2434
by TFIR
Baseball’s hot stove will begin to cook this week
By Nick CafardoGLOBE STAFF
NOVEMBER 3, 2018
The GM meetings take place in Carlsbad, Calif., this coming week. Usually they serve as a launching point for activity at the Winter Meetings in Las Vegas the second week of December. But the general managers begin their face-to-face preliminaries at these meetings, and also meet with agents in the early stages of the free agent market.
The Nationals already have been aggressive in acquiring reliever Kyle Barraclough from the Marlins and signing free agent reliever Trevor Rosenthal. So that could be a sign that teams are moving more quickly than usual. Players and agents also remember last offseason and how slowly the market moved. Those who signed early seemed to get the better deals.
Here’s a look at what the thinking of each team might be:
AL East
Red Sox — The Red Sox would love to bring their entire team back. They want to re-sign Nathan Eovaldi and Steve Pearce, and then must make a tough decision on Craig Kimbrel. They’ll look for bullpen help if they lose Kimbrel and Joe Kelly. You won’t see too much else unless they deal one of their catchers or if they’re in the market for a second baseman should Dustin Pedroia not make it back.
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Yankees — GM Brian Cashman will try to make his starting rotation great again. Look for the Yankees to consider free agent lefthander Patrick Corbin, Eovaldi, Gio Gonzalez, Dallas Keuchel, and Charlie Morton — while trying to re-sign J.A. Happ. Cashman has said he’ll try to move righthander Sonny Gray to a smaller market.
Rays — The Rays will look for a “bargain” power hitter such as Nelson Cruz, Matt Adams, Adam Jones, or Mike Moustakas.
Blue Jays — The Jays are building with top prospects Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Cavan Biggio, and Bo Bichette, but they’ll look to improve their rotation with one of the better starting pitchers on the market.
Orioles — As of this writing, the Orioles do not have a GM or manager. Interim GM Brian Graham will likely represent the Orioles at the meetings. Believe me, the Orioles won’t be active in free agency or on the trade front for some time — unless they’re trying to unload starters Alex Cobb or Andrew Cashner or any other veteran who wouldn’t be of use to them for a while.
Indians reliever Andrew Miller is now a free agent.
GREGORY SHAMUS/GETTY IMAGES
Indians reliever Andrew Miller is now a free agent.
AL Central
Indians — The Indians will have defections in their bullpen, namely Andrew Miller and Cody Allen, and possibly in their outfield with Michael Brantley and Lonnie Chisenhall, who are free agents. Another free agent is third baseman Josh Donaldson. So the Indians have some work to do. Brantley, a really good player, would be a huge loss, but the Indians might devote their resources toward a less-expensive outfielder.
Twins — The Twins desperately need a rebound season with their new manager, Rocco Baldelli, who will likely bring the Rays’ ways of doing things to the Central division. The Twins will be hunting for pitching. Could they be a possible trade partner with the Yankees for Gray?
Tigers — The Tigers remain in their rebuild mode, but two interesting players who could be traded are righthander Michael Fulmer and right fielder Nicholas Castellanos. We’ll see if Al Avila has the appetite to trade one or both. Both would be attractive trade chips. The Tigers could be in the hunt for a shortstop with Jose Iglesias testing the market.
White Sox — Their long rebuild will continue. We’re not expecting much to happen here, though there will be dialogue to deal first baseman Jose Abreu for more prospects.
Royals — The Royals continue their rebuild. They could get feelers for Danny Duffy, who didn’t have a good season. But he’s lefthanded, experienced, and with the dearth of starting pitching, could bring back a good return. Duffy (8-12, 4.88 ERA) is 29 years old and will make about $15.2 million a year for the next three years.
Nelson Cruz is entering free agency, so the Mariners may be looking for offense in the offseason.
MIKE STONE/AP
Nelson Cruz is entering free agency, so the Mariners may be looking for offense in the offseason.
AL West
Astros — Keuchel and Morton are free agents, but they have internal replacements for the back end in Lance McCullers Jr., Colin McHugh, and flame thrower Josh James. Look for the Astros to dip into the catcher market, where they could make the Marlins an offer for J.T. Realmuto or target free agent Wilson Ramos.
Athletics — They made great progress this past season in winning 97 games. Could the A’s actually be a player in trying to reacquire Gray from the Yankees? They lose reliever Jeurys Familia, second baseman Jed Lowrie, and catcher Jonathan Lucroy, among others. Lowrie might be re-signed, but the A’s will likely seek lower-cost replacements and also need a starting pitcher or two.
Mariners — They could be losing Cruz to free agency so they’ll likely need offense. Will they be a player for Bryce Harper or Manny Machado? Robinson Cano may move to first base or even DH. They still need a bat or two. If Dee Gordon stays at second base, they’ll need a center fielder. Could Andrew McCutchen be a fit?
Angels — The Angels will be looking for pitching and they’ll pay the price for it. With Cashman and Angels GM Billy Eppler having a close relationship from their Yankee days together, this could be another landing spot for Gray. But the Angels will be in the hunt for Happ or Corbin, and the bigger names in free agency. They may also consider CC Sabathia. They could also use a fourth outfielder who can play center field.
Rangers — The Rangers hired Dodgers third base coach Chris Woodward as manager on Saturday, and now GM Jon Daniels’s attention turns to pursuing pitchers. After dealing with the Cubs for Drew Smyly, who missed all of 2018 with Tommy John surgery, expect them to pursue at least one more starter. Drew Pomeranz or Marco Estrada could make some sense for them on the back end.
NL East
Bryce Harper is a high-profile free agent this offseason who will command a lucrative contract.
DUSTIN BRADFORD/GETTY IMAGES
Bryce Harper is a high-profile free agent this offseason who will command a lucrative contract.
Braves — They seemed too young to go far in the playoffs in 2018, but 2019 could be different. The Braves might be in position financially to go after a notable pitcher (Happ, Eovaldi, Corbin) to augment a young staff. They’ll also seek to enhance their bullpen. Take your pick from Craig Kimbrel, Kelvin Herrera, and Zach Britton, among others. They could also go big with Harper and/or Machado.
Phillies — Are the Phillies ready to spend some serious money? It would appear so. Harper, Machado, or both are definitely in play. The Phillies have serious TV money to spend and they have a chance to take the next step in their comeback. Watch for the beginnings of trade or free agent talks on starter and bullpen enhancements. They are certainly one of the teams who could afford the rest of Zack Greinke’s $104.5 million contract over the next three years if the Diamondbacks want to deal him.
Nationals — Don’t count the Nationals out on Harper because they have the money to re-sign him and agent Scott Boras has an excellent relationship with the Lerner family, which owns the team. President of baseball operations Mike Rizzo already has acquired Barraclough and signed Rosenthal, who missed this past season following Tommy John surgery. Rizzo is sick of this team not playing to its potential. He also may upgrade the infield with DJLeMahieu or a facsimile.
Mets — The Mets have a new leader in former agent Brodie Van Wagenen — we’ll see what he has planned. The Mets have a solid core of starters but need offensive help and bullpen reinforcements. It’s all about how much the Wilpons are willing to spend.
Marlins — The Marlins will continue to shed rather than add. They’ll give young players a chance to develop with no option but to exercise patience. They’ll have to decide whether Realmuto is a player they want to build around or trade for more down-the-road pieces. Dan Straily could be a trade chip as a back-end starter.
NL Central
Brewers — What a nice 2018 season. It ended with a Game 7 loss to the Dodgers in the NLCS, but the Brewers aren’t going away. They have virtually all of their team back. A couple of defections in the coaching staff (pitching coach Derek Johnson and hitting coach Darnell Coles) will result in some change. The Brewers must decide whether they want to go with the “opener” concept. Wade Miley and Joakim Soria are two free agents the Brewers must replace or re-sign.
Cubs — The Cubs need an offensive boost, but who they are and where they play are the issues. The Cubs may also have a luxury-tax concern, which could prevent them from a big splash. Minus that issue, you could see them having interest in Machado with Addison Russell suspended to start the season. The Cubs traded Smyly to the Rangers and picked up their $20 million option on Cole Hamels.
Cardinals — They need to do something at third base. They have long coveted Donaldson, so that’s a possibility, but Moustakas might suit them better since they need balance with a lefthanded bat. Harper and Machado also have been linked to the Cardinals, but they generally don’t overpay anyone. They could also dabble in the starting rotation market. A guy like Corbin would interest them.
Pirates — The Pirates made a gutsy move not picking up Josh Harrison’s option, as he was a fixture at second base for a long time. The Pirates are in and out of rebuilding and going for it, so it’s hard to gauge what they’ll do this offseason. They may get a veteran shortstop or re-sign Jordy Mercer.
Reds — They are slowly rebuilding their organization, naming David Bell manager. With Johnson leaving the Brewers to become the Reds’ pitching coach, one wonders whether Miley could be in their plans to rebuild the rotation. Look for them to also be in on Keuchel, Gonzalez, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Lance Lynn, among others.
NL West
It’s unknown if the Dodgers will try to re-sign Manny Machado.
EZRA SHAW/GETTY IMAGES
It’s unknown if the Dodgers will try to re-sign Manny Machado.
Dodgers — They may need to replace Ryu in the rotation if he defects. The big story will be whether they’ll try to re-sign Machado, who didn’t endear himself to a lot of Dodgers players and officials with his no-hustle stance. Anyway, shortstop Corey Seager is scheduled to return after missing 2018 with elbow and hip surgery. The Dodgers have strong catching in their system so they may not want to bring back free agent Yasmani Grandal, who is a defensive liability.
Rockies — With LeMahieu and Carlos Gonzalez hitting free agency, they will be in the market for a proven bat, in the outfield or at second base. There’s also speculation — though I can’t see this — they could deal third baseman Nolan Arenado, who is heading into his last controllable season.
Diamondbacks — Look for some Greinke trade talk this offseason. A big-market team with money such as the Yankees or Phillies could have some interest in picking up the remaining three years of his contract. He does have a no-trade clause to 15 teams. The D-Backs will likely lose A.J. Pollock to free agency so they’ll need to acquire an outfielder. There’s also been talk of a Paul Goldschmidt deal as he enters the final season of his contract. Arizona could be in transition to a rebuilding mode.
Giants — A new GM is about to dictate what direction they go in, but whether it’s more analytics-based or not, offense will be the accent during this offseason. The Giants need some pop (Steve Pearce?) in their lineup. They also need youth.
Padres — Given that their 5.09 rotation ERA was the worst in the NL, starting pitching will be the priority. The Padres spent big on first baseman Eric Hosmer last offseason, so they probably have one big purchase available on the pitching front. Those on the younger side, such as Eovaldi and Corbin, could be on their radar.
Apropos of nothing
J.D. Martinez, right, will work with Rafael Devers in the offseason on Devers’s hitting approach.
BARRY CHIN/GLOBE STAFF
J.D. Martinez, right, will work with Rafael Devers in the offseason on Devers’s hitting approach.
1. Alex Cora said that Rafael Devers will spend the majority of the winter working with J.D.Martinez in Miami. This is a pretty good idea as Martinez can get the 22-year-old Devers in a solid mindset at the plate. This is an even better idea than Devers going off to play winter ball.
2. Roger Clemens and Tom Seaver both loved Bill Fischer, their longtime Red Sox pitching coach (Fischer also coached Seaver with the Reds) who died this past week at age 88. Fischer worked in baseball up until this past season with the Royals, for whom he acted as a pitching adviser. “It’s with great sadness and a heavy heart that I say goodbye to one of my first professional coaches, Bill Fischer,” Clemens wrote in a text. “Fish helped so many of us young pitchers while we were chasing our dreams to be great at the major league level. We visited last Monday about my record-setting 20-strikeout game and how he loved that I struck out 20, but even more that I didn’t walk a batter. For those who don’t know, Fish still holds the MLB record for most consecutive innings without allowing a walk! I will miss this man. He knew that my nickname was Rocket, but he always called me ‘Smoky’ after Smoky Joe Wood. Fish, thanks for being the best at what you did.”
3. Like Eddie Mathews walked behind Hank Aaron, Billy Williams behind Ernie Banks, and Roger Maris behind Mickey Mantle, Willie McCovey walked behind Willie Mays. McCovey died this past week at age 80. He was one of the most feared lefthanded hitters of his era. Some of the most touching comments came from Barry Bonds, who referred to McCovey as his uncle. “Mac, I am crying over losing you even when you told me not to,” Bonds wrote. “I remember asking you what I would do without all of you around. You told me when that day comes — and it will one day — to keep the tradition of Giants baseball living forever. You told me to help the next generation of ballplayers get better. You told me to be thankful that we had so much time to spend together and talk about the love we have for the game, San Francisco, the Giants, and for each other.”
4. Red Sox special assistant Dick Berardino and wife Kathy celebrated their 57th wedding anniversary on the day the Red Sox won the World Series.
5. Now that Cora has had so much success with the Red Sox, will brother Joey Cora, a coach with the Pirates, get a legitimate look for a manager’s job? Joey was once a very hot managerial candidate, but he fizzled out.
6. Texas and/or Baltimore should consider Red Sox bench coach Ron Roenicke for their managerial opening. The constant message Cora gave about Roenicke, “He’s a great teacher.” That’s so important, since as Cora accurately points out, players don’t spend that much time in the minor leagues anymore and the learning continues in the majors.
Extra innings
From the Bill Chuck files — “On May 11, 2011, the Nationals beat the Braves, 7-3, in 11 innings. Washington had tied the game with two runs in top of the ninth on a pinch-hit, two-run single. The pitcher with the blown save was Craig Kimbrel. The pinch hitter was Alex Cora.” . . . Also, “In 2014, relievers made 14,461 appearances. In 2016, relievers made 15,306 appearances. In 2018, relievers made 16,339 appearances.” . . .
"I've suffered a great many tragedies in my life....most of them never happened". Mark Twain