable aeries of the ultra-wealthy is as empty as Marie Antoinette’s pleasure dairy, but their fantasies aren’t even pretty or pleasing.

There’s no warm light on healthy, wealthy petticoated-milkmaids and no Versailles, just a big, echoing White House the president once reportedly called "a dump," full of workers furloughed or strong-armed into “volunteering” without pay. The president is trapped inside, in an edifice constructed of his own hubris, extracting pain from the common people who serve under him to service his own pride.

Perhaps, by the time he emerges, he will find a world in which those who daily suffer the indignities of poverty won’t be content to simply wait for a better world, but may wish to shape it — just as happened to Marie Antoinette.

https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/t ... ncna962831

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U.S.

DONALD TRUMP'S TRUST IN JARED KUSHNER IS FADING AFTER SON-IN-LAW FAILED TO SECURE WALL FUNDING DEAL: REPORT


BY JASON LE MIERE ON 1/27/19 AT 11:07 AM

President Donald Trump’s trust in his son-in-law Jared Kushner’s ability to deliver a deal to ensure funding for his long-promised border wall has reportedly been shaken following the longest government shutdown in United States history. Kushner, who serves as a senior adviser to the president, was one of the leading figures in congressional negotiations as the White House sought $5.7 billion in funding for a wall along the southern border with Mexico.

However, after 35 days of 800,000 federal workers going without pay, Trump signed a bill to reopen the government for three weeks on Friday that included no money for his wall. It was a deal he could have signed prior to the government partially shutting down last month.

The move has been widely slammed as a “cave” by conservative media figures, with Ann Coulter calling Trump “the biggest wimp ever to serve as president.”

Reportedly lashing out at those around him, Trump is said to, at least in part, blame Kushner for a shutdown that has seen his approval rating drop yet further.

“[Trump] has been frustrated at everyone around him for not delivering a deal he can accept. And he has become wary of his son-in-law’s advice on this issue,” The New York Times reported Saturday citing White House aides.

It is not the first time Kushner is reported to have taken heat from the president. During the shutdown, Trump jabbed, according to The Washington Post, that "Apparently, Jared has become an expert on immigration in the last 48 hours," after the husband of Ivanka Trump presented details of potentials deal to end the impasse.

Kushner had been riding high in Washington after he helped broker a historic criminal justice reform bill. However, one of the Democrats who worked with Kushner on the bill, Representative Hakeem Jeffries of New York, has far less faith in Kushner to deliver a similar bipartisan deal on immigration.

“Unless he’s able to convince his father-in-law to abandon his obsession with building a medieval border wall, then he’s not going to be successful in finding a bipartisan agreement,” Jeffries told The Times.

Kushner is said to continue to insist that there is a grand bargain to be had involving legal status for so-called Dreamers, who were brought to the U.S. illegally as minors. Yet Trump has already threatened to declare a national emergency in order to fund his wall if Democrats do not relent.

And, despite backing down Friday, there is no sign of Trump giving up on his wall.

“Only fools, or people with a political agenda, don’t want a Wall or Steel Barrier to protect our Country from Crime, Drugs and Human Trafficking. It will happen - it always does!” he tweeted Saturday.

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-j ... ll-1306724

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
-- Bob Feller

Re: Politics

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Rivals Maduro and Guaido vie for Venezuelan military backing

By SCOTT SMITH and FABIOLA SANCHEZ 1.27.19

CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) — The struggle for control of Venezuela turned to the military Sunday, with supporters of opposition leader Juan Guaido handing leaflets to soldiers detailing a proposed amnesty law that would protect them for helping overthrow President Nicolas Maduro.

At the same time, Maduro demonstrated his might, wearing tan fatigues at military exercises. Flanked by his top brass, Maduro watched heavy artillery fired into a hillside and boarded an amphibious tank.

Addressing soldiers in an appearance on state TV, Maduro asked whether they were plotting with the “imperialist” United States, which he accused of openly leading a coup against him.

“No, my commander-in-chief,” they shouted in unison, and Maduro responded: “We’re ready to defend our homeland — under any circumstance.”

The dueling appeals from the two rivals again put the military center stage in the global debate over who holds a legitimate claim to power in the South American nation.

The standoff has plunged troubled Venezuela into a new chapter of political turmoil that has already left more than two dozen dead as thousands took to the streets demanding Maduro step down. Guaido is calling for two new mass mobilizations over the next week.

The tumult erupted when Guaido, the 35-year-old leader of Venezuela’s opposition-controlled congress, declared before masses of supporters last week that he has temporarily assumed presidential powers, vowing to hold free elections and end Maduro’s dictatorship.

President Donald Trump and several foreign leaders quickly recognized Guaido as Venezuela’s legitimate leader, prompting Maduro to cut ties with the U.S. and order its diplomats from Caracas within 72 hours. The U.S. defied him, saying Maduro isn’t the legitimate president, and Maduro relented, suspending the deadline for 30 days for the sake of opening a dialogue.

Venezuela’s crisis came before the U.N. Security Council on Saturday, which took no formal action because of divisions among members. Russia and China back Maduro. But France and Britain joined Spain and Germany in turning up the pressure on Maduro, saying they would recognize Guaido as president unless Venezuela calls a new presidential election within eight days.

“Where do you get that you have the power to establish a deadline or an ultimatum to a sovereign people?” said Venezuelan Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza. “It’s almost childlike.”

Venezuela’s armed forces remain the key to Maduro’s hold on power, firing tear gas and bullets on protesters, killing more than two dozen since Wednesday.

Guaido is urging Venezuelans to exit their homes, offices or wherever they may be on Wednesday for a peaceful, two-hour mid-day protest. He is also asking followers to take to the streets again Saturday for demonstrations “in every corner” of the nation and around the globe. That protest is timed to coincide with the European Union deadline for announcing a new election.

“We’re advancing well, Venezuela,” Guaido said in his broadcast, streamed live on the internet. “We’ve restored hope.”

In light of the ongoing unrest, the Caribbean Professional Baseball Leagues Confederation announced Sunday that organizers decided to not to hold an upcoming tournament in Venezuela. The Caribbean Series will instead be held at alternate yet-to-be-announced venue. The decision came a day after Venezuela Sports Minister Pedro Infante made a plea for the series to take place as planned in Barquisimeto, saying the government would guarantee the safety of players.

On Sunday, Guaido’s supporters made their case directly to soldiers, handing them leaflets that urged they reject the socialist leader and explaining how they could be eligible for amnesty if they help return Venezuela to democracy.

In Paraiso, an area of Caracas where residents and the National Guard violently clashed, opposition lawmaker Ivlev Silva, his hands raised over his head, walked up to a line of soldiers wearing riot gear and holding shields.

“The people of Venezuela believe in each one of you,” Silva said, handing them the leaflets. Their commander responded that they were defending the Bolivarian revolution and support Maduro.

Similar scenes took place at military bases across Caracas, where one soldier burned his leaflet and another man threw a stack of them out a door, rejecting the opposition’s plea.

In claiming presidential powers, Guaido said he was acting in accordance with two articles of the constitution that give the National Assembly president the right to hold power temporarily and call new elections.

Emerging from Sunday Mass, where he honored those killed and arrested in the recent protests, Guaido called on the armed forces not to shoot fellow Venezuelans.

“We are waiting for you and the commitment you have to our constitution,” Guaido said. “Don’t shoot at those who have come out to defend your family, your work and livelihood.”

He also vowed to crack down on those responsible for the killings, which he called a “massacre,” saying in a Twitter post that he wanted to bring international attention to members of the armed forces, prosecutors and judges linked to the recent deaths.

The Trump administration has maintained that all options remain open if Maduro refuses to cede leadership, acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney said on “Fox News Sunday.”

“I don’t think any president of any party who is doing his or her job would be doing the job properly if they took anything off the table,” he said. “So, I think the president of the United States is looking at this extraordinarily closely.”

https://www.apnews.com/19f08f07b44a42a4947a19a60f1bae2e

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Why Venezuela military leaders are standing behind Maduro

By CHRISTINE ARMARIO and MANUEL RUEDA 1.25.2019

CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) — Even as Venezuelans fill the streets rallying behind opposition leader Juan Guaido and the list of foreign nations recognizing him as the country’s rightful president grows, the top members of the all-important military are sending a different message: Forget about it.

In back-to-back proclamations Thursday, high-ranking generals standing in front of stern-faced troops pledged their unwavering support to embattled President Nicolas Maduro in an unsurprising display of loyalty.

Since taking the helm of Venezuela’s government in 2013, Maduro — a protege of the late socialist leader Hugo Chavez but with no military experience himself — has cemented the support of the nation’s troops by promoting loyalists, giving them control over key sectors of the economy and appointing them to ministerial positions.

All that means that the military’s top brass remains beholden to Maduro and is likely too frightened of losing its standing or going to jail to betray him, according to experts on Venezuela’s military. Rank-and-file troops struggling to put food on the table may not share their steadfast loyalty, but the odds of a significant faction defecting and recognizing Guaido are slim, several current and former military officers said.

“We have to wait and see what happens over the next 48 hours,” said Jose Antonio Colina, a former army lieutenant. “If the middle- and low-ranking troops don’t express their disagreement within the next two days, we can assume they’re standing by their leadership.”

The armed forces have traditionally served as an arbiter of political disputes, though according to the constitution backed by Chavez they are “not at the service of any person or political partisanship.”

Exactly 61 years before Guaido pledged before swarms of supporters to serve as Venezuela’s interim president, the military ousted dictator Marco Perez Jimenez, who fled on a plane to the Dominican Republic amid mounting unrest. Chavez as a young army commander staged a botched coup in 1992 and a decade later was briefly forced from power himself.

Guaido, a photogenic 35-year-old lawmaker who has re-invigorated the opposition, has argued that three public sectors are critical to establishing a new government: The people, the international community and the military.

On Friday, he asked supporters to share the text of an amnesty law that would pardon members of the military who cooperate in restoring the country’s democracy with anyone they know in the armed forces. He also urged troops to let humanitarian aid that the U.S. has pledged to send and which he has approved in his self-designated role as interim president into the country.

“In the days ahead, you will face an important test,” he said in a message directed toward the military.

But the military Guaido is asking for support from is far different than that of the past; Chavez and now Maduro have blurred once-clear lines of separation between troops, the government and the ruling political party. In that environment, it becomes highly unlikely that a fracture among the top leadership would occur, though there are signs of cracks amid rank-and-file troops.

In recent years, hundreds have fled abroad seeking better economic prospects, and dozens have been jailed on suspicion of plotting against the government. On Monday, a few dozen national guardsmen seized a stockpile of assault rifles in a pre-dawn uprising that was quickly quashed.

Perhaps curiously, the military has not activated the emergency protocol known as “Plan Zamora” that has been used during previous unrest and gives troops authority to repress and control mass demonstration. One former general who spoke on condition of anonymity said that might be acknowledgement that disillusioned underlings wouldn’t follow those orders.

Rocio San Miguel, a Caracas-based military expert, noted that while there were clashes Wednesday between protesters and state security forces, the mass protest where tens of thousands gathered to watch Guaido speak took place without confrontation.

On Thursday, one 19-year-old member of the National Guard, still with braces on his teeth, said he wouldn’t want to be in the position of having to beat protesters. Speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisal, he said he’d be outraged to apprehend “innocent people.”

Another young comrade patrolling a busy road leading to the Supreme Court with the teen said he hadn’t seen the video images of military leaders proclaiming their support to Maduro because he doesn’t own a cellphone but that he follows orders as instructed.

Colina, the former army lieutenant, said even though many rank-and-file troops are going hungry like countless other Venezuelans, they don’t have effective leadership to challenge superiors, meaning it’s likely they’ll opt for the status quo.

“It’s not enough, unfortunately,” he said. “They’ve stopped being the moral compass.”

Several former military leaders who remain in close contact with active troops said that for Guaido to even have a chance of winning over support from sectors of the military, he’d have to continue to galvanize the public and prove to skeptical military officers with much to lose that his promise of granting amnesty to those who promote change is sincere.

“What’s going on in Venezuela,” San Miguel said, “hasn’t finished yet.”

https://apnews.com/cde4cbf0c03c4949816a64afc5677314

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TOP STORIES

Amid mass arrests, Maduro won’t touch rival Guaido


By JOSHUA GOODMAN 58 minutes ago 1.28.19

CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) — More than 700 opponents of President Nicolas Maduro have been arrested during the latest push by Venezuela’s opposition to oust the socialist leader.

But there’s one anti-government activist security forces notably haven’t touched: Juan Guaido, the lawmaker who declared himself interim president in a direct challenge to Maduro’s rule.

Maduro’s refusal, at least so far, to order Guaido’s arrest reflects mistrust in his own security forces as well as the Trump administration’s warning that any harm to the man the U.S. recognizes as Venezuela’s legitimate leader would be crossing a dangerous red line.

The U.S. administration reiterated that threat Monday in announcing sweeping sanctions against Venezuela’s state oil company.

Any actions taken against U.S. diplomats, Guaido or the National Assembly he presides over would be considered a “grave assault” that “will be met with a significant response,” U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton said.

While he didn’t specify what actions the U.S. might take, he reaffirmed that all options for dealing with Venezuela’s crisis remain on the table, including use of the military.

“They won’t dare touch Guaido,” said Jose Miguel Vivanco, Americas director at Human Rights Watch. “There’s a new dynamic at play. Even while Maduro’s government continues to brutally repress the poor and invisible, they won’t harm Guaido because he has so much international support.”

Maduro’s government on several occasions has threatened to arrest the 35-year-old lawmaker, accusing him of violating the constitution and acting as a “puppet” of a U.S. coup attempt.

But every day that Guaido is allowed to move freely around Caracas, holding rallies and building a parallel government complete with foreign ambassadors and a presidential-looking office from which he delivers videotaped messages, he looks statelier and undermines Maduro’s authority in the eyes of ordinary Venezuelans, Vivanco said.

On Monday, a consular officer in Miami joined Venezuela’s military attache in Washington, Col. Jose Luis Silva, in ditching support for Maduro and recognizing Guaido.

“I’m always at the service of my beloved country. I’ll continue to provide consular services in Miami,” Scarlet Salazar said in a video announcing her allegiance to Guaido as she stood in front of a Venezuelan flag. “This is our country’s moment.”

It’s not clear what security precautions Guaido is taking to avoid arrest. But he’s not exactly been hard to find.

On Friday, he held a news conference in a Caracas plaza announced hours in advance on social media, and on Sunday he attended a church service for victims of anti-government unrest.

In both instances he spoke with a studied coolness, seemingly unconcerned about the enormous risks he was taking by openly defying Maduro. In 2014, his political mentor, Leopoldo Lopez, was arrested during an outdoor rally, and numerous other politicians, activists and even two small-town firefighters who published an online video mocking Maduro as a mule have been arrested over the past year.

Foro Penal, a local rights group, said Monday that in a single week of unrest more than 700 people have been detained. Another 35 have been killed during the unrest, many in poor neighborhoods where the opposition traditionally dominates.

The government has yet to comment on the report but socialist party boss Diosdado Cabello on Monday tried to turn the tables on Guaido, saying his security was now in the hands of the U.S. Embassy.

“If something happens to this man, or any leader from the opposition, it’s part of the imperialists’ plans,” Cabello said at a rally Monday in the central city of Barquisimeto.

Francisco Gonzalez, a pro-government analyst, said that while Maduro’s weakness and Venezuela’s economic and social problems are self-evident, many in the country resent the heavy-handed role the Trump administration is playing in the fast-unfolding crisis.

“The discontent is real,” said Gonzalez. “But at this stage it’s more about Trump looking for a foreign policy win to counter the decline in the U.S. geopolitical influence.”

https://www.apnews.com/dfb50cee83c84ccc9992df12eb13299c

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US hits Venezuela with oil sanctions to press Maduro exit

By MATTHEW LEE and DEB RIECHMANN 1.28.19

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Trump administration imposed sanctions Monday on the state-owned oil company of Venezuela, a potentially critical economic move aimed at increasing pressure on President Nicolas Maduro to cede power to the opposition in the South American nation.

Maduro’s increasingly isolated government would lose access to one of its most important sources of income and foreign currency along with around $7 billion in assets of Petroleos De Venezuela S.A. under the sanctions announced by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and national security adviser John Bolton.

The move follows the unusual decision by the U.S. and other nations last week to recognize the opposition leader of the National Assembly, Juan Guaido, as the interim president of Venezuela instead of Maduro, who was re-elected last year in an election widely seen as fraudulent. The once prosperous nation has been in an economic collapse, with several million citizens fleeing to neighboring countries.

“We have continued to expose the corruption of Maduro and his cronies, and today’s action ensures they can no longer loot the assets of the Venezuelan people,” Bolton said at a White House news conference.

Bolton said he expects Monday’s actions against PDVSA — the acronym for the state-owned oil company —will result in more than $11 billion in lost export proceeds over the next year.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo stressed that the new sanctions do not target the people of Venezuela and will not affect humanitarian assistance, including medicine and medical devices that are “desperately needed after years of economic destruction under Maduro’s rule.”

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., a vocal critic of Maduro who has called for such sanctions, welcomed the move even before it was announced.

“The Maduro crime family has used PDVSA to buy and keep the support of many military leaders,” Rubio said. “The oil belongs to the Venezuelan people, and therefore the money PDVSA earns from its export will now be returned to the people through their legitimate constitutional government.”

The sanctions will not likely affect consumer prices at the gas pump but will hit oil refiners, particularly those on the U.S. Gulf Coast.

Venezuelan oil exports to the U.S. have declined steadily over the years, falling particularly sharply over the past decade as its production plummeted amid its long economic and political crisis. The U.S. imported less than 500,000 barrels a day of Venezuelan crude and petroleum products in 2017, down from more than 1.2 million barrels a day in 2008, according to the Energy Information Administration.

Still, Venezuela has consistently been the third- or fourth-largest supplier of crude oil to the United States, and any disruption of imports could be costly for refiners. In 2017, the most recent year that data were available, Venezuela accounted for about 6 percent of U.S. crude imports.

Valero and Citgo are among the largest importers of Venezuelan crude.

Mnuchin said the Treasury Department also took steps Monday to authorize certain transactions and activities with PDVSA. He said Citgo assets in the United States will be allowed to continue to operate — provided that any funds that would otherwise go to the state-owned oil company be sent to a blocked account in the United States.

Venezuela is very reliant on the U.S. for its oil revenue. The country sends 41 percent of its oil exports to the U.S. Critically, U.S. refiners are among the few customers that pay cash to Venezuela for its oil. That’s because Venezuela’s oil shipments to China and Russia are usually taken as repayment for billions of dollars in debts.

https://www.apnews.com/dbc0e01d010d41dba3576393c47c860e

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U.S. GETTING READY FOR ACTION AGAINST VENEZUELA? '5,000 TROOPS TO COLOMBIA,' JOHN BOLTON'S NOTES APPEAR TO SAY


BY TOM O'CONNOR ON 1/28/19 AT 6:22 PM

White House national security adviser John Bolton's notes carried what appeared to be an interesting message left unspoken during Monday's press conference on the political crisis in Venezuela.

Bolton and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin rolled out new sanctions against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his country's state-run oil company. The United States sided with National Assembly head Juan Guaidó in a bid to be recognized as the country's legitimate leader. Guaidó declared himself "acting president" Wednesday in a move honored by the U.S. and a number of its allies, but opposed by Maduro and his own partners.

As Washington's diplomats were expelled from Caracas, Bolton warned of a "significant response" against Venezuela should it harm any U.S. citizens. Speaking on the possibility of taking military action, Bolton said that "the president has made it very clear...that all options are on the table."

What he did not say—and what eagle-eyed Twitter users noticed— was what appeared to be another message written on the first page of the note pad in Bolton's hand. It appeared to read: "Afghanistan —> welcome the talks. 5,000 troops to Colombia."

Left-wing-led Venezuela is bordered by longtime rival Colombia to the west and the region's leading military power, Brazil, to the east. The two U.S. allies have elected right-wing governments deeply critical of Maduro, who retains the support of his armed forces and has rallied his troops in a display of might intended for detractors at home and abroad.

Guaidó countered by calling for new protests and offering amnesty for defecting troops in order to win military support. The self-proclaimed president has capitalized on protests surrounding Maduro's second term, which began earlier this month following last year's election that was boycotted by the opposition amid allegations of fraud and an economy that has suffered historic levels of hyperinflation, leading to shortages in goods and mass exodus of refugees. The ensuing unrest has killed at least 16 people in recent days.

The tense situation has polarized the international community, with Brazil and Colombia joining other regional U.S. allies—such as Argentina, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama, Paraguay and Peru—in backing Guaidó, while allied left-wing-led powers Bolivia, Cuba, El Salvador and Nicaragua stood behind Maduro. Australia, Canada, Israel and the United Kingdom were among those to endorse the opposition abroad, while Belarus, China, Iran, Russia, South Africa, Syria and Turkey maintained their support of the government.

Russia and Iran have warned the U.S. against intervening in the crisis and have offered to mediate "between responsible political forces of Venezuela." Mexico and Uruguay—who also still recognize Maduro—have offered to host talks as well. Russia, which sent air force delegation in a show of support to Venezuela last month, has denied reports that it had sent more military assets in the wake of the recent crisis.

The U.S. has a long history of intervening against socialist and left-wing movements in Latin America, especially through its support of right-wing forces there throughout the Cold War with the Soviet Union. The CIA was allegedly involved in the 2002 coup attempt against Maduro's predecessor, Hugo Chávez, and the Venezuelan government has accused President Donald Trump's administration of trying to orchestrate a similar conspiracy against Maduro.

https://www.newsweek.com/us-action-vene ... ia-1308662

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US officially lifts sanctions on firms tied to Russian oligarch

BY JUSTIN WISE - 01/27/19 05:17 PM EST

The U.S. Treasury Department on Sunday officially lifted sanctions on businesses tied to the Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska.

The department said in a news release that the Office of Foreign Assets Control lifted sanctions on EN+ Group Plc and EuroSibEnergo JSC, noting that each company has reduced Deripaska's "direct and indirect shareholding stake in these companies and severed his control."

"This action ensures that the majority of directors on the En+ and Rusal boards will be independent directors – including U.S. and European persons – who have no business, professional, or family ties to Deripaska or any other SDN, and that independent U.S. persons vote a significant bloc of the shares of En+," the department said.

"The companies have also agreed to unprecedented transparency for Treasury into their operations by undertaking extensive, ongoing auditing, certification, and reporting requirements."

Deripaska, who is connected to Russian President Vladimir Putin, will personally remain under U.S. sanctions.

The Trump administration announced in December that it would relax sanctions on businesses connected to Deripaska. The decision led to outrage from Democratic lawmakers, with Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) asking if the U.S. thinks it "should go easy on Putin and his cronies?"

Democrats in Congress attempted to block the move. But Senate Republicans were able to defeat the measure and prevent it from advancing to a floor vote earlier this month.

The agreement the Treasury Department reached with Deripaska included having him cut his direct and indirect share ownership for each company below 50 percent.

But The New York Times reported last week that Deripaska and his allies are set to retain majority ownership the energy company EN+.

Among other things, Deripaska will also reportedly be freed from debt he owes to a Russian government-owned bank as long as he transfers shares worth roughly $800 million to it.

“Deripaska’s control over these entities is severed by this delisting, and he can no longer use them to carry out illicit activities on behalf of the Kremlin,” the Treasury Department said in a statement to the Times. “En+, Rusal and ESE have committed to provide Treasury with an unprecedented level of transparency into their dealings to ensure that Deripaska does not reassert control."

https://thehill.com/homenews/administra ... n-oligarch

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ISIS Claims Responsibility for Deadly Cathedral Bombing in Philippines


1.27.19

ISIS has claimed responsibility for the bombing of a Roman Catholic cathedral in the Philippines that killed at least 20 people and injured at least 111 on Sunday, NPR reports. The group claimed its alleged role in the attack via its Amaq news agency just hours after two bombs struck the Cathedral of Our Lady of Mount Carmel in Jolo, an island known for housing Islamist militants, during Sunday mass. The first bomb reportedly sent churchgoers fleeing from the temple; the second struck just as first responders were attempting to enter the building. “We will pursue to the ends of the earth the ruthless perpetrators behind this dastardly crime until every killer is brought to justice and put behind bars,” the office of President Rodrigo Duterte said. “The law will give them no mercy.” The Associated Press notes that militants from Abu Sayyaf, a group affiliated with the Islamic State that is known for beheadings, kidnappings and bombings, have been active on Jolo for years.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/isis-clai ... s?ref=home

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Trump, Pelosi agree on Feb. 5 for State of the Union address

By LAURIE KELLMAN 14 minutes ago 1.28.19

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump on Monday accepted House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s invitation to deliver his State of the Union speech on Feb. 5, a week later than originally scheduled because of the partial government shutdown.

“It is my great honor to accept,” Trump said in a letter to Pelosi. “We have a great story to tell and yet, great goals to achieve!”

The speech had initially been scheduled for Jan. 29, but Pelosi postponed it amid what turned into a 35-day partial government shutdown over Trump’s demand for border wall funding. It was the first known time that a speaker had rescinded an invitation to deliver the State of the Union.

“When I wrote to you on January 23rd, I stated that we should work together to find a mutually agreeable date when government has reopened to schedule this year’s State of the Union address,” Pelosi wrote. “In our conversation today, we agreed on February 5th.

“Therefore,” she continued, “I invite you to deliver your State of the Union address before a Joint Session of Congress on February 5, 2019 in the House Chamber.”

Pelosi’s office and the White House told The Associated Press that the House speaker and president had spoken by phone Monday afternoon. A Pelosi spokesman said she placed the call at 3:55 p.m. and it lasted about 12 minutes.

The House and Senate still must pass a resolution officially inviting Trump to speak to a joint session of Congress.

Pelosi had postponed the speech, first as a “suggestion” and later, after Trump declared his intent to appear anyway, as a formal rescission. The president then refused to allow her to lead a delegation overseas on the military jets he commands. The president said he was considering an “alternative” plan.

Finally, last Friday, Trump capitulated. All sides agreed to fund the government through Feb. 15 to give negotiators time to discuss border security. And on Monday, Pelosi confirmed the State of the Union was back on — on her schedule.

The Constitution states only that the president “shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union,” meaning the president can speak anywhere he chooses or give his update in writing.

But a joint address in the House chamber, in front of lawmakers from both parties, the Supreme Court justices and invited guests, provides the kind of grand backdrop that is hard to mimic and that this president, especially, enjoys.

https://www.apnews.com/6505043a76c840f69b753c90c47f7e2c

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Strongest tornado in 8 decades hits Cuba; 3 dead, 172 hurt

By MICHAEL WEISSENSTEIN and ANDREA RODRIGUEZ 43 minutes ago 1.28.19

HAVANA (AP) — Neighborhood brigades and teams of government workers hacked at fallen trees and hauled chunks of concrete out of collapsed homes Monday as the Cuban capital attempted to recover from what officials called the strongest tornado to hit Cuba in nearly 80 years.

Three people were dead and hundreds injured, at least 12 in critical condition, after the tornado touched down with estimated winds of 200 mph (320 kph) in three neighborhoods across eastern Havana.

Members of the Provincial Defense Council of Havana said 90 homes collapsed completely and 30 suffered partial collapse.

A quarter of the city’s roughly 2 million people were without power Monday afternoon and more than 200,000 people had lost water service because of a broken main and power cuts that left pumps out of service. Some 100 underground cisterns close to the coastal section of Havana were contaminated by seawater.

Three electric substations were knocked out by the tornado, the strongest to hit Cuba since Dec. 26, 1940, when a Category F4 tornado hit the town of Bejucal, in what is now Mayabeque province, officials said. It also appeared to be the first tornado to hit the capital in at least as many years.

Residents of the three relatively poor boroughs hit by the tornado were bracing for further calamity once the tropical sun started to dry sodden buildings, which can often lead to structures shifting and collapsing.

Julio Menendez, a 33-year-old restaurant worker, said his neighborhood in Havana’s 10 de Octubre district looked “like a horror movie.”

“From one moment to the next, we heard a noise like an airplane falling out of the sky. The first thing I did was go hug my daughters,” who are 9 and 12, he told The Associated Press.

Driver Oster Rodriguez said that amid a fierce storm, what looked like a thick, swirling cloud touched down in the central plaza of the Reparto Modelo neighborhood “like a fireball.” He saw a bus blown over, though he said the driver escaped unharmed.

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Miguel Angel Hernandez of the Cuban Center for Meteorology said the tornado was a Category F3, with winds between 155 and 199 miles per hour, produced when a cold front hit Cuba’s northern coast. Other meteorologist told state media that the tornado may have been even stronger.

Some of the heaviest damage from Sunday night’s rare tornado was in the eastern borough of Guanabacoa, where the twister tore the roof off a shelter for dozens of homeless families.

Cubans enduring long waits for government housing often live in such multifamily shelters for years.

Dianabys Bueno, 31, was living in the shelter with her husband and son after they were forced to relocate by the collapse of their home in Central Havana. Much of the housing in Havana is in dire condition due to years without maintenance, and building collapses are routine even in ordinary storms.

“This has already happened to us once,” Bueno said. “I’m not going anywhere.”

Around Havana, cars were crushed by fallen light posts and vehicles were trapped in floodwaters.

Leanys Calvo, a restaurant cook in the 10th de Octubre borough, said she was working Sunday night despite heavy rain and wind when she heard a rumbling noise outside and looked out to see what appeared to be a tornado touching down.

“It was something that touched down, and then took off again. It was like a tower,” she said, describing it as displaying colors of red and green. “It was here for two-three seconds, nothing more. They were the most frightening seconds of my life.”

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The tornado tore the concrete roof off an apartment building in the Regla section of Havana and dumped it into an alleyway, briefly trapping residents in their homes.

Marlene Marrero Garcia, 77, said she was in her ground-floor apartment with her grandchildren and great-grandchildren Sunday night when she heard electrical transformers begin to explode. Then the tornado passed.

“It looked like fire, everything was red, then everything began to fall,” she said.

Marrero said she and her family were trapped by debris for about half an hour before firefighters arrived.

https://www.apnews.com/ec4dbdab4bf248ef98aa1b21ff093dfc

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Heavy snow hitting parts of Midwest; dangerous cold coming

By IVAN MORENO 40 minutes ago 1.28.19

MILWAUKEE (AP) — Heavy snow and powerful wind created blizzard-like conditions Monday across parts of the Midwest, prompting officials to cancel about 1,000 flights at Chicago’s airports and close hundreds of schools. But forecasters warned the most dangerous weather is yet to come: frigidly low temperatures that the region hasn’t seen in a quarter century.

Snowplow drivers had trouble keeping up with the snow in Minnesota and Wisconsin, where some areas got as much as 15 inches (38 centimeters). Chicago-area commuters woke up to heavy snowfall, with more than 5 inches (12.7 centimeters) already on the ground. In Michigan, non-essential government offices were closed, including the Capitol.

But the snow is only “part one, and maybe even the easier part” because temperatures will plummet over the next three days, said Brian Hurley, a meteorologist with the Weather Prediction Center.

Wednesday is expected to be the worst. Wind chills in northern Illinois could fall to negative 55 degrees (negative 48 degrees Celsius), which the National Weather Service called “possibly life threatening.” Minnesota temperatures could hit minus 30 degrees (negative 34 degrees Celsius) with a wind chill of negative 60 (negative 51 degrees Celsius).

“You’re talking about frostbite and hypothermia issues very quickly, like in a matter of minutes, maybe seconds,” Hurley said.

The potentially record-breaking low temperature forecast in Milwaukee is negative 28 degrees (negative 33 degrees Celsius), with a wind chill as low as negative 50 (negative 45 degrees Celsius). The current record of minus 26 degrees (negative 32 degrees Celsius) was set in 1996.

“That’s 40 degrees below normal,” Hurley said. “When you think about it in that sense, that’s a big ‘whoa.’”

Cold weather advisories are in effect across a broad swath of the central U.S., from North Dakota to Missouri and spanning into Ohio. Temperatures will be as many as 20 degrees below average in parts of the Upper Great Lakes region and Upper Mississippi Valley, according to the National Weather Service.

The unusually frigid weather is attributed to a sudden warming way above the North Pole. A sudden blast of warm air from misplaced Moroccan heat last month made the normally super chilly air temperatures 20 miles (32 kilometers) above the North Pole rapidly rise about 125 degrees (70 degrees Celsius). That split the polar vortex into pieces, which then started to wander, according to Judah Cohen, a winter storm expert for Atmospheric Environmental Research, a commercial firm outside Boston. One of those polar vortex pieces is responsible for the sub-zero temperatures across the Midwest this week.

Homeless shelters were preparing for the onslaught of cold. The Milwaukee Rescue Mission’s call volume was “unusually high,” but there should still be enough beds for those who need them, said the mission’s president, Pat Vanderburgh.

“We are being especially vigilant during the night,” he said. “Monitoring our doors, our security are going out on the street, we’re partnering individuals that go out proactively looking out for homeless individuals and sharing with them winter clothes and food.”

Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel urged residents to check on their neighbors and take safety precautions. He said city agencies are making sure homeless people are in shelters or offered space in warming buses.

Hundreds of schools were closed across Michigan as road conditions deteriorated, including Eastern Michigan University. The largest public school districts in Wisconsin and Minnesota also were among those closed, including districts in Milwaukee and St. Paul. Minneapolis Public Schools announced there would be no classes through Wednesday. The cold also prompted officials to close some schools in eastern Iowa, while Chicago Public Schools officials said they were monitoring the weather ahead of Wednesday’s cold snap.

In eastern North Dakota, officials have issued travel alerts because of blowing snow. The Minnesota State Patrol was responding to scores of spinouts and crashes early Monday in the Twin Cities metro area because of snow-covered and icy roads.

More than 800 flights were cancelled at Chicago O’Hare International Airport Monday morning and Midway International Airport canceled more than 220. The high temperature forecast at O’Hare on Wednesday is negative 14 degrees (negative 25 degrees Celsius), which would break a record set on Jan. 18, 1994.

Even the fabled “frozen tundra” of Lambeau Field, home to the NFL’s Green Bay Packers, wasn’t able to withstand the heavy snow and wind that closed hundreds of businesses, schools and government offices in Wisconsin. The stadium said tours, the Packers Hall of Fame and other related businesses were closed Monday.

Courthouses and most offices were closed in Milwaukee, Waukesha, Columbia and Washington counties, while more than three dozen flights were canceled early Monday at the Milwaukee area’s largest airport, Mitchell International Airport.

Rare snowfall was also forecast for some southern states . Forecasters warned of up to 3 inches of snow in central Mississippi and Alabama by Tuesday morning and said temperatures will plummet as arctic cold blasts southward. Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey issued a state of emergency ahead of the storm.

https://www.apnews.com/fbfb435202d941d598ccda90eb873aa4

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US envoy: ‘Agreement in principle’ on Afghan peace talks

By RAHIM FAIEZ today 1.28.19

KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) — Negotiators for the U.S. and the Taliban insurgents have reached “agreements in principle” on key issues for a peace deal that would end 17 years of war in Afghanistan, the top U.S. envoy said Monday.

The statement by U.S. envoy Zalmay Khalilzad followed six days of talks last week with the Taliban in Qatar, where he urged the Islamic insurgent group to enter into direct negotiations with the government of Afghan President Ashraf Ghani.

Ghani on Monday assured Afghans that their rights will not be compromised in the name of peace with the Taliban, who have been staging near-daily attacks against Afghan forces, causing scores of casualties every week. Their offensive has not let up despite the severe Afghan winter and the insurgents now hold sway over nearly half of the country.

Khalilzad said in an interview with The New York Times that an agreement in principle was reached with the Taliban on the framework of a peace deal “which still has to be fleshed out” that will see the insurgents commit to guaranteeing that Afghan territory is not used as a “platform for international terrorist groups or individuals.”

He said the deal could lead to a full pullout of U.S. troops in return for a cease-fire and Taliban talks with the Afghan government.

In his statement released by the U.S. Embassy, Khalilzad said, “We made progress on vital issues in our discussions and agreed to agreements in principle on a couple of very important issues.

“There is a lot more work to be done before we can say we have succeeded in our efforts but I believe for the first time I can say that we have made significant progress,” he said.

Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan said he has been briefed on the talks and described them as encouraging, but he also told reporters that the department has not been directed to prepare for a full withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Speaking before a meeting at the Pentagon with Shanahan, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said any discussion about the withdrawal of NATO forces from Afghanistan would be premature. He said Khalilzad had briefed NATO allies on the talks weeks ago.

“We are in Afghanistan to create the conditions for a peaceful negotiated solution,” Stoltenberg said. “We will not stay longer than necessary, but we will not leave before we have a situation that enables us to leave or reduce the number of troops without jeopardizing the main goal of our presence and that is to prevent Afghanistan from becoming a safe haven for international terrorists once again.”

He added that he believes it’s too soon to speculate on withdrawal because “what we have to do now is to support the efforts to try to find a peaceful solution. We strongly support those efforts.”

Ghani sought to assure Afghans that no deals would be made without Kabul’s awareness and full participation.

“Our commitment is to provide peace and to prevent any possible disaster,” Ghani said in an address to the nation. “There are values that are not disputable, such as national unity, national sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

Ghani’s office said he and Khalilzad met late Sunday in Kabul to discuss details from the talks.

Khalilzad’s statement emphasized the inclusion of the Afghan government in the talks.

“There is a false narrative that Afghans are not included. That is not true. The Afghan voice is there,” he said. “We are working together to get to a comprehensive cease-fire. We are working with the Afghan government, with international partners, to find implementing mechanisms to reach these goals.”

Khalilzad has met with the Taliban on a number of occasions in recent months in the latest bid to end America’s longest war. The U.S. invaded Afghanistan after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks to topple the Taliban, who were harboring Osama bin Laden and al-Qaida.

The statement from Ghani’s office also claimed that the Taliban demanded from Khalilzad the withdrawal of all foreign troops from Afghanistan, but that there was also no agreement on that issue.

The statement added that Khalilzad has no authority to discuss issues such as a future Afghan administration but that his goal is to facilitate an intra-Afghan dialogue, meaning direct talks between the Taliban and Kabul.

Khalilzad had tweeted Saturday about progress in the talks in Qatar, where the insurgents have a political office, saying: “Meetings here were more productive than they have been in the past.”

“We made significant progress on vital issues,” he tweeted, without offering details.

Abdul Hakim Mujahid, a former Taliban official and currently a member of the High Peace Council, an independent body of clerics and respected Afghan figures, said he believes the Qatar talks resulted in a “good understanding between both sides” but that more discussions are needed in the coming weeks or months.

“Afghanistan’s problem is not so simple that it can be solved in a day, week or month, it needs more time and more discussions,” Mujahid told The Associated Press.

The Taliban have in the past refused to negotiate directly with Kabul — a standing that does not appear to have changed. They have maintained that they are prepared to talk with U.S. officials only and only about the pullout of foreign forces from Afghanistan.

Afghan political analyst Waheed Muzhda says he believes that Khalilzad and the Taliban have reached agreement on both the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan and a cease-fire deal, but that neither side is prepared to say so at this point.

“But peace talks are not possible unless both sides first agree on a cease-fire,” Muzhda said.

In Monday’s address to the nation, Ghani also stressed that U.S. and other foreign forces are in Afghanistan because they are needed here and that if there is to be any downsizing or pullout, the Kabul government will have to play a role in the talks.

Ghani also reiterated his call on the Taliban to engage “in direct talks with the Afghan government.”

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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
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