I placed my wager on The Factor early, about four hours before the race and final odds moves. I really thought he'd go off at minimum even money. With the field scratching down to 5 horses, that sunk him to a 3-5 I had not predicted.Hillbilly wrote:Amazombie is currently 8/5 ... The Factor is 7/5
Just so happens there is a poker tournament tomorrow at my cities local establishment that has simulcast racing. A buddy of mine is dealing. I was thinking about going to play and slapping a few bucks down on The Factor in the 7th. May even have to play a trifecta for poops & giggles and give your horse some action.
Sway Away is likely a horse to bet big on his next time out.....depending upon what kind of race and field he lands in. Sway Away had been off since June 2011 and as he came out of the gate he was rank and seemed to have forgotten what to do. If you can see a replay of the race, the jockey is fighting to keep his head straight. But when he got to the turn and switched leads, it was like, "oh yeah, NOW I remember what I'm here for" and took off like a rocket to almost catch The Factor. He ran a great race for his layoff. There's a betting angle to play a nice horse in his second race back after a layoff....which will be his next race.
I have a hunch Sway Away's connections are trying to set up for an appearance on Breeders Cup Day.
I did accomplish at least my goal of enough profit for a dinner. It was my only wager of the day.