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by J.R.
Patience wins the day (and Michael Bourn) for Cleveland Indians: Terry Pluto
By Terry Pluto, The Plain Dealer
on February 14, 2013 at 9:45 PM, updated February 14, 2013 at 9:47 PM Print
CLEVELAND, Ohio -- Michael Bourn always was high on the Tribe's winter wish list.
Even before they made the four-year, $44 million offer to free agent Shane Victorino, the Indians checked in with Bourn's agent -- Scott Boras. The Indians let it be known that a similar contract offer could be made for Bourn, who made the 2012 All-Star team while playing a superior center field for the Braves.
This was about a month after the season. At that point, rumors were that Boras had originally asked Atlanta for a whopper of a deal in the $100 million range. The Braves decided that was not a good idea.
Instead, they turned to B.J. Upton, who signed a five-year, $75 million deal to play center field.
In USA Today, Bob Nightengale wrote, "The Braves ... made Upton their top center-field target when it became clear that Bourn's demands would be too prohibitive for their budget." ESPN and other outlets reported Bourn's agent seeking $100 million.
Meanwhile, the Tribe signed Nick Swisher to $56 million for four years, and added Drew Stubbs in a trade to revamp the outfield. They didn't think they'd have a shot at Bourn.
At the start of the free agent period, estimates by ESPN and fangraphs.com predicted Bourn would sign a five-year, $75 million contract. Last week, as Bourn remained unsigned, the Indians wondered if he'd accept four years and far fewer dollars as spring training was opening.
Boras was willing to talk. The Dolan family was willing to pay, especially because the contract is back-loaded, starting at $7 million in 2013. The final totals were $48 million for four years. Ownership had more than $130 million in contracts this winter, raising the current payroll from $65 million in 2012 to the $85 million range.
The Mets thought they'd sign Bourn, but stalled because they didn't want to surrender a first-round draft pick. Because of baseball's complicated rules and the Tribe coming off a horrible 68-94 season, the Indians lost only a pick between the second and third rounds (the 69th pick) to the Braves as compensation for Bourn.
New York later said it refused to give Bourn a $12 million option for a fifth season, and that's why the deal fell apart. The Indians did, but it becomes guaranteed only if Bourn has 550 plate appearances in 2017, and he also passes a physical. If he's good enough to bat 550 times in 2016, it would seem the same team would want him back the following season -- so the option is a non-issue.
Bourn, a two-time Gold Glove winner, is considered by many to be the best defensive center fielder in the majors. The Indians' internal stats last season rated their outfield the worst defensively in the majors. Fansgraphs ranked them 29th of 30 teams.
The Indians' 2013 starting outfield -- with three guys who played center field in 2012, Michael Brantley, Stubbs and Bourn -- is a pitcher's dream for all the fly balls they'll be chasing down.
Left field has been a nightmare for years. The Indians ranked last offensively among all teams at that position in 2012. Fans remember the attempt to turn a combination of Shelley Duncan, Johnny Damon, Aaron Cunningham and Ezequiel Carrera into some type of left fielder. They combined to hit .221 with a .280 on-base percentage and a .631 OPS -- the worst in baseball.
Shin-Soo Choo ranked last defensively among all AL right fielders, according to Fangraphs. So yes, if you thought he was bad, the metrics proved it. He'll be replaced by Stubbs.
Is there risk in giving a 30-year-old Bourn four years because his main asset is speed? Of course. They would have liked to add another outfielder with power (Swisher is moving to first base), but none was available.
The Indians had to be bold. Either they trade away every decent player and lose 105 games hoping the kids develop, or they aggressively enter the free-agent market determined to upgrade the roster and bring in the best talent they could find.
And that's what they did, along with a premier manager in Terry Francona.
Will they contend? Will they even have winning record? Who knows?
But they are better and they have fans talking Tribe in the winter for the first time in a long time.